I might put 5 Dimes on Atlanta ML today.

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  • BeatTheJerk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-19-07
    • 31794

    #36
    I bet 7-10 games a week. I have lowered the amount to 1,100. 5 Dimes is not all in it is 40% read the entire thread before you make such assumptions. I tailed PIMike last night on Boston and got screwed. So yeah I like this pick, but it won't be for 5 Dimes. (Mac4lyfe)
    Comment
    • tbone40143
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-04-09
      • 123

      #37
      Go orlando
      Comment
      • Manaconda
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-22-10
        • 818

        #38
        leavin this game alone but ill be rooting for you hawks backers!
        Comment
        • BeatTheJerk
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-19-07
          • 31794

          #39
          Wager Description Wager Amounts Result
          May 8 12:02pm Basketball - Pending 1122.00 to win 1290.30
          1. Basketball - Atlanta Hawks - moneyline (+115)
          for the entire game held on May 8 at 4:05pm [pending]

          Damn the line changed right when I put it in. Lost 10 points.
          Comment
          • Capybara
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-17-08
            • 11803

            #40
            Originally posted by tealish
            You shouldnt do this for the simple fact that you are going against the hottest team in the NBA right now. Not saying ATL isn't the play, but you don't risk 5 dimes on a team that has been thoroughly dominated by its opposition thus far.
            This guy said it best right there.

            I have the exact same hunch that you have that Atlanta brings their A+ game and puts it all together tonight to get their one win of the series. BUT... how can you make a LARGE bet when you're going against all the evidence???

            It's been clearly shown that Orlando has a huge matchup advantage when these teams meet -- that is a verifiable statistical situation. Atlanta's weakness is right up against Orlando's strength. Given that, it's WAY too risky to think that Atlanta's suddenly figured out how to fix this. You're basically banking on intangibles like home crowd and energy and all that stuff...

            Always make your giant bets behind the better team, in my opinion. Not chasing the inferior one with +EV.
            Comment
            • Fiasco
              SBR MVP
              • 11-02-08
              • 2406

              #41
              I think atlanta has it's best chance tonight.... but I'm still not sure if they can get it done...
              Comment
              • Brocc
                SBR MVP
                • 12-25-09
                • 1660

                #42
                Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
                Put it on the Yankees.
                Agree here also.

                The Hawks is an insane play, I already have about $1500 on Magic...How can you make a point for a team that has been dominated all year by the Mag???

                What makes you think they'll finally pull their heads out of their asses today? The players are average and their coach sucks and you want to put 5Gs on them?

                Shit I'm thinking about taking your action
                Comment
                • BeatTheJerk
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-19-07
                  • 31794

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Brocc
                  Agree here also.

                  The Hawks is an insane play, I already have about $1500 on Magic...How can you make a point for a team that has been dominated all year by the Mag???

                  What makes you think they'll finally pull their heads out of their asses today? The players are average and their coach sucks and you want to put 5Gs on them?

                  Shit I'm thinking about taking your action
                  Again guys read the whole thread. Not just the title .................
                  Comment
                  • FireMedic1614
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-05-10
                    • 1255

                    #44
                    If you want a better deal give me half the money ill kick you in the nutz and youll still have the same feeling you will after this game only you will have some money left in yer pocket
                    Comment
                    • Brocc
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-25-09
                      • 1660

                      #45
                      Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                      This is bit of a chase because I have been losing my ass the past 2 weeks. I love this play extremely to consider this amount for my BR. Chime in ..............

                      Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                      Atlanta wins game 3. Orlando wins game 4. This is how I think this series will go.
                      You said it....You've been getting crushed the past 2 weeks, so now you think that your logic is correct???

                      That's why you will lose this, you're cold, you're making the wrong plays, whether the plays are your own or you're tailing the wrong people.

                      Can't wish you luck cause I'm on the Magic....Throw a dime on the Yankees & Phils to cover your loss.
                      Comment
                      • UpsetSpecial09
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-01-10
                        • 1438

                        #46
                        The books are just begging for people to take Atlanta, look at that line. People thinking they are at home and in a pretty much must win situation, etc. They lost by 40+ points in game one! That is enough right there to deter most people from playing this I would hope. I am not going big on the Magic here like I did in Games 1 and 2 however because I know there is a chance they go be upset but I highly doubt it. Have some parlays with Orlando and will probably add some straight plays for the games and quarters. Theres better games on the board. Atlanta is simply not worth the risk at all! You want an upset pick, take the Lakers for 1 unit tonight. The Magic are the best team in the NBA as far as I am concerned, why go against them? I think the Magic at -130 tonight is a bargain!
                        Comment
                        • BeatTheJerk
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-19-07
                          • 31794

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Brocc
                          You said it....You've been getting crushed the past 2 weeks, so now you think that your logic is correct???

