any thoughts on any over/unders for tonight

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  • dknight734
    SBR MVP
    • 01-10-10
    • 2268

    #1
    any thoughts on any over/unders for tonight
    i like the over in phx
    i like utah to cover 8 on the road
    and i like the lakers to win SU
    Last edited by dknight734; 04-14-10, 12:24 AM.
  • dknight734
    SBR MVP
    • 01-10-10
    • 2268

    #2
    also have 3 mlb plays

    lad/az over 7.5
    nyy -1.5
    det ml
    Last edited by dknight734; 04-13-10, 06:06 PM.
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    • xelaneyugn
      SBR Rookie
      • 04-05-10
      • 28

      #3
      i like pho over as well, what do u think about utah under 232.5? im leaning under
      Comment
      • kgindy
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-19-10
        • 590

        #4
        Kings @ Lakers Under 196 and Utah and GS Under 232.5.
        Comment
        • ROYAJA8
          SBR MVP
          • 10-23-09
          • 2069

          #5
          Suns over definitely both high scoring offenses should be like 230 pts
          Comment
          • Wilforth
            Restricted User
            • 05-10-08
            • 16309

            #6
            GSW/Utah UNDER 232
            Reason: There'll be at least one low-scoring quarter in this game.

            Boston/Chicago OVER 197
            Reason: Low defensive intensity

            Sacramento/LAL OVER 196
            Reason: Huge 1H score

            Denver/Phoenix ???
            Hard to cap the o/u here. You could have a high-scoring 1H, yet a low-scoring 4th quarter could keep this UNDER 216.
            Comment
            • sportfan
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-22-09
              • 10111

              #7
              Jazz/Gsw total 233 i like the over but fuk it's a lot of points
              Comment
              • refrain87
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-17-10
                • 884

                #8
                I'm playing under in the PHX game.
                Comment
                • sportfan
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-22-09
                  • 10111

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Wilforth
                  GSW/Utah UNDER 232
                  Reason: There'll be at least one low-scoring quarter in this game.

                  Boston/Chicago OVER 197
                  Reason: Low defensive intensity

                  Sacramento/LAL OVER 196
                  Reason: Huge 1H score

                  Denver/Phoenix ???
                  Hard to cap the o/u here. You could have a high-scoring 1H, yet a low-scoring 4th quarter could keep this UNDER 216.
                  agree with you Boston over 197 , Sac over 196
                  Comment
                  • tokio
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-30-10
                    • 2150

                    #10
                    i think i wait til 2H to bet.
                    Comment
                    • sweetjones55
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-07-09
                      • 5257

                      #11
                      PHOENIX/DENVER OVER 111 1H LOCKED

                      We have the #1 OVER ref in the NBA Spooner reffing. He is 34-22 O/U and has the highest total average points scored in the games he reffed at 207avg. We also have the #3 OVER ref in the NBA, Kevin Fehr. He is 37-25 O/U and averages 205 in the games he refs. We also have the #5 ref in the NBA for overs, Rodney Mott. He is 35-22 O/U and averages 203 in the games he refs. So we got the #1 #3 and #5 best refs in terms of the Over and points scored.

                      Why the 1H and not the game? Phoenix just scores so much more 1H especially in that 1st quarter. They tend to slow down in the fourth quarter too much. Also the total line is 216 and the 1H line is 111. This line doesn't make much sense since 111 x 2 is 222 and the line for the game is 216. The total opened at 216 and went up to 216.5 so that's a good sign in terms of the line movement on the total.
                      Scared money don't make money

                      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
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                      • dknight734
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-10-10
                        • 2268

                        #12
                        couldn't get a good handle on the utah game so i just took the jazz ml instead. as far as phx goes, it's a pretty low total compared to the totals in the past on den/phx games, which have generally gone under. the public is pounding the over 3:1. not a fan of being on the public side, but seating is still a factor in the west and i think both teams come out hard to get a better spot as they are both already in anyways. if both teams are firing on all cylinders this total could get ugly
                        Comment
                        • syn^
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 03-08-10
                          • 360

                          #13
                          GSW/Jazz game is at oracle arena the last warriors home game with ellis back in the lineup coming off a big win over okc facing a short handed jazz which means more offensive opportunities. I like the warriors +8 and the over 232.5
                          Comment
                          • sweetjones55
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-07-09
                            • 5257

                            #14
                            Originally posted by syn^
                            ]GSW/Jazz game is at oracle arena the last warriors home game with ellis back in the lineup coming off a big win over okc facing a short handed jazz which means more offensive opportunities. I like the warriors +8 and the over 232.5
                            Couldn't have said it better myself.
                            Scared money don't make money

                            182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                            37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                            Comment
                            • dknight734
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-10-10
                              • 2268

                              #15
                              Originally posted by syn^
                              GSW/Jazz game is at oracle arena the last warriors home game with ellis back in the lineup coming off a big win over okc facing a short handed jazz which means more offensive opportunities. I like the warriors +8 and the over 232.5
                              do think the gsw will beat the jazz or just cover?
                              Comment
                              • tokio
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-30-10
                                • 2150

