Who wants my NBA plays?

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  • chimp
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-17-10
    • 742

    #19356
    "free money" at pinny okc -6 +187
    Comment
    • Flopa3
      SBR MVP
      • 11-27-09
      • 1116

      #19357
      Originally posted by TakeIt
      why on earth would they do that?
      Originally posted by TakeIt
      so the books know who is going to win??? then they manipulate the line to get you to bet the other way...you bet the other way and they clean up??? assuming they do know who is going to win, how do they know you will bet the way they want you to???
      The books get more info than we could ever get they probably know about 95% if not better who is going to win but at times they slip up and we get to hammer them.
      Comment
      • kobefanatic
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-19-10
        • 9013

        #19358
        Originally posted by colout
        kobefanatic I bet that you not over 12 years old!!!
        LOL i just turned 20
        Comment
        • paco
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-07-09
          • 62873

          #19359
          I'm gonna just go and enjoybmyself with these bitches. Fvck it, good run Thunder but the road ends here tonight
          Comment
          • anjaru
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-27-10
            • 558

            #19360
            Kobe plays MUCH BETTER when he is pissed off. He needs to blame Pau more often for his own mistakes.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #19361
              Denver's not going to go away quietly, folks.
              Comment
              • colout
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-11-09
                • 772

                #19362
                Originally posted by kobefanatic
                LOL i just turned 20
                you just act like a 12 years old kiddo!!
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #19363
                  Originally posted by paco
                  I'm gonna just go and enjoybmyself with these bitches. Fvck it, good run Thunder but the road ends here tonight
                  As long as you make a bet and post it while you're there.

                  Comment
                  • shari91
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-23-10
                    • 32661

                    #19364
                    Originally posted by TakeIt
                    so the books know who is going to win??? then they manipulate the line to get you to bet the other way...you bet the other way and they clean up???

                    assuming they do know who is going to win, how do they know you will bet the way they want you to???
                    Because the only people betting on these games right now are sharps, people who think they're sharps or are trying to learn, or recreational gamblers who want to throw $50 on their home team. Or the Lakers no matter where they live.

                    True sharps (of which I am not one by any stretch of the imagination) know that line manipulation will occur during the playoffs and can spot it a mile away. Hence why LB posted his plays last night when normally he waits and watches line movement during the regular season.

                    People who think they're sharps, or are trying to learn, spend too much time looking at the line movement in these games and start second guessing themselves every which way, which the books know. They rely too much on line movement to dictate their plays at this time of year. These guys at the books have been doing it a hell of a lot longer than any of us have, and they'll be here long after we're gone.

                    Do I think they know who will win? All I'll say is that it's not often that you see a book make a genuine mistake.

                    This is all just my opinion of course. Could be talking out of my arse for all I know.
                    Last edited by shari91; 04-30-10, 10:09 PM.
                    Comment
                    • kobefanatic
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-19-10
                      • 9013

                      #19365
                      Originally posted by colout
                      you just act like a 12 years old kiddo!!
                      i need to win that's why, i'm down big because of my greed i have 1 more day left before i have to pay my local
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #19366
                        Could the refs be any more blatantly obvious with the over on the Denver/Utah game? I don't have a total play there, but good grief, look at the foul and FT numbers midway through the second quarter.
                        Comment
                        • SimonSayz
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-17-09
                          • 859

                          #19367
                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                          Denver's not going to go away quietly, folks.
                          Game is over. Denver might make a run but the jazz cover and we cash.
                          Comment
                          • EXpertcapper
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-05-10
                            • 5026

                            #19368
                            2nd half under 98 LA/OKC GL

                            Fade or follow
                            Comment
                            • paco
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-07-09
                              • 62873

                              #19369
                              So in cliff notes, Shari, u calling me a square?

                              Comment
                              • keijo32
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-17-10
                                • 2951

                                #19370
                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                Denver's not going to go away quietly, folks.
                                tell me about it deron williams is ****ing around and not dominating
                                Comment
                                • kobefanatic
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-19-10
                                  • 9013

                                  #19371
                                  guys is doris burke in the jazz game?
                                  Comment
                                  • sharper2
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-30-10
                                    • 2724

                                    #19372
                                    Originally posted by EXpertcapper
                                    2nd half under 98 LA/OKC GL

                                    Fade or follow
                                    What's your estimation for the half?
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #19373
                                      Originally posted by EXpertcapper
                                      2nd half under 98 LA/OKC GL

                                      Fade or follow
                                      Hope you're right. I'm just going to stick to my initial 194.5 and hope it holds up. Doesn't look very good, though.
                                      Comment
                                      • keijo32
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-17-10
                                        • 2951

                                        #19374
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        Could the refs be any more blatantly obvious with the over on the Denver/Utah game? I don't have a total play there, but good grief, look at the foul and FT numbers midway through the second quarter.
                                        wonder why...maybe because the whole world was on under
                                        Comment
                                        • paco
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-07-09
                                          • 62873

