T-Wizzle's NBA Thread

**t-wizzle** · 06-10-10, 08:08 PM

Celtics (-4): 2.5 Units

**t-wizzle** · 06-10-10, 08:35 PM

Celtics 2Q ML (-120): 3 Units

**t-wizzle** · 06-10-10, 09:15 PM

I'm taking Boston in the second half. Lakers will get into one-on-one mode in the second half and it will kill them.

**t-wizzle** · 06-10-10, 09:18 PM

Celtics 2H (-3): 5 Units

**t-wizzle** · 06-10-10, 09:22 PM

Celtics 3Q (-1.5): 3 Units

**t-wizzle** · 06-10-10, 09:26 PM

Lakers 2H TT Under 47: 1.5 Units

**t-wizzle** · 06-10-10, 11:31 PM

Woulda been a great night if not for those two stupid plays (celts 2q and celts 3q)... Oh well.

Leaning lakers in game 5, most likely moneyline. I might need to go big on this play... i rarely bet baseball so i'll pretty much be done until nfl season. I wanna go out with a bang

I just don't get L.A... they win the big games when they have to win, simple as that. But i just like the way boston is playing. To me, it's become pretty clear that they are just trying to hang around in the first half, then really buckle down on D in the second half. It takes a lot of work and energy to play as hard as they have played on defense the last two games so i think that explains why it's been mainly in the second half. Still, i can't go against kobe and the lakers in a game like this. Got a couple days to mull it over...

**Goat Milk** · 06-10-10, 11:34 PM

I know you did your homework to i could tell. 1 on 1 ball will not work

NATE ROBINSON!

**t-wizzle** · 06-10-10, 11:37 PM

No homework goat... i never re-watch a game, but i do watch and make mental notes. 2 straight games where Boston dominates the second half (3 if you wanna include Game 2) is the only thing keeping me from going huge on LA in game 5. Time and time again i've seen the Lakers get the job done when they have to, but i think Boston is playing better right now.

**Goat Milk** · 06-11-10, 12:47 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

No homework goat... i never re-watch a game, but i do watch and make mental notes. 2 straight games where Boston dominates the second half (3 if you wanna include Game 2) is the only thing keeping me from going huge on LA in game 5. Time and time again i've seen the Lakers get the job done when they have to, but i think Boston is playing better right now.

1. Phil will go back to the triangle offense game 5.
2. Fisher got destroyed again today by Ray Allen (even though stats didn't show it) and Nate Robinson
3. Vujacic will get more minutes game 5
4. Lakers will lose if Odom doesn't get a double double. Bynum won't be healthy til game 7.

**shoebox** · 06-11-10, 12:52 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

1. Phil will go back to the triangle offense game 5.
2. Fisher got destroyed again today by Ray Allen (even though stats didn't show it) and Nate Robinson
3. Vujacic will get more minutes game 5
4. Lakers will lose if Odom doesn't get a double double. Bynum won't be healthy til game 7.

I thought he would abandon the triangle

Awaiting your response

**Goat Milk** · 06-11-10, 12:54 AM

Originally posted by shoebox

I thought he would abandon the triangle

Awaiting your response

My man, he hasn't used the triangle offense the whole series. Just like I said weeks ago

**shoebox** · 06-11-10, 12:57 AM

So why would he go back?

**Goat Milk** · 06-11-10, 01:10 AM

Originally posted by shoebox

So why would he go back?

Vujacic + limited minutes for Bynum = less 2 man pick and roll, better shooters. Ball has been staying in one spot. Limited ball movement too much 1 on 1 ball, Celtics have figured it out. When Phil brings back the triangle Boston won't know what hit them.

**shoebox** · 06-11-10, 01:12 AM

Your wrong goat, seems to me Like the other way around homie. I'm up a little for the series, and my models have been working in the finals

**Goat Milk** · 06-11-10, 01:15 AM

Originally posted by shoebox

Your wrong goat, seems to me Like the other way around homie. I'm up a little for the series, and my models have been working in the finals

I won't lose 1 game this finals just like i said from day 1.

Your models won't work in game 1, 5, or 7 shoe. Only what is in between. Wake up my friend. Study the tape and ditch the models. They are not trustworthy in this spot rigth now and you know it. I don't even know if LA is a good play game 5, I will not open my mouth before I do my research

**shoebox** · 06-11-10, 01:18 AM

Have you called every winner ats and su all series? If so congrats

**Goat Milk** · 06-11-10, 01:20 AM

Every ATS yeah, every winner except game 2 I called LA winning but Boston ATS. Just ditch the models for game 5 and game 7 shoe. Trust me bro I'm only looking out for you and the key to being able to call these games is just watching the tapes and getting inside Rivers and Phil's heads. I'm confident that you are capable of being able to do this just do not think with bias when you do it.

