Game Log Guesses - OVER/UNDER Plays

[Aunty808]

I'm gonna start tracking my O/U plays here. I started tracking the plays yesterday in my covers contest and so far all have won (very small sample size). I'll call these plays GAME LOG GUESSES.

Simple system. Find the Match up. Look at the game logs of each team. Find patterns within each teams game logs and guess what the next outcome will be.

Here's an example from today's Match up between Memphis and Indy.
O/U 237'
Indiana is on a four game OVER streak.
Memphis is on a two game UNDER streak.

Indiana- Before the four game OVER streak this season, the longest OVER streak for Indiana was three games, two times.
Guess is they won't get to a five game OVER streak.

Memphis is on a two game UNDER streak, but they have three UNDER game streaks, three times this season and one five UNDER game streak this season.
Guess is their UNDER streak continues.
Play UNDER 237' WIN Memphis 125-106 (231)
==================================

[Aunty808]

Saturday Feb 28 W/L 2-0
Houston at Miami UNDER 225'...........(220) Win
Lakers at Golden St OVER 229'............(230) Win

Sunday March 1 W/L 5-0 - YTD 7-0
Memphis at Miami UNDER 237'......(231) Win
Milw at Chicago UNDER 231'.......(217) Win
Portland at Atlanta OVER 235'.......(236) Win
Detroit at Orlando UNDER 223'.....(198) Win
Sac at Lakers UNDER 234'...............(232) Win

[Aunty808]

Monday March 02
Short slate today...NO PLAYS

[Aunty808]

Tuesday March 03 W/L 1-1 YTD 8-1
Okl City at Chicago OVER 228'.......(224) Lose
Phoenix at Sac UNDER 222'...............(217) Win
=============

** NOTE: Looking over my notes, here's other GUESSES I found in the game logs but did not post.

Dallas+12'and OVER 227.......Dallas lost (90-117)and the game stayed UNDER (207)
Orlando-16' and OVER 228.....Orl covered (126-109)and the game went OVER (235)
Orlando Team Total OVER 122'......Orlando scored 126 points
San Antonio-8'....................................SA won 131-91

Time permitting, I'll post the sides and team total plays, if any found.
I'll list them as LEANS.

[Aunty808]

Wednesday March 04 W/L 2-1 YTD 10-2

Okl City at NY OVER 222'.....(203) Lose
Port at Mem OVER 235'.......(236) Win
Atl at Milw OVER 231'.............(244) Win

Other Guesses (LEANS)
Okl City Team Total OVER 113'......(103) Lose
Utah+8' at Phil...................................Utah+8' 102-106 lost S/U but won ATS
Portland-9' at Memphis................Portland-9' 122-114 lost ATS
Memphis Team Total OVER 113'.....(114) Win
Atlanta at Milw-1' ..........................Milw-1' 113-131 Lose
Milw Team Total OVER 116'..........(113) Lose
Atlanta Team Total UNER 115'.... (131) Lose
Indiana+12' at LA Clip....................Indiana+12' 107-130 Lose
Indiana Team Total OVER 106.....(107) Win

[Aunty808]

Thursday March 05 W/L 0-5 YTD 10-7

Dallas at Orlando OVER 229'...........(229) Lose
Toronto at Minn OVER 226'..............(222) Lose
Detroit at SA OVER 228'**................(227) Lose
Toronto at Minn OVER 226'..............(222) Lose
Chicago at Phoenix OVER 224'.......(208) Lose
**UNDER 228' pick percentage is on the cusp of AUTO FADE at 89%


Other Game Log Guesses (LEANS)
Dallas Team Total OVER 109'..........(114) win
Orlando Team Total OVER 119'........(115) lose

Detroit+3' at SA....................................Detroit+3 106-121 lose
Detroit Team Total OVER 112'.........(106) lose

Wash Team Total UNDER 123'........(112) win
Brooklyn to win ML.............................Brooklyn+575 110-126 lose
Golden St to win ML and ATS.........G State+9'/ML +310 115-113 OT win win
Minn Team Total OVER 116'.............(115) lose
NO Team Total OVER 119'.................(133) win
Lakers to lose ML and ATS..............Denver-3'/ML -170 win win

