My original intention was fading Denver this whole week especially today and Sunday.
But after closer look, I can't pull the trigger for today game yet.
The situation last night was better to fade Denver, because a lot of bettors jump on Denver. Everyone know by now Denver suck, and if they have a shot to cover a game, definitely the yesterday game.....a nice quote floating around here applied "a team most likely to cover when you least expect them to be" NYN.
For today, Boston seems to be a good call, as Denver display how bad they are in the last few games. Plus RLM look like support Boston call so far. Line came out has Boston -3.5, and quickly jump to -5, now drop back to 4.5 with 70% on Denver.
I have a feeling these numbers jump up and down like this to lurk people onto Boston side.
Look at Boston last 5 games, they went 4-1, but 4 of the wins are against some sh*tty teams Detroit, NYN, Houston and Dallas (lost to Jazz).
Last 5 games at home they also went 4-1, but look who do they win NYN, Detroit, Indiana and Washington (lost to Memphis). It should have been 3-2 at home against these bottom feeder teams, as everyone remembers Wizard had their foot on Boston throat until the final minutes.
So, my thought is, OK Denver is playing bad likely but they could send Boston down to the wire, or take the game straight up.
Giving a recent form that Denver playing, and seem like Dantley want their players to play at slower pace than Karl. I also leaning UNDER for the game, or Denver TT UNDER 102 (line not come out yet, but I project around these number).
So leans
Denver +4.5
Denver ML
UNDER 206
DENVER TT 102 or so.
What your thoughts.
But after closer look, I can't pull the trigger for today game yet.
The situation last night was better to fade Denver, because a lot of bettors jump on Denver. Everyone know by now Denver suck, and if they have a shot to cover a game, definitely the yesterday game.....a nice quote floating around here applied "a team most likely to cover when you least expect them to be" NYN.
For today, Boston seems to be a good call, as Denver display how bad they are in the last few games. Plus RLM look like support Boston call so far. Line came out has Boston -3.5, and quickly jump to -5, now drop back to 4.5 with 70% on Denver.
I have a feeling these numbers jump up and down like this to lurk people onto Boston side.
Look at Boston last 5 games, they went 4-1, but 4 of the wins are against some sh*tty teams Detroit, NYN, Houston and Dallas (lost to Jazz).
Last 5 games at home they also went 4-1, but look who do they win NYN, Detroit, Indiana and Washington (lost to Memphis). It should have been 3-2 at home against these bottom feeder teams, as everyone remembers Wizard had their foot on Boston throat until the final minutes.
So, my thought is, OK Denver is playing bad likely but they could send Boston down to the wire, or take the game straight up.
Giving a recent form that Denver playing, and seem like Dantley want their players to play at slower pace than Karl. I also leaning UNDER for the game, or Denver TT UNDER 102 (line not come out yet, but I project around these number).
So leans
Denver +4.5
Denver ML
UNDER 206
DENVER TT 102 or so.
What your thoughts.