                          That's why you will lose this, you're cold, you're making the wrong plays, whether the plays are your own or you're tailing the wrong people.

                          Can't wish you luck cause I'm on the Magic....Throw a dime on the Yankees & Phils to cover your loss.
                          GL you seem real confident.
                          Comment
                          • BeatTheJerk
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-19-07
                            • 31794

                            #48
                            Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                            Wager Description Wager Amounts Result
                            May 8 12:02pm Basketball - Pending 1122.00 to win 1290.30
                            1. Basketball - Atlanta Hawks - moneyline (+115)
                            for the entire game held on May 8 at 4:05pm [pending]

                            Damn the line changed right when I put it in. Lost 10 points.
                            Official bet.
                            Comment
                            • HoulihansTX
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-12-09
                              • 30566

                              #49
                              Originally posted by FireMedic1614
                              If you want a better deal give me half the money ill kick you in the nutz and youll still have the same feeling you will after this game only you will have some money left in yer pocket
                              WOW
                              Comment
                              • BeatTheJerk
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-19-07
                                • 31794

                                #50
                                Greek
                                Comment
                                • Vesuvius
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-19-08
                                  • 3886

                                  #51
                                  I think Atlanta is the play, but wouldn't bet much on it.
                                  Comment
                                  • JerseyShop101
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-04-08
                                    • 2704

                                    #52
                                    I believe you have a winner.

                                    Good luck today!
                                    Comment
                                    • Brocc
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-25-09
                                      • 1660

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                      GL you seem real confident.
                                      It's much easier to be confident in a great team & a great coach in the playoffs. Regular season shit happens, but come playoffs the cream rises to the top. I made loads of cash in the 90s with MJ & the Bulls. Same scenarios here with Magic, Suns, LA & Cavs...all are strong, focused, great bench strength and motivated teams with great coaching. Fvck that shit about fixes and what Stern wants...A great team will beat an average, mediocre coached team almost every time in the playoffs.

                                      I never want to see a poster lose serious money here,I'm not trying to break your stones.
                                      Comment
                                      • jon38386
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 05-06-10
                                        • 28

                                        #54
                                        im with you but for a much lesser amount! gl!
                                        Comment
                                        • Extra Innings
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-26-10
                                          • 15058

                                          #55
                                          I'm on Orlando but to support Beat The Jerks position, -2.5 for a teams that has CRUSHED
                                          Comment
                                          • BatemanPatrickl
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 06-21-07
                                            • 18772

                                            #56
                                            You should not do it because it is a bit of a chase. Take some time off and regroup BTJ. You are a solid capper
                                            Comment
                                            • FreeFall
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-20-08
                                              • 3365

                                              #57
                                              All I heard was I don't have bank management and would rather burn this money in the fire.
                                              Comment
                                              • sideline36
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-01-09
                                                • 215

                                                #58
                                                Dude ATL is who we thought they were LOSERS!
                                                Comment
                                                • amarkle2
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 01-15-10
                                                  • 127

                                                  #59
                                                  If you watched the hawks play all playoffs thats a crazy bet. They play way to selfish of a style to beat the Magic. I do they think they play better at home but to risk that much money on the hawks is crazy. They struggled against the bucks. the bucks enough said.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BeatTheJerk
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 08-19-07
                                                    • 31794

                                                    #60
                                                    I'm not putting 5 Dimes on ATLANTA !!!




                                                    Comment
                                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                      • 48366

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                                      I bet 7-10 games a week. I have lowered the amount to 1,100. 5 Dimes is not all in it is 40% read the entire thread before you make such assumptions. I tailed PIMike last night on Boston and got screwed. So yeah I like this pick, but it won't be for 5 Dimes. (Mac4lyfe)
                                                      I read the thread and 5 Dimes is 5 Dimes. 40% of your bank roll on tilt is basically ALL IN.

                                                      I don't have any money on this one so I wish you luck but even betting a dime on the Hawks in this spot is too risky a play, especially for 10% of your bank. If you take 1% of your roll, your base unit should be around $100. Why bet 10 units on the Hawks? Why even think about betting 5 Dimes = 50 Units on the Hawks? Based on what we've seen so far (Orlando bitch slapping them in the playoffs and winning 9 of the last 10) why lay more than 1 or 2 units on them? Sometimes the best bet is to no bet at all.

