Faith in numbers NBA season thread

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  • million2one
    SBR MVP
    • 03-19-09
    • 1290

    #1
    Faith in numbers NBA season thread
    Been putting in some work and using my own formula for picking games.
    Looking to track how I would do just picking my best plays.
    I post all my plays with dollar amounts, will usually have only one or two plays a day.

    I'll start my thread with a winner tonight on:

    Atlanta (-6) to win $200 WIN

    Good luck all.
  • iceminers26
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-13-08
    • 15600

    #2
    good luck million
    Comment
    • million2one
      SBR MVP
      • 03-19-09
      • 1290

      #3
      Thanks iceminer,

      I'm also adding Detroit for tonight, maybe i'll back later with Golden State not sure yet.

      Detroit (+5) (-110) to win $100 LOSE
      Comment
      • million2one
        SBR MVP
        • 03-19-09
        • 1290

        #4
        Detroit is killing me, I'll get some back with them eventually.

        Adding a late play on Golden State:

        Golden State (-3) (-110) to win $100 LOSE
        Comment
        • million2one
          SBR MVP
          • 03-19-09
          • 1290

          #5
          Not how I wanted to start at 1-2 but won my big play so I broke even.

          Tonight I like a big play on Charlotte (-2) LOSE. I bought a hook at -120 so risking $240 to win $200.

          Not sure how smart this is buying the hook, I am not too versed on these issues.
          If anyone has input on this I would like to hear about when you should by a hook in basketball.
          Football is obvious but not so sure about hoops.

          Charlotte (-2) to win $200

          Overall: 1 - 2

          Money: -$20
          Comment
          • koby25
            SBR MVP
            • 10-14-08
            • 1507

            #6
            Bobcats bank it. Good luck
            Comment
            • million2one
              SBR MVP
              • 03-19-09
              • 1290

              #7
              Adding some plays for later. Trying to stay disciplined but it's hard.

              I am liking Chicago Bulls (+5) and Milwaukee (-6) for only 1 unit plays.

              Bulls (+5) to win $100 WIN
              Bucks (-6) to win $100 LOSE
              Comment
              • million2one
                SBR MVP
                • 03-19-09
                • 1290

                #8
                Early play on Toronto Raptors (-1.5) to win $250 WIN . Loving this play right now.

                Be back later, time to shovel now.

                Good luck all
                Comment
                • million2one
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-19-09
                  • 1290

                  #9
                  Overall: 2 - 4

                  Money: -$270
                  Comment
                  • million2one
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-19-09
                    • 1290

                    #10
                    Toronto was the big play, thanks for cashing some early money, but I'm still about even.

                    Time to get some money back with Detroit today (+7.5) and Memphis (+1.5).

                    Detroit (+7.5) to win $100 LOSE
                    Memphis (+1.5) to win $100 WIN


                    Overall: 3 - 4

                    Money: -$20
                    Comment
                    • million2one
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-19-09
                      • 1290

                      #11
                      2 - 1 yesterday, but still waiting to hit my stride. Detroit is killing me and is becoming great fade material.
                      Not in love with too much today, but I am showing a small lean on the Bulls at home.

                      Chicago Bulls (-4) to win $100 LOSE


                      Overall: 4 -5

                      Money: -$30
                      Comment
                      • million2one
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-19-09
                        • 1290

                        #12
                        WTF just happened.
                        Guess I counted my money too early in the Bulls game.
                        They got outscored 33-10 in the 4th quarter. What a pathetic, no heart team.

                        Overall: 4 - 6

                        Money: -$140
                        Comment
                        • BigAL
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-27-09
                          • 461

                          #13
                          tough loss on the bulls
                          Comment
                          • million2one
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-19-09
                            • 1290

                            #14
                            Still pissed from last night and that poor excuse for a team in Chicago, another poor excuse of a team is Detroit.
                            I am 0-2 betting on Detroit, maybe I can make up by fading them. Not in love with the line on Charlotte so I bought it down 1.5 points.