                                          #19375
                                          Originally posted by kobefanatic
                                          i need to win that's why, i'm down big because of my greed i have 1 more day left before i have to pay my local
                                          Kobe, not to sound like an asshole, but u always complain u are down. How can u always b down if u tail LB plays? Dude, I like u, but ur constant crying is getting annoying
                                          Comment
                                          • keijo32
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-17-10
                                            • 2951

                                            #19376
                                            Originally posted by kobefanatic
                                            guys is doris burke in the jazz game?
                                            oh yea
                                            Comment
                                            • kobefanatic
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-19-10
                                              • 9013

                                              #19377
                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                              Hope you're right. I'm just going to stick to my initial 194.5 and hope it holds up. Doesn't look very good, though.
                                              if they could just slow down for a couple of mintues i think we're ok
                                              Comment
                                              • MidgetTossers
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-06-09
                                                • 13376

                                                #19378
                                                Originally posted by paco
                                                So in cliff notes, Shari, u calling me a square?

                                                u have a play in denver/utah game pac?
                                                Comment
                                                • paco
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-07-09
                                                  • 62873

                                                  #19379
                                                  Thunder -6 2nd half (+190) (1x)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Flopa3
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-27-09
                                                    • 1116

                                                    #19380
                                                    Originally posted by shari91
                                                    Because the only people betting on these games right now are sharps, people who think they're sharps or are trying to learn, or recreational gamblers who want to throw $50 on their home team. Or the Lakers no matter where they live. True sharps (of which I am not one by any stretch of the imagination) know that line manipulation will occur during the playoffs and can spot it a mile away. Hence why LB posted his plays last night when normally he waits and watches line movement during the regular season. People who think they're sharps, or are trying to learn, spend too much time looking at the line movement in these games and start second guessing themselves every which way, which the books know. They rely too much on line movement to dictate their plays at this time of year. These guys have been doing it a hell of a lot longer than any of us have, and they'll be here long after we're gone. Do I think they know who will win? All I'll say is that it's not often that you see a book make a genuine mistake. This is all just my opinion of course. Could be talking out of my arse for all I know.

                                                    That's not true Sheri I listen to LB, Sweetjones, Paco, Expert!!!

                                                    Ok on the flip side Sheri is right it's hard to read what the lines are doing in the playoffs I have no clue in 2h because pini is always screwing with them the whole time.

                                                    Now lets get this laker win so we can all celebrate!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • AmpleGamble
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 03-04-10
                                                      • 568

                                                      #19381
                                                      Originally posted by EXpertcapper
                                                      2nd half under 98 LA/OKC GL

                                                      Fade or follow
                                                      Game went over in the 1st EX- if it stays close and the pace remains the same don't you expect it to go over with fouls and all at the end in the 2nd?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • southpaw74
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-21-09
                                                        • 7104

                                                        #19382
                                                        Originally posted by keijo32
                                                        tell me about it deron williams is ****ing around and not dominating
                                                        They are up 13...what do you want?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kobefanatic
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-19-10
                                                          • 9013

                                                          #19383
                                                          Originally posted by paco
                                                          Kobe, not to sound like an asshole, but u always complain u are down. How can u always b down if u tail LB plays? Dude, I like u, but ur constant crying is getting annoying
                                                          i tail LB, but when he doesn't post it yet i just go with my gut because our local closes at 11pm manila time

                                                          sorry about that
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shari91
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 02-23-10
                                                            • 32661

                                                            #19384
                                                            Originally posted by paco
                                                            So in cliff notes, Shari, u calling me a square?
                                                            You are as sharp as they come. You called OKC long before the game. Just talking about line movement here.
                                                            I'm thinking the squares are the ones who are stressing out over the lines at this point. It all seems like one big head fukk and it seems that way every damn year.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • andrew5
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 06-08-09
                                                              • 677

                                                              #19385
                                                              i just want to know what u think about the cavs
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kobefanatic
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-19-10
                                                                • 9013

                                                                #19386
                                                                Originally posted by keijo32
                                                                oh yea
                                                                OMG
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EXpertcapper
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-05-10
                                                                  • 5026

                                                                  #19387
                                                                  estimation 2nd half

                                                                  My numbers call for : LAK 47 OKL 48 ... give or take 1-2 pts
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SwisherSweet420
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 922

                                                                    #19388
                                                                    yeah thats 95!!
                                                                    sbr
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TakeIt
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 04-23-10
                                                                      • 778

                                                                      #19389
                                                                      Originally posted by Flopa3
                                                                      The books get more info than we could ever get they probably know about 95% if not better who is going to win ...
                                                                      well then i guess i better get a job at one of these books and i'll become fabulously wealthy betting on 95% sure things.

                                                                      i had no idea bookies won 95% of their bets
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • No coincidences
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                                        • 76300

                                                                        #19390
                                                                        Denver's sneaking back into it....
                                                                        Comment
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