Ackem's System Tracking (Season Long)

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  • mia
    SBR Rookie
    • 08-17-10
    • 13

    #36
    Maybe a stupid question, but I imagine figuring out these systems took you a lot of handwork. Backtesting them must have been a real pain. Why are you giving out your work for free? Aren't you worried the edge may disappear as some begin to follow them?
    Comment
    • ackem19
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-07-09
      • 669

      #37
      They're actually all from statfox. So I guess they're more trends than anything. However instead of just selecting whatever trend statfox showed me, I went with the ones with the most consistency over a give period of time. I Do however manually keep track of the all the systems with Excel spreadsheets and every night I enter in each teams box score statistics so that I have a manual statistical database that caters to my systems needs.
      Last edited by ackem19; 11-17-10, 10:10 AM.
      Comment
      • ackem19
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-07-09
        • 669

        #38
        2-1 tonight. 12-7 YTD.
        Comment
        • ackem19
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-07-09
          • 669

          #39
          11/18/2010 Play:

          Phx/Orl UNDER 205 (System 4)
          Last edited by ackem19; 11-18-10, 05:06 PM.
          Comment
          • ackem19
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-07-09
            • 669

            #40
            1-0 tonight. 13-7 YTD. 10-2 run.
            Comment
            • ackem19
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-07-09
              • 669

              #41
              11/19/2010 Play

              NJN/Sac 1st Half UNDER 99 (System 2 & 3)
              Mem/Was UNDER 199 (System 4)
              Mem/Was OVER 199 (System 6)


              Since the Mem/Was game fits two systems that contradict each other. It's a no play.
              Comment
              • ackem19
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-07-09
                • 669

                #42
                2-0 tonight. (It was only 1 play but it counts twice because it fits two systems. I played it for two units where as every other play is only 1 unit.) YTD: 15-7.
                Comment
                • ackem19
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-07-09
                  • 669

                  #43
                  11/20/2010 Plays:
                  NYK/LAC 1st Half UNDER 107 (System 2)
                  NYK/LAC UNDER 210 (System 4)
                  Comment
                  • ackem19
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-07-09
                    • 669

                    #44
                    0-2 last night. It was bound to happen. That ends my 12-2 run. Still, I guess a 12-4 run isn't bad either. NO PLAYS FOR 11/21/2010
                    Comment
                    • ackem19
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-07-09
                      • 669

                      #45
                      11/22/2010 Plays:

                      Phx/Hou 1st Half UNDER 105.5 (System 2)
                      Den/GSW UNDER 219.5 (System 4)
                      Last edited by ackem19; 11-22-10, 06:54 PM.
                      Comment
                      • Hochay
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-29-10
                        • 132

                        #46
                        What's that mean what are we if not public?
                        Comment
                        • ackem19
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-07-09
                          • 669

                          #47
                          2-0 tonight. YTD: 17-9. 14-4 run.

                          To answer your question hochay, of course we are the public, but we aren't necessarily the majority. When I made that statement i was referring to the betting public and that they were hammering the over. By them hammering the over, the line would continue to climb making for a better UNDER play. Tonight, for example, the Phx/Hou 1st half under started off at 104, after the public bet the over so much, the line jumped to 105.5. So instead of a push tonight, i got the win.
                          Comment
                          • ackem19
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-07-09
                            • 669

                            #48
                            No Plays for 11/23/2010.
                            Comment
                            • ackem19
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-07-09
                              • 669

                              #49
                              11/24/2010 Play:

                              GSW/Hou OVER 215.5 (System 6)
                              Comment
                              • ackem19
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-07-09
                                • 669

                                #50
                                0-1 tonight. 17-10 YTD. +5.4u.
                                Comment
                                • ackem19
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-07-09
                                  • 669

                                  #51
                                  No Plays for 11/25/2010. At least 1 play on 11/26/2010.
                                  Comment
                                  • thebestthereis
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-01-09
                                    • 11459

                                    #52
                                    ackem keep up the good work!
                                    Comment
                                    • ackem19
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-07-09
                                      • 669

                                      #53
                                      thank you sir. 1 play for 11/26/2010:

                                      Dal/SAS UNDER 196.5 (System 1)
                                      Comment
                                      • ackem19
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-07-09
                                        • 669

                                        #54
                                        0-1 tonight. 17-11 YTD. 3 plays for 11/27/2010:

