Basketball Parlay of the Day Contest - Tuesday, 2/5/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Basketball Parlay of the Day Contest - Tuesday, 2/5/08
    Listen up, basketball experts. Starting Friday (Feb 1) we will commence with the February Hoops Parlay Contest with the monthly grand prize a 22” widescreen LCD monitor. The rules are simple:

    1. Check in the NBA BASKETBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Posted spreads and totals are the only eligible plays for grading. Both NBA and NCAA games included.

    3. Two-game parlay picks, laying 10 to win 26. Post entire parlay at same time, no open parlays.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up, doesn’t have to be long, just a sentence or two about why you’re making your play. Here’s a THREAD from last year’s contest to be used for an example.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis for both games will be NO ACTION. Once your two-team parlay has been posted, you CANNOT change either play. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake (such as leaving out "Over" or "Under" or not clearly stating your selection), need to add analysis or wish to enter corrected lines, do so in a seperate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not tip off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not parlay selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts or congratulatory posts.

    6. And here’s the fine print:
    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per household and IP address.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one parlay pick per day, minimum 15 parlay plays needed to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker - Win % of individual parlay legs. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head parlay match until winner determined.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
    • Residents outside the Continental US may be awarded the cash value prize instead of the monitor.


  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       W/P     Units[/B]
    goldengoat    	3	0	1	87.00
    LLXC       	3	0	0	78.00
    awhitejackson	3	1	0	68.00
    MadCapper 	3	1	0	68.00
    uscfootball33	3	1	0	68.00
    sharktank1  	2	0	0	52.00
    pavyracer    	2	1	1	51.00
    louisvillekid  	2	1	0	42.00
    LT Profits	2	1	0	42.00
    stump      	1	0	1	35.00
    Deke101   	2	2	0	32.00
    Junkyard Dog	2	2	0	32.00
    xyzky     	2	2	0	32.00
    rugbybdyb  	1	1	1	25.00
    Augustus 	1	1	0	16.00
    B1GER1C828	1	1	0	16.00
    harsh506    	1	1	0	16.00
    Hounds    	1	1	0	16.00
    rake922      	1	1	0	16.00
    Ship It!    	1	1	0	16.00
    Cabo        	1	2	1	15.00
    Dark Horse	1	2	1	15.00
    rjt721      	0	0	1	9.00
    buztah      	1	2	0	6.00
    diogee    	1	2	0	6.00
    durito      	1	2	0	6.00
    palerider   	1	2	0	6.00
    VBOMBER  	1	2	0	6.00
    Kellen    	0	1	1	-1.00
    thezbar      	0	1	1	-1.00
    IHPuller   	1	3	0	-4.00
    ipickwinners 	1	3	0	-4.00
    maestrobobcobb	1	3	0	-4.00
    Miami2586 	1	3	0	-4.00
    myr10      	1	3	0	-4.00
    Wrigley     	1	3	0	-4.00
    brock      	0	1	0	-10.00
    ChuteBoxe  	0	1	0	-10.00
    freebie      	0	1	0	-10.00
    gizmo2431  	0	1	0	-10.00
    imgv94       	0	1	0	-10.00
    indy62      	0	1	0	-10.00
    Irish Lum'jack	0	1	0	-10.00
    jeffscds     	0	1	0	-10.00
    juuso      	0	1	0	-10.00
    MOONCRICKET	0	1	0	-10.00
    Nostradamus	0	1	0	-10.00
    OegNo    	0	1	0	-10.00
    Peyton2Marvin	0	1	0	-10.00
    picantel      	0	1	0	-10.00
    shady610 	0	1	0	-10.00
    tevari      	0	1	0	-10.00
    beaneaters 	0	2	0	-20.00
    bulldog3131	0	2	0	-20.00
    Data         	0	2	0	-20.00
    manly      	0	2	0	-20.00
    nevadaside  	0	2	0	-20.00
    PerfecTrader	0	2	0	-20.00
    regularguy  	0	2	0	-20.00
    louisvillekid1	0	3	0	-30.00
    Mr KLC      	0	3	0	-30.00
    msubulldog	0	3	0	-30.00
    pokernut9999	0	3	0	-30.00
    The HG      	0	3	0	-30.00
    20Four7     	0	4	0	-40.00
    charlie64  	0	4	0	-40.00
    McRich      	0	4	0	-40.00
    Poker Beast	0	4	0	-40.00
    
