Who wants my NBA plays?

[PAYTON20]

I really hope you hit these!!!

I was leaning the Bucks but now seeing LB on ATL I may just concentrate on ORL, since I liked POR too .

Think I'm much better off sticking with the kooky bets I've been doing rather than trying to pick a side. Denver's totally fukked any confidence I have in myself at the moment.

Shari- I'm interested in what you like in the Blazers? You seeing a huuge coming out party for Brandon Roy tonight?

This is the biggest game of the season for the Suns, and they could come out with a vengeance after the loss. I'm worried about betting against the Suns because when they're on, they can torch you. (Just like Games 2 and 3). Portland's victories have been a bit more modest...

[kw071]

I really hope you hit these!!!

I was leaning the Bucks but now seeing LB on ATL I may just concentrate on ORL, since I liked POR too .

Think I'm much better off sticking with the kooky bets I've been doing rather than trying to pick a side. Denver's totally fukked any confidence I have in myself at the moment.

Thanks! Could be another great night for me... or i could give back half of what i won yesterday.

Anyways, good luck to you as always.

[PAYTON20]

Hey LB have you ever heard of a book NOT paying out winnings to a player? Sportsbook is still refusing to pay out my $. It makes no sense... listen to what they did. They refunded my orginal $300 deposit to my bank account (so I'm even). But I have $2,500+ in winnings sitting in my account (which is frozen and inactive). They are royally fukkking me. They tell me that they've linked my account to other "fraudulent accounts" that have stolen money from them? I can't convince them this is not true. They read me the names on the "linked accounts" and I've NEVER EVER heard of those people or do I have any affiliation. It's just a scam so they don't have to pay me. What do I do???

[RetardStrength]

Best of luck to everyone tonight...

My 3 plays:

ATL (2)
Orlando (4)
Port/Phx OVER 202.5

[suicidekings]

My leans are the magic/hawks and suns

no i should probably go and take the cats/blazers and bucks

The Bucks series is interesting.

In the last ten games, all ten have been won SU by the favoured team, and five out of six games this season have been won by the home team. Seems to me Vegas has a very good read on this series. These trends conflict in this game, but I feel like the difference between each team's home/away records is key here, and the team that wins the series is the one that can win on the other team's home court. Since Feb 1, MIL is 13-5 on the road, while Atlanta is 8-11 on the road in that span. I think the Bucks have a better chance of winning in Atlanta than the Hawks do of winning in Milwaukee.

I'm on the Bucks +2.5 (x2) & ML +120 (x1) tonight, and have placed a unit on the Bucks series +760. I feel like the series goes back to Atlanta tied 2-2, and the ATL series price will plummet if this happens. Money to be made

[FireMedic1614]

only thing im touching on the suns game is suns 1q -2 and also suns 1q over 51 heavier on the over 51

[shari91]

Shari- I'm interested in what you like in the Blazers? You seeing a huuge coming out party for Brandon Roy tonight? This is the biggest game of the season for the Suns, and they could come out with a vengeance after the loss. I'm worried about betting against the Suns because when they're on, they can torch you. (Just like Games 2 and 3). Portland's victories have been a bit more modest...

I think this game will be up to how Phoenix chooses to play. If they allow Portland one inch to control the tempo, they're done. They've lost 2 games because of this (in my opinion) and if Portland can once again play some sort of tough defence and blast through screens, they can win this one. Portland's gotten into their heads - They won game 1 without Roy and won game 4 with him in his first game back. With Roy back, Aldridge was free to score 31 and get 11 boards because Phoenix's focus shifted to gimpy Roy. That's huge.

Plus Roy will have had a few more practices under his belt which can only help and Howard did well on Amare. Phoenix is able to increase the tempo when the Blazers are missing shots and they're great at running after rebounds but if Portland comes out with good offense, shooting 48%+, THAT will control the pace of the game. Mind you they could do without the stupid turnovers as well, especially by Miller and Bayless.

I don't know. It's a big ask of Portland but they have it in them to do it as we saw the last game. I'm sure 50 people can counteract every single thing I just typed but these are just my thoughts. My honest lean is that if Portland can handle the first 5-7 minutes of this one, they've got it in the bag. Tough game but should be awesome to watch!!!

[refrain87]

Good luck Shari! I agree with your analysis. And I know I too, will enjoy watching this playoff game

[PAULYPOKER]

Pauly - I'm not sure what that long post of yours even means, but can you please maybe stop it for a bit? This thread is hard enough to catch up on on a normal day - adding that kind of stuff, especially with size 60 font just makes it that much easier to lose the important stuff amongst it. Best of luck tomorrow everyone!

