NBA Thursday (YTD Sides 25-15/YTD: 41-27) 3 Plays TONIGHT!

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  • UnstoppableForce
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-10-10
    • 364

    #1
    NBA Thursday (YTD Sides 25-15/YTD: 41-27) 3 Plays TONIGHT!
    1-0 last night..

    Orlando -4
    ---------------------------------

    Posted Plays Record:
    YTD Sides:25-15

    YTD Totals: 13-9
    YTD 2nd Half: 2-0

    YTD: 40-24

    YTD 2 Team Parlay: 1-2
    YTD 3 Team Parlay: 0-1
    All Plays: 41-27




    ***3 PLAYS FOR TONIGHT***

    _______________________________________



    1)DENVER/G.STATE UNDER 225.5


    Tonight's Ref's..

    O/U Overall

    Derrick Collins ..19-27

    205+ .. 4-6

    Bob Delaney ..15-25

    205+.. 4-9

    Mark Lindsay .. 18-25

    205+.. 5-12


    Write-Up:Corey Maggette is Out with the hamstring injury..All 3 past match ups this season Denver/Golden State went over the total..242 & 245 @ Denver..and the most recent @ Golden State went 241 in overtime.. Maggette had 33 in the most recent game, 35 in the game before that and 14 in the 1st game between the 2.. so this should play a big factor tonight with this total and it going UNDER 225.5
    _______________________________________


    2)MILWAUKEE -1

    Milwaukee Trends
    • Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. 2)
    • Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • Bucks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
    • Bucks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
    • Bucks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
    • Bucks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • Bucks are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
    • Bucks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.

    Indiana Trends

    • Pacers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog.
    • Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
    • Pacers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
    • Pacers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Central.


    Head to head trends
    Bucks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
    Favorite is 15-5-2 ATS in the last 22 meetings.

    Write-Up: Milwaukee has won their last 4 in a row and 7 out of 10 games, winning 4 out of 5 of those games on the road. Milwaukee's 10-19 Away record isn't so pleasing but the Bucks have been hot as of late and I see them rolling over the Pacers tonight, which have lost their last 7 out of 10 games, last 2 at home..Pacers might be hungry for a win after losing their last 2, but they are gonna have a hard time doing that tonight against the Bucks. Both teams played last night and both teams are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights..look for a low scoring game here as well considering both teams scored 115(Milwaukee) and 110(Indiana) last night.
    _______________________________________

    3) DENVER NUGGETS -5.5

    Denver Trends:
    • Nuggets are 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
    • Nuggets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

    Golden State Trends:

    Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

    Write-Up:

    Denver is coming off 3 days rest and Golden state is without Maggette. Denver has won their last 3 out of 5 games on the road, beating Cleveland, LA Lakers & San Antonio. Golden State has only won 3 out of their last 10, all 3 being at home but against Atlanta by 4, Sacramento by 32, and LAC by 30. Golden State lost their last game at home Tuesday vs. Philly by 8 (110-102)..Denver's well rested and are gonna come into Golden State tonight fired up and win this one by 10+.

    _______________________________________


    Best of luck tonight

    Unstoppable Force


  • youngerthree
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-13-10
    • 570

    #2
    Thanks!
    Comment
    • UnstoppableForce
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-10-10
      • 364

      #3
      Any input is greatly appreciated!
      Comment
      • bygspenda
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-25-09
        • 909

        #4
        Awesome write up's ad some nice ATS stats. Particularly the Nuggets ATS covers off 3 days rest. Of your 3 plays, I like Denver -5.5 the most. Milwaukee is playing really well but I just never know when the Pacers are gonna explode for a big night so I don't think I'll touch that one.
        Nice work!
        Comment
        • UnstoppableForce
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-10-10
          • 364

          #5
          Thanks bygspenda.. I like getting people's input on my write ups and my picks.. So thanks for posting.. I just think the Pacers aren't playing for anything and they don't have a decently solid as a team as Milwaukee does,even without M.Redd. We'll see how it goes...