**tealish** · 06-11-10, 01:22 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

I won't lose 1 game this finals just like i said from day 1. Your models won't work in game 1, 5, or 7 shoe. Only what is in between. Wake up my friend. Study the tape and ditch the models. They are not trustworthy in this spot rigth now and you know it. I don't even know if LA is a good play game 5, I will not open my mouth before I do my research

i hope a lot of your research includes the simple, but proven KOBE/BIG-GAME "MODEL"

**shoebox** · 06-11-10, 01:24 AM

Originally posted by tealish

i hope a lot of your research includes the simple, but proven KOBE/BIG-GAME "MODEL"

**Goat Milk** · 06-11-10, 01:26 AM

The books will CLEAN UP game 6 and 7. Cleanage.

**shoebox** · 06-11-10, 01:27 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Every ATS yeah, every winner except game 2 I called LA winning but Boston ATS. Just ditch the models for game 5 and game 7 shoe. Trust me bro I'm only looking out for you and the key to being able to call these games is just watching the tapes and getting inside Rivers and Phil's heads. I'm confident that you are capable of being able to do this just do not think with bias when you do it.

I had to play with a local the past games cause I had no contact via the miss us request. Been on the green machine and ml for 6 and 3u. I can't play games without hard evidence in front of me, unless we see a 50 unit bomb from lb

**tealish** · 06-11-10, 01:27 AM

Originally posted by shoebox

.

**shoebox** · 06-11-10, 01:28 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

The books will CLEAN UP game 6 and 7. Cleanage.

Won't they be on the sexier team?

**Goat Milk** · 06-11-10, 01:28 AM

Originally posted by shoebox

I had to play with a local the past games cause I had no contact via the miss us request. Been on the green machine and ml for 6 and 3u. I can't play games without hard evidence in front of me, unless we see a 50 unit bomb from lb

Nice. But don't give it all back my friend. Stop being bias and do your homework. Stop looking at bullshit trends, stats, your models, and get inside Phil's and River's head.

You will do just fine.

**shoebox** · 06-11-10, 01:28 AM

Originally posted by tealish

.

**tealish** · 06-11-10, 01:33 AM

Originally posted by shoebox

goodluck on your Celtics series bet. hope it's for less than what you've won on the GREEN MACHINE so far.

**shoebox** · 06-11-10, 01:36 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Nice. But don't give it all back my friend. Stop being bias and do your homework. Stop looking at bullshit trends, stats, your models, and get inside Phil's and River's head.

You will do just fine.

Trends only get you so far I use a rolling 2 weeks that I have found ti be the most useful for me. The suns were very hard to fit for the way that I cap, I also had to reconfigure the lakers and the celtics

I'm seeing things more clearly in this series

**shoebox** · 06-11-10, 01:38 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Celtics (-4): 2.5 Units

nice call sorry to clog up your thread

**shoebox** · 06-11-10, 01:40 AM

Originally posted by tealish

goodluck on your Celtics series bet. hope it's for less than what you've won on the GREEN MACHINE so far.

I'll be fine and hedge=guaranteed money, not gonna pull a magic/celtics again

**shari91** · 06-11-10, 01:40 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Every ATS yeah, every winner except game 2 I called LA winning but Boston ATS. Just ditch the models for game 5 and game 7 shoe. Trust me bro I'm only looking out for you and the key to being able to call these games is just watching the tapes and getting inside Rivers and Phil's heads. I'm confident that you are capable of being able to do this just do not think with bias when you do it.

Just because I'm bored and feel like starting some trouble - you put money on Boston game 3.

**PAULYPOKER** · 06-11-10, 01:43 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

No homework goat... i never re-watch a game, but i do watch and make mental notes. 2 straight games where Boston dominates the second half (3 if you wanna include Game 2) is the only thing keeping me from going huge on LA in game 5. Time and time again i've seen the Lakers get the job done when they have to, but i think Boston is playing better right now.

Exactly I watch a game and have a photographic memory of all key info needed,, I dunno why Goat just can't understand this.......

**Goat Milk** · 06-11-10, 02:05 AM

Originally posted by shari91

Just because I'm bored and feel like starting some trouble - you put money on Boston game 3.

No I didn't. I only had Paul Pierce prop that game. Remember I told you all LA game 3? Game 3 was the only game I didn't play because Pauly Poker convinced me out of LA

Check my thread I had no play on that game but sent out writeups too a few ppl here that LA was the paly

**hawley** · 06-11-10, 02:13 AM

goat you keep amazing me with your write up's and predictions, cant wait for game 5's

**t-wizzle** · 06-11-10, 04:27 PM

Love the discussion going on in here.

I agree with you on the triangle offense point Goat Milk. They've killed Boston on it the last two games in the first half. The thing is, i'm not so sure i agree with you in that LA got away from it - I think it's much more of Boston taking it away. Boston has clearly taken it up a notch on defense the last two games in the second half.