Basketball Parlay of the Day Contest - Friday, 1/18/08

[LT Profits]

Listen up, basketball experts. Starting Wednesday (Jan 2) we will commence with a Hoops Parlay Contest with the monthly grand prize a 22” widescreen LCD monitor. The rules are simple:

1. Check in the NBA BASKETBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 11:00 a.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

2. Posted spreads and totals are the only eligible plays for grading. Both NBA and NCAA games included.

3. Two-game parlay picks, laying 10 to win 26. Post entire parlay at same time, no open parlays.

4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up, doesn’t have to be long, just a sentence or two about why you’re making your play. Here’s a THREAD from last year’s contest to be used for an example.

5. And here’s the fine print:

• One entry per household and IP address.
  
• Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
  
• Maximum one parlay pick per day, minimum 15 parlay plays needed to be eligible for monthly prize.
  
• Tiebreaker - Win % of individual parlay legs. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head parlay match until winner determined.
  
• All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
  
• SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.

[LT Profits]

Guys,

I accidentally copied the up-to-date standings into Thursday's thread, which is why these standings look the same. These standings are correct.

STANDINGS 
[B]Name            W       L       W/P     Units[/B]
durito      	7	4	0	142.00
The HG      	7	6	0	122.00
thezbar      	5	5	0	80.00
Data         	5	6	0	70.00
awhitejackson	6	9	0	66.00
rugbybdyb  	6	9	0	66.00
B1GER1C828	4	4	0	64.00
Irish Lum'jack	4	4	0	64.00
eidolon  	3	2	0	58.00
Junkyard Dog	6	10	0	56.00
uscfootball33	6	10	0	56.00
indy62      	4	5	0	54.00
juuso      	5	9	1	49.00
astro61200   	4	6	0	44.00
palerider   	4	6	0	44.00
goldengoat    	5	9	0	40.00
LLXC       	5	9	0	40.00
harsh506    	5	10	1	39.00
GamblingMike	3	4	0	38.00
stump      	4	7	0	34.00
freebie      	2	2	0	32.00
Wrigley     	5	10	0	30.00
Dark Horse	3	5	0	28.00
djeffectz   	1	0	0	26.00
ipickwinners 	4	8	0	24.00
kdmfox        	4	8	0	24.00
20Four7     	4	9	1	23.00
charlie64  	4	9	1	23.00
Willie Bee   	2	3	0	22.00
McRich      	5	11	0	20.00
rake922      	5	11	0	20.00
VBOMBER  	5	11	0	20.00
manly      	3	6	0	18.00
MonkeyF0cker	1	1	0	16.00
Yung Mula 	1	1	0	16.00
tevari      	4	9	0	14.00
LT Profits	4	10	1	13.00
KidDynamite	3	7	0	8.00
minet123     	3	7	0	8.00
Mr KLC      	3	7	0	8.00
Crayzee     	1	2	0	6.00
Doc JS     	1	2	0	6.00
HedgeHog   	1	2	0	6.00
sofos       	1	2	0	6.00
jeffries     	4	10	0	4.00
rjt721      	4	10	0	4.00
pokernut9999	4	11	1	3.00
sharktank1  	2	5	0	2.00
picantel      	2	6	1	1.00
alexda [ ]   	1	3	0	-4.00
LiLHammerlane	1	3	0	-4.00
spliff     	1	3	0	-4.00
ralquis       	2	6	0	-8.00
2Pac       	0	1	0	-10.00
cap10     	0	1	0	-10.00
curious  	0	1	0	-10.00
DacBietViet	0	1	0	-10.00
dave11486 	0	1	0	-10.00
Dtown66   	0	1	0	-10.00
framboise    	0	1	0	-10.00
gizmo2431  	0	1	0	-10.00
hwangSGD  	0	1	0	-10.00
idontlikerocks	0	1	0	-10.00
JT16       	0	1	0	-10.00
justdoingit 	0	1	0	-10.00
LMAOFISH 	0	1	0	-10.00
madcactus 	0	1	0	-10.00
MJFtheGenius	0	1	0	-10.00
OegNo    	0	1	0	-10.00
szaidi99    	0	1	0	-10.00
xyzky     	0	1	0	-10.00
JBC77     	1	4	0	-14.00
MOONCRICKET	1	4	0	-14.00
seaborneq     	1	4	0	-14.00
pavyracer    	4	12	0	-16.00
accuscoresucks	0	2	0	-20.00
Checkerboard	0	2	0	-20.00
evilgenius    	0	2	0	-20.00
Sagarin     	0	2	0	-20.00
VLADYMYR	0	2	0	-20.00
Wayne Rooney 	0	2	0	-20.00
jeffscds     	3	10	0	-22.00
wtt0315    	3	10	0	-22.00
BrentCrude  	1	5	0	-24.00
dwaechte  	1	5	0	-24.00
bookie     	2	8	0	-28.00
jayz00      	2	8	0	-28.00
Actionbrett   	0	3	0	-30.00
ballin       	0	3	0	-30.00
dizzyd       	0	3	0	-30.00
hoggin1  	0	3	0	-30.00
jstblaze      	0	3	0	-30.00
msubulldog	0	3	0	-30.00
nevadaside  	0	3	0	-30.00
PerfecTrader	0	3	0	-30.00
Razz    	0	3	0	-30.00
triplecrown  	0	3	0	-30.00
hhsilver    	0	4	1	-31.00
EaglesPhan36	1	6	0	-34.00
louisvillekid1	2	9	0	-38.00
beaneaters 	3	12	0	-42.00
brock      	1	7	0	-44.00
regularguy  	2	10	0	-48.00
Deke101   	0	5	0	-50.00
diogee    	0	5	0	-50.00
bbyhill      	1	8	0	-54.00
Bernval    	1	8	0	-54.00
perhapsnot  	0	6	0	-60.00
Cabo        	1	10	1	-65.00
Peyton2Marvin	1	10	0	-74.00
picoman   	0	8	0	-80.00
louisvillekid  	2	14	0	-88.00
maestrobobcobb	1	15	0	-124.00


