Utah-LAL total finally increased -- do you take the bait?

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Utah-LAL total finally increased -- do you take the bait?
    If I remember correctly, the total has been in the 201-203 range for every game this series. Now it's at 207.

    Simply an adjustment to the series scoring, or a trap to get people to bite on the over? (82% of public on over right now)
  • HoulihansTX
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-12-09
    • 30566

    #2
    Just wait it out.

    I have learned that the only time that you need to bet early is when you are betting favorites.

    Other than that let people bet the OVER all day, get the best number.

    GL No Con
    Comment
    • kobefanatic
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-19-10
      • 9013

      #3
      i took the over, it's hard to take the under on jazz games
      Comment
      • shari91
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-23-10
        • 32661

        #4
        I think the only bait here would be to keep assuming that a game HAS to go under because the overs have been hitting so much. I fear a lot of people have lost money with that theory during the playoffs so far, as well as with the "XXX HAS to win this game, right?" train of thought.

        What do you cap as the final score in this one?
        Comment
        • WiseGrumpy
          SBR MVP
          • 04-30-10
          • 3654

          #5
          UNDER is the strongest bet of the day.
          gl
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by shari91
            I think the only bait here would be to keep assuming that a game HAS to go under because the overs have been hitting so much. I fear a lot of people have lost money with that theory during the playoffs so far, as well as with the "XXX HAS to win this game, right?" train of thought.

            What do you cap as the final score in this one?
            Could be, shari.

            I have it 105-101 either way. Not sure who's going to win, and the total's so close to my numbers I don't think I'll touch this game at all.

            And thanks, Houli.

            Comment
            • shari91
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-23-10
              • 32661

              #7
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              Could be, shari.

              I have it 105-101 either way. Not sure who's going to win, and the total's so close to my numbers I don't think I'll touch this game at all.

              And thanks, Houli.

              Yeah, I'm definitely staying away from the total as I wouldn't be surprised if the over hit by a point, or for that matter went under by 20. Too unpredictable so far.

              Liking ORL as well, which I fear may be sucker bet so I think I'll keep my bets to half/quarter ones in the Lakers game and make a decision in awhile about the Magic. Best of luck whatever you decide to do!!
              Comment
              • CHAZ
                SBR MVP
                • 12-09-09
                • 4978

                #8
                I still like the OVER. Utah at home can score and score fast. Lakers can do the same with Okur beat up. Plus, I can see it coming down to the very end with a bunch of free throws maybe even a overtime. For me its either Over or no bet.
                Comment
                • Reload
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-23-08
                  • 12248

                  #9
                  I would go with the under. Closeout games can have more intensity causing things to tighten up.
                  Comment
                  • bigsmitty
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-12-10
                    • 3026

                    #10
                    Read an article about Phil J. wanting to limit the 3 balls. Might be a wise plan on the Lakers part to control the clock, etc unless the downtown really catches fire. Cheers
                    Comment
                    • lakerboy
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-02-09
                      • 94379

                      #11
                      just bet 2nd hf over- the most gtd thing in these playoffs in west games- it hits almost every time
                      Comment
                      • Snowball
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 11-15-09
                        • 30047

                        #12
                        LAL are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 Mon. games.
                        Under is 12-5 in LAL last 17 games as an underdog.

                        Utah: UTA are 26-10-2 ATS in their last 38 home games.
                        Over is 10-4 in UTA last 14 Mon. games.
                        UTA are 27-11 ATS in their last 38 Mon. games.

                        Head to Head: Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

                        leans Utah under parlay
                        Comment
                        • Unicorn7
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-29-09
                          • 1445

                          #13
                          I think jazz su is a better play guys
                          Comment
                          • Sawyer
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 06-01-09
                            • 7714

                            #14
                            Leaning Under 207..
                            Comment
                            • Goat Milk
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-24-10
                              • 25850

                              #15
                              1st half Under
                              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                              Comment
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