Total of the year gs/phx o/u 243.5

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 04:50 PM

OK so I already hit you guys with my Team Total of the Year with the Nuggets and my College Basketball game of the Year with Wake Forest which were both big winners. Today I give you my Total game of the year!

Phoenix @ Golden State O/U 243.5

The last time I saw a total this high between these two teams (244 O/U 3/15/2009) I thought to myself, "Jesus Christ, the totals between these two teams are always in the 230-237 range, how in the world are they going to score 245+ points combined. The result that night was a 130-154 Phoenix win @ GS. I think this was the highest combined score of any two teams in god knows how long.

Tonight I am asking myself the same question. Three out of the last four games between these two teams have gone under including their last game in Phoenix which only combined for 215 and went wayyy under the posted total of 233. The last O/U between these two teams all average to around 234.

So what does Vegas do tonight admist these two teams going under mostly lately and going way under last game? THey put out the highest total ever in the last 2 years at 244. Sure enough the public is pounding this total to the tune of 75% on the under, 25% on the over.

Ok now why do I absolutely love this play? Well the fact that this total is so much higher than all the others is a huge sign to me to take the over. Why would Vegas put this total so high knowing that the public will for sure be on the under? My answer is because they think it's going to be a high scoring affair. Now why do I think it's going to be a high scoring affair? It's pretty plain and simple, Golden State has been allowing EVERYONE to score at will on them lately. The biggest exampleo of this was just 3 days ago when they allowed the Spurs, who are by no means a great offensive team, score 147 points on them. They also allowed N.O to score 130 on them twice in the last month, another team that isn't so hot on offense. Now here come in the Suns who are THE high scoring team in the NBA, who are really feeling themselves lately winning their last 4 games. I don't see any reason why the Suns won't score at least 130 points on GS. I think GS will be themselves at home and also go out there and score 120+ especially since they have had a extra day of rest for this game and have Monta, Steph, and Maggette all healthy for tonight.

Suns/Warriors OVER 243.5 HUGE
Suns/Warrors 1st Half OVER 123 HEAVY

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 04:51 PM

There is the writeup for it in case anyone missed it. Luckily I posted the play on that OTHER forum.

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 04:55 PM

Total of the year gs/phx o/u 243.5

OK so I already hit you guys with my Team Total of the Year with the Nuggets and my College Basketball game of the Year with Wake Forest which were both big winners. Today I give you my Total game of the year!

Phoenix @ Golden State O/U 243.5

The last time I saw a total this high between these two teams (244 O/U 3/15/2009) I thought to myself, "Jesus Christ, the totals between these two teams are always in the 230-237 range, how in the world are they going to score 245+ points combined. The result that night was a 130-154 Phoenix win @ GS. I think this was the highest combined score of any two teams in god knows how long.

Tonight I am asking myself the same question. Three out of the last four games between these two teams have gone under including their last game in Phoenix which only combined for 215 and went wayyy under the posted total of 233. The last O/U between these two teams all average to around 234.

So what does Vegas do tonight admist these two teams going under mostly lately and going way under last game? THey put out the highest total ever in the last 2 years at 244. Sure enough the public is pounding this total to the tune of 75% on the under, 25% on the over.

Ok now why do I absolutely love this play? Well the fact that this total is so much higher than all the others is a huge sign to me to take the over. Why would Vegas put this total so high knowing that the public will for sure be on the under? My answer is because they think it's going to be a high scoring affair. Now why do I think it's going to be a high scoring affair? It's pretty plain and simple, Golden State has been allowing EVERYONE to score at will on them lately. The biggest exampleo of this was just 3 days ago when they allowed the Spurs, who are by no means a great offensive team, score 147 points on them. They also allowed N.O to score 130 on them twice in the last month, another team that isn't so hot on offense. Now here come in the Suns who are THE high scoring team in the NBA, who are really feeling themselves lately winning their last 4 games. I don't see any reason why the Suns won't score at least 130 points on GS. I think GS will be themselves at home and also go out there and score 120+ especially since they have had a extra day of rest for this game and have Monta, Steph, and Maggette all healthy for tonight.

Suns/Warriors OVER 243.5 HUGE
Suns/Warrors 1st Half OVER 123 HEAVY

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 04:55 PM

SBR randomly deleted the original thread I created for my total of the year this morning so I thought I'd repost it. I dont want anyone to miss this.

**Tommy_de1st** · 03-22-10, 04:58 PM

GL Sweetjones

**lyon804** · 03-22-10, 05:01 PM

Did they do away with the thread?

**yisman** · 03-22-10, 05:04 PM

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/399227-total-year-gs-phx-o-u-243-5-a.html

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

**Danskeren** · 03-22-10, 05:07 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

There is the writeup for it in case anyone missed it. Luckily I posted the play on that OTHER forum.

Great analysis Sweet.

By the way, I've actually visited this "other forum"! However I had a hard time figuering out where to put my money, as nobody informed me about the lock of the day,

Instead people is posting writeups and thoughts upon the games - Weird right?

**Devon** · 03-22-10, 05:18 PM

I'm not too sure what you are on but I'm really liking the under here. A great deal of people aren't on the under compared to the over (as in it's about 60-40), plus there is very sexy line movement for the under as well.

