Sj55 nba playoff picks

**lyon804** · 06-04-10, 01:00 AM

Nice call on 1Q SJ

**jcygts6** · 06-04-10, 02:43 AM

congrats sj!

**jonblayze8** · 06-04-10, 02:48 AM

When should the 1q lines come out?

**fly fisher** · 06-04-10, 10:38 AM

thanks again SJ sent some points your way

**sweetjones55** · 06-04-10, 10:42 AM

Damn it feels good to be back!

**sweetjones55** · 06-04-10, 10:43 AM

Originally posted by lyon804

Nice call on 1Q SJ

Originally posted by jcygts6

congrats sj!

Originally posted by fly fisher

thanks again SJ sent some points your way

**h3da** · 06-04-10, 05:08 PM

Thanks sweetjones

I really needed that win...Tailing your next pick

**sweetjones55** · 06-04-10, 11:43 PM

Originally posted by h3da

Thanks sweetjones

I really needed that win...Tailing your next pick

**dynamitappletini** · 06-05-10, 08:27 AM

Originally posted by jonblayze8

When should the 1q lines come out?

got LA 1Q -2 for -115 at BM...

**sweetjones55** · 06-05-10, 09:38 AM

I don't have any plays yet for Game 2. I was leaning LA 1Q but I just got a weird feeling that it might not be their night. The numbers do HEAVILY support a LA 1Q play and with a gun to my head I would probably take them. I may change my mind but that's where I am at right now.

**sweetjones55** · 06-05-10, 09:52 AM

Boston Team Total OVER ANYTHING (91.5-92) LOCKED

I am really liking this play for Game 2. I will wait this line out as I think it will go down as the total will go down. Boston played absolutely terribly offensively in Game 1 and still scored 89 points. I think they will have adjusted at least two buckets worth offensively and will go OVER 92. These have been their scoring outputs so far in these playoffs.

If you take a good look at these scores you will notice that Boston is 13-2-3 OVER 92 points. Both UNDERS came in the first series vs Miami, a great defensive team who loves playing very slow. LA has been running a little bit so I don't think that with the amount of shots being taken that LA can hold them under 92 again. Boston has not gone UNDER 92 twice in a row in the playoffs yet.

Heat Series 3-2-1 OVER/UNDER 92
Game 1 85-76 WIN UNDER 92
Game 2 106-77 WIN OVER 92
Game 3 100-98 WIN OVER 92
Game 4 92-101 LOSS PUSH 92
Game 5 85-76 WIN UNDER 92

Cavs Series 6-0 OVER/UNDER 92
Game 1 93-101 LOSS OVER 92
Game 2 104-86 WIN OVER 92
Game 3 95-125 LOSS OVER 92
Game 4 97-87 WIN OVER 92
Game 5 120-88 WIN OVER 92
Game 6 94-85 WIN OVER 92

Magic Series 4-0-2 OVER/UNDER 92
Game 1 92-88 WIN PUSH 92
Game 2 95-92 WIN OVER 92
Game 3 94-71 WIN OVER 92
Game 4 96-92 WIN OVER 92
Game 5 92-113 LOSS PUSH 92
Game 6 96-84 WIN OVER 92

**sweetjones55** · 06-05-10, 10:54 AM

RIP to John Wooden, next person who posts RIP John Wooden with a picture of John on the sidelines coaching gets 10 points (one for every championship he won in that 12 year span)

**smcc716** · 06-05-10, 11:05 AM

RIP John Wooden

Attached Files

**sweetjones55** · 06-05-10, 11:15 AM

Points sent smcc

**smcc716** · 06-05-10, 11:23 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Points sent smcc

Thanks SJ!! I always seem to log in when you post one of these messages!! By the way, do you cap any other sports besides NBA?? Good luck the rest of the season!!

**sweetjones55** · 06-05-10, 02:29 PM

Originally posted by smcc716

Thanks SJ!! I always seem to log in when you post one of these messages!! By the way, do you cap any other sports besides NBA?? Good luck the rest of the season!!

I handicap ACC Football (a lot of UM games) and make a lot of plays on/against the Miami Hurricanes in NCAA Basketball. I try my luck at other sports but I am only worth tailing in NBA IMO.

**sweetjones55** · 06-05-10, 02:36 PM

Just took a look at the Oklahoma Sports Monitor right now. It doesn't look like I stack up too bad against these so called "pros" I got the best record of any handicapper with over 50 plays in the playoffs hitting at 64%(http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/10nbaplayoffs.html). I also got everyone beat by far with my 60.68% total NBA record and I have more plays than almost every single capper (http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/09'10nba.html). Jim Kruger is pretty close to me at 60.09% but he only has 223 plays. The highest % with over 300 plays like me is only hitting 54.11%, Andre Gomes

34-19-1 (64%) is my record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS.
179-119-6 (60.68%) total NBA record over 304 plays.

**Goat Milk** · 06-05-10, 03:43 PM

[quote=sweetjones55;4901705]Boston Team Total OVER ANYTHING (91.5-92) LOCKED

good

**AmpleGamble** · 06-05-10, 03:58 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Just took a look at the Oklahoma Sports Monitor right now. It doesn't look like I stack up too bad against these so called "pros" I got the best record of any handicapper with over 50 plays in the playoffs hitting at 64%(http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/10nbaplayoffs.html). I also got everyone beat by far with my 60.68% total NBA record and I have more plays than almost every single capper (http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/09'10nba.html). Jim Kruger is pretty close to me at 60.09% but he only has 223 plays. The highest % with over 300 plays like me is only hitting 54.11%, Andre Gomes

34-19-1 (64%) is my record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS.
179-119-6 (60.68%) total NBA record over 304 plays.

