Ray's Raging NBA Season Plays 2010/11

[Raynor21]

After starting the MLB post season strong, I'm hitting a string of bad luck, but hopefully that will change. However, with the start of the NBA season, it's time to turn my attention there.

As always, feel free to follow or fade. I'm very streaky, so you'll see me bang out 4-1 days for a week and then see me go on a 0-12 streak. Could be funny, we'll see.

I have one previous play that I'm adding to my 2010/11 record that was made yesterday, you can check it out on my blog.

That play was:

10/28

Phoenix Suns +7 @ -110 (1u) (WIN)

I have a couple of initial NBA plays tonight and am thinking about adding a few more. These plays are:

10/29

New York Knicks +11 @ -110 (1u)
Atlanta Hawks -3.5 @ -110 (1u)
Orlando Magic +3.5 @ -110 (1u)
Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 @ -110 (1u)
Detroit Pistons +6 @ -110 (1u)
Golden State/LAC Under 218 @ -110 (1u)
Dallas Mavericks 1st Half -6 @ -110 (1u)

Hoping for at least 5-2 tonight.

[Raynor21]

Last Night: 4-3

New York Knicks +11 @ -110 (1u)
Atlanta Hawks -3.5 @ -110 (1u)
Orlando Magic +3.5 @ -110 (1u)
Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 @ -110 (1u)
Detroit Pistons +6 @ -110 (1u)
Golden State/LAC Under 218 @ -110 (1u)
Dallas Mavericks 1st Half -6 @ -110 (1u)

YTD: 5-3 (+1.5u)

Tonights picks:

New York Knicks +5 @ -110 (1u)
New Orleans Hornets +9 @ -110 (1u)
Detroit Pistons +9 @ -110 (1u)
Cleveland Cavaliers -3 @ -110 (1u)
Denver Nuggets/Houston Rockets Under 216 @ -110 (1u)
Houston Rockets 1st Half -2.5 @ -110 (1u)
Philly 76ers/Indiana Pacers Under 206.5 @ -110 (1u)
Minnesota Timberwolves to win @ +265 (1u)

[Raynor21]

New York Knicks +5 @ -110 (1u) (PUSH)
New Orleans Hornets +9 @ -110 (1u)
Detroit Pistons +9 @ -110 (1u)
Cleveland Cavaliers -3 @ -110 (1u)
Denver Nuggets/Houston Rockets Under 216 @ -110 (1u)
Houston Rockets 1st Half -2.5 @ -110 (1u)
Philly 76ers/Indiana Pacers Under 206.5 @ -110 (1u)
Minnesota Timberwolves to win @ +265 (1u)

10/30: 4-3-1 (+0.64u)

YTD: 9-6-1 (+2.19u)

10/31 Picks:

Oklahoma City Thunder -6 @ -110 (2u)
LA Lakers 1st Quarter -3 @ -110 (1u)

[Raynor21]

Oklahoma City Thunder -6 @ -110 (2u)
LA Lakers 1st Quarter -3 @ -110 (1u)

10/31: 1-1 (-1.5u)

YTD: 10-7-1 (+1.01u)

Damn, my Best Bet for the day got rocked. Really thought homecourt advantage would pull Oklahoma over. The exact opposite happened. The lesson here is don't mess with the Jazz when they're away. Or maybe it's one man can't be a team. Who knows, hopefully I can learn from it though.

Small board today, so I'll be doing multiple picks on the games.

Toronto Raptors +4.5 @ -110 (1u)
LA Clippers +7.5 @ -110 (1u)
San Antonio/LA Under 195 @ -110 (1u)
Portland/Chicago Over 187.5 @ -110 (1u)
Toronto/Sacramento Under 207 @ -110 (1u)

Might pick a side for Chicago/Portland later but the line has me confused as hell when compared to my personal handicapping this morning. Was sure that Bulls were going to be underdog.

[Raynor21]

Not a bad day. Not great, but it could've been much worse very quickly, as the blow up on the forums show.

Toronto Raptors +4.5 @ -110 (1u)
LA Clippers +7.5 @ -110 (1u)
San Antonio/LA Under 195 @ -110 (1u)
Portland/Chicago Over 187.5 @ -110 (1u)
Toronto/Sacramento Under 207 @ -110 (1u)

11/1: 3-2 (+.73u)

YTD: 13-9-1 (1.83u)

I decided to do a little breakdown of each betting type, just for fun:

ATS: 8-7-1 (-.72u)
Total: 5-1 (+3.55u)
SU: 0-1 (-1u)

Maybe just something to keep in mind if you're following.

