Denver Nuggets VS Milwaukee Bucks - March 20, 2010 - Big Plays

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  • PlatinumBerg
    SBR MVP
    • 03-01-10
    • 1058

    #1
    Denver Nuggets VS Milwaukee Bucks - March 20, 2010 - Big Plays
    It seems like a lot of people on this board are waging big money for Denver to cover tonight so I thought it might be a good idea to create a discussion thread so we can all think things through clearly.

    In favor of Denver:

    Denver has home court advantage.
    Denver has 1 day of rest.
    Milwaukee is coming off a back-to-back road game.
    Milwaukee played a late game last night that went to doubt OT.


    Against Denver:

    MIL is 22-12-1 ATS away.
    DEN is only 17-17-1 ATS at home.
    Kenyon Martin is still out.
    Denver lost by 6 when they face MIL earlier this season.
    Denver tends to get sloppy in the second half if they have a decent lead.

    Ultimately, the obvious question is will Denver cover the spread for tonight's game?

    I know the following people went huge FOR Denver to cover tonight.

    Lakerboy - (20 units) at DEN -9
    MexicanStallion - "all in" at DEN -9

    Thoughts? Opinions? Insights?
  • dimon
    SBR MVP
    • 08-14-09
    • 1159

    #2
    I take DEN big as well...it is a classic spot for them to cover
    Comment
    • SportsTerminator
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-18-09
      • 5179

      #3
      Originally posted by dimon
      I take DEN big as well...it is a classic spot for them to cover
      Classic indeed but you know me I'm drinking that Denver juice.
      Bet To Win
      Comment
      • PAULYPOKER
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-06-08
        • 36581

        #4
        I have Denver at -8 on my system which is 2 points below the current line of -10 however the public is on Milwaukee at 64% currently, but 61% of the public is on Denver's ML-650 so by all means there is no significant edge for either team meaning it is a good game to stay away from the bucks are 2 and 0 against the Nuggets this year and are 4 and 0 ATS and 1 push the last 4 times they played each other. the push was when Denver was giving 9
        Comment
        • SportsTerminator
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-18-09
          • 5179

          #5
          Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
          I have Denver at -8 on my system which is 2 points below the current line of -10 however the public is on Milwaukee at 64% currently, but 61% of the public is on Denver's ML-650 so by all means there is no significant edge for either team meaning it is a good game to stay away from the bucks are 2 and 0 against the Nuggets this year and are 4 and 0 ATS and 1 push the last 4 times they played each other. the push was when Denver was giving 9
          The Bucks 1-0 against Denver this year playing on 11/11/09 only. And that game is was Denver's SIXTH road game playing on back to back nights. And that moneyline consensus will go up dramatically go tip off...

          And not that I pay attention to trends but
          * DEN are 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 Sat. games.
          * MIL are 1-7-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Denver.
          Bet To Win
          Comment
          • PAULYPOKER
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-06-08
            • 36581

            #6
            Originally posted by SportsTerminator
            The Bucks 1-0 against Denver this year playing on 11/11/09 only. And that game is was Denver's SIXTH road game playing on back to back nights. And that moneyline consensus will go up dramatically go tip off... And not that I pay attention to trends but * DEN are 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 Sat. games. * MIL are 1-7-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Denver.
            Thank you for the correction:02/22/2009 Sun DEN 117 MIL 120

            I still would be careful NBA consensus means nothing when the Final 4 tourney is going on meaning it will most likely not be in the top 10 of the day
            Comment
            • vetskov
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-09-09
              • 141

              #7
              Just booked Denver at -9 for 1.77. Let's see how good can they do tonight!
              Comment
              • sportfan
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-22-09
                • 10111

                #8
                my local got denver -11 ?? still good to go?
                Comment
                • KiDBaZkiT
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-20-09
                  • 14962

                  #9
                  Pauly Poker, I dont know what your looking at but its wrong, there is no way that the public is on Milwaukee, online sources for public betting percentages are constantly false. 2nd, Rihanna looks like some go-go bitch right outta the 80's she aint that hot at all.
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #10
                    Nothing to discuss here. Denver blows mil out of the building. Dont waste your brains too much. Its Denver or no play. Mil isnt playing double ot and covering anything in denver. Denver by 20 +.
                    Comment
                    • PAULYPOKER
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-06-08
                      • 36581

                      #11
                      Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
                      Pauly Poker, I dont know what your looking at but its wrong, there is no way that the public is on Milwaukee, online sources for public betting percentages are constantly false. 2nd, Rihanna looks like some go-go bitch right outta the 80's she aint that hot at all.
                      You R
                      Comment
                      • sportfan
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-22-09
                        • 10111

                        #12
                        Lakerboy may be right , that's why my local got Denver -11 , they want us to take Mil
                        Comment
                        • PAULYPOKER
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-06-08
                          • 36581

                          #13
                          Update on consensus: 57% on bucks spread line and 57% on Bucks ML

