If I told you 3 weeks ago....

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  • NBAStats
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-18-10
    • 665

    #1
    If I told you 3 weeks ago....
    That you could get the Hawks moneyline at home at +250 with no injuries, how much would you put on it? I would have backed the money truck up and dumped a very hefty sum. While it is apparent that the Magic have thoroughly dominated the Hawks as much as possible, how much does that really mean. Do you give a few games more consideration, or the body of work for the entire season?

    I'm not totally disregarding the short term, because of course it is important. But, I'm going to put more value into the season's body of work. Yes, the Hawks appeared to have quit in Game 3. But these guys all have large egos and want to play well, if only for selfish reasons. They will play hard in Game 4 because it is important to them financially. Are they the inferior team? Clearly the answer is yes. With that being said I still can't convince myself that the Magic should be anything greater than -160 in this spot. I'm going with the body of work, and Atl +250.
  • jgiun1
    SBR MVP
    • 11-07-09
    • 2559

    #2
    If someone would of told me they were going to struggle with Milwaukee with no Bogut and barely win that series playing a team with all heart......I can't buy being down 3 games to none to a team with heart and talent to boot.
    Comment
    • t-wizzle
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-18-09
      • 38099

      #3
      Forget the "body of work" crap. Atlanta wins games they're supposed to (i.e. they beat the crappy teams) but they are always outclassed by the true contenders. The team has a loser's mentality and will be hanging their heads again tonight when they get down early.
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        Dont do it. They are a gutless bunch of thugs. You know why they dont go to the rim? They are afraid of coming back to the bench and being told by fellow thugs they just got punked. This is a team of thugs. They will get whipped again tonight.
        Comment
        • jgiun1
          SBR MVP
          • 11-07-09
          • 2559

          #5
          thugs.....that's great LB
          Comment
          • lyon804
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-02-09
            • 6526

            #6
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            Dont do it. They are a gutless bunch of thugs. You know why they dont go to the rim? They are afraid of coming back to the bench and being told by fellow thugs they just got punked. This is a team of thugs. They will get whipped again tonight.


            I was wandering why..
            Comment
            • NBAStats
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-18-10
              • 665

              #7
              Originally posted by lakerboy
              Dont do it. They are a gutless bunch of thugs. You know why they dont go to the rim? They are afraid of coming back to the bench and being told by fellow thugs they just got punked. This is a team of thugs. They will get whipped again tonight.
              I'm not gonna fire too hard on it. I may start off with a bigger initial bet, and try to live a decent middle.
              Comment
              • The General
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-10-05
                • 13279

                #8
                Orlando should end this tonight and move on, IMO.

                GL
                Comment
                • brooks85
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-05-09
                  • 44709

                  #9
                  i know what you are saying but that is like asking me weeks ago if i wanted to go swim in the gulf of mexico today...
                  Comment
                  • NBAStats
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 665

                    #10
                    Thoughts about potential 2nd half bets in this game? If Atlanta is leading I'm going with Hawks + whatever in the 2nd half. If it's Magic by double digits I'm going Magic + whatever. If Orlando is ahead by single digits I'm laying off.
                    Comment
                    • Wilforth
                      Restricted User
                      • 05-10-08
                      • 16309

                      #11
                      Originally posted by t-wizzle
                      Forget the "body of work" crap. Atlanta wins games they're supposed to (i.e. they beat the crappy teams) but they are always outclassed by the true contenders. The team has a loser's mentality and will be hanging their heads again tonight when they get down early.
                      Comment
                      • str
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-12-09
                        • 11664

                        #12
                        Forget about the body of work. Its all about the mental side. Orlando is confident and Atlanta has quit twice and is crushed.With all the money guaranteed there would only be one reason for the Atlanta players to want to go back to Orlando and its not to play basketball.
                        In my opinion, if they win, it is all about Orlando letting them.
                        Comment
                        • krk1030
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-13-08
                          • 17610

                          #13
                          Magic win this one by 20+
                          Comment
                          • NOLA42
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-27-10
                            • 243

                            #14
                            Originally posted by brooks85
                            i know what you are saying but that is like asking me weeks ago if i wanted to go swim in the gulf of mexico today...

                            Very good comparison haha
                            Comment
                            • NBAStats
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 665

                              #15
                              Any thoughts on which way this will move in the next 30 minutes? Right now ATL+6 -101 ORL -6 -107. ML -300 +264
                              Comment
                              • NBAStats
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 665

                                #16
                                ATL ML 100x at +252
                                ATL 1h +3 140x at +3 (-106)
                                ATL +5.5 150x (+106)
                                Comment
                                • THEGREAT30
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-04-08
                                  • 8970

                                  #17
                                  Great use of logic OP, Hawks win and start greatest comeback in playoff history, truism
                                  Comment
                                  • SHADYLANKY
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-13-09
                                    • 1137

                                    #18
                                    I think ORL handles them easily tonight. The Hawks don't have the heart and look like a bunch of quitters. Maybe should think playing the 1st qtr or half. They might come out with a decent effort. I don't think so but even if they do I think Orl wears them down and takes them out.
                                    Comment
                                    • NBAStats
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 665

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by THEGREAT30
                                      Great use of logic OP, Hawks win and start greatest comeback in playoff history, truism
                                      Love truism instead of good day
                                      Comment
                                      • camel
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-26-09
                                        • 1711

                                        #20
                                        Bucks would've put up a better fight against the Magic.
                                        Comment
                                        • NBAStats
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 665

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by NBAStats
                                          ATL ML 100x at +252
                                          ATL 1h +3 140x at +3 (-106)
                                          ATL +5.5 150x (+106)
                                          The failboat is halfway home.
                                          Comment
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