1/3/10 Sims

[namwen1]

8-4 ATS yesterday bringing overall since 12/25/09 to 40-25 ATS. Here's today sims:

Ind(+9.5)
Tor(+3)eeeeeeekk!
Cha(+11.5)
Phi(+4.5)
Dal(+6.5)

my sims are showing all dogs to cover. wouldn't be surprised if new york and cleveland covered though. i simply don't trust my sim's prediction on the toronto/san antonio game. anybody else think toronto can cover?

[MV]

@SAS/TOR here are a couple of trends from covers.com for the game:

ATS Trends

San Antonio

• Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
• Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
• Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
• Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games.
• Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.
• Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Toronto

• Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Raptors are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
• Raptors are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games as an underdog.
• Raptors are 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games following a S.U. loss.
• Raptors are 18-40-2 ATS in their last 60 games following a ATS loss.
• Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
• Raptors are 20-47-2 ATS in their last 69 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• Raptors are 14-38 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Raptors are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home underdog.
• Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.

Leaning on Spurs myself, they're just too good and too disciplined for an inconsistent Toronto squad.

[namwen1]

thanks for the info. the line just seems to low unless the thinking is that with both being on a b2b that it may just be a shoot out with sas playing about as much defense as toronto which is usually zero