[Aunty808]

Friday March 06 W/L 3-1 YTD 13-8
Lots of losses yesterday, regression?
Let's see if we can BOUNCE BACK today

Dallas at Boston OVER 224'.............(220) lose
Miami at Charlotte OVER 229'........(248) win
NY at Denver OVER 230'.....................(245) win
Indiana at LA Lakers OVER 235'.......(245) win


Other Game Log Guesses (LEANS)
Boston-15'/-1050 to win (ATS/ML)........Bos-15'/ML-1050 120-100 win win
Boston Team Total OVER 120'..................(120) lose

Miami+7'/+225 to lose (ATS/ ML)......Miami+7/ML+225 128-120 lose lose
Miami Team Total UNDER 110'..............(128) lose
Charotte team Total OVER 118'............(120) win

Houston -5'/-230 to win (ATS/ML).......Houston-5'/ML-230 109-99 win win

NY-1' / -120 to win (ATS/ML)..................NY-1'/ML-120 142-103 win win
Den+1'/+100 to lose (ATS/ML)...............Den+1'/ML+100 103-142 lose lose
Denver Team Total OVER 114'.................(103) lose

NO Team Total UNDER 110'...................(116) lose
Phoenix Team Total OVER 115'............(118) win

LA Clip Team Total UNDER 107'...........(112) lose

Indiiana+9' to win...................................Indy+9' 117-128 lose
Indiana Team Total OVER 112'............(117) win
LA Lakers-9'/-455 to lose (ATS/ML)...LAL-9/ML-455 128-117 lose lose

[Aunty808]

Saturday March 07 W/L 1-4 - YTD 14-12

Orlando at Minn OVER 225'........(211) lose
Brooklyn at Det OVER 215'...........(212) lose
Utah at Milw OVER 234'...............(212) lose
LAC at Memphis OVER 229'........(243) win
G State at Okl City OVER 219'.....(201) lose

Other Game Log Guesses (LEANS)
Orlando Team Total OVER 109'..........(119) win
Minn -6/-258 to lose............................Minn 92-119 win
Minn Team Total OVER 115'.................(92) lose

Detroit-14'/-900 to win........................Detroit 105-107 lose
Detroit Team Total OVER 115'.............(105) lose

Phil Team Total OVER 113'...........(116) win
Atlanta-6'/-278 to lose..............Atlanta 125-116 lose

Milw-10'/-425 to win.............. Milw 113-99 win

LAC Team Total UNDER 117'.............(123) lose
Memphis Team Total OVER 111'.....(120) win

G State+14'/+600 to lose.... G State 97-104 lose ATS/win ML
Okl City-14'/-900 to win.......Okl City 104-97 lose ATS/win ML
Okl City Team Total OVER 117'..........(104) lose

[Aunty808]

Sunday March 08 W/L 3-3 - YTD 17-15

Boston at Clev OVER 225'.........(207) lose
Detroit at Miami OVER 230'......(231) win
Dallas at Toronto OVER 229'....(214) lose
Orlando at Milw OVER 218'........(221) win
Chicago at Sac OVER 236'.......(236) lose
Charl at Phoenix UNDER 218'....(210) win

Other Game Log Guesses (LEANS)
Boston Team Total OVER 115'..............(109) lose
Clevland Team Total OVER 115'..........(98) lose

Detroit-1'/ML-130 to win......................110-121 lose
Detroit Team Total OVER 115'...........(110) lose
Miami+1'/ML+110 to lose....................121-110 lose
Miami Team Total UNDER 114'.........(121) lose

Dallas+10' to win ATS.......................92-122 lose
Toronto-10'/ML-440 to win...........122-92 win
Toronto Team Total OVER 119'.......(122) win

SA-5/ML-218 to win...........145-120 win

Orlando-3'/ML-162 to lose..................130-91 lose
Orlando Team Total UNDER 111'..........(130) lose
Milw Team Total OVER 107'..................(91) lose

