Phx @ nho

[SpreadSniper]

So Chris Paul is out for this one - just as he was when the Hornets went to MEM and beat the Grizz on Saturday night. PHX is playing b2b, while the Hornets are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights..

For the most part NHO has dominated PHX in the past going 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS.
PHX is currently grabbing 69% of the ATS money, and the line has dropped in PHX's favor .5-1pt at most/all books.

Now Joe obviously sees this as a good spot for PHX with CP3 being out, but PHX isn't getting any younger, and playing on b2b vs a pretty good NHO team even minus Chris Paul makes one think.

What's everyone's take on this game?

PHX or NHO?

[oj-thejuice]

PHX

[CHAZ]

Phoenix just seems to be so bad on the road. They beat the Rockets in overtime last night, but thats really nothing impressive. Can the NHO keep up with the high scoring run and gun Suns?

Didnt someone post an interesting stat about how teams step it up when one of there stars get hurt

[Busterflywheel]

Toss up...I wanna say PHX but you never seem to know which PHX team is gonna show

[SpreadSniper]

Didnt someone post an interesting stat about how teams step it up when one of there stars get hurt

Yes, and that is why I mentioned that NHO beat MEM on in MEM on Saturday without CP3. PHX is garnering all the attention due to the injury news and this may be over influencing the line. If the PHX % holds steady and the line doesn't move anymore, Im going to have to think NHO is the play here.

And that's another thing - the PHX game went to OT last night.

[PAULYPOKER]

I like the over even without Paul

[PAULYPOKER]

My reason I like over:I'm trying a new system out I have no idea if it's gonna work or not though so right now don't bank on it this is what my system looks like:

*Phoenixlast five games total*NewOrleanslast five games totals
Thu,1/28DallasW112-106-218Wed,1/27@GoldStW123-110233
Mon,1/25@UtahL115-124-239Mon,1/25@PortW98-97 -195
Sat,1/23GoldStW112-103-215Fri,1/22@MinnesotaW96-94-190
Fri,1/22ChicagoL104-115-219Wed,1/20MempW113-111 -224
Wed,1/20NewJerW118-94-212Mon,1/18San Ant.L 90-97 -187
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*Tue, Jan 26&Sun, Jan 31 were both OT games thus have a potential bearing factor for over
--------------------------------------------------------------------
*Sat,Jan23Fri,Jan29Sat,Jan30were OT games thus have a potential bearing factor for over
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Phoe-mid-ave.225.5+-13.5rfe--NewOr-mid ave.210+-23rfe
Phoe-true-ave.220.6------------NewOr-true-ave205.8-tad15
phoe/new.comb.MTave.=215.5+-10rfet-- comb.M=+-24.5 rfem
Head to Head:Most recent:
Thu,Nov.19 @ New Orleans L 103-110 L215und.-act.213
Wed, Nov 11 New Orleans W 124-104 L217½0ver-act.228
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Phoenix at New Orleans 8:00 PM 5 of last 15 games were OT
Total-est.=220.5+4rfete-OT2 Actual opening line=2101/2over

[THEGREAT30]

Toss up game to the fullest, no read

[SpreadSniper]

Phx = -115

[hedgejob]

I'm playing the injury rule - NOH.

HOU are so crap I knew they would lose that game, different story tonight.

[Wilforth]

NOH - easy win for the Hornets!!!

[TEViN-BRADFORD]

Take the Under

[AzNDooM]

I gotta play with PHX due to numbers.

DOWNSIDES:
===========
*B2B Road games with old age on players
*4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
*2-7 SU when playing NOH

UPSIDES:
===========
*CP3 is out
* PHX is 1-1 at NOH and 2-1 overall in series this season
* PHX is second best in league at 3 point shooting with 9.2 vs the 8th worse team allowing 3 pts.
* PHX rank number 1 scoring vs a NOH defence when at home.
* I personally believe PHX current form is better then NOH at this moment.

[kishipp]

definetly phoenix

[Fieldysnuts44]

Im on Phoenix as well.GL everyone

[playa420]

Gotta go with NO here, every time a star player goes down the team usually steps up and is able to win the first game without him.

[maseda17]

Not touching the game, but New Orleans if I did. They played well without CP3 earlier in the year as Collision stepped into the role nicely. It is definitely the public expectation that the Suns win this due to the loss of Paul but I have my doubts. Still, not enough to put a play on it given the other games out there tonight.

[rochestertitans]

hornets are 6-1 at home without paul, they are rested, suns suck on back to back.

[hels]

Phoenix is horrible on b2b and they are playing on the road as well.
Their b2b record is 3-8 SU and 3-8 ATS. On the road they are 10-15 this season. And for those of you who are doubting the number of days rest means anything for the Suns; well, they are 9-1 SU with 2 days rest and 1-0 with 3 days rest this season (1 day rest they are 15-12)

NO is 9-1 against teams playing b2b this season and Collison is playing some solid ball replacing Paul.

Phoenix is one of my favourite days but I have no confidence in them tonight. I'm on the NOH ML and will play it quite large.

[CHAZ]

Playing NO. It's a pickem on Bodog.

[hendry]

Playing PHX here.