Sj55 nba playoff picks

[RoagBettor]

I second this SJ is a beast

I should have given you props also bro, sorry. You are right up there with the best of them.

[PAULYPOKER]

So you are going to go ahead and judge me off one series on whether I am a succesful gambler or not? I hit 60% over 300 plays and 64% in the playoffs, show me one person who did that this year. Don't give me the whole "you could have still lost money if you didn't hit your big ones" because I was 5-0 on my 10 unit plus plays this year which I posted all on here. I may hedge at half of game 6 or on the ML game 7 but right now I am not hedging one unit.

I wasn't talking about your handicapping abilities Sweet because one can have a 70% win record and still be in negative figures if he doesn't have the skills to know when an investment is bad and the money that is risked needs to be bought out for the simple fact the risk is no longer worth it, sure you might pull it out but the odds are now against the series to pay off and you have a large amount of $ invested in it and the best thing you could do right now is buy it out with another solid investment where the odds are in your favor.... Remember the goal is to earn money not to gamble your ass off so when it comes through you can get that high,because if it doesn't come through that low will be a great deal worse than the high could ever be...........

I apologize if I offended you I was just trying to help...........

[sweetjones55]

I wasn't talking about your handicapping abilities Sweet because one can have a 70% win record and still be in negative figures if he doesn't have the skills to know when an investment is bad and the money that is risked needs to be bought out for the simple fact the risk is no longer worth it, sure you might pull it out but the odds are now against the series to pay off and you have a large amount of $ invested in it and the best thing you could do right now is buy it out with another solid investment where the odds are in your favor.... Remember the goal is to earn money not to gamble your ass off so when it comes through you can get that high,because if it doesn't come through that low will be a great deal worse than the high could ever be........... I apologize if I offended you I was just trying to help...........

You are talking to me like I am some kind of noob without a clue, "the goal is to earn money". Come on man, do you really think I could have survived a full NBA season and over 300 plays not knowing that. I don't get too high and I never get too low. The wins and losses honestly don't affect me in that way because of the amount plays I have already had this year. A Lakers series win would just be a very, very small icing on the cake. I am already up 6 units in these NBA finals, I am risking 32 units on the series so at worst I end up losing 26 units on the series. I can easily afford to lose 26 units. I just don't think LA is going to lose the series, they have not been a great road team by any measure the last couple of years in the playoffs. I am not going to abandon the Lakers now bc they dropped two straight on the road. They have been the best home playoff team in these playoffs and in last years and I think they can and will win two in a row vs Boston.

[PAULYPOKER]

So are you going to hedge your series play??

[sweetjones55]

So are you going to hedge your series play??

Read my post above, specifically the last part.

[PAULYPOKER]

You know Boston is the better team right? you know the odds are against LA winning 2 before Boston winning 1 right?

[sweetjones55]

You know Boston is the better team right? you know the odds are against LA winning 2 before Boston winning 1 right?

No I don't know that. How much are you putting on Boston on the series at -110?

[PAULYPOKER]

No I don't know that. How much are you putting on Boston on the series at -110?

Nothing I had them at +160 before the series started and if they would have lost yesterday I would have bought out of it no questions asked.............

[sweetjones55]

I second this SJ is a beast

Appreciate that shoe, for once in my life I actually think you might mean that to an extent.

[jonblayze8]

Hey sj what u think of 1q -2

[BL]

keep it rolling SJ!

[sweetjones55]

Two out of the three refs strongly favor home teams, Derosa is #7 and McCutchen #13.

[dume walker]

I had been thinking of going with Lakers 1Q but it's now at -2.5, which seems a little scary. Think I'll just ride out the series. GL to everyone tonight.

[sweetjones55]

Watch for the Lakers bench and some ref bias towards the Lakers to be the x-factors in this game. I also look for an early start from Kobe rather than in the 2H like last game.

[fly fisher]

Sweet Jones if you didn't have the series bet on Lakers, would you take lakers 1Q -2.5, or Lakers 1H -3.5 or game at -6.5 (seems too high to cover after the way they been playing).

[mundane]

Watch for the Lakers bench and some ref bias towards the Lakers to be the x-factors in this game. I also look for an early start from Kobe rather than in the 2H like last game.

i was drunk when i watch game 5 but would anyone agree with me if i say that the calls on that game favored celtics????

[sweetjones55]

i was drunk when i watch game 5 but would anyone agree with me if i say that the calls on that game favored celtics????