GAME-BY-GAME 
[B]Name            W       L       P        Pct[/B]
djeffectz   	2	0	0	100.0%
eidolon  	8	2	0	80.0%
The HG      	20	6	0	76.9%
freebie      	6	2	0	75.0%
durito      	16	6	0	72.7%
B1GER1C828	11	5	0	68.8%
20Four7     	18	9	1	66.7%
indy62      	12	6	0	66.7%
manly      	12	6	0	66.7%
Irish Lum'jack	10	5	1	66.7%
Crayzee     	4	2	0	66.7%
HedgeHog   	4	2	0	66.7%
uscfootball33	21	11	0	65.6%
GamblingMike	9	5	0	64.3%
Data         	14	8	0	63.6%
McRich      	20	12	0	62.5%
Dark Horse	10	6	0	62.5%
astro61200   	12	8	0	60.0%
Willie Bee   	6	4	0	60.0%
kdmfox        	14	10	0	58.3%
thezbar      	11	8	0	57.9%
jeffscds     	15	11	0	57.7%
rjt721      	16	12	0	57.1%
Junkyard Dog	18	14	0	56.3%
VBOMBER  	18	14	0	56.3%
LT Profits	15	12	3	55.6%
juuso      	16	13	1	55.2%
minet123     	11	9	0	55.0%
pokernut9999	17	14	1	54.8%
wtt0315    	14	12	0	53.8%
awhitejackson	15	13	2	53.6%
LLXC       	15	13	0	53.6%
beaneaters 	16	14	0	53.3%
Wrigley     	16	14	0	53.3%
Cabo        	12	11	1	52.2%
charlie64  	14	13	1	51.9%
rake922      	16	16	0	50.0%
ipickwinners 	12	12	0	50.0%
louisvillekid1	11	11	0	50.0%
stump      	11	11	0	50.0%
palerider   	10	10	0	50.0%
EaglesPhan36	7	7	0	50.0%
dwaechte  	6	6	0	50.0%
Deke101   	5	5	0	50.0%
JBC77     	5	5	0	50.0%
MOONCRICKET	5	5	0	50.0%
seaborneq     	4	4	0	50.0%
spliff     	4	4	0	50.0%
Doc JS     	3	3	0	50.0%
evilgenius    	2	2	0	50.0%
MonkeyF0cker	2	2	0	50.0%
VLADYMYR	2	2	0	50.0%
Wayne Rooney 	2	2	0	50.0%
Yung Mula 	2	2	0	50.0%
2Pac       	1	1	0	50.0%
DacBietViet	1	1	0	50.0%
dave11486 	1	1	0	50.0%
Dtown66   	1	1	0	50.0%
gizmo2431  	1	1	0	50.0%
justdoingit 	1	1	0	50.0%
madcactus 	1	1	0	50.0%
OegNo    	1	1	0	50.0%
szaidi99    	1	1	0	50.0%
harsh506    	15	16	1	48.4%
louisvillekid  	15	17	0	46.9%
pavyracer    	15	17	0	46.9%
rugbybdyb  	15	17	0	46.9%
goldengoat    	13	15	0	46.4%
jeffries     	13	15	0	46.4%
bookie     	9	11	0	45.0%
KidDynamite	9	11	0	45.0%
Mr KLC      	9	11	0	45.0%
bbyhill      	8	10	0	44.4%
hhsilver    	4	5	1	44.4%
tevari      	11	14	1	44.0%
picoman   	7	9	0	43.8%
ralquis       	7	9	0	43.8%
sharktank1  	6	8	0	42.9%
picantel      	7	10	1	41.2%
jayz00      	8	12	0	40.0%
maestrobobcobb	12	20	0	37.5%
alexda [ ]   	3	5	0	37.5%
LiLHammerlane	3	5	0	37.5%
regularguy  	8	14	0	36.4%
Bernval    	6	12	0	33.3%
BrentCrude  	4	8	0	33.3%
perhapsnot  	4	8	0	33.3%
ballin       	2	4	0	33.3%
dizzyd       	2	4	0	33.3%
msubulldog	2	4	0	33.3%
PerfecTrader	2	4	0	33.3%
Razz    	2	4	0	33.3%
Sagarin     	2	4	0	33.3%
sofos       	2	4	0	33.3%
triplecrown  	2	4	0	33.3%
Peyton2Marvin	7	15	0	31.8%
brock      	5	11	0	31.3%
diogee    	3	7	0	30.0%
accuscoresucks	1	3	0	25.0%
Actionbrett   	1	5	0	16.7%
hoggin1  	1	5	0	16.7%
jstblaze      	1	5	0	16.7%
nevadaside  	1	5	0	16.7%
cap10     	0	2	0	0.0%
Checkerboard	0	4	0	0.0%
curious  	0	2	0	0.0%
framboise    	0	2	0	0.0%
hwangSGD  	0	2	0	0.0%
idontlikerocks	0	2	0	0.0%
JT16       	0	2	0	0.0%
LMAOFISH 	0	2	0	0.0%
MJFtheGenius	0	2	0	0.0%
xyzky     	0	2	0	0.0%