    
    GAME-BY-GAME 
    [B]Name            W       L       P        Pct[/B]
    goldengoat    	7	0	1	100.0%
    LLXC       	6	0	0	100.0%
    sharktank1  	4	0	0	100.0%
    stump      	3	0	1	100.0%
    rjt721      	1	0	1	100.0%
    MadCapper 	7	1	0	87.5%
    uscfootball33	7	1	0	87.5%
    pavyracer    	6	1	1	85.7%
    LT Profits	5	1	0	83.3%
    awhitejackson	6	2	0	75.0%
    Junkyard Dog	6	2	0	75.0%
    Augustus 	3	1	0	75.0%
    B1GER1C828	3	1	0	75.0%
    Hounds    	3	1	0	75.0%
    rake922      	3	1	0	75.0%
    Ship It!    	3	1	0	75.0%
    Cabo        	5	2	1	71.4%
    Dark Horse	5	2	1	71.4%
    louisvillekid  	4	2	0	66.7%
    Kellen    	2	1	1	66.7%
    Deke101   	5	3	0	62.5%
    xyzky     	5	3	0	62.5%
    rugbybdyb  	3	2	1	60.0%
    IHPuller   	4	3	1	57.1%
    ipickwinners 	4	3	1	57.1%
    maestrobobcobb	4	3	1	57.1%
    Miami2586 	4	4	0	50.0%
    myr10      	4	4	0	50.0%
    buztah      	3	3	0	50.0%
    durito      	3	3	0	50.0%
    palerider   	3	3	0	50.0%
    pokernut9999	3	3	0	50.0%
    VBOMBER  	3	3	0	50.0%
    harsh506    	2	2	0	50.0%
    freebie      	1	1	0	50.0%
    imgv94       	1	1	0	50.0%
    indy62      	1	1	0	50.0%
    Irish Lum'jack	1	1	0	50.0%
    jeffscds     	1	1	0	50.0%
    juuso      	1	1	0	50.0%
    MOONCRICKET	1	1	0	50.0%
    Nostradamus	1	1	0	50.0%
    OegNo    	1	1	0	50.0%
    tevari      	1	1	0	50.0%
    diogee    	2	3	1	40.0%
    charlie64  	3	5	0	37.5%
    Poker Beast	3	5	0	37.5%
    louisvillekid1	2	4	0	33.3%
    msubulldog	2	4	0	33.3%
    thezbar      	1	2	1	33.3%
    McRich      	2	5	1	28.6%
    20Four7     	2	6	0	25.0%
    Wrigley     	2	6	0	25.0%
    Data         	1	3	0	25.0%
    manly      	1	3	0	25.0%
    nevadaside  	1	3	0	25.0%
    PerfecTrader	1	3	0	25.0%
    beaneaters 	0	3	1	0.0%
    brock      	0	2	0	0.0%
    bulldog3131	0	4	0	0.0%
    ChuteBoxe  	0	2	0	0.0%
    gizmo2431  	0	2	0	0.0%
    Mr KLC      	0	5	1	0.0%
    Peyton2Marvin	0	1	1	0.0%
    picantel      	0	1	1	0.0%
    regularguy  	0	4	0	0.0%
    shady610 	0	2	0	0.0%
    The HG      	0	4	2	0.0%
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      NBA Basketball

      Tue 2/5 501 Boston Celtics +3 Over 184½
      7:05PM (EST) 502 Cleveland Cavaliers -3 Under 184½

      Tue 2/5 503 Washington Wizards -1½ Over 190
      7:05PM (EST) 504 Philadelphia 76ers +1½ Under 190

      Tue 2/5 505 San Antonio Spurs -5½ Over 194
      7:05PM (EST) 506 Indiana Pacers +5½ Under 194

      Tue 2/5 507 Los Angeles Lakers -7 Over 208½
      7:35PM (EST) 508 New Jersey Nets +7 Under 208½

      Tue 2/5 509 Milwaukee Bucks +4 Over 193
      8:05PM (EST) 510 Memphis Grizzlies -4 Under 193


      NCAA Basketball

      Tue 2/5 511 Virginia Tech +2½ Over 127
      7:00PM (EST) 512 NC State -2½ Under 127

      Tue 2/5 513 Michigan +14 Over 129
      7:00PM (EST) 514 Ohio State -14 Under 129

      Tue 2/5 515 South Florida +19½ Over 129
      7:30PM (EST) 516 Georgetown -19½ Under 129 -

