nba season picks

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  • BL
    SBR MVP
    • 05-11-09
    • 4070

    #1331
    liking Bulls ML tonight
    Spurs were a 6.5 home fav in their last meeting and now 2 point road dog. Indication that Bulls are the play linewise as the low total points to a Bulls win aswell. But the real reason I am taking the Bulls is the matchup. Bulls have an edge here what resulted to a Bulls win in SA earlier last year and almost another win when they met again in SA. Bulls won 3 quarters but got hit hard in the third Q by the Spurs to lose that one. They could have come away with the win in that one aswell. Spurs are really tired now after being on the road since years (that's what it feels like) and should be looking forward to the Allstar-Break.
    Comment
    • BL
      SBR MVP
      • 05-11-09
      • 4070

      #1332
      may add another unit on that Olimpija - Maccabi Under as I like it a lot aswell.
      Comment
      • sweetjones55
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-07-09
        • 5257

        #1333
        Originally posted by BL
        liking Bulls ML tonight
        Spurs were a 6.5 home fav in their last meeting and now 2 point road dog. Indication that Bulls are the play linewise as the low total points to a Bulls win aswell. But the real reason I am taking the Bulls is the matchup. Bulls have an edge here what resulted to a Bulls win in SA earlier this year and almost a second win when they met again in SA. Bulls won 3 quarters but got hit hard in the third Q by the Spurs to lose that one. They could have come away with the win in that one aswell. Spurs are really tired now after being on the road since years (that's what it feels like) and should be looking forward to the Allstar-Break.
        Remember Boozer did not play in their first matchup. When you flip a game from away to home that's 6 points. Add in 2 points for Boozer playing this time and the line is pretty much equivalent as when Bulls were on the road.
        Scared money don't make money

        182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
        37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
        Comment
        • BL
          SBR MVP
          • 05-11-09
          • 4070

          #1334
          Originally posted by sweetjones55
          Remember Boozer did not play in their first matchup. When you flip a game from away to home that's 6 points. Add in 2 points for Boozer playing this time and the line is pretty much equivalent as when Bulls were on the road.
          i missed that point but I do think the line would have been even higher in their last meeting if linesmaker expected Spurs to get the best NBA team.
          Spurs are 6-1 ATS as a 0,5-3 point dog but Bulls are a good homefav aswell, 4-1 SU (! not ATS) as a 0,5-3 point homefav
          Comment
          • BL
            SBR MVP
            • 05-11-09
            • 4070

            #1335
            But man I may like the UNDER in that game even more. Chicago is 6-15 for the over on 1 day rest, Spurs 3-8 on 2 days rest. The low total points to a under play aswell.
            Comment
            • sweetjones55
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-07-09
              • 5257

              #1336
              Originally posted by BL
              But man I may like the UNDER in that game even more. Chicago is 6-15 for the over on 1 day rest, Spurs 3-8 on 2 days rest. The low total points to a under play aswell.
              I would definitely agree the UNDER is the play, picking a side in this game is tough. Chicago is probably the best home team in the NBA this year but SA is playing the best basketball overall this year.
              Scared money don't make money

              182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
              37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
              Comment
              • Zzapper
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-22-10
                • 401

                #1337
                Originally posted by BL
                may add another unit on that Olimpija - Maccabi Under as I like it a lot aswell.
                total moved down to 153.5 @ the Greek. still good?
                Comment
                • BL
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-11-09
                  • 4070

                  #1338
                  you are right SJ. thanks for the heads up may pass on a side and simply throw some on the total. Like Dallas in the late game but don't know if its the best to bet them right before the allstarbreak
                  Comment
                  • BL
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-11-09
                    • 4070

                    #1339
                    Originally posted by Zzapper
                    total moved down to 153.5 @ the Greek. still good?
                    wow what a move with the public on the over for sure. But it's still good! I may book another unit now until my local adjusts the line he still has 155,5
                    Comment
                    • Zzapper
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-22-10
                      • 401