[Raynor21]

10/2 Picks

New York Knicks +7 @ -110 (1u)
Milwaukee Bucks -2.5 @ -110 (1u)


I'm also looking at that Heat/T'Wolves over.

[Raynor21]

10/2 Adds

Atlanta Hawks -3 @ -110 (1u)
76ers/Wizards Under 193 @ -110 (1u)

[Raynor21]

Wizards -2.5 (1u)

[Raynor21]

LA Lakers -5 1st Half @ -110 (2u)
Memphis/LAL Over 202 @ -110 (1u)

[Raynor21]

With one no bet, I went 3-3 today thanks to a really stupid under bet on that 76ers/Wizards game, and of course the Bucks because everyone's brother and their mother started referring to it as "a lock". Regardless, thanks to some smart money management (2 units on Lakers 1H) I'm still up today, getting ahead more than half a unit. It's slow going, but I'd rather consistently build my bankroll slowly then not at all.

New York Knicks +7 @ -110 (1u) (Game Postponed, No bet)
Milwaukee Bucks -2.5 @ -110 (1u)
Atlanta Hawks -3 @ -110 (1u)
76ers/Wizards Under 193 @ -110 (1u)
Wizards -2.5 (1u)
LA Lakers -5 1st Half @ -110 (2u)
Memphis/LAL Over 202 @ -110 (1u)

11/2: 3-3 (+.64u)
YTD: 16-12-1 (+2.47u)

For tomorrow, I'm looking at Raptors and Pacers spread and I'm looking also at that Celtics over.

[Raynor21]

The lines are really moving. Nice board tonight. Let's get 'em shall we?

All bets are for -110 unless otherwise noted.

Golden State Warriors -3.5 (1u)
Boston Celtics 1st Half -4.5 (1u)
LA Lakers 1st Half -3 (1u)
New Jersey Nets -2 (1u)
Phoenix Suns ML @ Even (1u)
Houston Rockets -5 (1u)
Boston/Minnesota Under 204.5 (1u)
Charlotte/NJ Over 187 (1u)

[Raynor21]

Got hit very bad last night. It happens though. Important thing is to remember that.

Golden State Warriors -3.5 (1u)
Boston Celtics 1st Half -4.5 (1u)
LA Lakers 1st Half -3 (1u)
New Jersey Nets -2 (1u)
Phoenix Suns ML @ Even (1u)
Houston Rockets -5 (1u)
Boston/Minnesota Under 204.5 (1u)
Charlotte/NJ Over 187 (1u)

11/3: 2-6

YTD: 18-18-1 (-1.71u)

All right, I am all about Portland in this game and as long as they can keep Durant in check, they should have absolutely no problem covering. Also, I'm eyeing this Knicks/Bulls over.

Portland Trailblazers 1st Half -3 (1u)
Portland Trailblazers -5.5 (1u)
Chicago Bulls 1st Quarter -2 (.5u)

[Raynor21]

Thanks Portland....

Portland Trailblazers 1st Half -3 (1u)
Portland Trailblazers -5.5 (1u)
Chicago Bulls 1st Quarter -2 (.5u)

11/4: 1-2 (-1.09)

YTD: 19-20-1

Start fading boys. Here it comes.

Chicago Bulls vs. Boston Celtics Over 195 (1u)
Phoenix Suns -5.5 (1u)
Atlanta Hawks 1st Half -4 (2u)
Utah Jazz -2.5 (1u)
Boston Celtics 1st Half -4.5 (2u)

[tmorton]

Like the Nuggets tonight... GL to ya!

[Raynor21]

Good day. Suns play lost by half a point, but I'm back in the green since my bigger plays both hit!

Chicago Bulls vs. Boston Celtics Over 195 (1u)
Phoenix Suns -5.5 (1u)
Atlanta Hawks 1st Half -4 (2u)
Utah Jazz -2.5 (1u)
Boston Celtics 1st Half -4.5 (2u)

11/5: 3-2 (+2.55u)

YTD: 22-22-1 (+.25u)

Bigger unit plays are 3-1, so I'm rather proud about that. Also, my first half plays are 6-1.

Definitely fade my full time side plays for now. I'm losing most of my money on those.

More picks tomorrow.

[Raynor21]

Portland Trail Blazers 1st Quarter -4 (1u)
Memphis/Sac Over 210 (1u)

[Raynor21]

Memphis/Sac is gonna miss. Calling it now so I can move on.

1-1 on the day. My first half plays are now 7-1.

