The Man from oz Basketball # Picks Thread

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  • himeshforex
    Restricted User
    • 05-29-09
    • 1414

    #176
    maybe we should try other forums as well , like statfox , rxforum , covers , etc ... if u dont get a response in a couple of days let me know , ill post it up in other forums ..
    Comment
    • himeshforex
      Restricted User
      • 05-29-09
      • 1414

      #177
      added play alert :

      CHICAGO BULLS ML (2 UNITS)
      Comment
      • jolmscheid
        Restricted User
        • 02-20-10
        • 3256

        #178
        Thanks a lot Himesh...I really appreciate your help...
        Comment
        • kimbollmark
          Restricted User
          • 07-23-10
          • 231

          #179
          great calls: a perfect 4-0. Congrats
          Comment
          • kimbollmark
            Restricted User
            • 07-23-10
            • 231

            #180
            I'd like give you some points, but it isn't active!!!
            Comment
            • Smiley
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-08-10
              • 378

              #181
              any leans for tom games?
              Comment
              • himeshforex
                Restricted User
                • 05-29-09
                • 1414

                #182
                Originally posted by kimbollmark
                I'd like give you some points, but it isn't active!!!


                points are always welcome, im always blowing away mine in absurd plays !!

                hope u cashed in

                cheers
                Comment
                • himeshforex
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-29-09
                  • 1414

                  #183
                  Originally posted by Smiley
                  any leans for tom games?
                  plays will be up shortly

                  plays i like... mostly i parlay em !!
                  Comment
                  • himeshforex
                    Restricted User
                    • 05-29-09
                    • 1414

                    #184
                    yesterday
                    4-0
                    +20.5 units

                    ytd
                    61-37
                    +58 units
                    Comment
                    • himeshforex
                      Restricted User
                      • 05-29-09
                      • 1414

                      #185
                      Originally posted by Charlieflip
                      You were more like 7-0, incredible results, congrats mate.
                      thnx mate... hope to keep it rollin !!
                      Comment
                      • SolidDala
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-14-09
                        • 1696

                        #186
                        Jolm, have some stats for you in mlb, its not what you have on the list but interesting nonetheless:

                        Dogs range 151 to 175: We get an avg odds line at 162 or implied win% of 38.2% to beat, from 2000-2006 with 684 games as sample size the real line for full game sits at +149 a winrate of 40.1%, the FF is even better at +132 and 43.1% and this is the angle I will be trying next season, have stats from 2007-2009 with this as well cause I was curious and it was profitable every season with an similar winrate

                        This is the only profitable angle when betting blindly on lines in mlb from a +16,000 sample size, the rest are pretty right down on the number with no edge.
                        Comment
                        • himeshforex
                          Restricted User
                          • 05-29-09
                          • 1414

                          #187
                          todays plays

                          chicago bulls + miami heat ml (5 units)
                          boston celtics + chicago bulls ml (2 units)
                          dallas + houston + atlanta ml (1 unit)
                          Comment
                          • SolidDala
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-14-09
                            • 1696

                            #188
                            have the dog line you want btw, but for 2000-2006:

                            101-125: (avg line 112 and implied win% 47.1% to beat): +110, 47.7% (same for FullGame and FirstFive) n=2610
                            126-150: (avg line 137 and implied win% 42.2% to beat): +134, 42.7% for FG and +129, 43.7% for FF n=1572
                            Comment
                            • SolidDala
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-14-09
                              • 1696

                              #189
                              BOL today Himesh
                              Comment
                              • himeshforex
                                Restricted User
                                • 05-29-09
                                • 1414

                                #190
                                interesting numbers SolidDala ... keep em coming !!
                                Comment
                                • jolmscheid
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-20-10
                                  • 3256

                                  #191
                                  Wow awesome SolidDala...so what you are saying is to blindly bet ALL Dogs of +131 to +175 for MLB? Am I reading your stats correct?
                                  Comment
                                  • jolmscheid
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-20-10
                                    • 3256

                                    #192
                                    Keep it rollin' Himesh...by the way on some parlays, if there is a chance to hedge on some of them if they start at different times, would you say to go ahead and hedge them?? Or do you let them ride?? which is better long term?thanks!
                                    Comment
                                    • himeshforex
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 05-29-09
                                      • 1414

                                      #193
                                      jolm ... i suggest hedging the other team only 'in play' and not before the game ...once they are in a decent lead you can hedge them at low odds ...but do u have that facility in matchbook ? we do have betfair here for in play , or perhaps u can do it with some online bookie

                                      anyways i dont hedge , i just let it run, the above suggestion is for you !!
                                      Comment
                                      • himeshforex
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-29-09
                                        • 1414

                                        #194
                                        Comment
                                        • jolmscheid
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 02-20-10
                                          • 3256

                                          #195
                                          Hey Himesh...can I ask as to how you arrive at some of your plays to parlay and how much to put on them? I mean, I am ASSUMING you are into the Forex stuff, and so I bet you apply some of that knowledge to your sports betting....just want to be able to get some insight as to how you pick your plays and how you know how much to bet them for.....just wanna learn..ha ha...thanks Himesh
                                          Comment
                                          • himeshforex
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 05-29-09
                                            • 1414

                                            #196
                                            anotther smash day folks !!
                                            Comment
                                            • himeshforex
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 05-29-09
                                              • 1414

                                              #197
                                              Originally posted by himeshforex
                                              todays plays

