-250 on over 5 1/2 games???

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  • ttwarrior1
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 06-23-09
    • 28467

    #1
    -250 on over 5 1/2 games???
    i know its -250 which aint great but the series will no doubt go 6 or 7 games

    I might actually win a bet. thinking whole account it
  • JohnnyD4916
    SBR MVP
    • 04-14-10
    • 1572

    #2
    Looks like a good bet
    Comment
    • dbldown
      SBR MVP
      • 12-09-08
      • 1055

      #3
      Originally posted by ttwarrior1
      i know its -250 which aint great but the series will no doubt go 6 or 7 games

      I might actually win a bet. thinking whole account it
      Looks good, not sure about putting the whole account on it though. GL
      Comment
      • goofyre
        SBR MVP
        • 04-20-10
        • 1933

        #4
        I definately wouldn't put a whole account on it. Boston is already beat up, a more serious injury could end the series in 5 games.
        Comment
        • Sunde91
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-26-09
          • 8325

          #5
          Not bad.
          Comment
          • jessetopolski
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-20-09
            • 162

            #6
            anyone have odds on celtics in in six.
            Comment
            • msully2888
              SBR High Roller
              • 02-22-10
              • 148

              #7
              celtics win in 6 good bet
              Comment
              • Art Vandeleigh
                SBR MVP
                • 12-31-06
                • 1494

                #8
                If the series is 3-1 either way after game 4 your heart will be pounding pretty good during game 5 if you are all in, that's for sure.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Art Vandeleigh
                  If the series is 3-1 either way after game 4 your heart will be pounding pretty good during game 5 if you are all in, that's for sure.
                  If either team is down 3-1, the team that's trailing will have a 95% probability of winning Game 5.
                  Comment
                  • terpkeg
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-26-09
                    • 2364

                    #10
                    Looking at 71% it goes over, does not seem worth that large of a wager imho.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      You can get this down to around -194, which is +EV at 71%, by playing exact series results for appropriate amounts. See Sawyer's thread.

                      Personally, I think the correct odds of it going at least 6 games is 85%, but I am adding "outside forces" to my calculation.
                      Comment
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