tracking my nba picks

[accuscoresucks]

saturday 12-6 yay im so exhited i can just hurl
08 ytd [158-136-13] 53.58%
sunday
pga att pebble beach
5 72 hole matchups due in
4th round only
p perez -140 /over j ogilvie
ncaab
rhode island fav ml
nba
just mabye ml on dallas,and toronto
ncaab/nba
more noonish???

[accuscoresucks]

ncaab
update rhode island -190
scratch all other b ball plays
ok 7 plays due in total
gl

[accuscoresucks]

sunday 3-3-1
08 ytd [161-139-14] 53.50%
monday
a few looks mabye 1 or 2 plays no hurry will post later

besides my wife doesnt need to work,but she works as nurse local er room prt time,our way of giving back to the community, and she is making my ass drive her to work till the roads get better we just got plumbeated with snow looks like it will be a week thing here with her.i feel shamboogled blackmailed oh well

[accuscoresucks]

mondays card
ncaab
utah state +8 -125/.75*
pepperdine/portland under 150 gt -105/.33*
nba
sa/tor over 183.5 gt/.33*

[accuscoresucks]

monday 2-1 /congrats sqeaked out a profit
08 ytd [163-140-14] 53.62%
tuesday
nba
memphis +6
more noonish??
ncaab
bradely -105
minnesota fav ml when it comes

[BossE]

Good luck bro!

[accuscoresucks]

tuesday 1-2 no winner today
08 ytd [164-142-14] 53.43%
wednesday i buy points obviously but i flat bet so it doesnt hurt me on the woodside
nba /.55*
phx/gsw under 1rst half if line 216/higher
sa/cle over 180 gt -105
memphis +10
denver +6
new orleans -3
portland +9
sacramento +9
washington +5
utah -5 -125
ncaab /.75* these dogs should win strait up if they do, going back to the ml with them
drake +3
baylor +3
gl/no add ons exept phx/gsw if it qualifies

[accuscoresucks]

thursdays 1rst round only pga
s appleby -130/over c howell 3rd
s verplank -150/g ogilvy
l donald -130/z johnson
d love 3rd -125/f couples
c barlow -145/w mackenzie
j maggert -125/p lonard
k perry +105/s verplank

[accuscoresucks]

nt pga 72 hole matchups
c villegas -110/a cabrera
n ohern -110/s ohair

[eidolon]

what is your overall record? or did you stop keeping track?

[accuscoresucks]

wednesday 6-4-1
08 ytd [170-146-15] 53.62%
its updated everyday eidolon the in beetween although only 2 posts ahead are some golf picks for the 1rst round,and the 72 hole matchup

thursday
nba [scratch]
ncaab
pacific +5 -130
appalachian state fav ml when it comes
weber state wait till noon buy a point
gl

[accuscoresucks]

ncaab
update weber state +3
appalachian state -150
adding
neveda/boise state under 162
stanford/arz state over 118
tnn martin/tnn tech under 160

[accuscoresucks]

thursday 2-4 /i made a typo ALL my pga picks above are 72 hole matchups due in sunday 9 of them..lol
08 ytd [172-150-15] 53.26%
friday
nba/ncaab scratch
pga nt 2nd rd
s garcia -130/over t immelman
m weir -130/g ogilvy
c villegas -115/k sutherland
j kelly -120/p lonard
l donald -125/c howell 3rd
jb holmes +120/z johnson

[accuscoresucks]

friday 3-3 /i think i have a problem guys i left my women back at the marriot so i can post me picks,and play poker all night..lol she know i will be their a 11am to pick her up
08 ytd [175-153-15] 53.20%
saturday
ncaab
drake -1/-130
unc wilmington +13/-102
s illinois -1/-120
ill chicago +6/-125
villinova -1/-120
morehead state -1/-115
totals?? later??

