Guys, I've got a good read on this S.A. team

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  • babaoriley
    SBR MVP
    • 12-11-06
    • 2316

    #36
    Originally posted by adriano
    Cheers, Baba.

    What up, Chief?

    Tomorrow, I'm playing Boston 1H -0.5.

    Leaning Boston -1 for game, no play for me on the total.
    Comment
    • babaoriley
      SBR MVP
      • 12-11-06
      • 2316

      #37
      2 units on that Boston 1H play, maybe more...

      SA comes out flat in the first half of most road games (see NY Knicks) and Boston should be plenty riled. That said, I think Boston covers the -1, but I want to play it this way for a couple reasons.
      If Boston doesn't cover that 1H bet, then I'm free to double up on my second half wagers, which in this case, I feel works well, as the Spurs are quite predictable in the 2H (at least, quite predictable relatively speaking).

      Considering playing SA 1Q, 1H, and game at this point, but right now, BOS -0.5 is my only play.

      I'm due for a loss, so bet accordingly.

      EDIT: Meant to say BOS 1Q, 1H and game up above.
      Comment
      • babaoriley
        SBR MVP
        • 12-11-06
        • 2316

        #38
        SA 1H vs 2H breakdown on this year's Rodeo road-trip:

        Following is a breakdown of the Spurs scoring differential in the first half of games on this road trip. The Spurs are starting out slow and finishing strong, though one could make an argument that the opposing team, playing at home, is doing the opposite (coming out strong in the 1H, but giving away the game).
        2-8 @NY 1H NY by 16; Final: SA by 6 in OT.
        2-6 @WAS 1H SA by 1; Final: SA by 8.
        2-5 @IND 1H TIED; Final: SA by 27.
        1-31 @PHO 1H PHO by 6; Final: SA by 3.
        1-29 @SEA 1H SA by 2; Final SEA by 3.
        1-28 @UTH 1H UTH by 10; Final UTH by 6.

        SA is 0-6 ATS in the 1H in this stretch, leading only twice (by 2 against SEA and by 1 to a WAS team without Butler). Only once were the Spurs outscored in the 2nd Half (against SEA).

        Ultimately, this speaks to the Spurs strength as a savvy veteran team that can withstand a team's 1st half home court surge before locking down in the 2nd half (as evidenced by their 4-2 record on this road trip to date).

        That said, I'm playing the numbers and going against them in the 1H today.
        Comment
        • babaoriley
          SBR MVP
          • 12-11-06
          • 2316

          #39
          Boston cashes (barely) Up 43-41 at the half and my bet is in and my day done.

          Make that 17-2 in my last 19 Spurs-related wagers.

          Comment
          • babaoriley
            SBR MVP
            • 12-11-06
            • 2316

            #40
            Bumped for Cee...

            P.S I was on vacation for a week in colorado, aqnd now I'm trying to get a good grasp on SA coming up. Will post plays when I have them. No opinion on tonight as of yet.
            Comment
            • babaoriley
              SBR MVP
              • 12-11-06
              • 2316

              #41
              Tonight's Plays:

              Over 183.5
              N.O. 1st half +4

              Good Luck.
              Comment
              • babaoriley
                SBR MVP
                • 12-11-06
                • 2316

                #42
                Well, with 2:29 left in the half and the Spurs up by 14, I'm willing to concede that NO 1H was a bad play.

                Spurs shooting 57% to the the Hornets 34%...
                Comment
                • babaoriley
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-11-06
                  • 2316

                  #43
                  May be a good spot to play NO 2H. We'll see what the line is. Line should be NO -4.5 or so... Tough call.
                  Comment
                  • babaoriley
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-11-06
                    • 2316

                    #44
                    NO -1.5. All over it.
                    Comment
                    • babaoriley
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-11-06
                      • 2316

                      #45
                      FG%: SA 52% NO 33%
                      Neither team turning the ball over. No foul trouble.

