SJ55 APRIL 3rd PLAYS

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Van G
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-30-10
    • 261

    #36
    I think the -4.5 line is getting out of hand...they both played on the road last night & they are both on B2B....the Bulls are so unpredictable

    is it bad to play it when it's move 2 pts. out of my favor?
    Comment
    • sweetjones55
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-07-09
      • 5257

      #37
      Originally posted by Van G
      I think the -4.5 line is getting out of hand...they both played on the road last night & they are both on B2B....the Bulls are so unpredictable

      is it bad to play it when it's move 2 pts. out of my favor?
      I would say that with a two point line move with the public split on both teams that you should just go with the line movement and take the team the line is getting worse for. You obviously lose value though as you didn't get it at the best number -2. I would advise to play it anyways if you really like it but maybe for a bit less.
      Scared money don't make money

      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
      Comment
      • Van G
        SBR Sharp
        • 03-30-10
        • 261

        #38
        ok....smaller play on CHI

        why are u going against a red-hot PHOE team that's won 10 in-a-row? MIL is on a B2B also off a road OT game
        Comment
        • sweetjones55
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-07-09
          • 5257

          #39
          Originally posted by Van G
          ok....smaller play on CHI

          why are u going against a red-hot PHOE team that's won 10 in-a-row? MIL is on a B2B also off a road OT game
          Phoenix being so hot is actually a part of my reason why I like it. Milwaukee has never been favored in this matchup and now with Phoenix on fire Vegas makes the Bucks a favorite? It's a trap and I think Phoenix is due for a loss. Also Phoenix has been on fire but Milwaukee has also been on fire at home with a fully healthy squad going 10-0 last 10 at home with a lot wins against better teams than PHX (they lost two at home but Bogut got hurt in one game and missed the other game they lost).

          In most case I fade teams off B2B but not the Bucks. They are 15-3 ATS off B2B, best in the NBA.
          Scared money don't make money

          182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
          37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
          Comment
          • sweetjones55
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-07-09
            • 5257

            #40
            Heat 3rd Quarter ML -130 LOCKED ADDED PLAY
            Scared money don't make money

            182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
            37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
            Comment
            • doctor_on_call
              Restricted User
              • 03-29-10
              • 274

              #41
              i missed this. good thing im on bulls, bucks and mavs too. goodluck sj55!
              Comment
              • sweetjones55
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-07-09
                • 5257

                #42
                Originally posted by sweetjones55
                I am also really liking the Bulls tonight at home vs the Bobcats. THe line opened at -2 and quickly went OT -3/-3.5 with only 52% on the Bulls. This ain't reverse line movement but it's just as good as it for me. The BUlls are fully healthy and it showed last night as they won on the road by 8, a pretty big feat for a team that is 15-23. Kirk Hinrich, Luol Deng, and Joakim Noah all played well last night and the Bulls are a much better home team.

                The Bobcats are actually worse on the road with a 11-26 record on the road. They won last night by one in OT and now have to go B2B and beat a team in the playoff hunt. This is just a very bad situation for Charlotte and the big 1.5 point line movement so early on is indicative of this. The Bobcats played horribly offensively last night shooting a pathetic 37%. I could easily see them shoot worse tonight on B2B tired from OT

                Bulls -3 BIG LOCKED
                HUGE WINNER for me on the Bulls as my biggest play of the day by far cashes.
                Scared money don't make money

                182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                Comment
                • sweetjones55
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-07-09
                  • 5257

                  #43
                  Originally posted by sweetjones55
                  Heat 3rd Quarter ML -130 LOCKED ADDED PLAY WINNER!!
                  I got burned by the T-Wolves last time in the 3rd quarter but cash nicely this time.
                  Scared money don't make money

                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                  Comment
                  • sweetjones55
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-07-09
                    • 5257

                    #44
                    T-Wolves +7 fails and Dallas just didn't come out to play.
                    Scared money don't make money

                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                    Comment
                    • sweetjones55
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-07-09
                      • 5257

                      #45
                      Originally posted by sweetjones55
                      So far just looking at the lines the Bucks sticks out big time. They have NEVER been favored against Phoenix going back ten games. Phoenix has beaten Milwaukee in nine of the last ten games so this one is a real head scratcher. Also Milwaukee went to OT last night, which makes this line even stranger as teams coming off OT usually aren't too hot the next night.

                      Milwaukee is favored because the Suns are on their 5th straight road game in seven days and because they are also on B2B coming off a blowout win over Chicago. I have a feeling that this could be a major trap game for Phoenix. The public has raked it in taking Phoenix lately but I think Vegas gets some money back tonight.

                      The Bucks with a fully healthy squad have been nothing but money at home lately. Andrew Bogut got hurt against Philly and didn't play against the Heat and they ended up dropping those two home games. With him healthy though they are 10-0 SU their last ten at home with big wins over Cleveland, Atlanta, Memphis, Utah, Boston and Charlotte.

                      The line movement looks promising for Milwauke as their really hasn't been much. The line opened at -2 or -2.5 everywhere and with the public pounding of Phoenix the line has stayed put right at -2/-2.5 everywhere. I would love to see every site move to -2.5.