[accuscoresucks]

adding for saturday
pga nt 3rd round/writing down without the line i forgot all are favs though
a scott/over c howell 3rd
l donald/z johnson
p harrington/kj choi
v taylor/b mayfair
j quinney/s mccarron

ok thats 11 bets for saturday so far possible more later

[accuscoresucks]

saturday 9-1-1 /PISSED ALL OVER THEM,but looks like will need some of the profits cause my 9 /72 matchups look to be hitting only 40%
08 YTD [184-154-16] 54.23%


sunday
9 72 pga matchups due in
more pga 4th rnd only [kinda scary 4th rd performace] 1/3 units ONLY
c campbell +100/over z johnson
p harrington -170/s flesch
l donald -105/kj choi
jb holmes -130/m wilson
v taylor +115/s verplank
s appleby -145/j rollins
ncaab 1/2 unit play
charlotte +2 -115
thats enough no adding

[accuscoresucks]

great weekend guys sunday is either going to be 10-6
or 9-7 charlotte +2 playing now,their hanging in their
will update later w/mondays picks if any ?
this weekend if we loose the charl. 18-8-1 [68.5%] this will put us very very close to 55% something only the top 3/4% of all sports investors can say,why am i mentioning this because i am here to help you new guys out,regardless i still see people loosing their shirts,misshandling money,making gut bets instead of using stats.wish people would learn how to share more,i have the same problem.

well continueing forward we will look to surpass 55%,pretty easily to MLB is were 50% of my yearly salary is earned.
sports investing kills those stock traders a 55% wr=over a 100% roi

[accuscoresucks]

sunday 9-6-1
08 YTD [193-160-17] 54.46%
monday
no plays a slight mabye on a total but thinking its not a good idea

[accuscoresucks]

tuesday
nba this is nba guys 1/2uints or less plz
orlando +9
golden state +8
memphis +6
more noonish??
ncaab
no games TOTAL noonish??

[accuscoresucks]

tuesday 1-2
08 YTD [194-162-17] 54.28%
wednesday
nba
orlando +7
memphis +9
more?? noonish
ncaab
butler .fav.[-4] ml when its out
north texas -1
wisconsin -1
more??
pga WGC MATCHPLAY[1rst round]
p harrington -215
r sabbatini -200
r allenby +110
l donald -170
d toms -110
a braddeley -150
j leonard -125
e els -210
p mickelson -270
t woods -400

[accuscoresucks]

some rare adds as of late
nba
chicago -150 /jersey seems injury prone tonite
ncaab
update butler -185
wisconsin/illinois over 118 gt -105

[wallym]

thanks for sharing. really appreciate it. just wondering, is it too much to ask if you can categorise your picks into confidence levels? like "high confidence - pick1, pick2" ; "medium - pick3", "low - pick4, pick5"

again, thanks heaps. all the best.

[accuscoresucks]

welcome to the forum wallym hope you take the books to the cleaners,thats why atleast some of us are here.

answer to your question i dont really catagorize because i flat bet although at times in some spots,days,or sports i will go lower with the amounts,%s i bet because of hot,cold streaks,ex.[last 2 nba days horride]not to mention i am pretty busy making money as you can see,but i will start giving my plays a star system that you may use as a quideline to help you understand risk/levels .25*lowest confidence level to a 2* highest confidence level.
their are articles here on money management that will help you written by some good cappers,i cannot remember but i have written some comments to.
i am here to help questions are always welcomed if you really need to ask

[accuscoresucks]

wednesday 11-6 a good day
08 YTD [205-168-17] 54.74%
wgc accenture matchplay 1*
j leonard +100
p harrington -130
a scott -165
ncaab .75*
montana state -1 -125 [buy 1.5 pts]
total noonish??
im re-evaluating nba so totals only for now and for you nba people thats only a few plays a week if were lucky

[wallym]

thanks mate!

unfortunately, at the moment, it's me who's being cleaned up by the books...but working on turning the table around...

the star rating system will be awesome.

all the best!

