ORL at ATL March 24, 2010

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  • PlatinumBerg
    SBR MVP
    • 03-01-10
    • 1058

    #1
    ORL at ATL March 24, 2010
    Tentatively, I have a strong lean on ORL. I will confirm my play closer to game time.

    Key facts to consider:

    - ORL has defeated ATL all 3 times this season, twice in ORL, once in ATL.
    - ORL has defeated ATL by at least 17 points in the three times they met this season.
    - Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
    - Orlando is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games.
    - Both teams have one day of rest.

    I need to observe the line movement history, public consensus, and late money closer to game time.
  • THEGREAT30
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-04-08
    • 8970

    #2
    easy pick Orl
    Comment
    • lunchbawks
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-31-10
      • 12873

      #3
      Originally posted by THEGREAT30
      easy pick Orl
      ohhh the most spoken words of a future gambling loss. books don't make it easy. sweeping a team is alot harder than winning a few straight.
      Comment
      • Crnjak
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-11-09
        • 588

        #4
        for me UNDER, easy pick!
        Comment
        • Goat Milk
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-24-10
          • 25850

          #5
          Tough game. ATL will probably lose the battle on the glass unless Dwight gets in foul trouble early. ATL needs Johnson and Crawford to both stay hot throughout this game for them to win. Orlando doesn't have perimeter defenders to stay with these guys. Johnson is going to absolutely abuse Matt Barnes, and if Crawford is hot too, watch out, if you double team one, they'll make the play. I think Carter and Crawford will put on a show. Orl will have to pick their poison.
          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
          Comment
          • ikamoku
            SBR Sharp
            • 03-24-10
            • 263

            #6
            no way! OVER is the bet. five units on first half over.
            Comment
            • ngates815
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-01-09
              • 13845

              #7
              Dwight won't get in early foul trouble....The Hawks use Horford about as much as Orlando goes to Dwight on the offensive end.
              Comment
              • Goat Milk
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-24-10
                • 25850

                #8
                Orl goes to Dwight for everything. That's how they get all there 3s. Ball goes into Dwight, he draws the double, which he will because he's a good 4 inches taller than horford and can easily shoot over the top, he kicks it 2 more passes are made then bam. Horford and Dwight are both going to be aggressive on the offensive glass so they're are going to be a few calls like that. Not sure about this game.

                ATL is a different animal at home. But I think ORL first half is a good bet, and i'd probably take ATL second half just because they'll never get blown out at home unless they're playing D wade, Kobe, or Bron.
                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                Comment
                • ninja33
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-13-10
                  • 338

                  #9
                  I've seen all of the Hawks-Magic games this year, and Orlando just owns this team. Seems like a very square play to me, but after seeing those games I feel like I have to play the Magic.
                  Comment
                  • zigomanisinsider
                    Restricted User
                    • 07-28-09
                    • 4007

                    #10
                    magic
                    Comment
                    • basb
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 12-19-09
                      • 114

                      #11
                      have to go with ORL, they own the hawks, the hawks know that.. both teams will come out tonight with guns blazing, but with howard as their tank, think ORL pulls it off... expect a close game ladies and gents! BOL
                      Comment
                      • EBDOGGN
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-21-09
                        • 563

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Goat Milk
                        Tough game. ATL will probably lose the battle on the glass unless Dwight gets in foul trouble early. ATL needs Johnson and Crawford to both stay hot throughout this game for them to win. Orlando doesn't have perimeter defenders to stay with these guys. Johnson is going to absolutely abuse Matt Barnes, and if Crawford is hot too, watch out, if you double team one, they'll make the play. I think Carter and Crawford will put on a show. Orl will have to pick their poison.

