SJ55 APRIL 1st PLAYS

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  • sweetjones55
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-07-09
    • 5257

    #1
    SJ55 APRIL 1st PLAYS
    I am really liking the Magic for the game and 1st half. I also like the Nuggets 1st quarter.

    I am taking the Magic for all the obvious reasons. I think the books are fully aware that Dallas is in a horrible spot to get the win tonight hence Orlando being favored. 63% of the public is on the Magic and the line has gone up accordingly from Magic -1 to Magic -2.5, EXACTLY the kind of movement I wanted to see.

    Dallas is on B2B and have struggled all year at home. They did manage to cover the last 2 games at home but I don't think that they will be able to pull off 3 covers vs one of the best if not the best team in the NBA right now, Orlando. The road team has dominated in this series as of late going 4-0 SU and ATS.

    Orlando has just been playing better than Dallas. Dallas is 12-15 ATS for the 2H of the season while Orlando is 15-10 ATS. Jameer Nelson is finally back to all-star form and Dwight Howard is still Superman. I think he will dominate tonight with Brendan Haywood on him. I personally think that Orlando has the advantage at every matchup except Dirk/Rashard. The problem with Marion is that he is highly inconsistent hence his last game going 0-6 1 point. Barnes is a much more consistent player, he gets you his 10 points and provides great defense nightly. I think VC has the advantage against Butler as VC has been playing out of his mind lately. Nelson is better than Kidd. Howard and Haywood LOL. Dirk does have the advantage against RaLew but I think RaLew is a great cover against Dirk because of his length, height and quickness. He can go out to the 3 point line and challenge Dirk and always get a hand up in his face.


    Magic -1 1st Half LOCKED
    Magic -1.5 LOCKED HEAVY


    Carmelo and Chauncey shot a combined 6-30 last game, the worst night the tandem has had all year long. I think they come out HOT tonight and build a decent lead after 1. Carmelo Anthony's best opponent so far this year is Portland, he averages 34.3ppg against them.

    Denver is not the greatest 1st quarter team but that's only because they turn it on against bad teams late at home and just shut them down second half. Denver has been struggling and they know they will have to come out and play well in the 1st to beat a redhot Portland team. Denver is 3-0 last 3 1st quarters at home vs Portland.

    Denver -1.5 1st Quarter LOCKED
    Scared money don't make money

    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #2
    Comment
    • goldengreek
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-25-07
      • 8340

      #3
      BOL
      Comment
      • Van G
        SBR Sharp
        • 03-30-10
        • 261

        #4
        Originally posted by goldengreek
        BOL
        GoldenGreek....you are the man...been tailing u for a few days & you are nails, buddy

        what do u got going for tonight?
        Comment
        • BamaCBass
          SBR MVP
          • 10-07-09
          • 1252

          #5
          Why is it you like the public all over Orlando again?
          Comment
          • phLLyphan11
            Restricted User
            • 05-15-09
            • 322

            #6
            I like the Denver pick... it's about time they right the ship. Good luck man.
            Comment
            • snowball22
              SBR High Roller
              • 03-23-10
              • 150

              #7
              BOL, i'm with you. Denver is back tonight.
              Comment
              • moodyt2
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-04-09
                • 448

                #8
                With my main man, SWEETJONES. GL!
                Comment
                • sweetjones55
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-07-09
                  • 5257

                  #9
                  Originally posted by BamaCBass
                  Why is it you like the public all over Orlando again?
                  The public is actually 60% on the moneyline for Dallas so this isn't as a big a public play if at all as the numbers suggest. 55% of the public is on the Orlando side.

                  I think the whole forum thinks that Denver and Orlando are huge public plays but you really need to take a good look at the numbers as they have changed now throughout the day. Going off of the paid subscription for sportsinsights numbers, there is only 57% of the public on denver which is not at all a big majority. Orlando has only 55% of the public on them with 58% on Dallas ML. This game is basically dead even.