[louisvillekid]

Tor. (Raptors) -6.5 : Tor. avg. around 99ppg at home vs. ATL avg. about 88ppg on the road. Tor. is currently 5-1 ATS as a fav of 6.5-9, Tor. is avg. 106ppg in their last 5. the last 3 meeting of all been won by Tor. and double digits.
Tor. 100 103 105
ATL 88 91 92


Bos. (Celtics) -11 : Bos. is 8-2 ATS on fridays, currently 8-0 ATS vs. divisional opponents, I know Rondo is doubtful for Boston, but i'm lookin for Boston to get back to being the ATM machine they were.


now with all that said, anyone who reads this, just fade my picks, i'm a goldmine of losers, everything that i cap out that points to a potential winner, take the opposite.

[LT Profits]

Both CBB Totals are now up.

NBA Basketball

Fri 1/18 701 Portland Trailblazers -4½ Over 191½
7:05PM (EST) 702 Miami Heat +4½ Under 191½

Fri 1/18 703 New York Knicks +7½ Over 194½
7:05PM (EST) 704 Washington Wizards -7½ Under 194½

Fri 1/18 705 Atlanta Hawks +6½ Over 186½
7:05PM (EST) 706 Toronto Raptors -6½ Under 186½

Fri 1/18 707 Philadelphia 76ers +10½ Over 184
7:35PM (EST) 708 Boston Celtics -10½ Under 184

Fri 1/18 709 Charlotte Bobcats +8½ Over 192½
8:05PM (EST) 710 New Orleans Hornets -8½ Under 192½

Fri 1/18 711 Seattle Supersonics +6½ Over 215½
8:05PM (EST) 712 Memphis Grizzlies -6½ Under 215½

Fri 1/18 713 Sacramento Kings +9 Over 194
8:05PM (EST) 714 Detroit Pistons -9 Under 194

Fri 1/18 715 Los Angeles Clippers +9½ Over 198½
9:05PM (EST) 716 Utah Jazz -9½ Under 198½