                      West, Peja, Wells combined 2-14 from the field.
                      Comment
                      • imgv94
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-16-05
                        • 17192

                        #46
                        GL baba..
                        Comment
                        • MiamiBoy86
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-08-08
                          • 581

                          #47
                          got NO - 1 on 5 dimes for 2nd half....only could bet 50 tops...SUCKS TO HAVE A NEW ACCOUNT THERE....looks pretty solid right now, great pick!
                          Comment
                          • babaoriley
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-11-06
                            • 2316

                            #48
                            MiamiBoy, I know the feeling. I should have put more on it myself, but just doubled up on my 1H bet (common practice for me when betting 1H lines relating in any way to the Spurs).

                            So...
                            Over 183.5---WINNER
                            NO +4 1H---LOSER
                            NO -1.5 2H---WINNER

                            2-1 +1.8 Units

                            19-3 in my last 22 Spurs wagers.
                            Comment
                            • babaoriley
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-11-06
                              • 2316

                              #49
                              SA/ATL tonight

                              SA-12 (1/2 unit)
                              Over 92 1H
                              SA -7 1H
                              Comment
                              • The HG
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-01-06
                                • 3566

                                #50
                                I like the Spurs as well at -12, although only a little bit.

                                What about the under 187 though? I like that one a solid amount. Thoughts?
                                Comment
                                • greek
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-01-07
                                  • 1680

                                  #51
                                  atl +15 tease
                                  Comment
                                  • BigBollocks
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-11-06
                                    • 2045

                                    #52
                                    Weird game tonight Baba. I could only imagine the look on your face after that 1st quarter. Thank God for that Spurs second half, eh? GL the rest of the week...
                                    Comment
                                    • babaoriley
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-11-06
                                      • 2316

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by BigBollocks
                                      Weird game tonight Baba. I could only imagine the look on your face after that 1st quarter. Thank God for that Spurs second half, eh? GL the rest of the week...
                                      Jeez, I was at the game and thought I was in the twilight zone. 1-17 from the field in the first quarter? Really? At halftime, I called in to one of my friends and told him to log onto my betjam account and double up on Spurs 2nd half (again, for those that read this thread, a common practice for me with the Spurs). So, while I won't be counting that particular wager, my night with the spurs went like this:

                                      SA -12 +.5
                                      SA 1H -1.1
                                      Over 1H -1.1
                                      SA 2H +2

                                      Total: 2-2 +.3

                                      I couldn't log on to post my Spurs 2H play (as I was at the game) so I won't count it in my record.

                                      Last night: 1-2 Total 20-5
                                      Comment
                                      • babaoriley
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-11-06
                                        • 2316

                                        #54
                                        Anything -5 or under will be getting 3-4 units placed on it by me.

                                        EDIT: I mean SA -5 or lower against Dallas.

                                        They'll own Dallas tomorrow. Parker owns Kidd and Diop was too valuable to Dallas. The Mavs were put together to be able to beat the Spurs. Losing Diop and Harris was killer for them in their pursuit of beating the Spurs. Spurs will roll tomorrow.
                                        Comment
                                        • babaoriley
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-11-06
                                          • 2316

                                          #55
                                          SA -4.5 4 Units tonight. LOVE this play. L-O-V-E.
                                          Comment
                                          • eidolon
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-02-08
                                            • 9531

                                            #56
                                            so close :\
                                            Comment
                                            • babaoriley
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-11-06
                                              • 2316

                                              #57
                                              20-6 on Spurs plays (with a tough loss against Dallas).

                                              Tonight:
                                              1* New Jersey +5.5 (might wait for this to go higher before tip).
                                              1/2* NJ ML (waiting for +200 but I'll play it nonetheless)
                                              1/2* Under 183.5
                                              Comment
                                              • imgv94
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-16-05
                                                • 17192

                                                #58
                                                should be 21-5. Damn luck

                                                GL tonight man, NBA has killed me this season glad to see u doing alright.
                                                Comment
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