Donaghy reviews all of the questionable calls for every game in the NBA Finals. There were about 12 questionable calls in the 2H of game 5 and every single one of them went to the C's except for one. Hence why when Kobe couldn't miss in the 2H the Lakers couldn't seem to cut into the lead.

[fly fisher]

Donaghy reviews all of the questionable calls for every game in the NBA Finals. There were about 12 questionable calls in the 2H of game 5 and every single one of them went to the C's except for one. Hence why when Kobe couldn't miss in the 2H the Lakers couldn't seem to cut into the lead.

So to get that game seven, shouldn't lakers get those calls at home?

Sad to say but I will miss the game, we have hs football camp during this week. 8-10 and 6-8:30, might be able to slip into a bar and watch the fourth quarter. Love being a coach, but hate to mis NBA finals games.

[fly fisher]

well for better or worse, I am going with the NBA Showtime money maker for a game 7, I am taking Lakers for -6.5 for a small bet to cover tonight. Here is to hoping the Lakers get the calls that the Celtics have been getting in the last two games.

Off to football camp.

[sweetjones55]

GL fly. I still think with a perfectly fair called game that the Lakers will win tonight either way.

[rtx1125]

My Bets For Tonight:

Celtics/Lakers Over 188
Lakers 1Q -2

[FR3SH like UgHH]

sweetjones too much bs in here....

u got a play for tonite or is it just lakers for the series?

[sweetjones55]

sweetjones too much bs in here....

u got a play for tonite or is it just lakers for the series?

I got Lakers for the Series risking 32 units to win 20.

[sweetjones55]

Sweet Jones if you didn't have the series bet on Lakers, would you take lakers 1Q -2.5, or Lakers 1H -3.5 or game at -6.5 (seems too high to cover after the way they been playing).

Always take the Lakers 1Q at home if you have to decide between the three, doesn't matter the situation or who they are playing. It is their best quarter and they usually build up their leads in this quarter.

[sweetjones55]

Good luck to everyone tonight on their plays.

[fly fisher]

SJ, thanks for the feedback. I did take lakers 1st qtr and the 1 H under like WiseGrumpy talked about and I took the lakers for the game to cover the -6.5. Hope they continue to cover. also got home in time to take the celtics at -2 for second half, hope that was the right call too.

[sweetjones55]

Watch for the Lakers bench and some ref bias towards the Lakers to be the x-factors in this game. I also look for an early start from Kobe rather than in the 2H like last game.

Nailed it! Lakers bench absolutely obliterates Bostons bench and is the biggest xfactor. Kobe gets off to a hella fast start in the 1st quarter. And a little ref bias in the 1H to help LA build up the lead. O ya and it is still the 3rd quarter

[sweetjones55]

Sweet you need to hedge your series bet right now and you know this and if you don't you are not really a successful gambler like you claim to be.. Money Management Skills if ya don't got em ya don't succeed.....

You know Boston is the better team right? you know the odds are against LA winning 2 before Boston winning 1 right?

Sooo what do you suggest I do now Pauly?

[sweetjones55]

NBA FINALS CARD
Lakers -190 Series Price (10X) LOCKED
Lakers -135 Series Price (10X)LOCKED
Lakers -1.5 1st Quarter Game 1 BIG (4X) LOCKED WINNER!!
Celtics Team Total OVER 92.5 (3X) LOCKED WINNER!!
Celtics 1H -1.5 Game 4 (1X) loss LOCKED

One more win to go for a HUGE 20X series win and a grand finale to my season with 25.9+ units in the NBA Finals!

[Goat Milk]

lets get game 7

[PAULYPOKER]

Sooo what do you suggest I do now Pauly?

Wait to see who the public $ is on and pound the opposite

[sweetjones55]

Wait to see who the public $ is on and pound the opposite

No more "Boston is the better team", they can't lose two in a row to the Lakers?

[Goat Milk]

Just follow the late money Pauly. I'll tell you right now that it'll be on Boston. I'm waiting for you in the other thread.

[sweetjones55]

Just follow the late money Pauly. I'll tell you right now that it'll be on Boston. I'm waiting for you in the other thread.

58% of the public was on Boston tonight. I think after this thrashing tonight that the public will be on LA, Joe Public has very short term memory.

[jcygts6]

that is scary.... why does it seem like the sharps are on boston for game 7?

I really hope the lakers win since I am a huge lakers fan....