European/NBA thread 10/11 by sirda

[sirda]

Hi,
I will post my picks in this thread usually without explanation. Picks will be from NBA and from Europe basketball too. This will be thread for season 10/11

Staking system 1-3 units.

I will start with FIBA World Championship...

[sirda]

pinnacle...

1# China - Greece over 148,5 @ 1,96 1 unit
2# Australia - Jordan under 146,0 @ 1,93 1 unit
3# Slovenia - Tunisia under 148,0 @ 1,93 1 unit

[beefcake]

Ncie sirda,cant wait to see if you lilke any of the picks I do for tommorrow..
Dont know why Lithuania is favord by that much over the kiwis..Weakest team in forever for them..

The aussies look tempting over Jordan,they could be the surprise team of tourney IMO..

[sirda]

bwin
1# China - Greece Tsartsaris over 9,5 @ 1,75 3 units
he will have something about +25 min in this match... sofo fotsis and may be borousis out... fair line is 14,5...

[sirda]

pinna...
5# USA - Croatia over 173,0 @ 1,93 1 unit
6# Spain - France under 148,0 @ 1,97 2 units

[sirda]

Not a bad day but Tsartsaris


1# China - Greece over 148,5 @ 1,96 1 unit OK + 0,96
2# Australia - Jordan under 146,0 @ 1,93 1 unit KO - 1,00
3# Slovenia - Tunisia under 148,0 @ 1,93 1 unit OK + 0,93
4# China - Greece Tsartsaris over 9,5 @ 1,75 3 unitsKO - 3,005# USA - Croatia over 173,0 @ 1,93 1 unit OK+ 0,936# Spain - France under 148,0 @ 1,97 2 units OK +1,94

W4-L2
+0,76 units

[beefcake]

Nice sirda!!

All greece has to is win baby..

[sirda]

7# China - CDI CDI +15,0 @ 1,93 2 units
8# Lithuania - Canada over 162 @ 1,93 2 units
9# Jordan - Angola Jordan -4,0 @ 1,95 1 unit
10# Slovenia - USA Slovenia +28, @ 1,93 1 unit

[sirda]

9# Serbia - Germany Under 145,0 @ 1,93 2 units

[jasont]

good job so far.

[jasont]

BTW: where do you get your lines?

[jasont]

I think 5dimes as some decent lines for this.

[sirda]

most lines from pinnacle

[sirda]

12# China - CDI under 145,5 @ 1,90 1 unit bwin
13# Greece - Puerto Rico over 155,5 @ 1,90 1 unit bwin

[sirda]

7# China - CDI CDI +15,0 @ 1,93 2 units +1,86
8# Lithuania - Canada over 162 @ 1,93 2 units -2,0
9# Jordan - Angola Jordan -4,0 @ 1,95 1 unit -1,0
10# Slovenia - USA Slovenia +28, @ 1,93 1 unit +0,93
11# Serbia - Germany Under 145,0 @ 1,93 2 units -2
12# China - CDI under 145,5 @ 1,90 1 unit bwin -1
13# Greece - Puerto Rico over 155,5 @ 1,90 1 unit bwin +0,9

bad day... overtime in serbia game...
W7-L6
-1,55 units

[sirda]

14# Slovenia - Croatia under 149,5 @ 1,92 3 units pinna

[sirda]

15# Australia - Germany Andersen over 11,5 @ 1,80 2 units nordic
16# Serbia - Angola Tepic under 10 @ 1,85 2 units nordic

[sirda]

i will continue in this thread with just european plays....

Malaga - Lagun Aro Under 146,5 1,9 2u bet365
Malaga - Lagun Aro Under 140,5 2,62 1u bet365
Malaga - Lagun Aro Malaga -6,5 1,88 2u expekt
malaga 136 average at home and 3 last home games not even close to 145... just once over 146,5 with shooting 62 for 2 and cajasol 55 for 2.... malaga has 3 games losing streak and this is the best time to back them...

Fuenlabrada - Estudiantes Under 151,5 1,85 2u sportingbet
Fuenlabrada - Estudiantes Estudiantes u73,5 1,83 1u sportingbet
0-6 over/under away for estu.... they dont know how to score but know how to defend... for me line should be 145-146... fuen strong at home shouldt lose with estu not more than 70


Caja Laboral - Manresa Under 149,5 1,9 2u bet365
Caja Laboral - Manresa Under 142,5 2,8 1u bet365
129 average for manresa away.... line is 20 pts bigger...caja at home 2over-4unders...149 average... i really dont know why is this line...

Cajasol - Menorca Menorca u35,5 1st h. 1,83 3u sportingbet
Cajasol - Menorca Cajasol -8,5 1,9 2u bwin
cajasol on fire with eurocup adv. and 3 game win streak in ACB.... 5W-1L at home...menorca 1-5 away with average -16,5 per game... hcp should be 10,5 at least...

Granada - Valladolid Under 151,5 1,9 3u bwin
Granada - Valladolid Granada -3 1,95 3u pinnacle
valla crap away... granada need this more...bot teams are much better defending now...

Alicante - Valencia Valencia -4,5 1,94 1u pinnacle
close game but valencia is unstopable now...

Zaragoza - Bilbao Over 152,5 1,88 2u expekt
close high scoring game... free throws in the end.... 158+ game

Gran Canaria - Joventut Gran Canaria -4,5 1,93 2u pinnacle
canaria will win this... home court and losing streak... jove will win next games at home...

