Don Logan calls 'em as he sees 'em: P-land to dominate Bucks tonite

[don logan]

Wrong team favored here, take Portland plus the points.

Bucks are easily the worst team short-handed Blazers have faced on this trip outside Indiana, yet unlike at Indy, Portland's actually getting 4 points in this game. 3 games in 4 nites for P-land, but that's obviously factored into the line already. Bucks are really bad....take the Blazers + the points.

[suicidekings]

Agreed. This is actually my second favourite play of the night after the Bulls +9.5.

Portland is a much better team than Milwaukee. I can see why MIL was favoured with POR on the B2B and injured, but I still feel like the Blazers will take this one easily.

GL tonight.

[S.K.M.]

Why has the line moved 2 points for Portland with 50/50 public % ?

[don logan]

Those percentages don't really show volume or money, but I can only guess steam coming on Bucks based more on Portland's current situation than anything else. Peeps might be overrating the Bucks a bit, too, imo.

[S.K.M.]

I like the blazers in this spot getting 4 points too but that movement tells me to stay away.

[don logan]

Could also be just a "head-fake" movement caused by wiseguys/touts. I personally have a hard time putting much faith into those percentages with such limited info about them. Why books even publish such percentages is a little suspect to me.

[JaySon]

Why has the line moved 2 points for Portland with 50/50 public % ?

Do you think that percentage is a money percentage or percentage of bettors?

[S.K.M.]

Could also be just a "head-fake" movement caused by wiseguys/touts. I personally have a hard time putting much faith into those percentages with such limited info about them. Why books even publish such percentages is a little suspect to me.

What do you mean by "head-fake"? The sharps put out enough money on the Bucks -2 to move the line to where they want it. Then they come back and put way more on Portland at +4?

Do you think that percentage is a money percentage or percentage of bettors?

% of bettors. Supposedly the books want equal money on both sides of the line. Im not sure I really believe this. Anyway if the percentage was the money then you would never see RLMs...

[don logan]

Also puttin' the pedal down on Chicago/Boston OVER 186.

This looks low by at least 5points to me, especially if Chicago can just score at least 80 I think total will sail over 186.

[lakerboy]

Very interesting game. Bucks at home on a saturday night- be very careful

[don logan]

What do you mean by "head-fake"? The sharps put out enough money on the Bucks -2 to move the line to where they want it. Then they come back and put way more on Portland at +4?

Yeah, something like that.

[don logan]

Very interesting game. Bucks at home on a saturday night- be very careful

Why, is it Beer night in Milwaukee?

[lakerboy]

Why, is it Beer night in Milwaukee?

No I like your play alot, just saying. Bucks at home on Saturday nights is usually gold

[don logan]

NHL: Ducks +145 at Columbus, baby!

Big discount on Ducks since November between these teams. Ducks have improved since then, while Jackets still can't keep puck out of the net. Great price with Anaheim.

[JaySon]

....

[don logan]

I was lookin at Portland's road trip through dairyland LAST year, and check this out....UNCANNY imo:

P-land -2 @ Indy, P-land won by 10
P-land +10 @ Cleve, P-land lost by 5
P-land -3 @ Milwaukee, P-land won by 8

So far a virtual repeat of last year. Tonite we're +4 but P-land's gonna beat the Bucks by 8 again, I can feel it!!!

[JaySon]

....

[don logan]

Redd played last year, too. Bring it on...

....and Blazers won by 12 last year, my bad.

Folks, if you believe in jinxes then you should stop gambling!

[JaySon]

Redd played last year, too. Bring it on...

....and Blazers won by 12 last year, my bad.

Folks, if you believe in jinxes then you should stop gambling!

I erased that last post because I read the report wrong, he was supposed to play today and he is playing. But these are two different teams playing tonight, different players, but I hope we win big tonight, Phoenix has to come through for me also.

[don logan]

bah suckout city tonite....

P-land +4, Boston O186, Montreal Canadiens +130....all mammoth come from behind suckouts

I hope Vinny, Deng & rest of da Bulls get demoted to WNBA. Vinny could grow his hair out more comfortably over there.

[KiDBaZkiT]

Don its all good mayne, happens to the best of us, at least when you post it is subtle you dont use the L word and dont enlarge your font.

[SportsTerminator]

I like the blazers in this spot getting 4 points too but that movement tells me to stay away.

[don logan]

Don its all good mayne, happens to the best of us, at least when you post it is subtle you dont use the L word and dont enlarge your font.

Don't know which "L" word you mean, but thanks for the kind words my friend.

[don logan]

cmon now bro, seriously

[WhatAboutMeBitch]

bah suckout city tonite....

P-land +4, Boston O186, Montreal Canadiens +130....all mammoth come from behind suckouts

I hope Vinny, Deng & rest of da Bulls get demoted to WNBA. Vinny could grow his hair out more comfortably over there.

haha, they are bad

[lakerboy]

Very interesting game. Bucks at home on a saturday night- be very careful

I had a tough loss last night as well. You had the right play but see what I mean.Bucks at home on Saturday is gold=trust me

[don logan]

Bucks would've been fool's gold at -8.

[suicidekings]

very tough loss. If Bogut had been half a second quicker at the end of regulation we all would have been celebrating the 2 point MIL win and POR cover... I can't feel too bad about any game that was a winner at the end of OT, only to go sideways on us in OT. You can't cap for OT.

GL today.