128- Knicks -1.5 -108 1.5U
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Jamal Crawford and JJ... those guys always bury me one way or another.Comment -
Knicks sucks butcheeks today ...Comment -
129- Grizz -1 -104 3U
130- Heat +2.5 -110 3U
131- Nets ML +101 3U
132- Bucks -3.5 -105 3U
Those plays tonight mean a lot. They are gonna decide the course I'm gonna take the next few weeks.
I already got some notes I have done daily that I'll release on Monday.
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Great picks!!! Don't like Bucks much though.
BOL.Comment -
Charlotte can keep games close but they haven't been able to close them. I thought this line would be -5, Wil.Originally posted by Wilforth
Good luck on your plays.Comment -
cant wait for the notes those plays look pretty solid except for the nets. bucks have been struggling big time but they are hard to beat on Sat nights at home.Originally posted by Pauulzcappin129- Grizz -1 -104 3U
130- Heat +2.5 -110 3U
131- Nets ML +101 3U
132- Bucks -3.5 -105 3U
Those plays tonight mean a lot. They are gonna decide the course I'm gonna take the next few weeks.
I already got some notes I have done daily that I'll release on Monday.
Here is some points for your furue efforts for the notesCause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
arent those all of dexters A1 plays for todayComment -
Yep. I have used them also throughout the season.
This was a very bad week but I'll not give up, might have to lower units a bit more and stick with the basics.
I have gathered enough data to do better than that.Comment -
You should play 1st quarters, especially tomorrow with the lakers.Comment -
Probably my only play tomorrowOriginally posted by JOHON8Comment -
Great week
Be back tomorrowComment -
Paul, you don't like the Hawks or Knicks tomorrow?Comment -
You really shouldn't be listening my advice right now, I'm ice cold.Comment -
133- Pistons -1.5 -110 2UComment -
good luck paul. Looking to bounce back from a 1-6 day last time
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0-5 yesterday dropping 14 unitsOriginally posted by ROFLcopter good luck paul. Looking to bounce back from a 1-6 day last time Comment -
Paul, do you look at sbr odds at the end of the day to see how the lines compared to the results? Seems the dogs are covering and winning a lot.Comment -
Covers has the season trends for percentages of dogs/favs covering...Originally posted by 8ArIvd5Comment -
This is becoming a joke nowComment -
134- Jazz 2nd half -5.5 -113 3U
Fade it!Comment -
135- Lakers 1stQ -3 -125 3U
136- Lakers 1st half -5 -105 2U
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My point, exactly. They have dogs covering at 61.18%. Hitting at a 55% rate is a profitable season given proper money management. I was considering playing every dog every day but felt it would make me too vulnerable. Now I only play dogs or teams that opened as dogs and became favorites (Atlanta today).Originally posted by PauulzcappinComment -
I think it'll even out throughout the season, they were hitting at 63% in the 1st two weeksOriginally posted by 8ArIvd5Comment -
This is my first season so I can't predict how it'll end, but if it changes I hope I catch on before my money gets taken away.Originally posted by PauulzcappinComment -
I swear to god Jazz is only a 2nd half team. I thought losing to the Lakers in the 1st half was just because of the Lakers. But losing to Clippers as well, then coming back in the 2nd with 20 point margin win?!Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
There's something going on, remmember fading Utah 1st quarter/half, and pounding their ML/2nd half bet. gotta remember this.Comment -
Yea, I have a few notes on this alsoOriginally posted by JOHON8
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Week 5 10-18 -21.32
YTD 63-70 -16.56U
Hit a rough patch but I'm not worried, be back later with some notes...Comment -
Bobcats - 3-11 when allowing 90 points on more, 3-0 when doesn't, very good defense but is worse than last year. missing chandler and felton really affected. struggles against teams with good pg and a scoring PF
Orlando - 3-pt game not as sharp as last year, wins 70% of the games when howard not in foul trouble, fade machine ats on the road so far, might even out soon.
Atlanta - pretenders at home, road warriors. fade as a fav, pound as a dog. when jamal crawford scores well off the bench they most likely win. undersized team with bigs that play good def, problems with fast pgs, bibby doesn't have the legs anymore.
Miami - One of the worse teams ATS , no inside defensive game but should be clicking in 2nd half when healthy, might be a good idea to keep fading. arroyo one of the worse starting pgs on the league, needs mike miller back to make an impact with inside-out driving game
Detroit - when players not only thinking about stats = great results. 3-1 when 25+ assists, 3-10 when less. undervalued because of locker room distractions but might make a playoff run. t-mac might be difference maker off the bench once 100% healthy. one of the best teams ATS on the league
Chicago - one of the best ATS in the league, great on covering on the road, undervalued because of no boozer, might be a good 2nd half fade once he's back, korver underperforming, noah overloaded on the glass
Milwaukee - Not clicking like the 2nd half of last season, misses delfino and needs salmons to step up like last year. Might be a 2nd half team again
Boston - Like most experienced teams, home fade and road pound. 2-5 @ home, 6-2 away ATS. Shaq still very dominant besides age, good inside game
NY - Team playing actually better than most expected, wilson chandler very underrated, great player off the bench. usually wins when amare isn't in foul trouble. landry fields doing ok but azubuike back.
Phila - had more expectations about this team, evan turner off to a slow start. one of the best unders team so far
Utah - Started way better than I expected, al jefferson was a great fit, will fight for top 4 seed with spurs, lakers, hornets, mavs and MAYBE OKC. usually plays very bad 1st halves and very good 2nd halves.
OKC - Not as good as everyone expected, but doing well so far. Westbrook taking too many shots might hurt team. fade as a fav, pound as a dog. 3-9/5-0.
Lakers - OFF to a good start but already slowing down as expected, gasol sometimes struggles at the glass when odom fades. needs bynum back asap.
Kings - Needs to find offensive solutions and cut down on turnovers, like Utah bad 1st half team. One of the worse teams ATS.
Spurs - Great team hitting at a outstanding 5-1 ATS away, linesmakers setting low lines for their totals so far, 11-5 for the over. Manu very underrated come clutch time. Duncan not looking good this year, Parker the opposite.
Hornets - Good ATS team as a dog, relies a lot on David West as a scorer, has trouble winning when he's guarded by a good defensive player.
Mavs - Same old story as Boston, experienced team that's great on the road and a home fade. struggles to win when nowitzki takes too many shots, jason terry great scoring help off the bench with 3s especially.
Not everything is formed as sentence since they are just notes, I'd appreciate any feedback regarding errors or something that might wanna be added.
I also don't have notes from all the teams.
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137- Rockets +9 -110 2U
I like Hornets also but not playing it.
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Great stuff Paul
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oh man. The bad beats never stop.Comment -
Take Spurs tonight!Comment -
Celtics 1Q.Comment -
Meh, I feel massive burial tonight.Comment
