Toronto +3 at Laker's: 1st quarter huge lean

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  • Mac4Lyfe
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-04-09
    • 48381

    #1
    Toronto +3 at Laker's: 1st quarter huge lean
    I am seriously leaning Toronto +3 in the 1st quarter of tonights game. Toronto is one of the best teams in the NBA in the 1st quarter. I know LA is coming off of 3 straight losses and you would think they are going to be high as a kite in this one but Toronto plays well out the gate and the Laker's usually don't.

    I'm thinking hard on this one and I think the Laker's will pull out a win but they may not cover the high line as well.

    Thoughts?
  • lakerfan420
    SBR MVP
    • 04-04-09
    • 1238

    #2
    Totally agreed. Lakers usually have a hard time getting things going in the 1st Q. The line is inflated. Lakers never cover anything DD even when they were playing well. I might have to tail you on this one. Good luck Mac!
    Comment
    • williams22
      Restricted User
      • 09-19-08
      • 6134

      #3
      I'm not completely against it. The Lakers aren't a team that's just gonna come out all motivated and energetic just because they lost 3 straight. If you read between the lines on all the recent interviews it seems like there is a clear divide between the team and Kobe right now.
      Comment
      • kingofgamble
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-08-10
        • 475

        #4
        lakers roll tonight
        Comment
        • Mac4Lyfe
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-04-09
          • 48381

          #5
          Originally posted by kingofgamble
          lakers roll tonight
          They may very well roll in the game BUT can they come out of the gate strong? Toronto has been killing it in the 1st quarter and I think they will at least keep up with the Laker's early.

          I also think Bosh is going to play much better in his 2nd game back and jarret jack should own old ass Derek Fisher...
          Comment
          • Mac4Lyfe
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-04-09
            • 48381

            #6
            1st quarter line is now up to +3.5.... I'm loving it.
            Comment
            • SolidDala
              SBR MVP
              • 12-14-09
              • 1696

              #7
              I like it almost as much as your avatar Mac!
              Comment
              • This_Is_Life
                SBR High Roller
                • 02-23-10
                • 153

                #8
                what you say has merit, but im going the other way

                at least one of us will win, BOL sir
                Comment
                • TW
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 03-01-10
                  • 26

                  #9
                  I don't see as big of an advantage, Tor wins the first quater 60% of the time and averages .4 points more, LAL wins first quater 58% with an average of 2.0 points more than their oppenent.
                  Comment
                  • Mac4Lyfe
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-04-09
                    • 48381

                    #10
                    Originally posted by TW
                    I don't see as big of an advantage, Tor wins the first quater 60% of the time and averages .4 points more, LAL wins first quater 58% with an average of 2.0 points more than their oppenent.
                    Now factor in +3.5 for Toronto and the odds look pretty good.

                    Actually both teams average the same amount of points first quarter 26.9 but the Laker's clearly fading the last few games a little more than Toronto. Both teams are struggling but I expect Toronto to play them tough...
                    Comment
                    • PorkChop
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-18-08
                      • 8193

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                      I am seriously leaning Toronto +3 in the 1st quarter of tonights game. Toronto is one of the best teams in the NBA in the 1st quarter. I know LA is coming off of 3 straight losses and you would think they are going to be high as a kite in this one but Toronto plays well out the gate and the Laker's usually don't.

                      I'm thinking hard on this one and I think the Laker's will pull out a win but they may not cover the high line as well.

                      Thoughts?

                      Dont like it Mac. Lakers will be fired up, especially at home. A day off. No way they come out flat.

                      I actually like 1st QTR play more than 1st half play.

                      Lakers get it done tonight...DONE.
                      Comment
                      • Mac4Lyfe
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-04-09
                        • 48381

                        #12
                        Originally posted by PorkChop
                        Dont like it Mac. Lakers will be fired up, especially at home. A day off. No way they come out flat.

                        I actually like 1st QTR play more than 1st half play.

                        Lakers get it done tonight...DONE.
                        You like Lakers 1st Q???

                        The Laker's haven't been fired up all year long. In their last 10 games only twice did they dominate the 1st quarter. I know the Laker's need a win here but logic tells me that a team usually plays to their statistic's/abilities. Past performance is indicative of future behavior and everything points to them not covering -3.5 points early. Of course they might but you got to think they are what they are and won't. Tremendous value in this spot.

                        I hate hammering 1st Q's because you can get buried on some BS but I've got 5 Units on this play. If the Bucks cover I may put much more...
                        Comment
                        • PorkChop
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-18-08
                          • 8193

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                          You like Lakers 1st Q???

