Is there still value in Wizards +3?

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  • Capybara
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-17-08
    • 11803

    #1
    Is there still value in Wizards +3?
    Line opened at Sac -7 and sharp money appears to have moved it all the way down to -3. I loved the Wizards getting 7 but not sure there's any more value in it at +3. Thoughts?
  • suicidekings
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-23-09
    • 9962

    #2
    It wasn't entirely market based line movement. The game opened at +7, got taken off the board, and then returned at WAS +2. I'm sure some sharp money hit the +7 line, but it was more of a mistake by the books that they corrected quickly.

    IMO, SAC has more value at the corrected line, but I'd be careful either way.
    Comment
    • Capybara
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-17-08
      • 11803

      #3
      Originally posted by suicidekings
      It wasn't entirely market based line movement. The game opened at +7, got taken off the board, and then returned at WAS +2. I'm sure some sharp money hit the +7 line, but it was more of a mistake by the books that they corrected quickly.

      IMO, SAC has more value at the corrected line, but I'd be careful either way.
      That's really interesting. How did this "mistake" happen do you think? Do you mean like a clerical error, or just like some junior employee capping it, and then a superior saying "What the f--k are you doing" and pulling it down and correcting it?
      Comment
      • suicidekings
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-23-09
        • 9962

        #4
        No idea. But it happens from time to time.

        I actually have this game capped at SAC -6, so I agreed with the initial line, at least on paper, but something must have happened to change their minds about it. I wouldn't be inclined to really bet against WAS when they're given 7 points as they can really open up on certain nights..
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94379

          #5
          Washington is the play. Sac played in Portland last night and Washington is waiting for them. Wiz will win straight up.
          Comment
          • HoulihansTX
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-12-09
            • 30566

            #6
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            Washington is the play. Sac played in Portland last night and Washington is waiting for them. Wiz will win straight up.
            Comment
            • Wilforth
              Restricted User
              • 05-10-08
              • 16309

              #7
              Wizards are too unreliable. UNDER may be a good bet in that game.
              Comment
              • krazey47409
                Restricted User
                • 11-04-09
                • 2431

                #8
                yep wizard away under like 8-2 and the wizards won like last 10 mettings and last 4 in sac thats why line +3 i got wizrds winning
                Comment
                • Wilforth
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-10-08
                  • 16309

                  #9
                  Originally posted by krazey47409
                  yep wizard away under like 8-2 and the wizards won like last 10 mettings and last 4 in sac thats why line +3 i got wizrds winning
                  They may miss all their free throws in the 4Q and go on to lose the game.
                  Comment
                  • Razz_Donkey
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-27-08
                    • 1756

                    #10
                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                    It wasn't entirely market based line movement. The game opened at +7, got taken off the board, and then returned at WAS +2. I'm sure some sharp money hit the +7 line, but it was more of a mistake by the books that they corrected quickly.

                    IMO, SAC has more value at the corrected line, but I'd be careful either way.
                    Felt the same on this one, I am expecting Kings to win by 5-7. Not sure what caused the books to open the line where they did, but I think it was more likely a clerical error rather than the a market driven correction.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      dollar beer night in sac. that could make this shit gm more fun
                      Comment
                      • lakerboy
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-02-09
                        • 94379

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Wilforth
                        They may miss all their free throws in the 4Q and go on to lose the game.
                        your just pissed at wiz cause of clip game

                        Originally posted by Razz_Donkey
                        Felt the same on this one, I am expecting Kings to win by 5-7. Not sure what caused the books to open the line where they did, but I think it was more likely a clerical error rather than the a market driven correction.

                        wizards will cover this spread. the kings are due for a downturn, the public is falling in love with them and the books know this. they are not the play here.
                        Comment
                        • Glitch
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-08-09
                          • 11795

                          #13
                          dollar beer night in the sac....fans are gonna be routy
                          Comment
                          • Razz_Donkey
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-27-08
                            • 1756

                            #14
                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                            wizards will cover this spread. the kings are due for a downturn, the public is falling in love with them and the books know this. they are not the play here.
                            I don't agree LB, but good luck to you.
                            Comment
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