Little pushy here for a minion aren't we

[SoV]

Another 1Q night, Shari and FireMedic?

[FireMedic1614]

yep im on orlando 1q -1 suns -2 and all 3 games 1q overs

[shari91]

Little pushy here for a minion aren't we

You think so? I was just making a polite request to maybe not take up the entire page with stuff that is irrelevant to everyone. The font and emoticons you use are huge and it honestly takes up a lot of room in a thread that has thousands of posts. That's all. Sorry if you took it any other way.

[rvfrank]

Hey LB have you ever heard of a book NOT paying out winnings to a player? Sportsbook is still refusing to pay out my $. It makes no sense... listen to what they did. They refunded my orginal $300 deposit to my bank account (so I'm even). But I have $2,500+ in winnings sitting in my account (which is frozen and inactive). They are royally fukkking me. They tell me that they've linked my account to other "fraudulent accounts" that have stolen money from them? I can't convince them this is not true. They read me the names on the "linked accounts" and I've NEVER EVER heard of those people or do I have any affiliation. It's just a scam so they don't have to pay me. What do I do???

I luckily got my money from sportsbook I read all the warnings they robbed me 30 out of my 1100, but still got paid from them thank god. I really don't think your getting your money maybe you should send your complaint to sbr.

[PAYTON20]

I think this game will be up to how Phoenix chooses to play. If they allow Portland one inch to control the tempo, they're done. They've lost 2 games because of this (in my opinion) and if Portland can once again play some sort of tough defence and blast through screens, they can win this one. Portland's gotten into their heads - They won game 1 without Roy and won game 4 with him in his first game back. With Roy back, Aldridge was free to score 31 and get 11 boards because Phoenix's focus shifted to gimpy Roy. That's huge.

Plus Roy will have had a few more practices under his belt which can only help and Howard did well on Amare. Phoenix is able to increase the tempo when the Blazers are missing shots and they're great at running after rebounds but if Portland comes out with good offense, shooting 48%+, THAT will control the pace of the game. Mind you they could do without the stupid turnovers as well, especially by Miller and Bayless.

I don't know. It's a big ask of Portland but they have it in them to do it as we saw the last game. I'm sure 50 people can counteract every single thing I just typed but these are just my thoughts. My honest lean is that if Portland can handle the first 5-7 minutes of this one, they've got it in the bag. Tough game but should be awesome to watch!!!

Bravo Shari. I wasn't expecting that much of a write-up, but you make some very valid points.

It's my opinion that with the Suns having homecourt now, Amare will get some more favorable calls. If the Blazers need to stack the paint with 3 defenders to stop the Nash/Stoudemire pick and roll, then it will leave those shooters open from the outside like in Game 3. If they have a off night, Portland is in great shape. But if J Rich, Frye, Dudley, Dragic are knockin down those triples- the Blazers could be in for a long night.

The keys: Can Howard handle Amare on defense like he did last game? AND will the Suns be hitting from beyond the arc? Good Luck

[kw071]

also taking nats, cards, and mets tonight in baseball...

jeeeze, how am i going to be able to sit through class with all this action

[suicidekings]

Hey LB have you ever heard of a book NOT paying out winnings to a player? Sportsbook is still refusing to pay out my $. It makes no sense... listen to what they did. They refunded my orginal $300 deposit to my bank account (so I'm even). But I have $2,500+ in winnings sitting in my account (which is frozen and inactive). They are royally fukkking me. They tell me that they've linked my account to other "fraudulent accounts" that have stolen money from them? I can't convince them this is not true. They read me the names on the "linked accounts" and I've NEVER EVER heard of those people or do I have any affiliation. It's just a scam so they don't have to pay me. What do I do???

SBR is great at going to bat for you against sportsbooks with problems like this one. Email SBR or use their complaint form here.

[PAULYPOKER]

You think so? I was just making a polite request to maybe not take up the entire page with stuff that is irrelevant to everyone. The font and emoticons you use are huge and it honestly takes up a lot of room in a thread that has thousands of posts. That's all. Sorry if you took it any other way.

If you had an eye for Capping the only posts which are not bullshit in this thread is LAKERBOY/PACO posts the rest is just gibberish,there is no argument here I'm just stating facts

Good day

[superjeff24]

Bravo Shari. I wasn't expecting that much of a write-up, but you make some very valid points.