                          The Laker's haven't been fired up all year long. In their last 10 games only twice did they dominate the 1st quarter. I know the Laker's need a win here but logic tells me that a team usually plays to their statistic's/abilities. Past performance is indicative of future behavior and everything points to them not covering -3.5 points early. Of course they might but you got to think they are what they are and won't. Tremendous value in this spot.

                          I hate hammering 1st Q's because you can get buried on some BS but I've got 5 Units on this play. If the Bucks cover I may put much more...
                          Believe me, im not a quarters better , and have learned in the past not to play Lakers 1st half, agaisnt shit opponents.

                          But 3 game losing streak, finally back home, a day off, I really really dont see how they come out flat tonight.
                          Comment
                          • Mac4Lyfe
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-04-09
                            • 48381

                            #14
                            They may not come out flat but they just aren't playing good ball right now. They've looked better when Kobe wasn't playing. DFish has been God awful, Odum isn't interested, Gasol and Bynum are both playing with skirts on. Their bench sucks and you never know what your going to get with Artest. This team is offensively challenged right now.
                            Comment
                            • PlatinumBerg
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-01-10
                              • 1058

                              #15
                              I am very tempted to take TOR +3.5 1st
                              Comment
                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-04-09
                                • 48381

                                #16
                                Originally posted by PlatinumBerg
                                I am very tempted to take TOR +3.5 1st
                                Take a walk on the wild side...
                                Comment
                                • PlatinumBerg
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-01-10
                                  • 1058

                                  #17
                                  Just placed 9 units on TOR +3.5 1st Quarter! Mac4lyfe, who is that pretty girl with the huge fake boobs in your avatar?
                                  Comment
                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-04-09
                                    • 48381

                                    #18
                                    We're going to be able to pay for her to get a larger size in just a few minutes...

                                    Comment
                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 48381

                                      #19
                                      I've got almost a dime on this 1st quarter...

                                      Comment
                                      • PlatinumBerg
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-01-10
                                        • 1058

                                        #20
                                        What do you consider a dime, $1,000 or $10,000?
                                        Comment
                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-04-09
                                          • 48381

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by PlatinumBerg
                                          What do you consider a dime, $1,000 or $10,000?
                                          Shit, the most I've ever betted on a basketball game was $7k, I've bet $5k a few times (lost my mind and bet $5k on the Clippers a few months ago). The fuking Clippers and of course I lost.

                                          I've got $1k on this 1st Q. My normal unit is $100.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-04-09
                                            • 48381

                                            #22
                                            Ref's are all over the Fakeshow early...
                                            Comment
                                            • hugh4310
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-10-10
                                              • 2302

                                              #23
                                              good luck man
                                              Comment
                                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-04-09
                                                • 48381

                                                #24
                                                Thanks Hugh.

                                                Derozan just got whacked across the arms and head and no call??? Then they call a touch foul when Kobe has the ball??? This one won't be easy.
                                                Comment
                                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-04-09
                                                  • 48381

                                                  #25
                                                  OMG, how the fuk was that a foul on Gasol??? Bullshit ref's.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                    • 48381

                                                    #26
                                                    Stupid foul by Farmar may save my ass.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Masu485
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-14-08
                                                      • 7700

                                                      #27
                                                      lots of fouls in the last minute here
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-04-09
                                                        • 48381

                                                        #28
                                                        Are you fuking kidding me? Foul!!! Evans had the damn rebound. Shit. Need a miss.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Masu485
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 08-14-08
                                                          • 7700

                                                          #29
                                                          i can't believe it all comes down to this...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-04-09
                                                            • 48381

                                                            #30
                                                            Can you believe this shit??? The refs fukked me in this shit. I can't believe this shit. Fuk
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Masu485
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-14-08
                                                              • 7700

                                                              #31
                                                              damn, i'm on the +11 and not liking this last minute at all. you must be furious
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-04-09
                                                                • 48381

                                                                #32
                                                                Mutherfuker...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • paco
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-07-09
                                                                  • 62873

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Tuff break man. Dude was hacked big time at the bucket
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vincepcion
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 02-07-09
                                                                    • 834

                                                                    #34
                                                                    tough break guys...i had LAL -3.5 1Q and i felt like i robbed it

                                                                    mac good call, you had the right play IMO...i got my ass saved my the men in stripes
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                                      • 48381

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Vincepcion
                                                                      tough break guys...i had LAL -3.5 1Q and i felt like i robbed it

                                                                      mac good call, you had the right play IMO...i got my ass saved my the men in stripes
                                                                      Oh well... Always tomorrow. Thanks bud.

                                                                      Dam, I'm salty.
                                                                      Comment
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