That you could get the Hawks moneyline at home at +250 with no injuries, how much would you put on it? I would have backed the money truck up and dumped a very hefty sum. While it is apparent that the Magic have thoroughly dominated the Hawks as much as possible, how much does that really mean. Do you give a few games more consideration, or the body of work for the entire season?
I'm not totally disregarding the short term, because of course it is important. But, I'm going to put more value into the season's body of work. Yes, the Hawks appeared to have quit in Game 3. But these guys all have large egos and want to play well, if only for selfish reasons. They will play hard in Game 4 because it is important to them financially. Are they the inferior team? Clearly the answer is yes. With that being said I still can't convince myself that the Magic should be anything greater than -160 in this spot. I'm going with the body of work, and Atl +250.
I'm not totally disregarding the short term, because of course it is important. But, I'm going to put more value into the season's body of work. Yes, the Hawks appeared to have quit in Game 3. But these guys all have large egos and want to play well, if only for selfish reasons. They will play hard in Game 4 because it is important to them financially. Are they the inferior team? Clearly the answer is yes. With that being said I still can't convince myself that the Magic should be anything greater than -160 in this spot. I'm going with the body of work, and Atl +250.