maybe we should try other forums as well , like statfox , rxforum , covers , etc ... if u dont get a response in a couple of days let me know , ill post it up in other forums ..
The Man from oz Basketball # Picks Thread
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himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#176Comment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#177added play alert :
CHICAGO BULLS ML (2 UNITS)Comment -
jolmscheidRestricted User
- 02-20-10
- 3256
#178Thanks a lot Himesh...I really appreciate your help...Comment -
kimbollmarkRestricted User
- 07-23-10
- 231
#179great calls: a perfect 4-0. CongratsComment -
kimbollmarkRestricted User
- 07-23-10
- 231
#180I'd like give you some points, but it isn't active!!!Comment -
SmileySBR Sharp
- 12-08-10
- 378
#181any leans for tom games?Comment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#182Originally posted by kimbollmarkI'd like give you some points, but it isn't active!!!
points are always welcome, im always blowing away mine in absurd plays !!
hope u cashed in
cheersComment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#183Originally posted by Smileyany leans for tom games?
plays i like... mostly i parlay em !!Comment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#184yesterday
4-0
+20.5 units
ytd
61-37
+58 unitsComment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#185Originally posted by CharlieflipYou were more like 7-0, incredible results, congrats mate.Comment -
SolidDalaSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 1696
#186Jolm, have some stats for you in mlb, its not what you have on the list but interesting nonetheless:
Dogs range 151 to 175: We get an avg odds line at 162 or implied win% of 38.2% to beat, from 2000-2006 with 684 games as sample size the real line for full game sits at +149 a winrate of 40.1%, the FF is even better at +132 and 43.1% and this is the angle I will be trying next season, have stats from 2007-2009 with this as well cause I was curious and it was profitable every season with an similar winrate
This is the only profitable angle when betting blindly on lines in mlb from a +16,000 sample size, the rest are pretty right down on the number with no edge.Comment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#187todays plays
chicago bulls + miami heat ml (5 units)
boston celtics + chicago bulls ml (2 units)
dallas + houston + atlanta ml (1 unit)Comment -
SolidDalaSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 1696
#188have the dog line you want btw, but for 2000-2006:
101-125: (avg line 112 and implied win% 47.1% to beat): +110, 47.7% (same for FullGame and FirstFive) n=2610
126-150: (avg line 137 and implied win% 42.2% to beat): +134, 42.7% for FG and +129, 43.7% for FF n=1572Comment -
SolidDalaSBR MVP
- 12-14-09
- 1696
#189BOL today HimeshComment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#190interesting numbers SolidDala ... keep em coming !!Comment -
jolmscheidRestricted User
- 02-20-10
- 3256
#191Wow awesome SolidDala...so what you are saying is to blindly bet ALL Dogs of +131 to +175 for MLB? Am I reading your stats correct?Comment -
jolmscheidRestricted User
- 02-20-10
- 3256
#192Keep it rollin' Himesh...by the way on some parlays, if there is a chance to hedge on some of them if they start at different times, would you say to go ahead and hedge them?? Or do you let them ride?? which is better long term?thanks!Comment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#193jolm ... i suggest hedging the other team only 'in play' and not before the game ...once they are in a decent lead you can hedge them at low odds ...but do u have that facility in matchbook ? we do have betfair here for in play , or perhaps u can do it with some online bookie
anyways i dont hedge , i just let it run, the above suggestion is for you !!Comment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#194Comment -
jolmscheidRestricted User
- 02-20-10
- 3256
#195Hey Himesh...can I ask as to how you arrive at some of your plays to parlay and how much to put on them? I mean, I am ASSUMING you are into the Forex stuff, and so I bet you apply some of that knowledge to your sports betting....just want to be able to get some insight as to how you pick your plays and how you know how much to bet them for.....just wanna learn..ha ha...thanks HimeshComment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#196anotther smash day folks !!Comment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#197Originally posted by himeshforextodays plays
chicago bulls + miami heat ml (5 units)
boston celtics + chicago bulls ml (2 units)
dallas + houston + atlanta ml (1 unit)
oops
technically 3-0
Comment -
kimbollmarkRestricted User
- 07-23-10
- 231
#198Congrats: 3-0. Here another capper went 7-0, reallyComment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#199yesterday
7-0
+9.1 units
ytd
64-37
+67.1 unitsComment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#200todays plays
la lakers + oklahama city thunder ml (5 units)
la lakers + orlando magic ml (2 units)
new jersey nets +9 (2 units)Comment -
jolmscheidRestricted User
- 02-20-10
- 3256
#201Let's keep it rollin Himesh!Comment -
curiousRestricted User
- 07-20-07
- 9093
#202MLB Angles: Playing all underdogs of +150 or less
This is terrible to do it straight up. Straight up among all qualifying teams for the last 3 years =:
SU: 1992-2436 average line: +121 / -131 on / against: -$4,938 / -$15,063 ROI: -1.1% / -2.6%
Now, if you do this only for certain teams I think you have something. Here are the specs per team over last 3 years.
