Who wants my NBA plays?
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tealishSBR MVP
- 02-02-10
- 3386
#30486Comment -
QwistaSBR Wise Guy
- 04-14-10
- 590
#30487so closeComment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#30488Goodluck tomorrow everyone!Comment -
FoalsSBR Wise Guy
- 01-20-10
- 857
#30490Guys, I am going huge on Boston ML today. Betting about half of my profits this playoffs (about 15 units). If Boston loses tomorrow, I'm done with the playoffs and I'm already happy with my winnings this playoffs. It's going to be a close game, but I see Boston closing out just like what happened in games 1 and 2.Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#30491Be careful Foals.Comment -
OLBG SportsSBR Wise Guy
- 04-26-10
- 925
#30492I'm on Orlando today.... I think that they start to make history in this game!!!!!Comment -
alamoSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-09
- 7131
#30493Good morning all .... I fell asleep watching Lakers\Suns and wake up to find I missed the best finish of the bleedin playoffs. I was on the over so Artest kinda fupped me
Anyway for what its worth I think Magic are winning straight up today. But I cant wait till then ...We got Philipinne Basketball on now...anyone know anything about thatComment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#30494Comment -
BroccSBR MVP
- 12-25-09
- 1660
#30495
You're missing alot dude...just shut up and tail Paco, because you'd still be losing if you didn't.Comment -
WeazSBR Sharp
- 01-24-10
- 391
#30496Goodmorning all. Leaning towards the Magic and the over again today. If taking th Magic do you hop on early incase Big Baby and Rasheed cant play?? Will the books adjust the lines if there out? Also so interesting numbers for the Magic and C's........ Orlando is 19-6-1 ATS in its last 26 games following a SU victory and 7-1 ATS in its last eight road games.
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last seven playoff games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a SU loss.Comment -
SildenafilSBR High Roller
- 05-18-10
- 174
#30497Does anyone know what the TT for Boston is tonight?? My book here in UK still doesn't have it showing!! If it's 96 or higher i'm going to pound the under again. 9 games against Orlando this season they've scored:
Regular season = 78, 86, 94, 89
Playoffs = 92, 95, 94, 92, 92
Many thanks and good luck whatever you play guysComment -
TakeItSBR Wise Guy
- 04-23-10
- 778
#30498
the bet: if orlando and boston go to game 7 i have orlando and you have boston for 200 points--straight up.
all i need to hear from you is yes, it's a bet or no, i pass. any other bullshit you can shove up your ass.Comment -
cecboSBR Wise Guy
- 01-10-10
- 646
#30499I'm hoping Orlando sends this to a game 7. Where Amazing Happens!Comment -
Wind garaSBR MVP
- 11-06-09
- 1515
#30500All you do is break Paco's balls for plays...all through out the day his thread is littered with you asking "any NBA yet" at 8am...Now yo want him to "Think the same as you" Who the F**K are you? Just some loser that's making money tailing Paco...Didn't you take Lakers last night? And you want him to tail you?
You're missing alot dude...just shut up and tail Paco, because you'd still be losing if you didn't.
umm who the **** are you?
you really can go screw yourself a bit. maybe you would be more happy.
or better yet get a brain and figure out when people are jocking.
or add more #s to your name.
you dumb ****.
i know brains are a hard thing to get.
1st figure out when people are joking. i mean i know it must be hard to be retarded **** like you. but oh well world need ****tards like you
2 learn to read. i know the school systems are so bad now. they just produce illiterate morons like you. if you knew to read you knew i was on over. but its asking to much. i mean not ever one can read. some are just born mentally retarded best example? YOU>(NOTE: SORRY FOR real retarded people that were born like this for me comparing this tard to you guys)
actually i am pissed cause i loose no matter what. i cant follow every play. but the ones i follow more then 1/2 the time i get paco or lb to loose too.
NOW the them of the story
1) GET A BRAIN!