          Anyone else with me on these or following my picks? Please post and let me know.
          Comment
          • kingofgamble
            SBR Sharp
            • 02-08-10
            • 475

            #6
            gl
            Comment
            • UnstoppableForce
              SBR Sharp
              • 02-10-10
              • 364

              #7
              kingofgamble
              Comment
              • UnstoppableForce
                SBR Sharp
                • 02-10-10
                • 364

                #8
                Anyone else following me tonight? Please let me know.. Greatly appreciated!
                Comment
                • QUEST001
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 04-01-09
                  • 779

                  #9
                  With You all the way force on all 3 picks.I'll add celtics as a 4th play. Bucks my best play. This is like a road game for pacers. Sounds funny when there home but they have no rest after 3 or 4 game road trip. Bucks is a very solid play 2nit. I got the under denver game at 227 and took denver on moneyline -240. hate taking that big price but golden state makes it close as of late. They were a good bet 2nd half last 2 games they played. Good Luck!! Hard to find someone that has same plays!!!!
                  Comment
                  • UnstoppableForce
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 02-10-10
                    • 364

                    #10
                    Thanks for writing QUEST.. Much appreciated.. Lets cash in tonight man! back at ya!
                    Comment
                    • biker1284
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-05-10
                      • 184

                      #11
                      I like the under, and think I'm there with ya on the nuggets. The bucks/pacers though I'm undecided.

                      You'll hear from me if I follow through and make the bets. Good luck!
                      Comment
                      • BD2ND
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 01-26-10
                        • 39

                        #12
                        Im on den tonight too...gl with the rest of your picks
                        Comment
                        • gwiz
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-09-10
                          • 1790

                          #13
                          I like what you got on the under, I will join in

                          got the warriors though,I see this as a game the nuggets will not want to expend the needed energy

                          and it's a theory play so I have to.
                          Comment
                          • cruyff
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-09-08
                            • 1041

                            #14
                            I'm with you on #1 and #2, not touching nuggets-warriors though, don't see any value either way.

                            Great write ups!!
                            Comment
                            • Spaniard22
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-12-10
                              • 868

                              #15
                              Denver -6
                              I'm ALL IN!! I like it, nice write up Force! You said it best with Maggette out their not the threat they once were. C Anthony seems to be back in form since coming back. Denver +10 Easy
                              GL Brutha!
                              Comment
                              • UnstoppableForce
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 02-10-10
                                • 364

                                #16
                                biker-Thanks, you too.

                                BD2ND- Thanks, let's hope Denver comes out to play tonight!
                                Gwiz- May the better pick win!

                                cruyff- Thanks.. I put a lot of time into my write-ups when I do have the time to do them, otherwise I just post my picks when my time is all tied-up.. BOL tonight. Thanks for posting
                                Comment
                                • UnstoppableForce
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-10-10
                                  • 364

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Spaniard22
                                  Denver -6
                                  I'm ALL IN!! I like it, nice write up Force! You said it best with Maggette out their not the threat they once were. C Anthony seems to be back in form since coming back. Denver +10 Easy
                                  GL Brutha!

                                  Spaniard22
                                  - Best of luck. I wouldn't bet it all on 1 game, That's not great money management.. But If that's what you are doing than hope it cashes man.. Lets get it tonight!


                                  Comment
                                  • krazey47409
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-04-09
                                    • 2431

                                    #18
                                    i dont see how denver could lose well rested to g state im thinking bout throwing all the money i make off the bucks if they cover on denver ml
                                    Comment
                                    • UnstoppableForce
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 02-10-10
                                      • 364

                                      #19
                                      krazey47409 I'd throw half of it, so that no matter what you still come out ahead for the night
                                      Comment
                                      • krazey47409
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-04-09
                                        • 2431

                                        #20
                                        yea if i go for that im going all in 72 will make me 28 but it aint even really worth it its a sucker bet denvers road game is susspect and g state like the sixers they can win or lose at anytime so im gonna saty away but im hoping bucks can hold these bitches off fuk pacers within 3
                                        Comment
                                        • UnstoppableForce
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-10-10
                                          • 364

                                          #21
                                          Bucks won by 2.. Did you have them -1 like me? I actually had them -1 Straight.. and than small in 3 team parlay @ -2 because it went up.. Sucks, but that parlay turns into a 2 team parlay now with Denver -5.5 and Under 226.5 (went up 1 point after I bet it straight at 225.5)..

                                          If I were you I'd just take Denver -5.5 or it's -6 now I believe..for like 40% of what you won on the Bucks if you had them -1
                                          Comment
                                          • Spaniard22
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-12-10
                                            • 868

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by UnstoppableForce
                                            Spaniard22 - Best of luck. I wouldn't bet it all on 1 game, That's not great money management.. But If that's what you are doing than hope it cashes man.. Lets get it tonight!


                                            Good Call Brutha! I would never lay it all down, there's no sure bet. I did need that on though.
                                            Comment
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