Fri 1/18 717 Minnesota Timberwolves +13½ Over 212½
9:05PM (EST) 718 Phoenix Suns -13½ Under 212½

Fri 1/18 719 Golden State Warriors -1½ Over 211½
9:35PM (EST) 720 Chicago Bulls +1½ Under 211½


NCAA Basketball

Fri 1/18 721 Niagara -13 Over 141½
7:00PM (EST) 722 Canisius +13 Under 141½

Fri 1/18 723 Fairfield +3 Over 129
7:30PM (EST) 724 Iona -3 Under 129

[Cabo]

703 New York Knicks +7½
723 Fairfield +3


Will I lose my 11th straight?

Knicks have played well covering their last three, I'll jump on the bandwagon tonight. Fairfield/Iona, I'll take Fairfield.

[Irish Lumberjack]

Portland -4.5 - i think everyone is over thinking this one, shaq if he comes back will be fatter and more tired then ever, he won't have his game legs and i expect to see about 15-20 mins from him, Portland is very good off a loss ATS and should be just fine tonight.

719 Golden State Warriors -1½ - a road fav? good thing this isn't NCAA Ball

[LT Profits]

Iona/Canisius UNDER 141.5: Canisius won't score enough for the game to go Over, and they will probably slow the pace down anyway to give themselves a chance at home.

SONICS +6.5: Too many points for a 10-28 team like Memphis to be giving. We probably get added value here due to Seattle's 31-point loss at New Orleans Wednesday, but they were probably emotionally spent after taking Lakers to overtime.

[charlie64]

NIAGARA -13: I believe that Niagara is too strong for the young Canisius team.

PORTLAND -4.5: Even with Shaq back the Heat are still the laughing stock of the east.

[uscfootball33]

01/18/08: USCFOOTBALL33’s Parlay Of The Day

Philadelphia +10.5
Analysis: Philadelphia is simply not that great of a basketball team. However, they are good enough to keep a game within 11 points against anyone, even Boston. Take Philadelphia and the points.

Golden State/Chicago Under 211.5
Analysis: Both these teams are a little banged up and this game is going to be played in Chicago so it should be a little slower paced than Golden State would like. Take the under.

[GODFATHER]

Hey Irish,

Are you not liking GS? Please explain.

[awhitejackson]

Wash Wiz -7.5....Dont think New York has really proven anything with win streak...
Portland -4.5.....No respect for Miami even with Shaq back

[diogee]

GS -1.5 The Bulls won't be able to keep up with this GS offense which should easily reach 100 pts.

Seattle +6.5 Memphis has beat Seattle by 7 or more both times these 2 faced this season but 6.5 is still too many points for Memphis to be giving

[20Four7]

Portland - 4.5 Shaq's back? who cares he isn't helping this sad team. Portland has slowed down a bit from their huge run but still has the talent to take the Heat.

Raptors -6.5 Raptors have played well in their last 6 or 7 games with the exception of detroit where they always come up lame. Atlanta isn't a great team so take the home favourite. Toronto is 6 and 3 on Friday nights vs Atlanta's great 2 and 6 Friday night record (not that this stat really matters). I took the Rap's in the overnight lines for a nickel at -7 so I'm getting a bargain here.

[wtt0315]

portland -4.5
i have been betting against them all year but miami is awful and hopefully they win big here
atlanta +6.5
i am going to the grave with this team. hopefully they win but hopefully they will at least cover

[eidolon]

Phoenix Suns -13½
The difference in these teams skill is too much.


Utah Jazz -9½
Clippers can't touch the Jazz at home.


p.s. I almost never don't go with high line favorites, lets see how I do.

[Wrigley]

Portland Trailblazers -4½•
Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Heat are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 home games.
• Heat are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Heat are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Heat are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.
• Heat are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
• Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
• Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.

720 Chicago Bulls +1½

Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

[greek]

portland 1.5-- miami sad with him /sad without em golden state 1.5--high scoring game , its time for a turnaround too many chicago injuries

[bookie]

Detroit -9...The Piston's owe Sacramento one from when the teams played in Arco, and as rested home-standers versus a team re-grouping I see them getting this margin.

Golden State -1.5...Chicago is not a mentally sound team and they've faced nothing like the Golden State attack and I don't think will be able to adjust to it. In real life I like the 1H better than the game.