                                                      People think this is the game Atlanta wins but this is the game Orlando can steal IMO. There is absolutely nothing that points to an Atlanta win here. Nothing. Taking ATL is purely a hunch. BOL though.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BeatTheJerk
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 08-19-07
                                                        • 31794

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                                        I'm not putting 5 Dimes on ATLANTA !!!




                                                        Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                                        Wager Description Wager Amounts Result
                                                        May 8 12:02pm Basketball - Pending 1122.00 to win 1290.30
                                                        1. Basketball - Atlanta Hawks - moneyline (+115)
                                                        for the entire game held on May 8 at 4:05pm [pending]

                                                        Damn the line changed right when I put it in. Lost 10 points.
                                                        Obviously you haven't sir.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pavyracer
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-12-07
                                                          • 82621

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by paco
                                                          Is this statement Bias by any chance Pavy?
                                                          I called out Hawks last two wins vs the Bucks. I even said the Hawks let the Bucks beat them on game 5 so they can have another home game sellout. I suppose you can say is biased because I live here but regardless I was correct on both calls.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • NBAStats
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 665

                                                            #64
                                                            I think you know about the bankroll management part, you don't need anyone to tell you that.

                                                            Take the 2.5 though bro. I agree the Hawks win straight up, but with a bet that big I want the extra 2.5 point for the 31 cent price difference.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ANGRYBLACK
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-16-10
                                                              • 1148

                                                              #65
                                                              $1100. I wish that I could have stopped you earlier. And I can't wish you good luck because I've got $20 on the Magic. Hawks ML should be at +300, AT LEAST. Think about it. The Magic are the hottest team in the NBA at the moment. Hawks barley got by the Bucks. The Suns/Spurs had close games and had a +300 line. I'm just saying that even if you win, the bookies still cheated you with that +115...



                                                              Comment
                                                              • BeatTheJerk
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 08-19-07
                                                                • 31794

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by ANGRYBLACK
                                                                $1100. I wish that I could have stopped you earlier. And I can't wish you good luck because I've got $20 on the Magic. Hawks ML should be at +300, AT LEAST. Think about it. The Magic are the hottest team in the NBA at the moment. Hawks barley got by the Bucks. The Suns/Spurs had close games and had a +300 line. I'm just saying that even if you win, the bookies still cheated you with that +115...



                                                                +300 The Hawks are 37-8 at home this year. 1-1 against the Magic.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • tokio
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-30-10
                                                                  • 2150

                                                                  #67
                                                                  i will be suprised if the hawks win tonight. no way. play is magics ML
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                                    • 48366

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                                                    Obviously you haven't sir.
                                                                    You need to reread my post... I know you didn't bet 5 dimes but your the one that said you were thinking about betting 5 dimes in your original post. I said in a post why would you go all in and you came back that 5 dimes wasn't all in for you but only 40% of your roll. I then came back and said 5 dimes is still 5 dimes. Translation... it's still a lot of money and 40% of anyone's roll on tilt will be all in eventually.

                                                                    Then you post an Atlanta dime bet and I said... I don't have any money on this one so I wish you luck but even betting a dime on the Hawks in this spot is too risky a play, especially for 10% of your bank.

                                                                    I'm listening very closely to what your posting. I just don't agree with most of it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BeatTheJerk
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 08-19-07
                                                                      • 31794

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                                      You need to reread my post... I know you didn't bet 5 dimes but your the one that said you were thinking about betting 5 dimes in your original post. I said in a post why would you go all in and you came back that 5 dimes wasn't all in for you but only 40% of your roll. I then came back and said 5 dimes is still 5 dimes. Translation... it's still a lot of money and 40% of anyone's roll on tilt will be all in eventually.

                                                                      Then you post an Atlanta dime bet and I said... I don't have any money on this one so I wish you luck but even betting a dime on the Hawks in this spot is too risky a play, especially for 10% of your bank.

                                                                      I'm listening very closely to what your posting. I just don't agree with most of it.
                                                                      Great anything else ??? Jesus Christ guy ...............
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • minet123
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 02-17-07
                                                                        • 10280

                                                                        #70
                                                                        cash'em BIG today BTJ
                                                                        See you at the window
                                                                        Comment
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