[sirda]

Artland - Hagen Over 161 1,93 3u pinnacle
both really likes to run hagen away is scoring machine... they play bad now in defence and artland can easily reach 95+ pts... fair should be 167

Trier - Braunschweig Under 146,5 1,9 1u bet365
big battle trier at home super defence and braun can defend too...

Mitteldeutscher - Giessen Giessen +6,5 1,85 1 bwin
Mitteldeutscher - Giessen Under 146,5 1,9 1u bet365
close game... bad team vs bad team... both good at def and bad at offense... giessen will stay in game until last minutes

Bonn - Frankfurt Bonn 1,87 2u expekt
frankfurt has a lot of luck this season... but bonn is strong at home and should kill them .... fair is about -3,5

[Morpheus]

Čau chlape dneska shoda tom německu..Artland jsem hrál over 80pts 1st half zdraví tě dispéča

[sirda]

ACB stake 27 u -5,49 u 7W-7L
BEKO stake 8 u +5,33 u 4W-1L

not a good day...

[sirda]

Barcelona - Real Under 145,5 1,85 3u sportingbet

barca at home extra defense like real away... barca 3-9 O/U and 0-6 @ home!!!real 4/8 and 2/4 away but both overs are from first month... then average below 140... with tau 139... important game for both...last year 4 games at barca and 3 went under this line... its without OT so another + for us..

[sirda]

Ludwigsburg - Bamberg Under 150,5 1,85 3u bwin

ludwig will have hard time to score againts bamberg... but they know how to defend 3pts ... biggest weapon of bamberg in last games... hard to imagine more then 70 pts by home team... bamber will score something like 74-78

[sirda]

both bad calls...2x KO

ACB stake 30 u -8,49 u 7W-8L
BEKO stake 11 u +2,33 u 4W-2L

[sirda]

Lagun Aro - Alicante Alicante +7,5 1,95 3u pinnacle
Lagun Aro - Alicante Alicante ml 4,1 1u expekt

Alicante has new players and in last games is playing nice basketball... nice performance ag. valencia... lagun is average team... they have 5-1 at home but they werent playing with good teams like barca tau or real... alicante can win this and hcp +7,5 is really gift for low paced game...

Joventut - Malaga Over 151,5 1,85 2u sportingbet
high paced game... fts in the end.... malaga has 5overs and 2unders in away games... both teams like to shoot 3pts and dont defend them well....

[sirda]

3 times OK +7,65 units today

ACB stake 36 u -0,84 u 10W-8L
BEKO stake 11 u +2,33 u 4W-2L

[sirda]

Estudiantes - Caja Laboral over 152,5 1,90 2u bwin

estud plays good at home with average 148 pts...caja 161 away... both teams are almost in must win situation... estud want to play in cup... caja after 3 bad games has just one win... hard game for both with plenty of fouls and fts.... may be close end... fair should be 155,5 -156,5

[sirda]

bad end of this game -2units...

[sirda]

Lyon - Roanne Lyon -4,5 1,85 3u sportingbet

roanne has 6 players with stomach problems... lyon is in good mode now and this should be easy win for them... they havent lost a game againts roanne at home in last 8 years... fair is -7,5 at least...

[sirda]

Malaga - Barcelona over 141,5 1,88 2u expekt
malaga plays extra defense at home but barca knows how to score over 70 pts... it will be up and down match with changing leader of the game... 144 pts at least...

Bilbao - Estu under 147,5 1,95 3u pinnacle
Bilbao - Estu Bilbao -5,5 1,88 1u expekt
Estu is away defender... bilbao has some overs at home but they know how to defend well.... something like 142 should be here

small play on home side... bilbao isnt menorca... they have just 4-4 at home but they will have better record for sure in month...

[sirda]

lyon OK +2,55 u

PRO A stake 3 u +2,55 u 1W-0L
ACB stake 38 u -2,84 u 10W-9L
BEKO stake 11 u +2,33 u 4W-2L

[sirda]

Artland - Ludwigsburg under 158 1,95 3u pinnacle

[sirda]

Gravelines - Le Mans Gravelines -6,5 2,00 2u bet365
Gravelines - Le Mans Gravelines -12,5 3,45 1u bet365

Gravelines is for me title contender this year... they are really strong at home... just 1 bad game vs Roanne...+36 pts againts cholet for ex.... Le Mans is playing crap... they have 3-3 away because of good schedule for them... lost with Vichy! limoges and paris...wins with pau stras and toulon... for me DD game...

[sirda]

Alicante - Zaragoza Alicante -5 1,92 3u pinnacle
Alicante - Zaragoza Over 142,5 1,95 2u pinnacle
Joventut - Fuenlabrada Jove -6,5 1,90 3u sportingbet
Lagun Aro - Caja Laboral Caja -4,5 1,95 3u pinnacle
Manresa - Valencia Valencia -2,5 1,85 2u sportingbet
Manresa - Valencia Under 140,5 1,90 1u bet365
Valladolid - Cajasol Under 146,5 1,90 2u bet365
Valladolid - Cajasol Cajasol ML 2,54 1u pinnacle
Gran Canaria - Granada Canaria -9,5 1,90 2u sportingbet

[leopolice]

Hello, sirda
Carefully followed you twice from yesterday:
Lyon - Roanne Lyon-4,5 and Bilbao - Estu under 147,5.
I am very glad . Thanks!