                                        GSW/Min OVER 219 (System 6)
                                        Orl/Was UNDER 194.5 (System 4)
                                        Mia/Dal UNDER 189 (System 1)
                                        Last edited by ackem19; 11-27-10, 05:45 AM. Reason: Added lines
                                        Comment
                                        • ackem19
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-07-09
                                          • 669

                                          #55
                                          ouch, 0-3 tonight. 17-14 YTD. No Plays for 11/28/2010.
                                          Comment
                                          • ackem19
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-07-09
                                            • 669

                                            #56
                                            No plays tomorrow either.
                                            Comment
                                            • ackem19
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-07-09
                                              • 669

                                              #57
                                              12/2/2010:
                                              Phx/GSW UNDER 229 (System 4)

                                              GL and Get$
                                              Comment
                                              • ackem19
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-07-09
                                                • 669

                                                #58
                                                1-0 tonight. 18-14 YTD.
                                                Comment
                                                • ackem19
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-07-09
                                                  • 669

                                                  #59
                                                  3 Plays for 12/3/2010:

                                                  Por/Was OVER 194 (System 6)
                                                  Sac/LAL OVER 200 (System 6)
                                                  Ind/Phx 1st Half UNDER 109 (System 2)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ackem19
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-07-09
                                                    • 669

                                                    #60
                                                    Tough night. 0-3 for the second time this year. 18-17 YTD. No Plays for tomorrow.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ackem19
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-07-09
                                                      • 669

                                                      #61
                                                      12/8/10 Plays:

                                                      Chi/Cle UNDER 196.5(System 4)
                                                      Tor/NYK UNDER 220.5(System 4)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ackem19
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-07-09
                                                        • 669

                                                        #62
                                                        1-1 tonight. 19-18 YTD. 1 play for 12/9/2010:

                                                        NJN/DAL UNDER 188 (System 1)
                                                        Last edited by ackem19; 12-09-10, 04:58 PM. Reason: added line
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ackem19
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-07-09
                                                          • 669

                                                          #63
                                                          0-1 Yesterday. 19-19 YTD. 12/10/2010 Plays

                                                          Den/Tor 1st Half UNDER 109.5(System 2)
                                                          NYK/Was UNDER 218 (System 4)
                                                          Last edited by ackem19; 12-10-10, 12:57 PM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ackem19
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 10-07-09
                                                            • 669

                                                            #64
                                                            1-1 yesterday. 20-20 YTD. 1 Play for 12/11/10:

                                                            Tor/Det OVER 201.5 (System 6)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ackem19
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-07-09
                                                              • 669

                                                              #65
                                                              1-0 tonight. 21-20 YTD. -0.9u. 2 plays for 12/12/2010:

                                                              Den/NYK 1st Half UNDER (System 2)
                                                              LAL/NJN 1st Half UNDER (System 2)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ackem19
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-07-09
                                                                • 669

                                                                #66
                                                                Didn't get around to posting the official plays. Sorry about that. Plays went 1-1 tonight. 22-21 YTD.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ackem19
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 10-07-09
                                                                  • 669

                                                                  #67
                                                                  12/13/2010:

                                                                  GSW/Uta UNDER 208 (System 4)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ackem19
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 10-07-09
                                                                    • 669

                                                                    #68
                                                                    1-0 tonight. 23-21 YTD. -0.09u.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ackem19
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-07-09
                                                                      • 669

                                                                      #69
                                                                      4 Plays for 12/14/2010:

                                                                      Atl/Det 1st HALF UNDER 96.5 (System 2)
                                                                      Atl/Det 1st HALF UNDER 96.5 (System 3)
                                                                      Orl/Den 1st HALF UNDER 105 (System 2)
                                                                      Min/GSW UNDER 217 (System 4)


                                                                      When a play fits two systems that result in the same play (Over or Under), it just because a double play so 2 units will be on the Atl/Det 1st HALF UNDER.
                                                                      Last edited by ackem19; 12-14-10, 12:13 PM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ackem19
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 10-07-09
                                                                        • 669

                                                                        #70
                                                                        3-1 tonight. 1st good night in a while. 26-22 YTD. +1.6u. 1 play for 12/15/2010:

                                                                        Chi/Tor 1st HALF UNDER (System 2)
                                                                        Comment
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