                            Charlotte Bobcats (-4) Risking $210 to win $150
                            Comment
                            • million2one
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-19-09
                              • 1290

                              #15
                              Back to even and ready to roll, feeling confident going forward as I am hitting my big plays ($200 and up) at a higher win rate.
                              Now I just have to get my record up and I will start that tonight with a big play on Detroit.

                              I am liking several plays such as Houston and Sac-town, so I'll mull them over.

                              But right now my money is going with Detroit Pistons (-1) to win $200


                              Overall: 5 - 6

                              Money: +$10
                              Comment
                              • million2one
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-19-09
                                • 1290

                                #16
                                Looks like I'm wayyyyy off on Detroit. 0 - 3 betting on them thus far, guess wait until they get healthy.

                                Adding a late play on Sacramento (+6) to win $100
                                Comment
                                • million2one
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-19-09
                                  • 1290

                                  #17
                                  Got shafted with that Sacramento play, I hate OT when you have the underdog.
                                  What can I say about the Pissstons that hasn't already been said.

                                  A few days off from NBA may be just what I need to come back refreshed and ready to hit my stride, just enjoy the games on Christmas without thinking too much. Merry Christmas SBR, it's nice to be part of a forum with so many classy people.


                                  Overall: 5 - 8

                                  Money: -$320
                                  Comment
                                  • million2one
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-19-09
                                    • 1290

                                    #18
                                    Late play on Phoenix Suns (-9.5) to win $100

                                    Merry Christmas all
                                    Comment
                                    • million2one
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-19-09
                                      • 1290

                                      #19
                                      Back to my winning ways and ready to climb out of this hole thanks to Phoenix.

                                      Two big plays on deck today with the Bulls (Yes it makes me sick to say that) and Milwaukee.


                                      Chicago Bulls (-1.5) to win $200

                                      Milwaukee Bucks (+2.5) to win $200


                                      Overall : 6 - 8
                                      Money : -$220
                                      Comment
                                      • million2one
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-19-09
                                        • 1290

                                        #20
                                        Overall : 7 - 9
                                        Money : -$240

                                        Looking ahead to tomorrow I am liking Charlotte (-4.5) and Sacramento (+ anything), just have to figure out the units I'll risk.
                                        Comment
                                        • million2one
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-19-09
                                          • 1290

                                          #21
                                          Banking my money on Charlotte Bobcats (-4.5) to win $200 WIN

                                          I like Sacramento at home and may play later if the line pops up to 2 or 2.5, if not I may play anyway and just buy a point.
                                          But the play of the day has to be Charlotte.


                                          Overall : 7 - 9
                                          Money : -$240
                                          Comment
                                          • million2one
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-19-09
                                            • 1290

                                            #22
                                            I have a special bonus today for all of my loyal followers. LOL (all 1 of them)

                                            In lieu of our favorite scam artist JM and his recent debacle I am beginning my own CHASE SYSTEM, and will be playing it buying three points.
                                            ****** THIS IS JUST FOR FUN AND FOR TRACKING I am not investing any of my bankroll on this and I would advise you do not either*****


                                            I will be playing a four game chase and buying three points at (-170).
                                            Starting super small to win $10, and remember this is just funny money, As opposed to my straight bets which are $$$$$$$$


                                            Chase system bet:
                                            Portland Trailblazers (-3) (-170)
                                            [A] $17 to win $10
                                            Comment
                                            • million2one
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-19-09
                                              • 1290

                                              #23
                                              Nice hit as the bobcats bring home the money last night.
                                              Looks like I'm going right back to the board with another big play today on the Houston Rockets.
                                              Going to buy the hook and play Houston at (-5) , risking $240 to win $200


                                              Overall: 8 - 9

                                              Money: - $40


                                              Chase system bet:
                                              LA Lakers (-7.5) (-170)
                                              [B] $46 to win $27
                                              Comment
                                              • million2one
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-19-09
                                                • 1290

                                                #24
                                                Another winner last night with the Rockets, hitting a nice streak here and hopefully will continue now that I am up money.
                                                Time to work on the record and start spitting out some more winners.