Definitely liking this to go under and by a great deal. Both teams have been scoring "high" of late and that's where a lot of the extra added points have come from for the total. I don't think they're going to have a high scoring game as both teams have recently had (ie. GSW/Spurs, Suns/Minny GSW/Atlanta or GSW/NOH x2).

If the Suns just shutdown the Warriors, which it will take only one quarter and the "over" on the total is goneski! Sure they could potentially put up a 70 point quarter but they're going to have to play at a high freakin' level for four quarters. Sure there's also a good chance that both teams will be off with shooting too!

Under for mine but good luck with your plays ladies.

**girth brooks** · 03-22-10, 05:38 PM

A little inside info for you guys, I live in Phoenix and I know that the Suns didn't get into the Bay area until 2 am and had to practice at 10 am. The Suns will have to score a lot to keep up with GS scoring at will on their tired asses. I'm taking the over.

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 05:44 PM

What the hell is going on? I did not repost that writeup twice like that and they deleted my original thread? The other thread had over 50 replies and a lot of informative comments. Mods?

**Devon** · 03-22-10, 05:47 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

What the hell is going on? I did not repost that writeup twice like that and they deleted my original thread? The other thread had over 50 replies and a lot of informative comments. Mods?

calm down, sunshine!

your thread just got merged with the fifty zillion other suns/gsw total threads!

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/398203-monday-suns-warriors-total-244-a-post3721963.html#post3721963

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 07:20 PM

Originally posted by Devon

calm down, sunshine!

your thread just got merged with the fifty zillion other suns/gsw total threads!

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...ml#post3721963

None have a writeup as good as mine though.

**lakerboy** · 03-22-10, 07:23 PM

hey sjones how do you feel about the total moving back down to the original #?

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 07:34 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

hey sjones how do you feel about the total moving back down to the original #?

Well obviously I am not estatic about it but the truth is I put in the play before the line even moved up. I took it at 243.5 as soon as it came out so the line movement didn't play a factor at all into my playing of this pick. Suns should still be able to put up 130 points tonight, they have been winning lately and are hot and GS has been allowing mediocre offensive teams to score on them at will.

**lakerboy** · 03-22-10, 07:36 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Well obviously I am not estatic about it but the truth is I put in the play before the line even moved up. I took it at 243.5 as soon as it came out so the line movement didn't play a factor at all into my playing of this pick.

i think you should be okay.

**HoulihansTX** · 03-22-10, 07:39 PM

This will be the most entertaining game of the week.

No defense, and bring your jumper.

Exactly the type of game that ESPN should be featuring on a Monday.

**darkenergy** · 03-22-10, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

This will be the most entertaining game of the week. No defense, and bring your jumper. Exactly the type of game that ESPN should be featuring on a Monday.

I didn't like games like this. Last time I watch GSW play with Raptor, it kind of cool for the first 5 minutes, but then you get tired to watch those players just run up and down with jump shoot. Especially when they get cold, they look like whole bunch of high school girls playing.

**ron8698** · 03-22-10, 09:43 PM

interesting , line went down to 242.5 be4 tip-off , I got it at 245.50 early in the day .. i`m a little bummed , not the best value ,,i don`t think i can watch the game now , just look at the score in a few hrs ...BOL

**yisman** · 03-22-10, 09:48 PM

the way it's going early this should hit 250

**ron8698** · 03-22-10, 10:14 PM

i hope so

**lakerfan420** · 03-22-10, 10:18 PM

I have a feeling this thing is going to go way over unless things just come to an dry spout.. each possession lasts like 3 seconds its crazy

**NOREGRETS** · 03-22-10, 10:26 PM

With you on the over boys... Hope this pace keeps up. I have 6x at 243.5 and 4x at 246. Let's DO THIS!!

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 10:44 PM

Just hit the 1st Half Over Heavy!! One down, One to Go!!! Let's bring this one home!

**craig4nr** · 03-22-10, 10:46 PM

I haven't been playing much (life got intense) but over seemed like the right play. Games with insanely-high totals seem to always go over.

But it seems that high-scoring first halfs usually lead to a lower-scoring 2H.

**sweetjones55** · 03-22-10, 10:46 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Suns/Warrors 1st Half OVER 123HEAVYWinner!!!

**The fiddler** · 03-22-10, 10:47 PM

You guys that had over first half...good job. You can thank Monta the pig Ellis for fouling with 1 second on the shot clock.

**quick$** · 03-22-10, 10:52 PM

SJ how do feel about 2h. Phx -2, 120.
My lean is stick with over and add phx

**lyon804** · 03-22-10, 10:59 PM

Originally posted by quick$

SJ how do feel about 2h. Phx -2, 120.
My lean is stick with over and add phx

stay away from Phoenix bro. this is GSW cover here.

**Muddy** · 03-22-10, 11:05 PM

Nice 1h call

**OverUnder** · 03-22-10, 11:08 PM

Took the over, lets keep up the scoring for the 2H

**nulldah** · 03-22-10, 11:09 PM

let's hit 100 mark before 4th quarter

**whatsgood5** · 03-22-10, 11:10 PM

Good call man, looks damn good.

**tltaylor89** · 03-22-10, 11:12 PM

Its on pace