Sunday hedge

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Sunday hedge
    I'm taking Sunday off. Playoffs have been a grind, and I'm drained right now.

    Only play I have is an 6:1 parlay resting on the Hawks at -9. I'm going to take the Bucks at +9 to hedge -- just trying to figure out how much. Maybe 40%? I'm fairly confident in the Hawks, but not enough to just let it ride (it's a $20 parlay that pays almost $120).

    Thoughts?
  • orangeheaven
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-28-10
    • 451

    #2
    Hedge it Live in third/fourth quarter if you can. I'd definately hedge it, a small profit is better than nothing at all.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by orangeheaven
      Hedge it Live in third/fourth quarter if you can. I'd definately hedge it, a small profit is better than nothing at all.
      That shit makes me nervous. For instance, what if I'd been in this boat for Game 5 when the Hawks were up 10 in the fourth quarter?

      Of course it should help me get a better return on investment, but it also has the potential to blow up in my face if I get middled or something bizarre happens. Considering I'm 0-4 with sides in this series so far, I don't think I'm going to roll the dice and instead just put $60 or so down on the Bucks at +9.
      Comment
      • Sunde91
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-26-09
        • 8325

        #4
        I would watch live in and hedge double your original stake if needed. Hawks should roll.

        I don't think there will be any come backs in this game. If it's blow-out esque early, it will stay that way.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Now that THA DIESEL's on Atlanta, I might just lay the entire $140 on the Bucks.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by Sunde91
            I would watch live in and hedge double your original stake. Hawks should roll.
            Operative word.

            I don't trust this team. I don't trust Woodson.
            Comment
            • texhooper
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-05-09
              • 10001

              #7
              you seem pretty freaking nervous so just cut it in half and breathe easy.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Originally posted by texhooper
                you seem pretty freaking nervous so just cut it in half and breathe easy.
                9's a lot for a Game 7. Again, Atlanta should cover that, but I don't have enough confidence in them to let it ride.
                Comment
                • FireMedic1614
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-05-10
                  • 1255

                  #9
                  not to mention honestly if the bucks didnt have 1 bad quater last game they were right with atlanta... hawks can just as easily go cold
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #10
                    Originally posted by FireMedic1614
                    not to mention honestly if the bucks didnt have 1 bad quater last game they were right with atlanta... hawks can just as easily go cold
                    I can see the Hawks getting up big early and losing their focus. IMHO, there's about a 99.5% chance Atlanta wins this game, and probably a 95% chance it's by at least 5 points. Whether or not it will be by more than 9, though -- that's kind of a gray area for me. A backdoor cover is a distinct possibility here; hell, Atlanta could be up 14 with a minute left and give up a couple of long bombs to Milwaukee's scrubs.
                    Comment
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