French Basket Semifinals

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  • kkkkk
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-30-09
    • 523

    #1
    French Basket Semifinals
    I dont know if its the correct place here. However my preview on it:

    today 1 game:

    Le Mans - Roanne 1.30 / 4.00 Handycap Le Mans -7,5 Totals line:150.5

    Pick Roanne +7.5

    Im some kind of disapointed of Le Mans performance this season. They made a lot mistakes vs weak teams. Last game in quarterfinals vs Paris they were losing by 13 pts if im not wrong. And maybe becose Paris though they won it, or maybe becose of Le Mans power, they came back and won.
    On other hand Roanne had great second part of season with 12 wins and 3 loses to finish on 3 place with wins vs strong many top teams. They could had finished on better place, if their opponents made 1 or 2 mistakes more. They also beat in Quarterfinals team of Orleans, who is for sure a top 4 team in France. And Roanne did that with style. Roanne showed many good things in the games - fast breaks, good long range shooting,even mentality to come back and win a game. Maybe they have been forced by the crowd power on homecourt, that was huge boost for them.
    Most of the teams in France are equal, they might win and lose over/to at least 8 other teams. None of the teams here is superior/stable. Le Mans counts as top team this year, but as said they allowed many mistakes, maybe becose they played a lot games in France and Europe and were tired. Cholet made good start with something like 13-2 but lose more games in second part of season.
    So many points here in taking away team with handycap are:
    1. Roanne showed very good performance in 2nd halfseason.
    2. They showed huge potential in quarterfinals.
    3. Le Mans isnt that strong squad this year. Salyers avarage is far away from previous years.
    I even see some chance for away win here, but what concerns me taking it is(contra points):
    1. Im disapointed from Le Mans. I expected better team this year, especially with Salyers. Maybe they are still much better team then i think now. Maybe my opinion isnt that objective, but more subjective here.
    2. Le Mans weak period was when they participated in Europe and had a lot games, they were tired. After dismiss in Europe, they played better in France with only 1 lose in last 6-7 games. Maybe they are good on track now.
    3. Roanne is better team in second part of season but even in Quartefinals they won 2-1 becose of home advantage here. They lost away game to Orleans, and according to what i saw they were boosted to homecrowd for the wins(which isnt that bad). My point is they might beat Le Mans but it will be much harder on away game.
    With those contra points i want to say, maybe i underrate the home team and overrate away team. However its more then 1 game in semis and Roanne might throw the game if they dont play ok the whole game and lose by more then 7 points. If it was a final +7 would be better choice and had more possibility to success. You decide what to take. My advice is:

    Roanne +7.5 4.5/10
    Roanne ML 2/10
  • xxxvince
    SBR MVP
    • 12-17-07
    • 2567

    #2
    thanks for the play
    Comment
    • kkkkk
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-30-09
      • 523

      #3
      preview can be found on my blog aswell.
      Comment
      • kkkkk
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-30-09
        • 523

        #4
        FT 75-68 Bet won

        Very close bet. Roanne played very good until last 3mins where Le Mans build up the lead to 10 pts. With a 3pter 15 secs to go Roanne made it 7 pts, and lucky they gave up and made no fouls My hot strike on basket continues
        Comment
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