                      #1340
                      thanks Bl and good luck!
                      Comment
                      • BL
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-11-09
                        • 4070

                        #1341
                        Originally posted by BL
                        Euroleague

                        Efes Pilsen - Real Madrid UNDER 145,5 (2x)

                        In their previous meeting the scored 175 points with an opening total of 145,5 points. Today the linesmaker didn't adjust the line a bit. For a good reason IMO. Last game went way over because the defensive effort hasnt been what it used to be with these teams involved. There were tons of second chance points and fastbreak points off turnovers. Todays match is too important so we won't see the same again. I expect a game played posession for posession with tough defense. Reals coach said "If we want to have a chance to win the game, it will be very important to play good defense and control the rebounds." Thornton (Efes): "We have to be careful on defense".
                        I predict a 70-63 kind of score



                        Olimpija - Maccabi Tel Aviv UNDER 155,5 (1x)

                        Previous meeting ended 104-67. Todays game will be totally different. Olimpija only has a shot if they don't let Maccabi start their run&gun style. They will try to slow the game down and dictate the pace. Maccabi will be fine playing a slower game aswell as their coach stated "as far as tactics, we will respond according to how the game is played."
                        Olimpija - Maccabi Tel Aviv UNDER 155,5 is (2x) now aswell
                        Comment
                        • goompirsin
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 07-19-10
                          • 237

                          #1342
                          thank you for today plays.
                          Comment
                          • BL
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-11-09
                            • 4070

                            #1343
                            try to get this line, nothing under 206 !

                            Suns/Mavs UNDER 207,5 (4x)

                            F*CK it I am pounding the under! I do think this one is ending in the low 190s. If you don't get a line higher thatn 206 play it at lower stakes.
                            Comment
                            • flyer1179
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-11-10
                              • 136

                              #1344
                              Mind if I ask why you like the under so much? Just curious as to your point of view.

                              Best play in this game from what I can see is PHO TT O102. They've scored 102 or more points in 5 of the last 6 games. In the last 5 games Dallas is giving up on average 103.8 points. Seems like the Suns should be able to get to this number easily.

                              Again, this is just my view, and I am admittedly still a little new to NBA wagering, just wanted your opinion on the game. Thanks.
                              Comment
                              • BL
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-11-09
                                • 4070

                                #1345
                                flyer don't look at offensive numbers when betting totals. It's the defensive numbers you have to look at. Dallas is only allowing 96.2 ppg on the road.
                                This is the lowest total for this matchup in the last 3 years. It's simply because Suns are playing improved defense. On the road Suns average 97.5 posessions per game, Dallas only 92.9 on the road. That are only 190 combined. As long as both teams don't shoot out lights today at 50+ % this should stay under comfortable.
                                Comment
                                • BL
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-11-09
                                  • 4070

                                  #1346
                                  Originally posted by BL
                                  Euroleague

                                  Efes Pilsen - Real Madrid UNDER 145,5 (2x)

                                  In their previous meeting the scored 175 points with an opening total of 145,5 points. Today the linesmaker didn't adjust the line a bit. For a good reason IMO. Last game went way over because the defensive effort hasnt been what it used to be with these teams involved. There were tons of second chance points and fastbreak points off turnovers. Todays match is too important so we won't see the same again. I expect a game played posession for posession with tough defense. Reals coach said "If we want to have a chance to win the game, it will be very important to play good defense and control the rebounds." Thornton (Efes): "We have to be careful on defense".
                                  I predict a 70-63 kind of score
                                  77-60 FT ! Winner
                                  Comment
                                  • Hawk007
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 2492

                                    #1347
                                    I think public hammers the over here...but, went ahead and bought .5 to get 207.

