Line opened at Sac -7 and sharp money appears to have moved it all the way down to -3. I loved the Wizards getting 7 but not sure there's any more value in it at +3. Thoughts?
Is there still value in Wizards +3?
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CapybaraSBR Posting Legend
- 08-17-08
- 11803
#1Is there still value in Wizards +3?Tags: None -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#2It wasn't entirely market based line movement. The game opened at +7, got taken off the board, and then returned at WAS +2. I'm sure some sharp money hit the +7 line, but it was more of a mistake by the books that they corrected quickly.
IMO, SAC has more value at the corrected line, but I'd be careful either way.Comment -
CapybaraSBR Posting Legend
- 08-17-08
- 11803
#3That's really interesting. How did this "mistake" happen do you think? Do you mean like a clerical error, or just like some junior employee capping it, and then a superior saying "What the f--k are you doing" and pulling it down and correcting it?Originally posted by suicidekingsIt wasn't entirely market based line movement. The game opened at +7, got taken off the board, and then returned at WAS +2. I'm sure some sharp money hit the +7 line, but it was more of a mistake by the books that they corrected quickly.
IMO, SAC has more value at the corrected line, but I'd be careful either way.Comment -
suicidekingsSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-23-09
- 9962
#4No idea. But it happens from time to time.
I actually have this game capped at SAC -6, so I agreed with the initial line, at least on paper, but something must have happened to change their minds about it. I wouldn't be inclined to really bet against WAS when they're given 7 points as they can really open up on certain nights..Comment -
lakerboySBR Aristocracy
- 04-02-09
- 94463
#5Washington is the play. Sac played in Portland last night and Washington is waiting for them. Wiz will win straight up.Comment -
HoulihansTXBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 02-12-09
- 30566
#6Originally posted by lakerboyWashington is the play. Sac played in Portland last night and Washington is waiting for them. Wiz will win straight up.
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WilforthRestricted User
- 05-10-08
- 16309
#7Wizards are too unreliable. UNDER may be a good bet in that game.Comment -
krazey47409Restricted User
- 11-04-09
- 2431
#8yep wizard away under like 8-2 and the wizards won like last 10 mettings and last 4 in sac thats why line +3 i got wizrds winningComment -
WilforthRestricted User
- 05-10-08
- 16309
#9They may miss all their free throws in the 4Q and go on to lose the game.Originally posted by krazey47409yep wizard away under like 8-2 and the wizards won like last 10 mettings and last 4 in sac thats why line +3 i got wizrds winningComment -
Razz_DonkeySBR MVP
- 12-27-08
- 1756
#10Felt the same on this one, I am expecting Kings to win by 5-7. Not sure what caused the books to open the line where they did, but I think it was more likely a clerical error rather than the a market driven correction.Originally posted by suicidekingsIt wasn't entirely market based line movement. The game opened at +7, got taken off the board, and then returned at WAS +2. I'm sure some sharp money hit the +7 line, but it was more of a mistake by the books that they corrected quickly.
IMO, SAC has more value at the corrected line, but I'd be careful either way.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy- 01-26-09
- 88966
#11dollar beer night in sac. that could make this shit gm more fun
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lakerboySBR Aristocracy
- 04-02-09
- 94463
#12your just pissed at wiz cause of clip gameOriginally posted by WilforthThey may miss all their free throws in the 4Q and go on to lose the game.
Originally posted by Razz_DonkeyFelt the same on this one, I am expecting Kings to win by 5-7. Not sure what caused the books to open the line where they did, but I think it was more likely a clerical error rather than the a market driven correction.
wizards will cover this spread. the kings are due for a downturn, the public is falling in love with them and the books know this. they are not the play here.Comment -
GlitchSBR Posting Legend
- 07-08-09
- 11795
#13dollar beer night in the sac....fans are gonna be routyComment -
Razz_DonkeySBR MVP
- 12-27-08
- 1756
#14I don't agree LB, but good luck to you.Originally posted by lakerboywizards will cover this spread. the kings are due for a downturn, the public is falling in love with them and the books know this. they are not the play here.
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