                          It was previusly this at 4:30 PM eastern time:
                          Milwaukee at 64% currently, but 61% of the public is on Denver's ML-650
                          Last edited by PAULYPOKER; 03-20-10, 05:29 PM.
                          Comment
                          • LATINOSERIO
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 03-11-10
                            • 74

                            #14
                            THe Bucks is the play. A really strong team and Jennings is going to school billups today just like he schooled Evans yesterday
                            Comment
                            • scratbandit
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-07-09
                              • 548

                              #15
                              I would check out the over in this of 205..
                              Comment
                              • frostno98
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-11-07
                                • 9769

                                #16
                                It's all psychological here. The Bucks are happy to just get out Sac with a win. They won't be focus but relieved, while the Nuggets will continue to solidify their standing the Western Conference race. They will not take this team lightly, and as they have been with all the other playoff potential teams they faced at home.
                                Comment
                                • fsugolf
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 07-17-09
                                  • 6194

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by LATINOSERIO
                                  THe Bucks is the play. A really strong team and Jennings is going to school billups today just like he schooled Evans yesterday

                                  are you really comparing tyreke evans to chauncy billups?
                                  Comment
                                  • scarface0800
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-19-10
                                    • 920

                                    #18
                                    milwaukee +11 for me...thats a lot of points for denver to cover
                                    Comment
                                    • PAULYPOKER
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-06-08
                                      • 36581

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                      Update on consensus: 57% on bucks spread line and 57% on Bucks ML It was previusly this at 4:30 PM eastern time: Milwaukee at 64% currently, but 61% of the public is on Denver's ML-650
                                      Update on consensus: 57% on bucks spread line and 68% on Denver's ML
                                      Comment
                                      • WillC
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-10-09
                                        • 1831

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                        Nothing to discuss here. Denver blows mil out of the building. Dont waste your brains too much. Its Denver or no play. Mil isnt playing double ot and covering anything in denver. Denver by 20 +.
                                        easy man, this is the nba
                                        anything can happen just like last night.

                                        Been burnt by back door dd spreads so not getting way overconfident like some here but I like the play.
                                        Comment
                                        • PAULYPOKER
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-06-08
                                          • 36581

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by WillC
                                          easy man, this is the nba anything can happen just like last night. Been burnt by back door dd spreads so not getting way overconfident like some here but I like the play.
                                          Dead on my friend
                                          Comment
                                          • PAULYPOKER
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-06-08
                                            • 36581

                                            #22
                                            Update on consensus: 50% on bucks spread line and 60% on Denver's ML like I said before there is no significant edge in this game
                                            Comment
                                            • fsugolf
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 07-17-09
                                              • 6194

                                              #23
                                              tailing lakerboy on this and letting my winnings from today ride on den -10 EV gl whomever you take boys
                                              Comment
                                              • vetskov
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-09-09
                                                • 141

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by fsugolf
                                                are you really comparing tyreke evans to chauncy billups?


                                                HAHA ! Exactly what I was going to ask him
                                                Comment
                                                • Masu485
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-14-08
                                                  • 7700

                                                  #25
                                                  i'm on Bucks for this. i see them getting blown out, which is why i have to take them. whatever you think will happen, it's always the opposite.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SportsTerminator
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-18-09
                                                    • 5179

                                                    #26
                                                    And Carmelo gets hurt... unreal... hope he comes back... if not JR needs 50.
                                                    Bet To Win
                                                    Comment
                                                    • statnerds
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-23-09
                                                      • 4047

                                                      #27
                                                      hate the NBA. never check scores until games are over. i assume this one started by now.

                                                      said all that to inform you all i have Under 203. don't tell me, i'll just check it in the a.m.

                                                      going to watch law abiding citizen to see how bad it blows.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fsugolf
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 07-17-09
                                                        • 6194

                                                        #28
                                                        melo is back
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SportsTerminator
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-18-09
                                                          • 5179

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by statnerds
                                                          hate the NBA. never check scores until games are over. i assume this one started by now. said all that to inform you all i have Under 203. don't tell me, i'll just check it in the a.m. going to watch law abiding citizen to see how bad it blows.
                                                          law abiding citizen.... goooood movie... a little too fake though you'll know what i mean... but i give it 4 out of 5... yes Melo is back!)
                                                          Bet To Win
                                                          Comment
                                                          • WillC
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-10-09
                                                            • 1831

                                                            #30
                                                            refs getting soft, 3rd foul called on Bogut. Denver having a field day getting to the line.

                                                            some dodgy officiating
                                                            Comment
                                                            • fsugolf
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 07-17-09
                                                              • 6194

                                                              #31
                                                              welcome to home court
                                                              Comment
                                                              • michalis
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 01-02-10
                                                                • 1439

                                                                #32
                                                                lets hope they all foul out and denver covers
                                                                Comment
                                                                • WillC
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-10-09
                                                                  • 1831

                                                                  #33
                                                                  welcome to Melo's court
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SportsTerminator
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-18-09
                                                                    • 5179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by michalis
                                                                    lets hope they all foul out and denver covers
                                                                    LOL... game forfeit...
                                                                    Bet To Win
                                                                    Comment
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