Port @ okc play of the day

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  • sweetjones55
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-07-09
    • 5257

    #1
    Port @ okc play of the day
    Ok so I am 5-0 so far this week and could call it quits and just be content with a perfect week but I think may have one more play strong play to get me to 6-0. I am liking the Over 191 in the Blazers/Thunder game.

    I am all over that Portland/OKC Over 191. The under in this game is a HUGE trap. These two teams have already played twice this year.

    Game 1: OKC 74 POR 83 Total WAY UNDER 186.5
    Game 2: POR 77 OKC 89 Total WAY UNDER 191

    The books respond to these two killer unders by giving out the line at 191 at most books. You would think that after the last two games that the total would be set lower but Vegas is not afraid of getting action on the under after the last two results. The public is pretty much split on this total yet the total has already gone up to 191.5 and 192 at some places. The books could just collect the 10% on the juic but they are trying to entice more bettors unto that under.

    Portland is 10-5 Over on B2B and looked very effective yesterday on offense, Lamarcus and Roy looked damn good. OKC has been very effective on offense themselves at home lately averaging 106.5 points. Portland is averaging 101 last seven games. You can go ahead and lock this one in.

    Blazers/Thunder Over 191 LOCKED HEAVY
    Last edited by sweetjones55; 03-28-10, 12:06 PM.
    Scared money don't make money

    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
  • sweetjones55
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-07-09
    • 5257

    #2
    Too many lines in this song sound appropriate, shoutout to all my haters.
    Scared money don't make money

    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
    Comment
    • sweetjones55
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-07-09
      • 5257

      #3
      I just realized that the name of this song is OVER! This play has officially become a HEAVY PLAY.

      Blazers/Thunder Over 191 LOCKED HEAVY
      Scared money don't make money

      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
      Comment
      • thecomebacker
        SBR Hustler
        • 01-18-10
        • 92

        #4
        dropped to 189 now...what do you think?
        Comment
        • sweetjones55
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-07-09
          • 5257

          #5
          Originally posted by thecomebacker
          dropped to 189 now...what do you think?
          There are certain games that Vegas just goes crazy with the totals and jumps it two points and then will drop it three points the other way just trying to confuse bettors. I don't really try to evaluate this kind of line movement too much when this is happening. I still think this one goes Over.
          Last edited by sweetjones55; 03-28-10, 12:24 PM.
          Scared money don't make money

          182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
          37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
          Comment
          • will_kill
            Restricted User
            • 10-30-08
            • 31

            #6
            i like it
            Comment
            • tavinator13
              SBR Sharp
              • 02-16-10
              • 383

              #7
              wouldn't you have expected the second game to go way over as well, not way under according to the logic you're using?

              seems to me like there's not enough disparity in the lines between games to justify vegas knowing this game is going over (in other words the line is not way higher than the previous games lines). Also seems like vegas would be more hesitant to lower that totals line if they knew it was going over?

              Under is the play for me but BOL to you on this.
              Comment
              • lakerboy
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-02-09
                • 94379

                #8
                I hope it wasnt as heavy as my denver loss
                Comment
                • sweetjones55
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-07-09
                  • 5257

                  #9
                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                  I hope it wasnt as heavy as my denver loss
                  No I didn't go crazy on the game but I also lost OKC -4.5 which made for a pretty bad day. It's all good though, all in all it was a good week.
                  Last edited by sweetjones55; 03-29-10, 01:05 AM.
                  Scared money don't make money

                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                  Comment
                  • Muddy
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-16-09
                    • 621

                    #10
                    4th quarter lost some steam
                    Comment
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