                                              chicago bulls + miami heat ml (5 units)
                                              boston celtics + chicago bulls ml (2 units)
                                              dallas + houston + atlanta ml (1 unit)
                                              another 7-0 day back to day

                                              oops
                                              technically 3-0
                                              Comment
                                              • kimbollmark
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 07-23-10
                                                • 231

                                                #198
                                                Congrats: 3-0. Here another capper went 7-0, really
                                                Comment
                                                • himeshforex
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 05-29-09
                                                  • 1414

                                                  #199
                                                  yesterday
                                                  7-0
                                                  +9.1 units

                                                  ytd
                                                  64-37
                                                  +67.1 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • himeshforex
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 05-29-09
                                                    • 1414

                                                    #200
                                                    todays plays
                                                    la lakers + oklahama city thunder ml (5 units)
                                                    la lakers + orlando magic ml (2 units)
                                                    new jersey nets +9 (2 units)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jolmscheid
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 02-20-10
                                                      • 3256

                                                      #201
                                                      Let's keep it rollin Himesh!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • curious
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 07-20-07
                                                        • 9093

                                                        #202
                                                        MLB Angles: Playing all underdogs of +150 or less

                                                        This is terrible to do it straight up. Straight up among all qualifying teams for the last 3 years =:
                                                        SU: 1992-2436 average line: +121 / -131 on / against: -$4,938 / -$15,063 ROI: -1.1% / -2.6%

                                                        Now, if you do this only for certain teams I think you have something. Here are the specs per team over last 3 years.

                                                        Bet with any team over 0 in $W column and bet against any team under 0 in $W column.

                                                        By team:
                                                        Legend
                                                        # = number of games
                                                        W-L = Win - Loss
                                                        $W = Amount won if you bet $100 on this team on each qualifying game
                                                        $L = Amount loss if you bet to win $100 on the other team on each qualifying game
                                                        Team = Name of team

                                                        # W-L $W $L Team
                                                        141 76-65 * 2475 -3235 Angels
                                                        113 62-51 * 2100 -2730 Phillies
                                                        104 57-47 * 2035 -2615 Rays
                                                        163 81-82 * 1485 -2335 Reds
                                                        182 89-93 * 1278 -2188 Rangers
                                                        114 57-57 * 1076 -1647 Braves
                                                        169 81-88 * 990 -1790 Astros
                                                        149 72-77 * 865 -1585 White Sox
                                                        127 62-65 * 768 -1388 Dodgers
                                                        115 57-58 * 760 -1330 Cardinals
                                                        100 48-52 * 540 -1015 Red Sox
                                                        180 84-96 * 540 -1380 Giants
                                                        142 66-76 * 100 -760 Mets
                                                        171 76-95 * 45 -800 Orioles
                                                        128 59-69 * 0 -600 Rockies
                                                        86 40-46 * -80 -320 Yankees
                                                        171 76-95 * -205 -550 Indians
                                                        168 75-93 * -395 -355 Blue Jays
                                                        145 63-82 * -532 -98 Brewers
                                                        172 74-98 * -590 -150 Royals
                                                        166 72-94 * -705 -15 Padres
                                                        191 84-107 * -730 -120 Marlins
                                                        110 47-63 * -740 270 Cubs
                                                        161 69-92 * -945 255 Twins
                                                        185 76-109 * -1696 938 Athletics
                                                        135 51-84 * -2219 1712 Tigers
                                                        177 69-108 * -2283 1593 Pirates
                                                        160 61-99 * -2420 1810 Nationals
                                                        160 60-100 * -2680 2080 Mariners
                                                        143 48-95 * -3775 3285 Diamondbacks
                                                        Comment
                                                        • curious
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 07-20-07
                                                          • 9093

                                                          #203
                                                          Playing UNDER on all totals >= 10.5 runs

                                                          Not a good idea. This is for the last 3 years. Assumes you bet to win $100 per game if odds negative or risked $100 when odds positive.

                                                          O/U: 356-362-16 average total: 10.8
                                                          over / under: -$4,590 / -$3,160
                                                          ROI: -5.7% / -3.9%
                                                          Comment
                                                          • himeshforex
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 05-29-09
                                                            • 1414

                                                            #204
                                                            thanx for the inputs curios
                                                            Comment
                                                            • himeshforex
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 05-29-09
                                                              • 1414

                                                              #205
                                                              another smash day folks !! 3-0 again
                                                              Comment
                                                              • himeshforex
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 05-29-09
                                                                • 1414

                                                                #206
                                                                well charlie ... i dont know if im truly talented or plain lucky tbh ... but im having a ball !!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • himeshforex
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 05-29-09
                                                                  • 1414

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Originally posted by himeshforex
                                                                  todays plays
                                                                  la lakers + oklahama city thunder ml (5 units) - win
                                                                  la lakers + orlando magic ml (2 units) - win
                                                                  new jersey nets +9 (2 units) - win
                                                                  yesterday
                                                                  3-0
                                                                  +9 units

                                                                  ytd
                                                                  67-37
                                                                  +76.1 units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • taggressive
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 10-30-10
                                                                    • 75

                                                                    #208
                                                                    congrats mate, nice results for you.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • himeshforex
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 05-29-09
                                                                      • 1414

                                                                      #209
                                                                      todays play

                                                                      chicago + dallas + utah ml (3 units)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • himeshforex
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 05-29-09
                                                                        • 1414

                                                                        #210
                                                                        thanks !!
                                                                        Comment
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