Memphis at Dallas

[CHAZ]

Dallas blows out bad teams when they are at home. Pretty much the same way as Orlando does as you can see from last night and then Dallas the night before. Plus, Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph will be out.

Is -11 to much or not enough?

or

[demens]

The 2 guys i follow jumped on this the second it came out (for Memph). Reasoning is that team missing players usually plays better then expected. I'm not really sold on it, will give it some more thought.

[antithesis]

lets check how many times Dallas blown out their opponents last year

[demens]

lets check how many times Dallas blown out their opponents last year

Hmm, thats pretty interesting. Actually only 5 home wins over 11 points. Thats pretty surprising off the top of my head. I actually wanted to jump on this right away after that the problem is that 3 of them came in their 1st 3 games. Hmmm. Also 2 of those are vs Memph))))).

Dallas ppg in the Div. 103-100.
Home ppg 102-100 (holy shit).
vs Memph 101-96
vs <.500 105-99

Grizz without Gasol
5-8 last year. Not bad, problem is that 6/8 losses were by 11+ (including 1 to Dallas), the other 2 by 9 and 10.
vs Play-off team 100-104

[linedrivr]

Dallas rarely covered against any team last year at home. I would be careful here if you are taking Dallas.

[demens]

Dallas rarely covered against any team last year at home. I would be careful here if you are taking Dallas.

1 of those rare times happened to be vs the Grizz without Gasol

[jbatcha21]

yea Dallas was 2-9 ATS last year as double digit favorites and linesmakers take the injuries in to consideration when making the lines. This line would not be DAL -11 if Randolph and Gasol were playing. I'm staying away from this one.