                                #16
                                I will tail you 2 on the overs and then also put some units in for the 2H. Thanks fellas
                                Comment
                                • syn^
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 03-08-10
                                  • 360

                                  #17
                                  I wouldn't bet the ML but +8 is a lot of points to give the warriors. I think this game will pan out like when the suns came to town and won by 2 133-131. High scoring offenses with minimal D and small forwards + centers.
                                  Comment
                                  • Wilforth
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 05-10-08
                                    • 16309

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by syn^
                                    I wouldn't bet the ML but +8 is a lot of points to give the warriors. I think this game will pan out like when the suns came to town and won by 2 133-131. High scoring offenses with minimal D and small forwards + centers.
                                    But there are only 2 picks in that game:

                                    Utah -7.5
                                    GSW ML

                                    GSW have a way of playing in the 2H of their home games that has me thinking they'll beat Utah tonight. Also recall that the scored only 10 points in the 2Q in Utah's last visit. They should do better tonight.
                                    Comment
                                    • THE HITMAN
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-16-07
                                      • 2393

                                      #19
                                      lean to the under PNX/DEN
                                      Comment
                                      • TGHMak
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 02-25-09
                                        • 658

                                        #20
                                        If you have it Sacramento team total over 94 is a pretty good deal.
                                        Comment
                                        • Goat Milk
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 03-24-10
                                          • 25850

                                          #21
                                          Golden State has already overachieved in the past few games. They're satisfied. The Jazz will beat them tonight. No point in wasting money on GS ML.

                                          Also, be careful with the Bulls/Boston Over/Under, they'll be more intensity in this game than you might think. The Celtics want to stick it to the bulls and try and ruin they're playoff chances, which explains why the big 3 are all probable to play in this game.
                                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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                                          • dknight734
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-10-10
                                            • 2268

                                            #22
                                            i really hope ur all wrong about the phx under, but i have a bad feeling about the over, with the public pounding it
                                            Comment
                                            • freddues
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-29-08
                                              • 591

                                              #23
                                              Any one still like the Utah Under at 131? I cap it at 119.

                                              GLA
                                              Comment
                                              • Wilforth
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 05-10-08
                                                • 16309

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by freddues
                                                Any one still like the Utah Under at 131? I cap it at 119.

                                                GLA
                                                Yes. I'm not playing it though. One of the quarters will be very low-scoring. It could be either the 2Q or the 4Q. UNDER 231 looks good.
                                                Comment
                                                • anjaru
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-27-10
                                                  • 558

                                                  #25
                                                  I like GSW over at 231. It's their final home game and they will want to go all out for the fans.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dknight734
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-10-10
                                                    • 2268

                                                    #26
                                                    that's what i hope phx is thinking but den doesn't seem to be doing their part in this one
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dknight734
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-10-10
                                                      • 2268

                                                      #27
                                                      1st qtr 64 let's keep it going
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dknight734
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-10-10
                                                        • 2268

                                                        #28
                                                        jazz up lakers up yes sir
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dknight734
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-10-10
                                                          • 2268

                                                          #29
                                                          what a scoring drought
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dknight734
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-10-10
                                                            • 2268

                                                            #30
                                                            need 24 points in 3:31. anyone thinks that can happen?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dknight734
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-10-10
                                                              • 2268

                                                              #31
                                                              well that was 8 with 2:48 to go. they might just hit 120 for the 1h
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dknight734
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-10-10
                                                                • 2268

                                                                #32
                                                                13 more
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                                                                • camel
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-26-09
                                                                  • 1711

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                                                  PHOENIX/DENVER OVER 111 1H LOCKED

                                                                  We have the #1 OVER ref in the NBA Spooner reffing. He is 34-22 O/U and has the highest total average points scored in the games he reffed at 207avg. We also have the #3 OVER ref in the NBA, Kevin Fehr. He is 37-25 O/U and averages 205 in the games he refs. We also have the #5 ref in the NBA for overs, Rodney Mott. He is 35-22 O/U and averages 203 in the games he refs. So we got the #1 #3 and #5 best refs in terms of the Over and points scored.

                                                                  Why the 1H and not the game? Phoenix just scores so much more 1H especially in that 1st quarter. They tend to slow down in the fourth quarter too much. Also the total line is 216 and the 1H line is 111. This line doesn't make much sense since 111 x 2 is 222 and the line for the game is 216. The total opened at 216 and went up to 216.5 so that's a good sign in terms of the line movement on the total.
                                                                  THANK YOU SIR!

                                                                  Tailed you on this with your wise information.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dknight734
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-10-10
                                                                    • 2268

                                                                    #34
                                                                    5 more
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                                                                    • dknight734
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-10-10
                                                                      • 2268

                                                                      #35
                                                                      killed mlb today
                                                                      Comment
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