                  The lines though have still reacted even though these two games are being bettted pretty evenly and gone up from PK to -2.5 or Orlando and -4 Denver to -5/-5.5 Denver now. This is not RLM but when the games pretty evenly betted on and you see line movement like this, it is almost the same thing as RLM.
                  Scared money don't make money

                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                  Comment
                  • mann2chc
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-04-09
                    • 685

                    #10
                    for some reason, i think the mavs will win SU 2nite
                    Comment
                    • doctor_on_call
                      Restricted User
                      • 03-29-10
                      • 274

                      #11
                      BOL sweetjones!
                      Comment
                      • sweetjones55
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-07-09
                        • 5257

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Wilforth
                        Originally posted by goldengreek
                        BOL
                        Originally posted by phLLyphan11
                        I like the Denver pick... it's about time they right the ship. Good luck man.
                        Originally posted by snowball22
                        BOL, i'm with you. Denver is back tonight.
                        Originally posted by moodyt2
                        With my main man, SWEETJONES. GL!
                        Originally posted by doctor_on_call
                        BOL sweetjones!
                        Good luck to you guys as well. Let's make some money.
                        Scared money don't make money

                        182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                        37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                        Comment
                        • lovetogamble
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 04-01-10
                          • 329

                          #13
                          Hey sweetjones. My book won't allow me to to buy the .5 point for the magic 1st half. Would you still play the magic @ -1.5 1st half?

                          Comment
                          • sweetjones55
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-07-09
                            • 5257

                            #14
                            Originally posted by lovetogamble
                            Hey sweetjones. My book won't allow me to to buy the .5 point for the magic 1st half. Would you still play the magic @ -1.5 1st half?

                            Yes. I don't win if they win by 1, we both need them to win by 2.
                            Scared money don't make money

                            182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                            37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                            Comment
                            • lovetogamble
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 04-01-10
                              • 329

                              #15
                              Comment
                              • ExposingLines247
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-25-09
                                • 1001

                                #16
                                what a great question
                                Comment
                                • sweetjones55
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-07-09
                                  • 5257

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ExposingLines247
                                  what a great question
                                  Cut him some slack, he's only been around for 2 weeks. Try and bring something insightful to my thread next time you post on here.
                                  Scared money don't make money

                                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                  Comment
                                  • sweetjones55
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-07-09
                                    • 5257

                                    #18
                                    I had to get my avatar back up today, RIP Sean Taylor Happy Birthday.
                                    Scared money don't make money

                                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                    Comment
                                    • MrTwiz
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-26-10
                                      • 913

                                      #19
                                      Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
                                      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing Dallas
                                      Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                                      Orlando is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas

                                      IDK where u got that stat on magic in its last 5 games against dallas, but these are what I foundL5 away teams ATS, I see now, Its actually 6, but I gota take the mavs here, gl to all
                                      God hates cowards
                                      Comment
                                      • sweetjones55
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-07-09
                                        • 5257

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by MrTwiz
                                        Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
                                        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing Dallas
                                        Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                                        Orlando is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas

                                        IDK where u got that stat on magic in its last 5 games against dallas, but these are what I found
                                        You read my statement wrong. I said the road team has the won the last 4 matchups SU and ATS not Orlando.
                                        Scared money don't make money

                                        182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                        37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                        Comment
                                        • MrTwiz
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-26-10
                                          • 913

                                          #21
                                          I gotcha, I must have goten too excited. Late money seemed to be on dallas, After 6 away covers, prob time for a homeline winner. It just looks like the mavs have more to play for tonight, magic have locked up the 2nd seed
                                          God hates cowards
                                          Comment
                                          • sweetjones55
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-07-09
                                            • 5257

                                            #22
                                            Final Card for Tonight

                                            Magic -1 1st Half LOCKED
                                            Magic -1.5 LOCKED HEAVY
                                            Denver -1.5 1st Quarter LOCKED
                                            Scared money don't make money

                                            182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                            37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                            Comment
                                            • sweetjones55
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-07-09
                                              • 5257

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                              I am really liking the Magic for the game and 1st half. I also like the Nuggets 1st quarter.

                                              I am taking the Magic for all the obvious reasons. I think the books are fully aware that Dallas is in a horrible spot to get the win tonight hence Orlando being favored. 63% of the public is on the Magic and the line has gone up accordingly from Magic -1 to Magic -2.5, EXACTLY the kind of movement I wanted to see.

                                              Dallas is on B2B and have struggled all year at home. They did manage to cover the last 2 games at home but I don't think that they will be able to pull off 3 covers vs one of the best if not the best team in the NBA right now, Orlando. The road team has dominated in this series as of late going 4-0 SU and ATS.

