Bucks +10 (120)

[iceminers26]

I'll be the first to say this is the square play, catching this many in a game 7, not to mention that it opened up at 9 and with a lower percentage backing the Hawks it still found its way to 9.5 but I can't resist playing the Bucks in this spot.

MIL are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 road games.
MIL are 36-14-2 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
MIL are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Sun. games.

The Bucks have been as solid as you will find ATS on the road, been good in general ATS too, and have covered at a good percentage over their past 10 on Sundays judging from the trends listed above.

Add in the fact that the Hawks looked like shit down the stretch on their home floor in game 5, the dog has not only covered the last 2 but won straight up, this is a game 7, and this is a Bucks team that has a scrappy coach who will push them to the end, I just can't get off the points in this one and will back the Bucks +10.

Opinions on this one welcomed.

[iceminers26]

Forgot to mention that this is a Hawks team that is notorious for having long scoring droughts so another reason why I like this many points in this one.

[Sunde91]

I don't think it's square, slight % action on Bucks, but you would think people would pound the Hawks.

[mozomboking]

atl hawks ml

[iceminers26]

I'm a value bettor mozomboking so wouldn't even think about doing something like that let alone with a club like the Hawks who can go on droughts, but good luck with your play.

[iceminers26]

Sunde

Yeah most would usually back the home club in a game 7 but with this many points I feel more action will come in on the Bucks and the books want that action, but I still can't resist grabbing this number with a descent club against this Hawks team who can be shaky.

[KingKolzig]

this game has a better chance of being 90-85 Hawks then it does 100-85 Hawks. Hawks arent even a top 10 NBA team, they can lose this game flat-out........the real line should be Hawks -6.5

[lakerboy]

You can hedge in live betting at some point but do it quick cause mil is gonna lose by more than 20.

[THEGREAT30]

I agree should be Hawks -6, but Hawks are definitely a top 10 team even though I would not be surprised to see them lose this straight up, I'm squaring up with the Bucks, good day

[KingKolzig]

I agree should be Hawks -6, but Hawks are definitely a top 10 team even though I would not be surprised to see them lose this straight up, I'm squaring up with the Bucks, good day

I dont know about that. Factor in character, past playoff experience, road record, coaching ect.

Cleveland
Orlando
Boston
LAL
Dallas
Phoenix
Denver
Utah
SAS
OKC

Definite?

a case can even be made that with Bogut the bucks are better. Hawks have top 5 talent, but are not really a top 10 team

[HoulihansTX]

Both of the teams in this matchup are garbage non-contenders.

Hawks by a landslide BTW

[texhooper]

You can hedge in live betting at some point but do it quick cause mil is gonna lose by more than 20.

i think they will get bounced out pretty easily too. i might actually take hawks first half and hawks for the game, which i almost never do.

[DrStale]

Those ATS records you posted were compiled with a guy named Bogut playing, take that into consideration.

[sharper2]

I like the hawks to roll, but im terrified of the backdoor cover. 9.5-10 is just an extremely big spread

[jtang0701]

Hard to say, but i think it will be a close game

[DarkMage]

I like the bucks at +10 even tho the high spreads have not been really working out in the nba lately..

[dollarbill]

To put a line out of "10" in game seven by the boys in Vegas this is not showing any respect by them for Milwaukee. If it was the Cavs I would agree b/c they would want the action divided but this seems like a trap after watching these 2 play? Doesn't Ratcliff play for Milwaukee

[Art Vandelay]

Bucks +10 and the Under 186. And if the Hawks do happen to pull this series out, I will be on Orlando in the next round BIGtime!

[rvfrank]

Oh my

[iceminers26]

Yes throwing a line of +10 out in a game 7 has me a little concerned but lets keep in mind that the majority thought the Hawks would roll in game 5 and they didn't even win straight up. IMO this club has no heart and should never be laying close to double digits to anyone, let alone a scrappy Bucks team in a game 7. I already admitted it is the square play but I'm still rolling with the Bucks +10 because I feel they can keep this close and make a game out of it.

[THEGREAT30]

Oh my

WTF does that mean?

good day

[DrStale]

WTF does that mean?

good day

I think it means he wanted his SBR points for the day.

[No coincidences]

Books are telling us ATL is the play. They've already set the line ridiculously high for a Game 7 -- as high as I can remember in a spot like this. Public is pounding Milwaukee, yet it's gone from 9 to 9.5 and even 10 at some shops.

With all that being said, I agree with your logic, ICE, and wouldn't blame you at all for taking the Bucks. Best of luck.

[MileHigh_Club]

How can you possibly trust the Hawks giving 9.5 or 10 points?
Makes very little sense to do - You either play the Bucks or stay away.

[rochestertitans]

lttle tidbit i found

these are the last 7 yrs of game 7's in the 1st round


2003:
(6) POR 95 (3) DAL 107
(8) ORL 93 (1) DET 108

2004:
(5) NO 77 (4) MIA 85

2005:
(6) IND 97 (3) BOS 70 Upset
(5) HOU 76 (4) DAL 116

2006:
(7) LAL 90 (2) PHO 121

2007:
(5) HOU 99 (4) UTAH 103

2008:
(8) ATL 65 (1) BOS 99

2009:
(5) MIA 78 (4) ATL 91
(7) CHI 99 (2) BOS 109

Game in bold are decide less than 10 pts

[Crnjak]

bucks +9,5 easy win!

[BigOrangeTitans]

we love the bucks. buck stops here

[beanbag]

not a fan.. stay away

[THEGREAT30]

I think it means he wanted his SBR points for the day.

co-sign

[pinnacle212]

bucks down by 9 points with for minutes to go in the upset win of Atlanta game 5. I see -9 without the upset.

[Sawyer]

Milwaukee +9½ is worth of a shot!

[Masu485]

yeah, there's honestly no way of knowing how this will turn out. any outcome is possible. just try to beat the closing number on this one and pray for the best.

[VTranX]

im waiting till the line dips. then ATL!

[remmy358]

i like the play

[GELATINOUS CUBE]

Bucks+9.5
looks.good