                                    Let's bring in this last euro game. Good call on the first one BL.
                                    NCAA Basketball
                                    '08-'09 (12-8) 60%
                                    '09-'10 (63-46) 58%
                                    WNBA
                                    '10 (45-29) 64%
                                    CFL
                                    '10 (20-18)
                                    NCAAF
                                    '10 (16-7)
                                    Comment
                                    • flyer1179
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-11-10
                                      • 136

                                      #1348
                                      Thanks for the info BL, and BOL on your plays tonight!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • BL
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-11-09
                                        • 4070

                                        #1349
                                        Originally posted by BL
                                        Olimpija - Maccabi Tel Aviv UNDER 155,5 is (2x) now aswell
                                        83-62 FT another winner makes it 2-0 +4 units in Euroleague today !
                                        Comment
                                        • BL
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-11-09
                                          • 4070

                                          #1350
                                          Eurohoopz: 34-20 (63%) +15.5 units
                                          Comment
                                          • leafsfan19
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-10-10
                                            • 620

                                            #1351
                                            thanks for the pickaroos today
                                            Comment
                                            • Zzapper
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 09-22-10
                                              • 401

                                              #1352
                                              Euro winners to start the day off positive BL great job!
                                              Comment
                                              • BL
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-11-09
                                                • 4070

                                                #1353
                                                Originally posted by BL
                                                try to get this line, nothing under 206 !

                                                Suns/Mavs UNDER 207,5 (4x)

                                                F*CK it I am pounding the under! I do think this one is ending in the low 190s. If you don't get a line higher thatn 206 play it at lower stakes.
                                                Added play as stated before:

                                                Bulls ML (1x)

                                                Got this at -123 ! my thoughts on this one posted earlier today in here. I like how thegreek is holding the spread at -2 and hilton juicing the ML line to -135.
                                                Comment
                                                • PRiiMO
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-24-11
                                                  • 565

                                                  #1354
                                                  BL biiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiig on the euro picks earlier

                                                  play on playah
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PRiiMO
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-24-11
                                                    • 565

                                                    #1355
                                                    BL

                                                    hey bro do you have any Euro ball plays out tonite for tomorrow??? i have court all day and wont be able to catch em in the am
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PRiiMO
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 01-24-11
                                                      • 565

                                                      #1356
                                                      BL

                                                      hey bro do you have any Euro ball plays out tonite for tomorrow??? i have court all day and wont be able to catch em in the am
                                                      Comment
                                                      • leafsfan19
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-10-10
                                                        • 620

                                                        #1357
                                                        damn nowitski was killin it tonight
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BL
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-11-09
                                                          • 4070

                                                          #1358
                                                          just got up from sleep... what happened in the 3Q in hPhoenix? That one high scoring Q killed the under
                                                          after going 2-0 +4u in Eurohoopz I will go 1-1 -3,4u in NBA

                                                          no eurohoopz tomorrow, priimo
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BL
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-11-09
                                                            • 4070

                                                            #1359
                                                            NBA SEASON 123-87 (58,5%) +20,08 units

                                                            rough 2 days before Allstar Break. Taking the break and bouncing back big!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LordCC
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 01-28-11
                                                              • 417

                                                              #1360
                                                              It is a long season that is for sure, but it will be nice to have a break & re-fuel. There should be some great games in the 2nd half of the season.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BL
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-11-09
                                                                • 4070

                                                                #1361
                                                                For Sure, Lord ! Looking to make a killing in the 2H !

                                                                For the Allstar game I will be on the 1H over for sure
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BL
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-11-09
                                                                  • 4070

                                                                  #1362
                                                                  ALL STAR GAME

                                                                  Allstar Game OVER 265,5 (1x)

                                                                  Nobrainer! Let's do this
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kobefanatic
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-19-10
                                                                    • 9013

                                                                    #1363
                                                                    like the over as well good luck
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • goompirsin
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 07-19-10
                                                                      • 237

                                                                      #1364
                                                                      with you: Over seems sure!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BL
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-11-09
                                                                        • 4070

                                                                        #1365
                                                                        let's get this! having beaten the closer for sure
                                                                        Comment
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