                        joe johnson is going to abuse matt barnes???? lol, dude do you know why matt barnes is in orlando?. he plays great defense, played kobe a few weeks ago as good as as anyone in the league..
                        im with orlando on this one.. atl has taken to many close games lately and that little run has to end. who better loose this run to then the team that has whooped ass 3 times this season..
                        Comment
                        • ackem19
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-07-09
                          • 669

                          #13
                          hey guys, just want to warn you since you're planning on betting on Orlando. I was going to do the same because the line looked so good but here's a key stat to consider:

                          Home Favorites in March who have won their last 2 home games, are 218-46(83%) since 1996 and 50-8(86%) since the beginning of this month.

                          I would strongly recommend to either stay away this game or even play the Hawks. I'm not saying that the system is never wrong, when the Spurs beat the Thunder the other day, the Thunder were in the same situation at home and still lost by 3. But I just wanted to give you a heads up. GL.
                          Comment
                          • QUEST001
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 04-01-09
                            • 779

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ackem19
                            hey guys, just want to warn you since you're planning on betting on Orlando. I was going to do the same because the line looked so good but here's a key stat to consider:

                            Home Favorites in March who have won their last 2 home games, are 218-46(83%) since 1996 and 50-8(86%) since the beginning of this month.

                            I would strongly recommend to either stay away this game or even play the Hawks. I'm not saying that the system is never wrong, when the Spurs beat the Thunder the other day, the Thunder were in the same situation at home and still lost by 3. But I just wanted to give you a heads up. GL.
                            Nice work..interesting stat
                            Comment
                            • OverUnder
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-31-09
                              • 3126

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ackem19
                              hey guys, just want to warn you since you're planning on betting on Orlando. I was going to do the same because the line looked so good but here's a key stat to consider:

                              Home Favorites in March who have won their last 2 home games, are 218-46(83%) since 1996 and 50-8(86%) since the beginning of this month.

                              I would strongly recommend to either stay away this game or even play the Hawks. I'm not saying that the system is never wrong, when the Spurs beat the Thunder the other day, the Thunder were in the same situation at home and still lost by 3. But I just wanted to give you a heads up. GL.
                              These stats are ridiculous, I am sure I can find some possible combination out there that proves the Magic will win 90% of the time tonight. O wait I already have, Atlanta can not match up with them!
                              Comment
                              • ackem19
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-07-09
                                • 669

                                #16
                                You know every time I post some "ridiculous" stat, i get a ton of backlash by people that I'm only trying to help save money. You can't say, "hmm... thanks" or "I don't cap with stats or trends". No, instead I get ignorant ass people who don't want to hear anything other than support for their picks. Want to see what happened last time I posted a "ridiculous stat" click here: http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...ty-gt-7-a.html. A lot of people lost their money here.
                                Comment
                                • PlatinumBerg
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-01-10
                                  • 1058

                                  #17
                                  The books are trying to do some serious mindfvck with us. The public is betting on ORL 70-30, yet the ORL got an additional 0.5 points?!?!
                                  Comment
                                  • SimonSayz
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-17-09
                                    • 859

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by PlatinumBerg
                                    The books are trying to do some serious mindfvck with us. The public is betting on ORL 70-30, yet the ORL got an additional 0.5 points?!?!
                                    I don't there is enough on Atlanta. Books need to show movement on Atlanta to draw $
                                    IMO
                                    Comment
                                    • brock
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-07-08
                                      • 8334

                                      #19
                                      Orl last three vrs ATL. Orl won by 18, 32 and 17 sweep.
                                      Comment
                                      • ron8698
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-31-10
                                        • 290

                                        #20
                                        this game and Laker game are similar ,,money going on Lakers and Orlando but spread going the other way
                                        Comment
                                        • acomia05
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 03-15-10
                                          • 12

                                          #21
                                          Magic +2 (-110) 5Dimes
                                          Comment
                                          • PlatinumBerg
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-01-10
                                            • 1058

                                            #22
                                            I'm taking ORL +2, that is my play.
                                            Comment
                                            • ackem19
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-07-09
                                              • 669

                                              #23
                                              once again, "ridiculous" stats prevail. for everybody who got ORL at +2, lucky you. all i tried to do was save you the money in the first place.
                                              Comment
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