                                              Orlando has just been playing better than Dallas. Dallas is 12-15 ATS for the 2H of the season while Orlando is 15-10 ATS. Jameer Nelson is finally back to all-star form and Dwight Howard is still Superman. I think he will dominate tonight with Brendan Haywood on him. I personally think that Orlando has the advantage at every matchup except Dirk/Rashard. The problem with Marion is that he is highly inconsistent hence his last game going 0-6 1 point. Barnes is a much more consistent player, he gets you his 10 points and provides great defense nightly. I think VC has the advantage against Butler as VC has been playing out of his mind lately. Nelson is better than Kidd. Howard and Haywood LOL. Dirk does have the advantage against RaLew but I think RaLew is a great cover against Dirk because of his length, height and quickness. He can go out to the 3 point line and challenge Dirk and always get a hand up in his face.


                                              Magic -1 1st Half LOCKED WINER!!
                                              Magic -1.5 LOCKED HEAVY


                                              [/B]
                                              Magic win the 1st half fairly easily by 7, had the lead throughout both quarters. Hopefully they can hang on for the rest of the game. Nice way to start off my night.
                                              Scared money don't make money

                                              182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                              37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                              Comment
                                              • Wilforth
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 05-10-08
                                                • 16309

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                                Magic -1 1st Half LOCKED
                                                Magic -1.5 LOCKED HEAVY

                                                Comment
                                                • sweetjones55
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-07-09
                                                  • 5257

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                                  I am really liking the Magic for the game and 1st half. I also like the Nuggets 1st quarter.

                                                  I am taking the Magic for all the obvious reasons. I think the books are fully aware that Dallas is in a horrible spot to get the win tonight hence Orlando being favored. 63% of the public is on the Magic and the line has gone up accordingly from Magic -1 to Magic -2.5, EXACTLY the kind of movement I wanted to see.

                                                  Dallas is on B2B and have struggled all year at home. They did manage to cover the last 2 games at home but I don't think that they will be able to pull off 3 covers vs one of the best if not the best team in the NBA right now, Orlando. The road team has dominated in this series as of late going 4-0 SU and ATS.

                                                  Orlando has just been playing better than Dallas. Dallas is 12-15 ATS for the 2H of the season while Orlando is 15-10 ATS. Jameer Nelson is finally back to all-star form and Dwight Howard is still Superman. I think he will dominate tonight with Brendan Haywood on him. I personally think that Orlando has the advantage at every matchup except Dirk/Rashard. The problem with Marion is that he is highly inconsistent hence his last game going 0-6 1 point. Barnes is a much more consistent player, he gets you his 10 points and provides great defense nightly. I think VC has the advantage against Butler as VC has been playing out of his mind lately. Nelson is better than Kidd. Howard and Haywood LOL. Dirk does have the advantage against RaLew but I think RaLew is a great cover against Dirk because of his length, height and quickness. He can go out to the 3 point line and challenge Dirk and always get a hand up in his face.


                                                  Magic -1 1st Half LOCKED WINNER!!
                                                  Magic -1.5 LOCKED HEAVY WINNER!!


                                                  Carmelo and Chauncey shot a combined 6-30 last game, the worst night the tandem has had all year long. I think they come out HOT tonight and build a decent lead after 1. Carmelo Anthony's best opponent so far this year is Portland, he averages 34.3ppg against them.

                                                  Denver is not the greatest 1st quarter team but that's only because they turn it on against bad teams late at home and just shut them down second half. Denver has been struggling and they know they will have to come out and play well in the 1st to beat a redhot Portland team. Denver is 3-0 last 3 1st quarters at home vs Portland.

                                                  Denver -1.5 1st Quarter LOCKED
                                                  AND YET ANOTHER MONSTER NIGHT FOR ME!!! 2-0 with a HEAVY WINNER on ORL -1.5. My 9th out of ten days with a winning record!!
                                                  Scared money don't make money

                                                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                  Comment
                                                  • migz
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-11-10
                                                    • 1160

                                                    #26
                                                    Nice win on ORL! Early leans for tom?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sweetjones55
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-07-09
                                                      • 5257

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Wilforth
                                                      Originally Posted by sweetjones55
                                                      Magic -1 1st Half LOCKED
                                                      Magic -1.5 LOCKED HEAVY

                                                      Originally posted by migz
                                                      Nice win on ORL! Early leans for tom?
                                                      Scared money don't make money

                                                      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Checkerboard
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-15-06
                                                        • 7799

                                                        #28
                                                        Thanks sj!

                                                        night cap's getting juiced, fingers crossed for the sweep buddy!

                                                        no April's Fools in here, lol

                                                        go nuggets 1Q
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sweetjones55
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-07-09
                                                          • 5257

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Checkerboard
                                                          Thanks sj!

                                                          night cap's getting juiced, fingers crossed for the sweep buddy!