Portland Team Total UNDER 122'...........(131) lose

Chicago-2'/ML-135 to lose..................110-126 win
Sac+2'/ML+114 to win.............................126-110 win
Sac Team Total OVER 116'.....................(126) win

Charlotte-4'/ML-192 to win...............99-111 lose
Phoenix+4'/ML+160 to lose................111-99 lose
Phoenix Team Total UNDER 106'.......(111) lose


(730 am HT)
EDIT: Changed Char/Phoenix to UNDER 218'

[Aunty808]

Monday March 09 W/L 2-2 - YTD 19-17

Phil at Clev OVER 226'.................(216) lose
Den at Okl City OVER 232'.........(255) win
NY at LAC UNDER 229'.................(244) lose
G St at Utah OVER224'...............(235) win


Other Game Log Guesses (LEANS)

Phil+12' to win ATS............................101-115 lose
Memphis-1'/ML-125 to lose..........115-129 win win
Okl City-6'/ML-270 to win.............129-126 win lose

NY-2'/ML-142 to win.......................118-126 lose lose
LAC Team Total UNDER 109'.........(126) lose

[Aunty808]

**We will be under a Weather Alert this whole week. I might not be able to post if the power/internet goes out, like it usually does during these events. IT SUCKS.....

Tuesday March 10 W/L 2-2 YTD 21-19

Wash at Mia UNDER 242'............(279) lose
Boston at SA OVER 222'...............(241) win
Chic at G St OVER 227'.................(254) win
Minn at LAL OVER 233'..................(226) lose

Other Game Log Guesses (LEANS)
**Been sucking at these Guesses so maybe I'll just stick to the OVER/UNDER.
**11 wins to 21 losses .....34%....ugh.
I see by the amount of views that there's some interest in this post. So if anyone wants me to continue doing the LEANS, say so now, if not, I'll just do the OVER/UNDER. I was thinking if I used this as FADE material, that's a 65% win rate. I don't know....let me know if I should continue or not. Beat the Streak (MLB) starts on March 24th so I'll be diving into that contest and will probably stop doing the LEANS as it's very time consuming. I'll still look at the Game Logs for any OVER/UNDER plays.



Detroit-15'/ML-1200 to win................138-100 win win
Detroit Team Total OVER 117'............(138) win
Brooklyn+15'/ML+750 to lose...........100-138 win win
Brooklyn Team Total UNDER 100'.......(100) win

Washington+15' to win ATS..........................129-150 lose
Miami-15'/ML-950 to lose ATS / ML..........150-129 lose lose
Miami Team Total UNDER 126'.....................(150) lose

Atlanta-9'/ML-425 to lose ATS / ML.......124-112 lose lose

Boston+2'/ML+124 to win...................116-125 lose lose
Boston Team Total OVER 109'..........(116) win
SA Team Total UNDER 112'..................(125) lose

Phoenix-1'/ML-112 to lose.....................129-114 lose lose
Phoenix Team Total UNDER 108'.......(129) lose
Milw Team Total OVER 108'.................(114) win

Charlotte-3/ML-155 to win...............103-101 lose win
Portland+3'/ML+130 to lose..............101-103 lose win

Indiana+2'/ML+130 to win...............109-114 lose lose
Sac-2'/ML-155 to lose.......................114-109 lose lose

G State-6' to lose ATS......................124-130 win

Minn-2'/-142 to win ATS / ML.......106-120 lose lose
Minn Team Total OVER 118'............(106) lose

[Aunty808]

Updated March 10th stuff with comment........you can leave any feedback here .