      Tue 2/5 517 Depaul +7½ Over 149
      7:30PM (EST) 518 Providence -7½ Under 149

      Tue 2/5 519 Buffalo +2 Over 142½
      8:00PM (EST) 520 NO Illinois -2 Under 142½

      Tue 2/5 521 Indiana State +10½ Over 116
      8:00PM (EST) 522 SO Illinois -10½ Under 116

      Tue 2/5 523 Drake +3½ Over 132½
      8:00PM (EST) 524 Illinois State -3½ Under 132½

      Tue 2/5 525 UAB +1½ Over 133½
      8:00PM (EST) 526 So Mississippi -1½ Under 133½

      Tue 2/5 527 Texas A&M -6 Over 127
      8:00PM (EST) 528 Iowa State +6 Under 127

      Tue 2/5 529 Penn State +11½ Over 134½
      9:00PM (EST) 530 Purdue -11½ Under 134½

      Tue 2/5 531 Butler -3 Over 127
      9:00PM (EST) 532 Valparaiso +3 Under 127

      Tue 2/5 533 Florida +9½ Over 156
      9:00PM (EST) 534 Tennessee -9½ Under 156

      Tue 2/5 535 Northern Iowa +6½ Over 123
      9:00PM (EST) 536 Creighton -6½ Under 123

      Tue 2/5 537 Colorado State +16½ Over 138½
      10:00PM (EST) 538 New Mexico -16½ Under 138½

      Tue 2/5 539 Loyola Maryland +5½ Over 147½
      7:00PM (EST) 540 Niagara -5½ Under 147½
      Comment
      • MadCapper
        SBR MVP
        • 01-27-08
        • 4179

        #4
        passing today
        My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
        Comment
        • OegNo
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-13-08
          • 386

          #5
          lakers over 208
          lakers average over 105 and allow over 100 points every so often...with pau on their team, this scores gonna be at least 210+

          Mil +4
          just don't think memphis will do good at ALL tonite without their star player
          Comment
          • rugbybdyb
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-06-07
            • 997

            #6
            spurs -5 1/2 -- The line has moved since 5 1/2 posted significantly so Im going with this lower number and hoping they blow the pacers away.

            Net + 7 - They won on the road last time these two met and I think they should at least cover this at home.
            Comment
            • maestrobobcobb
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-29-07
              • 129

              #7
              Need a win bad: Let's try these tonight:

              Depaul: + 7.5 over Providence: Depaul 6-0 ATS on road and 6-3 ATS in conference play where as Providence is 4-5 ATS in conference

              Loyola MD + 5.5 over Niagra: Loyola 5-0 ATS last 5 games 8-1 ATS last 9 lined games with only loss against MAC leader
              Comment
              • harsh506
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-24-07
                • 489

                #8
                celtics +3
                Wiz -1.5

                I just think these lines seem too good. Im prob missing somthing, but owell i like them
                Comment
                • buztah
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-23-07
                  • 7470

                  #9
                  Spurs/Pacers under 194 1/2 as I expect the D to be applied tonight by SA.

                  Wizards/6ers over 190 -- looking for lots of O and a fast paced match.
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    LOYOLA-MARYLAND +5.5: Loyola has won six straight and is 5-0 ATS over those games. Niagara has lost to the likes of Fairfield and Canisius lately. Also, Loyola MD is 55-25-1 ATS last 81 road games.

                    SOUTH FLORIDA/GEORGETOWN UNDER 129: South Florida has been held under 60 points in three of their last four games, and their largest point output in the last five contests was just 64. Things don't figure to improve vs. a Georgetown defense that is allowing 56.9 points per game on the season. The Under is a fantastic 42-15 in the Hoyas' last 57 home games.
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #11
                      Spurs - 5 1/2 . . . The pacers will have trouble scoring against the lock down D the spurs will provide.

                      DePaul + 7 1/2 . . The Blue Demons play pretty solid ball and should be able to keep this one close.
                      Comment
                      • B1GER1C828
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-31-07
                        • 10244

                        #12
                        76ers +2 they r playing good ball lately and washington is playing awful defense

                        76ers/wash over 190.5 wash's defense playing awful and 76'ers can put up mid 90's or more any given night. i think 76ers win sumtin like 102-96
                        Comment
                        • Data
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-27-07
                          • 2236

                          #13
                          501 Boston Celtics +3
                          Wrong team favored. I realize Garnett is out but so is Varejao. While he is no Garnett he is no less important for his Cavs.