[accuscoresucks]

thursday 1-3 sorry guys i cant -win em all
08 YTD [206-171-17] 54.44%


friday
wgc matchplay r3 .50*
t woods -400
h stenson -140
v singh -140
nba .33*
hou/no over 186 gt -105
sacramento -1
denver -1 [sac,denv buy it to -1]
noonish?
ncaab
no games /mabye a total looking doubtfull

[accuscoresucks]

friday 3-2-1 grrrr should of fkn had 1 more win grrrrr
08 YTD [209-173-18] 54.50%


saturday
NBA .25*
indiana +5
ml denver when it comes
no/sa over 184.5 gt -105
WGC MATCHPLAY ACCENTURE .50*
j leonard -105
h stenson -145
t woods -330/his opponent SUCKS shit this time but BEST line so far
NCAAB .75*
ga tech +5
richmond +4
northern arizona -1
farfield +6
montana state +7
totals ?? a little later

[accuscoresucks]

nba update denver -140
adding
ncaab
cincinati/georgetown over 122 gt -105
iowa/michigan state over 119 gt
tnn tech/e tnn tech under 160 gt

[accuscoresucks]

ok to help all these new guys out next to my sports i have been but from now on will be putting a STAR next to the sport

$10 scale to grade

flat betting guidline.example of flat betting-vs-laying

flat betting risk $10 on a -150 line to win $6.70/flat betting is THE OPTIMIZIED METHOD,because you may risk the same amount nomatter what the line is?[exp.--200]some books do not offer this method for instance wsex does not

laying ABSOLUTE WASTE METHOD, using wood as i like to call it to [win $10 you need to risk $15 on a -150 line]so your risk varies on any given line,throwing your method off,and putting you on the wrong side from the start.i know i know if you have a large bank this doesnt mean much,but beleive me MONEY MATTERS


.25*/.50*/.75*/1*/1.25*/1.50*/1.75*/2*
example $10=100%/or a full 2*[.25*=$1.25]

2* = 100%[$10] of a full bet

lets grade todays[SATURDAYS] card to put this example into play

3 nba plays @ .25*= $3.75[risked] [1/.25*=$1.25per wager[graded value]
1-2 sat record line that won was -105
1.25 + .95% = $2.44 won
3.75 risked
- 2.44
= [-$1.31]


8 ncaab @ .75*[$3.75] =$30 risked
3-5 sat record [1w @ -105/2w @ -125 i think?]forgot exactly how many points i bought
3.75 + 95%= $7.31
2 x 3.75= $7.5+[80%,0r -125 conversion]=$13.5
$30 risked
- $20.81 amount won
=[-$9.19]


3 golf picks @ .*50[$2.50]=$7.50 risked
all 3 won
@ -105,-145,and -330
2.50+95%=$4.88
2.50 + 69% =$4.23
$2.50 + 30%=$3.25
$12.36 won-/+$7.50 risked
=[+4.86 profit]

so for today i was down 6-7$ or on a star grade down about
.75* but easily could of had more wins they were all in their till the end those ncaab guys gave it up in the 2nd half,probrably because they arent in the tourney

[accuscoresucks]

saturday 7-7 guys i didnt know we were to go bowling
08 YTD [216-180-18] 54.34%

sunday
nba .30*
boston ml when it hits
ncaab .65*
wisconsin +2
new orleans +3
wright state +11
total noonish????

[accuscoresucks]

nba
update boston -230
adding ncaab
wright state/illinois state over 116 gt -105

[accuscoresucks]

sunday 4-1
08 YTD [220-181-18] 54.65%


monday
possible few plays ?noonish?

[accuscoresucks]

mondays plays
nba .30*
washington +6 -110
atlanta +6.5 -110
ncaab .30*
san diego/saint marys over 128 gt -105
san francisco/santa clara over 124 gt -105

[accuscoresucks]

forgot to mention the 2 nba plays are 1rst half lines,trying something new for a day,or so

[accuscoresucks]

monday 2-2
08 YTD [222-183-18] 54.60%

TUESDAY
NCAAB .50*
drake -1
NBA .25*
sacramento -1
cleveland -1
washington +14