                                                Overall: 9 - 9

                                                Money: + $160


                                                Early leans right now on Sacramento and maybe Indiana Pacers, be back later with an official play
                                                Comment
                                                • million2one
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-19-09
                                                  • 1290

                                                  #25
                                                  Making a small play on the Indiana Pacers (+3) to win $100 LOSS

                                                  I want to put in a big play on Sacramento but am not sure about Tyreke Evans.
                                                  Can anyone confirm if he is in or out?


                                                  Chase system bet:
                                                  Toronto Raptors (-2.5) (-170)
                                                  [C] $124 to win $73

                                                  **Remember chase system is just a test***
                                                  Comment
                                                  • million2one
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-19-09
                                                    • 1290

                                                    #26
                                                    Loser pacers, I am making a small bet on the Kings.
                                                    I would make a big bet but since future ROY Evans is out i will play Sacramento with a hook buy (-2) risking $120 win $100
                                                    Comment
                                                    • million2one
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-19-09
                                                      • 1290

                                                      #27
                                                      Lost both plays last night and took a hit to the record, good news is that both bets were only small bets.

                                                      Have a nice big play early on Pistons, Yes the same Detroit Pistons who have lost and not covered 8 straight games.
                                                      Good news is they are playing a bad Chicago Bulls team who are just 2 - 11 on the road. Who else to end their losing streak.

                                                      Detroit Pistons (-4)
                                                      to win $200



                                                      Overall: 9 - 11

                                                      Money: - $70




                                                      Chase system record:
                                                      1 - 0 +$10

                                                      Detroit Pistons (-1) (-170)
                                                      [A] $17 to win $10
                                                      Comment
                                                      • million2one
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-19-09
                                                        • 1290

                                                        #28
                                                        Clearly should have taken the night off.
                                                        How bad is Detroit? and how dumb am I that I am taking them?
                                                        Has a team ever lost 9 straight up and ATS like this? Amazing.

                                                        Oh well, happy new year everyone, lets kill the books in 2010!!!!!



                                                        Overall: 9 - 12

                                                        Money: - $290
                                                        Comment
                                                        • million2one
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-19-09
                                                          • 1290

                                                          #29
                                                          Atlanta Hawks (-11) to win $200


                                                          Overall: 9 - 12

                                                          Money: - $290



                                                          Chase system record:
                                                          1 - 0 +$10

                                                          LA Lakers (-9) (-170)
                                                          [B] $43 to win $27
                                                          Comment
                                                          • million2one
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-19-09
                                                            • 1290

                                                            #30
                                                            It's time for a new format, enough with the nonsense and experimenting.
                                                            I will only play my best of the best plays when I see value in the line, so this will cut down on the number of games I play.
                                                            Maybe only three to four games per week, if I am lucky.

                                                            Denver Nuggets (-4) to win $200


                                                            Overall: 9 - 13

                                                            Money: - $510
                                                            Comment
                                                            • million2one
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-19-09
                                                              • 1290

                                                              #31
                                                              Well I lost my last 5 posted plays (I at least hit one that I didn't post)
                                                              I can't be this bad, it's time to start winning or retire.

                                                              I feel there is a lot of value in this Portland line and will take them at home to win $200


                                                              Portland Trailblazers (-1)
                                                              to win $200


                                                              Overall: 9 - 14

                                                              Money: - $730
                                                              Comment
                                                              • million2one
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-19-09
                                                                • 1290

                                                                #32
                                                                Okay folks,

                                                                Sorry for tormenting everyone with my losing streak. It's time to put up or shut up.
                                                                This will be my last play in this thread if I lose. I can't believe it's gotten so bad.


                                                                Oklahoma City (-4.5)
                                                                to win $250


                                                                Overall: 9 - 15

                                                                Money: - $950


                                                                I actually really like this play too, although I liked my last five losers.
                                                                Word to the wise, never bet against a man when he is desperate, like I am.
                                                                Comment
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