                          506 Indiana Pacers +5½
                          With Parker out, my numbers tell me this game should be at pick'em.
                          Comment
                          • Deke101
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-15-07
                            • 1213

                            #14
                            Northern Iowa @ Creighton Over 123:
                            UNI 6-1 ATS in road games.
                            UNI Over is 6-1 in there last 7 games.
                            Creighton 6-1 ATS when the total is between 120-129.5
                            Creighton Over is 6-2 in there last 8 games.

                            UAB @ Southern Miss Over 133.5: UAB won this game 3 weeks ago by a score of 72-65 (the game was played at UAB). Vaden hit six 3-pointers as he scored 33 points for UAB. The spread is significantly lower than last meeting - UAB was favored by 7.5, and I expect a shoot-out in this game and potentially OT.
                            Comment
                            • durito
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-03-06
                              • 13173

                              #15
                              539 Loyola Maryland +5½ -- On the basis of a 35-18 ATS angle that plays on road underdogs that have been winning low scoring games.

                              535 Northern Iowa/536 Creighton Over 123 -- On the basis of a 102-68-2 OVER/UNDER angle that plays on teams that have been high scoring.
                              Comment
                              • IHPuller
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-10-08
                                • 333

                                #16
                                South Florida/Georgetown Under 129-- I love LTs writeup of this, I was thinking of this when I saw the lines this morning. Look for some Hoyas D tonight.

                                N Iowa/Creighton Over 123-- lots of people are loving this tonight as well, combined 12-3 over in last 8 combined games.

                                GL 2 All tonight!
                                Comment
                                • Poker_Beast
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-14-06
                                  • 6545

                                  #17
                                  Los Angeles Lakers -7 - the Lakers should win this one due to their latest addition. Kobe will be trying to keep the spotlight.

                                  Memphis -4 - Memphis is only 30 minutes from Tunica, MS which is one of my favorite places to drink and play poker.
                                  Comment
                                  • diogee
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-11-08
                                    • 19477

                                    #18
                                    Mem/Mil U193 The Bucks are a miserable team that likes to put up 70 points in tons of there games...Mem won't be able to put up nearly the points without Gasol.

                                    Ill St -3.5 Drake has been on fire but Ill st is the unranked favorite here and is absolutely unreal at home.
                                    Comment
                                    • bulldog3131
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 12-04-07
                                      • 23

                                      #19
                                      Easy Tonight

                                      Boston +3 - I Can't Beleive Boston Is A Dog In This Game They Win By Ten.

                                      Lakers -5.5 - The Nets Are Awful They Lose By Twelve Tonight.
                                      Comment
                                      • evilgenius
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 11-21-07
                                        • 70

                                        #20
                                        2 parlays...

                                        lakers ml...gonna crush a empty arena nets team...everyones gonna be out for the giants

                                        san antonio ml...circled this game on their road trip as a must win

                                        lakers under 211.5...i see this game being 105-95 or around there

                                        2nd parlay

                                        northern iowa +7.5...pissed off about last time they played looking for revenge against a struggling creighton...winner moves up to third in their conference...

                                        butler ml vs valpo....number 10 team getting low chalk ill take my chances
                                        Comment
                                        • Miami2586
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 08-17-07
                                          • 28

                                          #21
                                          Lakers -5.5 nets are doing horrible and lakers are going to kill them.

                                          Celtics +3 cavs are a great team but I see boston playing better tonight.
                                          Comment
                                          • awhitejackson
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-15-07
                                            • 2265

                                            #22
                                            Purdue -11.5... Penn States win over Mich State has swung this line in their favor...Purdue rolls at home..
                                            Drake +3.5...I like it when a team gets no respect and you can cash on them over and over. Ill St home streak has to end sometime and I think Drake does it tonite. Line moved in Drakes favor two points
                                            Comment
                                            • 2DAMMGOOD
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 01-28-08
                                              • 16

                                              #23
                                              Lakers -7 The Nets Are Just Plain Horible And Lakers With Ther New Big Man. I C A Blow Out

                                              Wizards -1.5 Philly Won A Couple Games But Against Bottom Fedders I C The Wiz Getting Bak On The Winnin Side Startin Against The 6ixers
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                evilgenius,