This is some pretty cool stuff there SJ. Keep up the good work man

**h3da** · 06-05-10, 04:57 PM

Hmmm my book has it for 92.5... You believe this is a stronger play than laker's first quarter?.. My only concern is celtics play even worse lol

**sweetjones55** · 06-05-10, 05:21 PM

Originally posted by h3da

Hmmm my book has it for 92.5... You believe this is a stronger play than laker's first quarter?.. My only concern is celtics play even worse lol

To be honest I understand all the numbers strongly point to another Lakers 1Q win but I don't have a good feeling about it and will not be playing it. I might be banging my head real hard after the Lakers win the 1Q by 5 but I am going with my gut and staying away.

**chimp** · 06-05-10, 05:37 PM

any lean on boston +6 or lakers -6?

**sweetjones55** · 06-05-10, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Boston Team Total OVER ANYTHING (91.5-92) LOCKED

I am really liking this play for Game 2. I will wait this line out as I think it will go down as the total will go down. Boston played absolutely terribly offensively in Game 1 and still scored 89 points. I think they will have adjusted at least two buckets worth offensively and will go OVER 92. These have been their scoring outputs so far in these playoffs.

If you take a good look at these scores you will notice that Boston is 13-2-3 OVER 92 points. Both UNDERS came in the first series vs Miami, a great defensive team who loves playing very slow. LA has been running a little bit so I don't think that with the amount of shots being taken that LA can hold them under 92 again. Boston has not gone UNDER 92 twice in a row in the playoffs yet.

Heat Series 3-2-1 OVER/UNDER 92
Game 1 85-76 WIN UNDER 92
Game 2 106-77 WIN OVER 92
Game 3 100-98 WIN OVER 92
Game 4 92-101 LOSS PUSH 92
Game 5 85-76 WIN UNDER 92

Cavs Series 6-0 OVER/UNDER 92
Game 1 93-101 LOSS OVER 92
Game 2 104-86 WIN OVER 92
Game 3 95-125 LOSS OVER 92
Game 4 97-87 WIN OVER 92
Game 5 120-88 WIN OVER 92
Game 6 94-85 WIN OVER 92

Magic Series 4-0-2 OVER/UNDER 92
Game 1 92-88 WIN PUSH 92
Game 2 95-92 WIN OVER 92
Game 3 94-71 WIN OVER 92
Game 4 96-92 WIN OVER 92
Game 5 92-113 LOSS PUSH 92
Game 6 96-84 WIN OVER 92

I am putting 3 units on this play btw.

**nomeansno** · 06-05-10, 05:57 PM

Congrats SJ, very impressive!

**PAULYPOKER** · 06-05-10, 07:30 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Boston Team Total OVER ANYTHING (91.5-92) LOCKED good

Well since you have Boston going over 92 and there is no way in hell this game is going over 190,, this means that Boston will win this game outright,,Thanx Sweetie for your input

**stefan084** · 06-05-10, 07:58 PM

how about 96-93 lakers?

**PAULYPOKER** · 06-05-10, 08:21 PM

If Boston gets over 90 it must be done their way which is control the physical part of the game................... so I look for a 96 Bos 90 LA final.........

**Goat Milk** · 06-05-10, 08:25 PM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Well since you have Boston going over 92 and there is no way in hell this game is going over 190,, this means that Boston will win this game outright,,Thanx Sweetie for your input

Pauly did you do your homework? Because you didn't do it for game 1.

So SJ's play on Boston TT over means that Boston will win outright? Please go do your homework Pauly I will not keep reminding you. That will be the last time.

**dume walker** · 06-05-10, 09:08 PM

My book (5 Dimes) has the TT at 92.5 as well. I'm guessing that's still in safe range by your judgment.

Also, I'll follow you on laying off LA 1Q. They did win it last time but it was a bit on the nerve-wracking side.

And once again, congrats on your percentages. I'm very glad you seem to be making good coin in other venues. Reduces the likelihood that you might turn pro on us. Your numbers would certainly justify it.

**sweetjones55** · 06-05-10, 09:23 PM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

If Boston gets over 90 it must be done their way which is control the physical part of the game................... so I look for a 96 Bos 90 LA final.........

I wouldn't mind that outcome obviously but I HIGHLY doubt that's the way the final score looks.

**sweetjones55** · 06-05-10, 09:24 PM

I am thinking somewhere in the 102-97 LA range

**PAULYPOKER** · 06-05-10, 09:27 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I wouldn't mind that outcome obviously but I HIGHLY doubt that's the way the final score looks.

If it isn't very similar to that or even LA scoring a little less I highly doubt the over 92 will be good............

**PAULYPOKER** · 06-05-10, 09:29 PM

If Boston does not control this game they will give up just like they did in the first game.......

**PAULYPOKER** · 06-05-10, 09:41 PM

HINT::::> when the odds-makers lower the Total from 194 game 1 to 190 game 2,, they are expecting a physical game which favors Boston...............

**PAULYPOKER** · 06-05-10, 09:43 PM

Bostons magic number for Totals all season long was 187 + or- 3