2) GET A BRAIN
3) GO GET HELP CAUSE YOUR RETARDED
4) OR JUST stick to sucking pacos nuts. (you dont need brain for that anyways. and prob be best for you)
5) or you can just jump of a bridge(i mean 1 less idiot in the word)Comment -
Tommy_de1stSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-23-10
- 8397
#30501Does anyone know what the TT for Boston is tonight?? My book here in UK still doesn't have it showing!! If it's 96 or higher i'm going to pound the under again. 9 games against Orlando this season they've scored:
Regular season = 78, 86, 94, 89
Playoffs = 92, 95, 94, 92, 92
Many thanks and good luck whatever you play guys
Home team Total is 96 @WH
What bookie do you use?Comment -
Tommy_de1stSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-23-10
- 8397
#30502Guys, stop that shit. If you want to carry on, just use pm's
We don't want this thread to be suspended, do we?Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#30503ALL ELEMENTS OF BETTING MARKETS
DEALING WITH NBA INCONSISTENCY
If you keep Power Ratings, where do you have the Orlando Magic right now? How about the Phoenix Suns? Do you even trust your ratings any more? Should ANYONE trust their ratings right now?!
Let's say, for the sake of argument, that Boston was ranked at 80 in your Power Ratings. I'm just picking a number. The higher the number the better the team. Playoff teams are near 80...the worst teams in the league are in the low 70's or worse. Boston's an 80.
*In Game One, Orlando played like a 72, losing at home by four points, when home court advantage is also worth about four points. Orlando was eight points worse than Boston, so we call them a 72 for that game.
*In Game Two, same story...except it's a one point difference. Orlando played like a 73 in a three-point home loss to Boston. No bounce back. No 'adjustments' from the coaches or players. Suddenly, Orlando is worse than Milwaukee.
*In Game Three, Orlando gets thumped. They lose by 23 points. But, the game is in Boston, meaning it's more like a 19-point differential once you account for home court advantage. Orlando played like a 61. Worse than New Jersey. For three games, Orlando has registered 72, 73, and 61 in terms of 'level of play.'
*In Game Four, some improvement. Finally! Orlando takes the game in overtime, which is a tie at the end of regulation. That makes them four points better on this night once you account for the game being played in Boston. That grades out as an 84. We have some nice symmetry here. Two games in the low 70's...one way below that, one way above that.
*In Game Five, the old Orlando Magic from a few weeks ago finally showed up. At home, they scored a 21-point victory. That's more like a 17-point victory once you adjust for home floor. That gives them a 'level of play' mark of 97!
What do you rate them NOW?
Have they figured out how to play, and they're going to be a 97 the rest of the way? Was that a one game fluke, and they're going to slump back to the mid 70's? How can you evaluate a team that's performed...from low to high...as 61, 72, 73, 84, and 97 over five games in the span of a week and a half?
Oddsmakers can only guess. Sharps are as frustrated in recent days as I can ever remember seeing them in the NBA playoffs. Usually sharps have a good read on a series once a few games have been played. In the championship rounds, the early games are distant memories.
We had something similar for Phoenix in the first four games of the Lakers series. If we make the Lakers an 80 for the sake of argument (though I think most people would have had them a few points better than Boston in real ratings), Phoenix would have posted a 63, 71, 85, and 85 in order. That's 22 points from top to bottom...with one very poor game but two very good ones.
Game Six is on Saturday. How will you rate Phoenix when they come back home after Thursday's fifth game?
We're certainly looking at an interesting weekend in the baskets, as this very challenging conference championship round continues. You've seen the lines jumping around. You've steam moves from sharps lose handily. You've seen the public jump on a team at just the wrong time. Both the sharps and the squares loved the Lakers in Game Four at Phoenix, and got spanked.
It's tough to call this 'a bettor's market' when so many bettors are losing! But, that's actually the case because quality handicapping has an even bigger edge over softer lines. If you can get a read on the teams, and the direction things are headed...you will be getting a lot of line value. Oddsmakers and sharps are being very tentative right now. It's a time you should be attacking!Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#30504The last two games of this series cleared the posted price, with Game 5 sailing over the 186½-point total. Still, the total has stayed low in 10 of the last 13 overall between these two teams (6-3 this season) and five of the last six meetings in Boston.Comment -
SEAHAWKHARRYBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 11-29-07
- 26068
#30505umm who the **** are you?
you really can go screw yourself a bit. maybe you would be more happy.
or better yet get a brain and figure out when people are jocking.
or add more #s to your name.
you dumb ****.
i know brains are a hard thing to get.