                                                Please read the rules. Only one two-team parlay with analysis allowed, and only on the lines I posted above (no moneylines allowed). You have No Action for niow, but you are allowed to make a proper post before tip-off time.
                                                Comment
                                                • Wrigley
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-28-07
                                                  • 7268

                                                  #25
                                                  501 Boston Celtics +3
                                                  Even with Garnett out think Celts should be the fav

                                                  539 Loyola Maryland +5½
                                                  Loyola has won six straight and is 5-0 ATS
                                                  Comment
                                                  • regularguy
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-12-07
                                                    • 781

                                                    #26
                                                    Drake +4 (at Illinois State)
                                                    Drake has been a great bet (14-3 ATS). I'll take them with points against anyone in their conference -- even this good Illinois State team. Drake beat Creighton on the road 68-60, as a 4.5 point underdog. I say this outcome ill be similar.

                                                    THE Ohio State University -14 (v. Michigan)
                                                    I know, I know, it's a biiiiiig rivalry. But Ohio State has been strong at home, and I think this one is going to get away from this rather bad Michigan team.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • McRich
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-26-07
                                                      • 961

                                                      #27
                                                      Purdue over Penn State
                                                      Purdue is a solid team at home. Penn State is coming off a huge win against MSU. Purdue will not overlook PSU because of the last game. My play of the day.

                                                      OSU over Michigan
                                                      scUM will get their butts kicked tonight. OSU is a very solid team at home. scUM will make a couple of runs because they shoot the three, but OSU will have a late cover at the FT line.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • rake922
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-23-07
                                                        • 11692

                                                        #28
                                                        Indiana Pacers +5½
                                                        Spurs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games...
                                                        and on top of that will be without Tony Parker today

                                                        New Jersey Nets +7
                                                        Underdog is 7-1-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
                                                        Public is pounding the away favorite, like it's free money
                                                        Comment
                                                        • gizmo2431
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 01-11-08
                                                          • 971

                                                          #29
                                                          523 Drake +3½
                                                          drake gettin pts? i cap them at being the favorites here. they've been playing great and making everyone money and tonite they break ISU's undefeated home record.

                                                          531 Butler -3
                                                          Butler has been better than Valpo in past matches and I look for that to continue... as well, Valpo's leading scorer may be out... it's a game time decision. Even if he is playing, he won't be 100% having sat for 2 weeks injured.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pavyracer
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-12-07
                                                            • 82804

                                                            #30
                                                            LA Lakers under 208.5

                                                            If Gasol learned the triangle offense after one practice and putting 20,000 frequent flyer miles in 3 days then I'm really screwed with my pick but the Nets aren't a scoring machine either so we will see what happens.

                                                            Loyola MD +5.5

                                                            Defense wins games and Loyola is holding opponents to less than 60 points per game whereas Niagara does not know what the world defense means.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • brock
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-07-08
                                                              • 8246

                                                              #31
                                                              514 Ohio St -14 This should be a good rebound game vrs Mich.
                                                              After a road loss to Iowa.
                                                              524 Illinois St -3.5 Should be a tough spot for 20-1 Drake on the road.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Irish Lumberjack
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-04-07
                                                                • 2086

                                                                #32
                                                                Washington Wizards Over 190- this line just seems a little low

                                                                530 Purdue -11½ - I see good value in this game tonight, but hey let's face it, that doesn't mean it'll happen
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dark Horse
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-14-05
                                                                  • 13764

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Cleveland Cavaliers Under 184½
                                                                  Two top teams slugging it out means increased emphasis on defense. These teams are 1-1 O/U for the season, but 0-2 O/U without OT. (line is 187 in the real world).


                                                                  New Jersey Nets Under 208½
                                                                  Lakers are expected to start Gasol. That means an adjustment period. Expect a lack of flow to translate into an under.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • indy62
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 07-21-07
                                                                    • 321

                                                                    #34
                                                                    boston+3.this does seem to good to be true but so did cans of beer with little thermometers on them also lakers/nj208.5 over la wants to play hard with the new guy ,he will want to keep upim thinking 115-100
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Junkyard Dog
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-12-07
                                                                      • 4552

                                                                      #35
                                                                      508 New Jersey Nets +7 - lakers adding a big piece like gasol will need time to jell together before they hit their rhythm.

                                                                      512 NC State -2½ - st has homecourt and a little bit of momentum following their win over wf. gavin grant leads the wolfpack to a win.
                                                                      Comment
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