                                                          no April's Fools in here, lol

                                                          go nuggets 1Q
                                                          At this point the Nuggets is just icing on the cake. I'm already celebrating tonights big night.
                                                          Scared money don't make money

                                                          182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                          37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                          Comment
                                                          • david09
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 06-27-09
                                                            • 115

                                                            #30
                                                            Good for you SJ. My local raised ORL -2.5.. so i did not play.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doctor_on_call
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 03-29-10
                                                              • 274

                                                              #31
                                                              nice hit man.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • landers781
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-27-09
                                                                • 4774

                                                                #32
                                                                Nice job so far buddy

                                                                Having a good night as well, am on port for the night cap though so at least one of us will win. Good luck
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sweetjones55
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-07-09
                                                                  • 5257

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                                                  i am really liking the magic for the game and 1st half. I also like the nuggets 1st quarter.

                                                                  I am taking the magic for all the obvious reasons. I think the books are fully aware that dallas is in a horrible spot to get the win tonight hence orlando being favored. 63% of the public is on the magic and the line has gone up accordingly from magic -1 to magic -2.5, exactly the kind of movement i wanted to see.

                                                                  Dallas is on b2b and have struggled all year at home. They did manage to cover the last 2 games at home but i don't think that they will be able to pull off 3 covers vs one of the best if not the best team in the nba right now, orlando. The road team has dominated in this series as of late going 4-0 su and ats.

                                                                  Orlando has just been playing better than dallas. Dallas is 12-15 ats for the 2h of the season while orlando is 15-10 ats. Jameer nelson is finally back to all-star form and dwight howard is still superman. I think he will dominate tonight with brendan haywood on him. I personally think that orlando has the advantage at every matchup except dirk/rashard. The problem with marion is that he is highly inconsistent hence his last game going 0-6 1 point. Barnes is a much more consistent player, he gets you his 10 points and provides great defense nightly. I think vc has the advantage against butler as vc has been playing out of his mind lately. Nelson is better than kidd. Howard and haywood lol. Dirk does have the advantage against ralew but i think ralew is a great cover against dirk because of his length, height and quickness. He can go out to the 3 point line and challenge dirk and always get a hand up in his face.


                                                                  magic -1 1st half locked winner!!!
                                                                  magic -1.5 locked heavy winner!!!


                                                                  carmelo and chauncey shot a combined 6-30 last game, the worst night the tandem has had all year long. I think they come out hot tonight and build a decent lead after 1. Carmelo anthony's best opponent so far this year is portland, he averages 34.3ppg against them.

                                                                  Denver is not the greatest 1st quarter team but that's only because they turn it on against bad teams late at home and just shut them down second half. Denver has been struggling and they know they will have to come out and play well in the 1st to beat a redhot portland team. Denver is 3-0 last 3 1st quarters at home vs portland.

                                                                  denver -1.5 1st quarter locked winner!!
                                                                  a perfect 3-0 night!
                                                                  Scared money don't make money

                                                                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sweetjones55
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-07-09
                                                                    • 5257

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by lyon804



                                                                    I could careless about your picks or handicapping. I am not trying to bash your handicapping or picks. The biggest problem with you as I see it is you are a "young punk". You have a character flaw and need coaching or fathering. You don't have what it takes to make it in this game. It's more than some stats and some fancy lingo that you 'recently' learned.

                                                                    As far as your little threads go.. I am happy for you son, but your luck could turn on a dime. You started a pick thread once and went to the shitter immediately and you went MIA for awhile.

                                                                    Bottomline, your bravado is what is irratating to myself and the handful of others that actually know what's going on that you have met opposisition from.

                                                                    You made a "couple" winning picks and now all of a sudden you think you have figured it out.

                                                                    I am not going to keep wasting my time suffering a fool. I am just telling you to tone the shit down as it is annoying as hell coming from a "noob" themself. Learn some humility and grow up.
                                                                    Where are my hattersss??? 3-0 again tonight with another HEAVY winner on Orlando. Winning record in 9 of my last ten nights! I thought I just went on a luck 5-0 streak? Man I must be the luckiest guy in all of gambling right now. 14-4 my last 18 plays!!!
                                                                    Scared money don't make money

                                                                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • sweetjones55
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-07-09
                                                                      • 5257

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                                                      Thanks texhooper/LB. I have been feeling good lately, start tailing away!
                                                                      Don't say I didn't warn you guys about my hot streak! I told you March 23rd to hop on this ride!
                                                                      Scared money don't make money

                                                                      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                                      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                                      Comment
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