Bet with any team over 0 in $W column and bet against any team under 0 in $W column.
By team:
Legend
# = number of games
W-L = Win - Loss
$W = Amount won if you bet $100 on this team on each qualifying game
$L = Amount loss if you bet to win $100 on the other team on each qualifying game
Team = Name of team
# W-L $W $L Team
141 76-65 * 2475 -3235 Angels
113 62-51 * 2100 -2730 Phillies
104 57-47 * 2035 -2615 Rays
163 81-82 * 1485 -2335 Reds
182 89-93 * 1278 -2188 Rangers
114 57-57 * 1076 -1647 Braves
169 81-88 * 990 -1790 Astros
149 72-77 * 865 -1585 White Sox
127 62-65 * 768 -1388 Dodgers
115 57-58 * 760 -1330 Cardinals
100 48-52 * 540 -1015 Red Sox
180 84-96 * 540 -1380 Giants
142 66-76 * 100 -760 Mets
171 76-95 * 45 -800 Orioles
128 59-69 * 0 -600 Rockies
86 40-46 * -80 -320 Yankees
171 76-95 * -205 -550 Indians
168 75-93 * -395 -355 Blue Jays
145 63-82 * -532 -98 Brewers
172 74-98 * -590 -150 Royals
166 72-94 * -705 -15 Padres
191 84-107 * -730 -120 Marlins
110 47-63 * -740 270 Cubs
161 69-92 * -945 255 Twins
185 76-109 * -1696 938 Athletics
135 51-84 * -2219 1712 Tigers
177 69-108 * -2283 1593 Pirates
160 61-99 * -2420 1810 Nationals
160 60-100 * -2680 2080 Mariners
143 48-95 * -3775 3285 DiamondbacksComment -
curiousRestricted User
- 07-20-07
- 9093
#203Playing UNDER on all totals >= 10.5 runs
Not a good idea. This is for the last 3 years. Assumes you bet to win $100 per game if odds negative or risked $100 when odds positive.
O/U: 356-362-16 average total: 10.8
over / under: -$4,590 / -$3,160
ROI: -5.7% / -3.9%Comment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#204thanx for the inputs curiosComment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#205another smash day folks !! 3-0 againComment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#206well charlie ... i dont know if im truly talented or plain lucky tbh ... but im having a ball !!!Comment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#207Originally posted by himeshforextodays plays
la lakers + oklahama city thunder ml (5 units) - win
la lakers + orlando magic ml (2 units) - win
new jersey nets +9 (2 units) - win
3-0
+9 units
ytd
67-37
+76.1 unitsComment -
taggressiveSBR Hustler
- 10-30-10
- 75
#208congrats mate, nice results for you.Comment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#209todays play
chicago + dallas + utah ml (3 units)Comment -
himeshforexRestricted User
- 05-29-09
- 1414
#210thanks !!Comment
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