i like pho over as well, what do u think about utah under 232.5? im leaning under
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kgindy
SBR Wise Guy
01-19-10
590
#4
Kings @ Lakers Under 196 and Utah and GS Under 232.5.
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ROYAJA8
SBR MVP
10-23-09
2069
#5
Suns over definitely both high scoring offenses should be like 230 pts
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Wilforth
Restricted User
05-10-08
16309
#6
GSW/Utah UNDER 232
Reason: There'll be at least one low-scoring quarter in this game.
Boston/Chicago OVER 197
Reason: Low defensive intensity
Sacramento/LAL OVER 196
Reason: Huge 1H score
Denver/Phoenix ???
Hard to cap the o/u here. You could have a high-scoring 1H, yet a low-scoring 4th quarter could keep this UNDER 216.
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sportfan
SBR Posting Legend
12-22-09
10111
#7
Jazz/Gsw total 233 i like the over but fuk it's a lot of points
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refrain87
SBR Wise Guy
03-17-10
884
#8
I'm playing under in the PHX game.
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sportfan
SBR Posting Legend
12-22-09
10111
#9
Originally posted by Wilforth
GSW/Utah UNDER 232
Reason: There'll be at least one low-scoring quarter in this game.
Boston/Chicago OVER 197
Reason: Low defensive intensity
Sacramento/LAL OVER 196
Reason: Huge 1H score
Denver/Phoenix ???
Hard to cap the o/u here. You could have a high-scoring 1H, yet a low-scoring 4th quarter could keep this UNDER 216.
agree with you Boston over 197 , Sac over 196
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tokio
SBR MVP
03-30-10
2150
#10
i think i wait til 2H to bet.
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sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#11
PHOENIX/DENVER OVER 111 1H LOCKED
We have the #1 OVER ref in the NBA Spooner reffing. He is 34-22 O/U and has the highest total average points scored in the games he reffed at 207avg. We also have the #3 OVER ref in the NBA, Kevin Fehr. He is 37-25 O/U and averages 205 in the games he refs. We also have the #5 ref in the NBA for overs, Rodney Mott. He is 35-22 O/U and averages 203 in the games he refs. So we got the #1 #3 and #5 best refs in terms of the Over and points scored.
Why the 1H and not the game? Phoenix just scores so much more 1H especially in that 1st quarter. They tend to slow down in the fourth quarter too much. Also the total line is 216 and the 1H line is 111. This line doesn't make much sense since 111 x 2 is 222 and the line for the game is 216. The total opened at 216 and went up to 216.5 so that's a good sign in terms of the line movement on the total.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
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dknight734
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2268
#12
couldn't get a good handle on the utah game so i just took the jazz ml instead. as far as phx goes, it's a pretty low total compared to the totals in the past on den/phx games, which have generally gone under. the public is pounding the over 3:1. not a fan of being on the public side, but seating is still a factor in the west and i think both teams come out hard to get a better spot as they are both already in anyways. if both teams are firing on all cylinders this total could get ugly
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syn^
SBR Sharp
03-08-10
360
#13
GSW/Jazz game is at oracle arena the last warriors home game with ellis back in the lineup coming off a big win over okc facing a short handed jazz which means more offensive opportunities. I like the warriors +8 and the over 232.5
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sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#14
Originally posted by syn^
]GSW/Jazz game is at oracle arena the last warriors home game with ellis back in the lineup coming off a big win over okc facing a short handed jazz which means more offensive opportunities. I like the warriors +8 and the over 232.5
Couldn't have said it better myself.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
dknight734
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2268
#15
Originally posted by syn^
GSW/Jazz game is at oracle arena the last warriors home game with ellis back in the lineup coming off a big win over okc facing a short handed jazz which means more offensive opportunities. I like the warriors +8 and the over 232.5
do think the gsw will beat the jazz or just cover?
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tokio
SBR MVP
03-30-10
2150
#16
I will tail you 2 on the overs and then also put some units in for the 2H. Thanks fellas
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syn^
SBR Sharp
03-08-10
360
#17
I wouldn't bet the ML but +8 is a lot of points to give the warriors. I think this game will pan out like when the suns came to town and won by 2 133-131. High scoring offenses with minimal D and small forwards + centers.
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Wilforth
Restricted User
05-10-08
16309
#18
Originally posted by syn^
I wouldn't bet the ML but +8 is a lot of points to give the warriors. I think this game will pan out like when the suns came to town and won by 2 133-131. High scoring offenses with minimal D and small forwards + centers.
But there are only 2 picks in that game:
Utah -7.5
GSW ML
GSW have a way of playing in the 2H of their home games that has me thinking they'll beat Utah tonight. Also recall that the scored only 10 points in the 2Q in Utah's last visit. They should do better tonight.
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THE HITMAN
SBR MVP
06-16-07
2393
#19
lean to the under PNX/DEN
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TGHMak
SBR Wise Guy
02-25-09
658
#20
If you have it Sacramento team total over 94 is a pretty good deal.
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Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#21
Golden State has already overachieved in the past few games. They're satisfied. The Jazz will beat them tonight. No point in wasting money on GS ML.
Also, be careful with the Bulls/Boston Over/Under, they'll be more intensity in this game than you might think. The Celtics want to stick it to the bulls and try and ruin they're playoff chances, which explains why the big 3 are all probable to play in this game.
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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dknight734
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2268
#22
i really hope ur all wrong about the phx under, but i have a bad feeling about the over, with the public pounding it
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freddues
SBR Wise Guy
02-29-08
591
#23
Any one still like the Utah Under at 131? I cap it at 119.
GLA
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Wilforth
Restricted User
05-10-08
16309
#24
Originally posted by freddues
Any one still like the Utah Under at 131? I cap it at 119.
GLA
Yes. I'm not playing it though. One of the quarters will be very low-scoring. It could be either the 2Q or the 4Q. UNDER 231 looks good.
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anjaru
SBR Wise Guy
02-27-10
558
#25
I like GSW over at 231. It's their final home game and they will want to go all out for the fans.
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dknight734
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2268
#26
that's what i hope phx is thinking but den doesn't seem to be doing their part in this one
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dknight734
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2268
#27
1st qtr 64 let's keep it going
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dknight734
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2268
#28
jazz up lakers up yes sir
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dknight734
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2268
#29
what a scoring drought
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dknight734
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2268
#30
need 24 points in 3:31. anyone thinks that can happen?
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dknight734
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2268
#31
well that was 8 with 2:48 to go. they might just hit 120 for the 1h
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dknight734
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2268
#32
13 more
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camel
SBR MVP
02-26-09
1711
#33
Originally posted by sweetjones55
PHOENIX/DENVER OVER 111 1H LOCKED
We have the #1 OVER ref in the NBA Spooner reffing. He is 34-22 O/U and has the highest total average points scored in the games he reffed at 207avg. We also have the #3 OVER ref in the NBA, Kevin Fehr. He is 37-25 O/U and averages 205 in the games he refs. We also have the #5 ref in the NBA for overs, Rodney Mott. He is 35-22 O/U and averages 203 in the games he refs. So we got the #1 #3 and #5 best refs in terms of the Over and points scored.
Why the 1H and not the game? Phoenix just scores so much more 1H especially in that 1st quarter. They tend to slow down in the fourth quarter too much. Also the total line is 216 and the 1H line is 111. This line doesn't make much sense since 111 x 2 is 222 and the line for the game is 216. The total opened at 216 and went up to 216.5 so that's a good sign in terms of the line movement on the total.