[pokernut9999]

NY Knicks +7.5 : Jump on the Knicks here with the points and see if we can end their win streak (LOL)



GS/ Chic over 211.5 : Hoping for a shootout here.

[Dark Horse]

Coming off a key victory over the Lakers last night, the on-and-off Suns will barely raise an eyebrow at lowly Minnesota. Their surprising loss to the T-Wolves earlier in the season came in the final game of a successful road trip, so revenge won’t factor in (not past the 1Q). Suns are 3-8 ATS as DD favorites. They will come out relaxed, allow Minnesota to get into a flow, and the defensive effort will be average at best. T-Wolves out-rebounded Suns 55-33 in first meeting, and should get plenty of easy baskets. Suns in first home game off a road trip (of more than one game) are 4-1 O/U.

MIN +13.5
PHX O212.5

[MonkeyF0cker]

Golden State -1.5

No inside game for the Bulls means the Warroirs will be taking the ball to the rack a lot tonight. And the Bulls won't be able to keep up with their spotty perimeter game.

Clippers/Jazz under 198.5

The anemic offense of the Clippers with a battered Chris Kaman, as well as their slow-paced half court sets, will make this total difficult to attain.

[The HG]

LAC/Utah under 198.5 - always treacherous taking a Utah home under, since they love to explode over at times, but I think this one will stay under, as utah is off of their tough game against denver, and the clippers for the most part keep the scoring modest.

Seattle +6.5 - gotta figure this should be a competitive game, i think seattle has a decent shot at an outright win, i'll take them with the points.

[stump]

702 Miami Heat +4½ they have to win sometime

720 Chicago Bulls +1½ just a feeling they get it done

[pavyracer]

Detroit -9

Detroit plays better vs west coast teams at home.

New Orleans -8.5

Peja, Paul and company are too much for a bad Charlotte team.

[LLXC]

701 Portland Trailblazers -4½
Somehow this feels like a trap...but I'm willing to fall for it...

721 Niagara -13
This looks like a huge blowout, even though I would have liked to get the earlier number.

[clcoyle93]

[701] TOTAL o191 1/2 -110 (PORTLAND vrs MIAMI) - NBA
The last four games all finish OVER the total.

[706] TOTAL u186 1/2-110 (ATLANTA vrs TORONTO) - NBA
Hawks have seen the UNDER go 14-5 against teams which have a winning record

[Junkyard Dog]

702 Miami Heat +4½ - shaq and wade are too much against a young squad

719 Golden State Warriors -1½ - gs will dictate the pace in this game and bulls wont keep up

[jeffries]

Washington -8 - David Lee plays for Washington so Washington wins this one easy by 15+ points. David Lee is a cancer

Miami Heat +4.5 - 4 words (THINK LIKE A BOOKIE)

[B1GER1C828]

no/char over 193 2 teams that can put up 100 points almost any game they play with not so good defense-high scoring game-take the over

portland -4 suns/twolves under 210.5 suns played a frustrating game vs lakers last nite, i dnt think they can put up 110-115 points which will b needed 2 cover this 1.

[Data]

704 Washington Wizards -7½
I am riding the Wizards as they have been undervalued and I am not sold on the "new" Knicks just yet.

717 Minnesota Timberwolves +13½
That is a lot of points while Hill's absense is very significant. Besides, it's been noted many times that the Suns do not blow out their opponents at home.

[maestrobobcobb]

Parlay Loser of the day: I've had no luck with NCAA so lets try NBA:

Charlotte + 8.5 over New Orleans: Bobcats 6-0 ATS last 6

Golden State -1.5 over Chicago: Chicago 1-7 ATS over last 8 home games

[goldengoat]

warriors -1.5
bulls dont have the scoring to keep up

blazers -4.5
fading miami til given reason not to

[Bernval]

Going to college tonight for 1 pic - and a double A pic for the other

Iona under 141 1/2 -- t/y LT profit

Seattle + 6 1/2 picked by 2 A guys - t/y LT and The HG

[jeffscds]

Trailblazers -4.5 - Portland has'nt had back to back losses since November.
Warriors -1.5 - Just seems like an easy win for G.S.

[McRich]

Trailblazers over the Heat
I am taking the better team over a lousy Heat. I think it will be close until the 4th quarter when the Trailblazers win by double digits.

Pistons over the Kings
The Pistons are 5-0 ATS after two days rest. I like this stat.

Parlay record 5-11. Parlay game record 20-12.