                      The Bucks are the best team in the NBA ATS on B2B days, 15-3. They are also one of the best teams in the NBA ATS at 47-26.
                      Bucks -2 LOCKED WINNER!!
                      And the wins just keep coming in! Easy 9 point winner with Milwaukee, they were up the wholeee game. I think even 24 at one point
                      Scared money don't make money

                      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                      Comment
                      • doctor_on_call
                        Restricted User
                        • 03-29-10
                        • 274

                        #46
                        dallas fuked up my parlay. shouldve listened to what they kept on saying. they dont cover at home. fuked up ur ML to eh?
                        great call on bulls and bucks.
                        Comment
                        • sweetjones55
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-07-09
                          • 5257

                          #47
                          Originally posted by sweetjones55

                          Final Card for Tonight

                          Bucks -2 LOCKED WINNER
                          Bulls -3 BIG LOCKED WINNER
                          Timberwolves +7 LOCKED loss
                          Mavericks ML -150 LOCKED loss
                          Heat 3rd Quarter ML -130 LOCKED ADDED PLAY WINNER
                          3-2 night with a BIG winner! Another strong night.
                          Scared money don't make money

                          182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                          37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                          Comment
                          • sweetjones55
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-07-09
                            • 5257

                            #48
                            Just took a look at my spreadsheet. THIS IS HOW YOU CLOSE OUT A NBA SEASON. All plays were posted here on SBR so feel free to backtrack if you are skeptical.

                            I am now 19-7 my last 26 picks (73%)!! 6-1 my last 7 BIG/HEAVY PLAYS (85%)! Also hit my huge total of the year! Only one losing night in the last 13 days!

                            Saturday April 3rd 3-2 BIG WINNER CHI

                            Bucks -2 LOCKED WINNER
                            Bulls -3 BIG LOCKED BIG WINNER
                            Timberwolves +7 LOCKED loss
                            Mavericks ML -150 LOCKED loss
                            Heat 3rd Quarter ML -130 LOCKED ADDED PLAY WINNER


                            Friday April 2nd 1-1-1

                            Cavs 1st Quarter ML -145 LOCKED BIG PUSH
                            Pacers PK LOCKED LOSS
                            Spurs -3 LOCKED WINNER

                            Thursday April 1st HEAVY WINNER 3-0

                            Magic -1 1st Half LOCKED WINNER
                            Magic -1.5 LOCKED HEAVY WINNER
                            Denver -1.5 1st Quarter LOCKED WINNER

                            Wednesday March 31st 3-2
                            Minnesota -2 LOCKED WINNER!!
                            Atlanta -1 LOCKED [B]WINNER[/B]
                            GS/UTAH OVER 232.5 LOCKED loss (by 0.5 point)
                            GS/UTAH 1Q Over 59.5 LOCKED WINNER!!
                            Kings -0.5 3rd Quarter LOCKED loss

                            Tuesday March 30th 3-1 HEAVY WINNER

                            Bucks -9.5-120 WINNER
                            Rockets -3.5 -120 1H LOSS
                            Rockets/Wizards Under 196 Heavy WINNER
                            Pacers -5.5 -120 WINNER

                            Sunday March 28th 0-1

                            Blazers/Thunder Over 191 LOCKED HEAVY loss

                            Saturday March 27th
                            Blazers -3.5 LOCKED WINNER!!

                            Friday March 26th
                            Heat +3 small play LOCKED WINNER

                            Thursday March 25th
                            Blazers -3 LOCKED HEAVY WINNER

                            Wednesday March 23rd
                            Clippers +10.5 -120 LOCKED WINNER

                            Tuesday March 22nd 1-0 TOTAL OF THE YEAR WINNER

                            Total of the year gs/phx o/u 243.5 HUGE WINNER
                            GS/PHX 1st HALF HEAVY OVER HUGE WINNER
                            Last edited by sweetjones55; 04-04-10, 01:11 AM.
                            Scared money don't make money

                            182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                            37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                            Comment
                            • killersweet
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-02-08
                              • 1483

                              #49
                              Pretty nice night. keep up the good work
                              Comment
                              • Khhhh
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 03-12-10
                                • 34

                                #50
                                A truly great run dude!

                                With this pace you will be moving lines soon. Lets hope you are not going to turn pro paid service capper anytime soon as we need to fetch some easy $$$ from bookies for retirement. Keep it up!
                                Comment
                                • Wade Dwayne
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-07-10
                                  • 907

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                  I am leaning UNDER 191.5 in the Sac/Portland game.This total opened at 194.5 and quickly went to 191.5, huge 3 point movement. Portland is mad after getting blown out by Denver and they will take it out on their lowly opponenent, the Kings. Portland has held Sactown to only 86 points average in their last 6 matchups. I can see a 97-86 game or something in that area tonight. Four of the last 5 in this matchup have gone under the posted total.

                                  Also leaning Portland 1Q, it is their best quarter and Sactowns worst quarter.
                                  wow 2 points off great capping
                                  Comment
                                  • sweetjones55
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-07-09
                                    • 5257

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Wade Dwayne

                                    wow 2 points off great capping
                                    I should have posted that one as one of my plays, just didn't because the line dropped too fast on me.
                                    Scared money don't make money

                                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                    Comment
                                    SBR Contests
                                    Collapse
                                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                    Collapse
                                    Working...