[Aunty808]

Wednesday March 11 W/L 2-1 YTD 23-20

Clev at Orlando OVER 226'..........(250) win
NY at Utah UNDER 230'..................(250) lose
Char at Sac OVER 225'..................(226) win

Other Game Log Guesses (LEANS)

Clev-3'/ML-166 to win ATS / ML...............122-128 lose lose
Orlando +140 to lose ML..............................128-122 lose lose
Cleveland Team Total OVER 114'..............(122) win win

NO Team Total UNDER 116'........................(122) lose

NY-1000 to win M/L.....................................134-117 win win
NY Team Total UNDER 122'........................(134) lose
Utah Team Toal UNDER 107'.....................(117) lose

Houston+7'/+225 to lose ATS / ML............93-129 win win

Char-13'/-800 to win ATS / ML....................117-109 win lose
Sac +13'/+550 to lose ATS / ML...................109-117 lose win
Charlotte Team Total OVER 118'..................(117)lose

Minn+1'/ML+102 to win ATS / ML.................128-153 lose lose
Minnesota Team Total OVER 112'...............(128) win
LAC Team Total UNDER 113'...........................(153) lose

[Aunty808]

Thursday March 12 W/L 2-4 YTD 25-24

Phil at Detroit UNDER 221'....................(240) lose
Wash at Orlando UNDER 234'...........(267) lose
Milw at Miami UNDER 239'..................(217) win
Dallas at Memphis OVER 239'...........(232) lose
Denver at SA OVER 238'.......................(267) win
Chicago at Lakers UNDER 238'.........(272) lose

[Aunty808]

Friday March 13 W/L 2-2 - YTD 27-26

Clev at Dallas UNDER 236'.............(243) lose
NO at Houston OVER 229' ..............(212) lose
Minn at G State OVER 223'.............(244) win
Chicago at LAC UNDER 234...........(227) win

[Aunty808]

Saturday March 14 ** No plays posted due to no power/internet.

Sunday March 15 W/L 3-2 - YTD 30-28

Minnesota at Okl City UNDER 226'.............(219) win
Detroit at Toronto UNDER 223'.....................(257) lose
Indiana at Milw OVER 227'.............................(257) win
Dallas at Cleveland UNDER 235'.................(250) lose
Utah at Sac UNDER 233'..................................(227) win

[Aunty808]

Monday March 16 W/L 2-4 - YTD 32-32
Three half point losses....ugh...
Orlando at Atlanta UNDER 231'................(232) lose 1/2 pt
G State at Washington OVER 232..........(242) win
Phoenix at Boston UNDER 214'..................(232) lose
Dallas at NO OVER 240'...............................(240) lose 1/2 pt
Lakers at Houston UNDER 226'.................(192) win
SA at LAC OVER 234'.................................... .(234) lose 1/2 pt

[Aunty808]

Tuesday March 17 WL 6-1 - YTD 38-33
Happy St Patty's Day!!

Miami at Charlotte OVER 233'...................(242) win
Okl City at Orlando UNDER 223'................(221) win
Indiana at NY OVER 221'...............................(246) win
Cleveland at Milw UNDER 228'..................(239) lose
Phoenix at Minn UNDER 222'......................(220) win
SA at Sac OVER 235'.................................... .(236) win
Phil at Denver UNDER 236'.........................(220) win

[Aunty808]

Wednesday March 18 W/L 4-4 YTD 42-37

G State at Boston OVER216'....................(219) win
Portland at Indiana OVER 231'...............(246) win
Okl City at Brooklyn OVER 213'...............(213) lose
Toronto at Chicago UNDER 234.............(248) lose
LAC at NO OVER 233'**..............................(233) lose
Atlanta at Dallas OVER 238'....................(243) win
Denver at Memphis OVER 244'...............(243) lose
Lakers at Houston OVER 222'....................(240) win

** When I entered the contest, it was 233'. When I was ready to post this, I check the numbers again and the only change was this game. It's now 236'...big jump up.

[Aunty808]

Thursday March 19 W/L 0-2 - YTD 42-39

Phoenix at SA OVER 227'.............(201) lose
LAC at NO OVER 230'....................(204) lose

[Aunty808]

Friday March 20

NO PLAYS

[Aunty808]

Saturday March 21 W/L 2-0 - YTD 44-39

Okl City at Wash OVER 231'............(243) WW
LAC at Dallas OVER 234..................(269) WW

[Aunty808]

Aloha oe to this thread. Baseball starts March 24th so I need to get my research started. Beat the Streak will be back this year!!

Final W/L Record 44-39 (53%)