Those are my two games impressions. Feel free to pick them and add insight if you like. Post your own plays if you want. GL and Get Paid...
I have ORL at -4.5. Three times this year the Hawks have come off inspired home wins (11/20/09 vs HOU, 12/18/09 vs UTA, 01/08/10 vs BOS). The Hawks travelled after each game and did not fair well losing SU and ATS in every ocassion (11/21/09 @ NWO, 12/19/09 @ CHI, 01/09/10 @ ORL). This is also a team that struggles against the Magic, losing 5 consecutive SU and ATS. The Magic just have a lock on this team and the key matchup is Dwight Howard vs Al Horford. When Horford has success, the Hawks roll. I hope someone has the stats available but I know when Horford gets in the high teens the Hawks have a great winning %. The past 5 matchups, Horford has averaged 9.0 pts. Too much effort spent on the defensive end containing Dwight, and contesting him on offense is too much sometimes. When he's out of the offense, the Hawks become very perimeter oriented, playiong right into the Magics hands. Why do the Hawks matchup so well with the Celtics? Celtics try to get pts in the paint, leading to contested shots and breakouts. Coming off a sweep of the Celts, the Hawks will be a little drained, and the Magic amped after playing like crap for 3 quarters and gutting it out late Thursday. Magic 107, Hawks 94.
MIL -3.5. This seems like a great spot. MIL with rest and at home is a great combo for them. And would it surprise you to learn that MIA is 1-2 SU and ATS after a 20+ pt win. MIL may struggle with Wade, but will have a more balanced attack overall with Bogut and Delfino really picking up the offense as Jennings starts to get it going again.
I have ORL at -4.5. Three times this year the Hawks have come off inspired home wins (11/20/09 vs HOU, 12/18/09 vs UTA, 01/08/10 vs BOS). The Hawks travelled after each game and did not fair well losing SU and ATS in every ocassion (11/21/09 @ NWO, 12/19/09 @ CHI, 01/09/10 @ ORL). This is also a team that struggles against the Magic, losing 5 consecutive SU and ATS. The Magic just have a lock on this team and the key matchup is Dwight Howard vs Al Horford. When Horford has success, the Hawks roll. I hope someone has the stats available but I know when Horford gets in the high teens the Hawks have a great winning %. The past 5 matchups, Horford has averaged 9.0 pts. Too much effort spent on the defensive end containing Dwight, and contesting him on offense is too much sometimes. When he's out of the offense, the Hawks become very perimeter oriented, playiong right into the Magics hands. Why do the Hawks matchup so well with the Celtics? Celtics try to get pts in the paint, leading to contested shots and breakouts. Coming off a sweep of the Celts, the Hawks will be a little drained, and the Magic amped after playing like crap for 3 quarters and gutting it out late Thursday. Magic 107, Hawks 94.
MIL -3.5. This seems like a great spot. MIL with rest and at home is a great combo for them. And would it surprise you to learn that MIA is 1-2 SU and ATS after a 20+ pt win. MIL may struggle with Wade, but will have a more balanced attack overall with Bogut and Delfino really picking up the offense as Jennings starts to get it going again.