Portland Trail Blazers 1st Quarter -4 (1u)
Memphis/Sac Over 210 (1u)

11/6: 1-1 (-.9u)

YTD: 23-23-1 (.16u)

[Raynor21]

11/7 Picks:

Boston Celtics ML @ +115 (2u)
Golden State Warriors -1.5 (1u)
Phoenix Suns +6 (1u)
Phoenix/Atlanta Under 208.5 (1u)

[Raynor21]

Looks like I'll have another split day. Need Boston to pull this out and I hope GS can stop playing like they're sleepwalking.

[Raynor21]

Another split day. Good news is, my big play hit. My big unit plays (Big Unit = >1) are now 4-1.

Boston Celtics ML @ +115 (2u)
Golden State Warriors -1.5 (1u)
Phoenix Suns +6 (1u)
Phoenix/Atlanta Under 208.5 (1u)

11/7: 2-2 (+1.21u)

YTD: 25-25-1 (+1.37u)

[Raynor21]

11/8 Play:
Chicago Bulls -3 (1u)

[Raynor21]

I am angered.

YTD: 25-26-1 (+.37)

11/9 Picks:
Indiana Pacers +1 (1u) (Fading the public here)
New York Knicks +5.5 (1u) (Their bounce back game)
Utah Jazz +9 (1u) (My first rule of the year, never doubt the Jazz on the road)
New Jersey Nets -2 (1u)
New Orleans Hornets -2.5 1st Quarter (1u)

[Raynor21]

Added Play:
Knicks/Bucks 3rd Q Over 48.5

[Raynor21]

Indiana Pacers +1 (1u)
New York Knicks +5.5 (1u)
Utah Jazz +9 (1u)
New Jersey Nets -2
New Orleans Hornets -2.5 1st Quarter
Knicks/Bucks 3rd Q Over 48.5

11/9: 4-2 (+1.64u)

YTD: 29-28-1 (+2.01)

It's been a week since my last breakdown, so let's get it on!

ATS: 20-22-1 (-1.57u)
Total: 8-4 (+3.28u)
SU: 1-2 (.3u)

[Raynor21]

Week by week:

Week 1 (10/29-11/2): 13-9-1 (+1.83u)
Week 2 (11/3-11/9): 16-19 (+.18u)

Profitable weeks, albeit, not nearly as much as I was hoping for. But hey, I'll take +.18 over -.18 any day.

[Raynor21]

11/10 Plays:
Milwaukee Bucks +6.5 (1u)
Utah Jazz +11 (1u) (NEVER doubt the Jazz on the road. Number 1 rule of the year. Huge point spread. I'm all over it.)
New York Knicks -3.5 (1u)

[Raynor21]

NEVER doubt the Jazz on the road. I've said it before and I'll say it again.

Anyway, another small winning day. I'll take it.

Milwaukee Bucks +6.5 (1u)
Utah Jazz +11 (1u)
New York Knicks -3.5 (1u)

11/10: 2-1 (+.82u)

YTD: 31-29-1 (+2.83)

[Raynor21]

11/11 Play:
Golden State Warriors +7 (1u)

[Raynor21]

Golden State missed.

YTD: 31-30-1 (+1.83u)

11/12 Plays:

NY Knicks -3.5 (1u)
LA CLippers -1 (1u)
Sacremento Kings +7.5 (1u)

Big Unit Play:
Indiana Pacers -3.5 (2u)

Big unit plays are 4-1. Let's make it 5-1 today!

Not really posting around the forums today.

[Raynor21]

All 4 bets lost, my first 0-4 day. Big unit plays are 4-2.

Got understandably pissed off, so I took a few days to recompose myself and now I'm back to get some.

Updated spread sheet and signature to reflect current record.

YTD: 31-41-1 (-3.17u)

11/17 Plays:
Miami Heat -4 1st Half (2u)
Toronto Raptors +3.5 (1u)
Dallas Mavericks +4.5 (1u)

[Raynor21]

Oh yes... we're back in business.

Miami Heat -4 1st Half (2u)
Toronto Raptors +3.5 (1u)
Dallas Mavericks +4.5 (1u)

11/17 Total: 3-0 (+3.64u)

YTD: 34-34-1 (+.47u)

[Raynor21]

Also, don't want to edit it because I have picks on that post, but post #30 shouldn't read

"31-41-1"

It should obviously read:

"31-34-1"

The unit calculation is correctly stated on it though.

[Raynor21]

11/19 Plays:

Sacramento Kings -3 (1u)
Utah Jazz -2.5 (1u)
NY Knicks/GS Warriors Under 222 (1u)

Big Play (5-2):

Boston Celtics 1st Half -3.5 (2u)

Hi ho! Let's go!

[Raynor21]

1-3 lost big. Signature updated.

Moneyline Day!

Orlando Magic ML +145 (1u)
Golden State Warriors +125 (1u)

OC/Minn Under 215.5 (1u)