1st figure out when people are joking. i mean i know it must be hard to be retarded **** like you. but oh well world need ****tards like you
2 learn to read. i know the school systems are so bad now. they just produce illiterate morons like you. if you knew to read you knew i was on over. but its asking to much. i mean not ever one can read. some are just born mentally retarded best example? YOU>(NOTE: SORRY FOR real retarded people that were born like this for me comparing this tard to you guys)
actually i am pissed cause i loose no matter what. i cant follow every play. but the ones i follow more then 1/2 the time i get paco or lb to loose too.
NOW the them of the story
1) GET A BRAIN!
2) GET A BRAIN
3) GO GET HELP CAUSE YOUR RETARDED
4) OR JUST stick to sucking pacos nuts. (you dont need brain for that anyways. and prob be best for you)
5) or you can just jump of a bridge(i mean 1 less idiot in the word)Comment -
lakerboySBR Aristocracy
- 04-02-09
- 94379
#30506LMAO the arguing never stops. Thats good though just dont use swear words.Comment -
Tommy_de1stSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-23-10
- 8397
#30507Nice write-up but not the one Magic play on the court. How bout Boston ratings?
You wondering how Magic are gonna play: 97 again or less?, how about Boston, they play almost at the same level all the time.
Im not saying Boston is the play but you need to consider both sidesComment -
coltsSBR MVP
- 01-09-10
- 1563
#30508JR007 - that article is some good reading. I can't get a read on the semi-finals either. But I have noticed that in the PHO-LAL series, defense appears to be the difference maker. In games 1 and 2, relatively little D. Both high scoring games and the lakers dominate. Game 3 - Suns implement "girly" zone defense. Suns win games 3 and 4. Game 5 - Lakers implement their own tenacious D and squeek out a win in a relatively low scoring game. Can the suns win game 6?Comment -
MidgetTossersSBR Posting Legend
- 11-06-09
- 13376
#30509good morning...im leaning magic today but no official play...lb, your inbox is full in case u didnt knowComment -
jnickell100SBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 4305
#30510I guess I'm the only one on here that likes Boston to close it out tonightComment -
IndyJonezySBR Hustler
- 05-13-10
- 87
#30511Took a beating last night... Congrats to all that won!
Drunk text betting is never a good idea! LOL
Leaning Magic and over... Good luck all!Comment -
DEGENR8SBR Wise Guy
- 04-14-10
- 729
#30513I'm pretty knowlegable but could someone clarify what TT means? ThanksComment -
DEGENR8SBR Wise Guy
- 04-14-10
- 729
#30514Is it team total?Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#30517JR007 - that article is some good reading. I can't get a read on the semi-finals either. But I have noticed that in the PHO-LAL series, defense appears to be the difference maker. In games 1 and 2, relatively little D. Both high scoring games and the lakers dominate. Game 3 - Suns implement "girly" zone defense. Suns win games 3 and 4. Game 5 - Lakers implement their own tenacious D and squeek out a win in a relatively low scoring game. Can the suns win game 6?Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#30518fromat changed from 2-3-2.....watch how many calls the suns get next game.....wonder how much TV (league revenue) is generated per game ??? anyone have a idea ????Comment -
SildenafilSBR High Roller
- 05-18-10
- 174
#30519Use Bet365, total is at 95.5. Going to see if it moves up closer to game time, if not will still go for the under.
Few facts for you:
- Orlando have won all five playoff 4th quarters comfortably between these two (by 12, 5, 5, 5, 12).
- Orlando are 6-2-1 SU for the second half in all games between these two, but if using current spread of full game +3.5 and 1st half +2.0 (thus assuming Orlando is +1.5 for the second half) they would be 8-1 ATS for the second half
- Boston are 7-1-1 in the second quarter in the 9 games played this season
- And just in case anyone missed it before, Boston hasn't scored more than 95 points in any game against Orlando this season
Good luck guysComment -
fixedgamesSBR High Roller
- 04-24-10
- 186
#30520magic and over a good bet?Comment
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