Jazz -3

[PAULYPOKER]

This is the most lopsided spot on the card I have the Jazz capped at -11 didn't Vegas learn from the Orlando mishap on Monday?? Or is this a setup? Cause there will be no one in their right mind on the Raptors

[eatdust11]

I also saw this one as a very strange line.. its so fishy it scares me..

[HoulihansTX]

I have the Jazz capped at -11

Your numbers are off, not the books.

When you have a line this far off, its means your own numbers are wrong.

I have Utah laying 7 if this was played in Utah. -3 on the road is not far fetched against a strong home court in Toronto.

[OverUnder]

Yeah Pauly I had Utah right at -3 on this one. The Craptors at home scare me.

[PAULYPOKER]

Your numbers are off, not the books. When you have a line this far off, its means your own numbers are wrong. I have Utah laying 7 if this was played in Utah. -3 on the road is not far fetched against a strong home court in Toronto.

I had Orlando capped at -15 on Monday and Vegas had them capped at -6.5 and they won by 16 so who was off on this one

[tltaylor89]

9 Cent move at some shops on this line books get shaken down today

[HoulihansTX]

I had Orlando capped at -15 on Monday and Vegas had them capped at -6.5 and they won by 16 so who was off on this one

Ok post every line you capped, that you fell Vegas is off on for a week.

If your lines are closer to the end result, than the closing line is then I will consider your handicapped lines a godsend.

Also when was the last time the books sent out a line of -15 on a road fav?? Books would get one sided action, and get crushed in the long run.

[tltaylor89]

Ok post every line you capped, that you fell Vegas is off on for a week.

If your lines are closer to the end result, than the closing line is then I will consider your handicapped lines a godsend.

Also when was the last time the books sent out a line of -15 on a road fav?? Books would get one sided action, and get crushed in the long run.

Books getting 1 sided action on Magic anyways we all know whats gonna happen today Howard with 30 Points

[PAULYPOKER]

They just misread the public's perception of the game so when the public jumped on the Magic like a dog in heat there was nothing they could do but they tried by bumping it to 8.5 but it was already a lost cause however since my line was so far from theirs I stayed away thinking it was a trap

[PAULYPOKER]

HoulihansTX
Also when was the last time the books sent out a line of -15 on a road fav?? Books would get one sided action, and get crushed in the long run.
PAULYPOKER
Just think if they would have I know they are still kicking themselves in the ass for not making it -15

[HoulihansTX]

"crushed in the long run."

Remember I said that. Never judge a book off a day, week, month of results. Always how they finish for the year.

Books that deal opinionated lines die hard.

[No coincidences]

Remember, Vegas predominantly sets its lines to get the most action -- not necessarily to favor one team or another. They typically don't care who covers.

What would be the point of making someone a DD road fave? No one in their right mind would take, say, Utah at -11.

[Time is Money]

Remember, Vegas predominantly sets its lines to get the most action -- not necessarily to favor one team or another. They typically don't care who covers.

What would be the point of making someone a DD road fave? No one in their right mind would take, say, Utah at -11.

Exactly.

[PAULYPOKER]

I have Utah laying 7 if this was played in Utah. -3 on the road is not far fetched against a strong home court in Toronto.

Last time they played in Toronto they won by 8
If this was a month ago I would say the line is correct but the Raptors has turned to shit as of late and the Jazz is the best shut down 4th Quarter team in the NBA

[lakerboy]

Pauly the jazz were -7.5 over raps in Utah (huge home court adv) and now your saying they are 11 pt faves on the road. Raps will cover the spread and win the game - you watch.

[PAULYPOKER]

Pauly the jazz were -7.5 over raps in Utah (huge home court adv) and now your saying they are 11 pt faves on the road. Raps will cover the spread and win the game - you watch.

You might be right because this is my adopted team and I try to stay away from making plays on them especially when the line don't match my own because if it looks to good to be true it probably is but if they do win in the area of 11 I am going to kick myself in the ass

[No coincidences]

Remember, the Raptors are still 23-11 at home and the Jazz are still just a .500 road ballclub.

[ozrob]

i'd take raps at +11. i'd be reassessing the capping

[uanl]

raptors + the points and raptors ML for me...the world is going to be on the jazz, this has trap written all over it in my opinion

[PAULYPOKER]

raptors + the points and raptors ML for me...the world is going to be on the jazz, this has trap written all over it in my opinion

Exactly but the laker and magic games will have all the action IMO so it might not be an issue

[krazey47409]

books dont care 2 much bout 1 little game they get rich regardless and this lines right wher eit should be utah a 500% road team and toronto and good home team who had been olaying bad lately but they need this win more then the jazz i think im gonna pass i was loving the jazz though

[NBAStats]

Pauly the jazz were -7.5 over raps in Utah (huge home court adv) and now your saying they are 11 pt faves on the road. Raps will cover the spread and win the game - you watch.

Loving raps moneyline on this one, especially when compared with the 7.5 line in Utah. These teams are both very good at home, while Utah is decent on the road and Raps flat out suck on the road. The only reason this line is at -3 is because of public perception, not because of reality. I would think it would be a pick or maybe even Raps minus a couple. Loving the Raps tomorrow.

[PAULYPOKER]

I have decided to stay away from this game good luck on who you bet on this game

[uanl]

I have decided to stay away from this game good luck on who you bet on this game

Good Call Go raptors!

[timdu82]

im all ova JAZZ BABY

[colts]

Pauly the jazz were -7.5 over raps in Utah (huge home court adv) and now your saying they are 11 pt faves on the road. Raps will cover the spread and win the game - you watch.

While I agree the line would never be around 11 (Toronto doesn't suck that bad and they are a pretty good home team), I do think the Jazz will win. For me, I think it will comes down to which is more likely a Toronto outright win or the Jazz winning by 6 to 10 pts. I choose the latter.

[strickerson]

word.^

[playa420]

yo pauly, are you using statfox powerlines? I know stafox had orlando -15 and now they have utah -11.Books would never make lines that high, but the edge plays over there usually do pretty good.

[PAULYPOKER]

I created my own system by figuring out how they arrived at theirs but we do not always match-up meaning I think they even throw you off some times long story short never trust anybody

[PAULYPOKER]

I love the Jazz though so I am always looking for a reason to play them which is the wrong thing to do but I am proud of myself tonight because I am backing off the Jazz play and enjoying the game

[BettingWizard]

you have an average road team as an 11 pt fav over a good home team?

[HoulihansTX]

This is the most lopsided spot on the card I have the Jazz capped at -11 didn't Vegas learn from the Orlando mishap on Monday?? Or is this a setup? Cause there will be no one in their right mind on the Raptors

Dear God your #'s were waaayyy off. More like by 20

How could I have ever doubted the Paulypoker lean??

[lakerboy]

Great call pauly-

[letitburn]

nice one

[playersonly69]

money, i was on it as well