It's my opinion that with the Suns having homecourt now, Amare will get some more favorable calls. If the Blazers need to stack the paint with 3 defenders to stop the Nash/Stoudemire pick and roll, then it will leave those shooters open from the outside like in Game 3. If they have a off night, Portland is in great shape. But if J Rich, Frye, Dudley, Dragic are knockin down those triples- the Blazers could be in for a long night.

The keys: Can Howard handle Amare on defense like he did last game? AND will the Suns be hitting from beyond the arc? Good Luck

Have you been watching any of the games? She just basically rehashed what the announcers have been saying the whole series.

However, Roy isn't healthy he's back from surgery too soon and he will not benefit from practices. That said, Phoenix relies too much on the 3, and unless they can set the tempo they aren't worth betting on. Will they "want" to come out of the gate strong for a huge win? of course. but the question is, will they stay the course late in the game when its close, or will Nash have 6 turnovers in huge spots like last game.

[suicidekings]

Have you been watching any of the games? She just basically rehashed what the announcers have been saying the whole series.

However, Roy isn't healthy he's back from surgery too soon and he will not benefit from practices. That said, Phoenix relies too much on the 3, and unless they can set the tempo they aren't worth betting on. Will they "want" to come out of the gate strong for a huge win? of course. but the question is, will they stay the course late in the game when its close, or will Nash have 6 turnovers in huge spots like last game.

I like POR + the points tonight, but I like Suns 1Q even more.

Overall, the home team is 19-10-1 so far in the 1Q of the playoffs. Not the reason I like this game in particular, but the home team puts more pressure on themselves to perform early in the game...

[shari91]

Bravo Shari. I wasn't expecting that much of a write-up, but you make some very valid points. It's my opinion that with the Suns having homecourt now, Amare will get some more favorable calls. If the Blazers need to stack the paint with 3 defenders to stop the Nash/Stoudemire pick and roll, then it will leave those shooters open from the outside like in Game 3. If they have a off night, Portland is in great shape. But if J Rich, Frye, Dudley, Dragic are knockin down those triples- the Blazers could be in for a long night. The keys: Can Howard handle Amare on defense like he did last game? AND will the Suns be hitting from beyond the arc? Good Luck

Yeah, sorry, you got blasted with all the little notes I have saved on my MacBook. Have to do that now that I'm a Mom - my brain seems to lose things quite quickly and I wanted to see if it still rang true when I wrote it all out.

My problem is that I don't have a basketball team after living away from N. America for quite a few years. Thinking about it now, the last time I LOVED a team was back in the days of Magic, Bird, Jordan, Isiaih, etc.. Even with Laettner at Duke. So because I don't follow anyone religiously, I have to just try to look at a game analytically if I'm going to look at it at all since I don't know every in and out about any one team anymore.

As I said, one of the other guys in here would be able to provide much better insight, if they were on Portland that is, or tear what I said to shreds, but this is what I have to use when I try to make plays. Having written that, as much as it's made me like Portland a little more, I'm going to stick with prop bets on this one although I'm not even sure what I want to take.

[shari91]

Have you been watching any of the games? She just basically rehashed what the announcers have been saying the whole series.

Did I? I am seriously stoked right now. I've only been able to watch one game so far because of digital tv issues here - the rest have been ESPN and friends screaming at me via Skype updates.

Yeah, I don't know about this game. Too hard which I guess is what makes it an awesome playoff matchup! Best of luck to those of you choosing a side in this one!!

[suicidekings]

My problem is that I don't have a basketball team after living away from N. America for quite a few years. Thinking about it now, the last time I LOVED a team was back in the days of Magic, Bird, Jordan, Isiaih, etc.. Even with Laettner at Duke. So because I don't follow anyone religiously, I have to just try to look at a game analytically if I'm going to look at it at all since I don't know every in and out about any one team anymore.

As I said, one of the other guys in here would be able to provide much better insight, if they were on Portland that is, or tear what I said to shreds, but this is what I have to use when I try to make plays. Having written that, as much as it's made me like Portland a little more, I'm going to stick with prop bets on this one although I'm not even sure what I want to take.

What about this do you see as a disadvantage? At some point in the capping process you need to be able to look at the stats and be completely impartial. IMO, not having a favourite team (or at least having the ability to disregard hometown bias) is a HUGE advantage for a capper that a lot of people don't possess.

[PAYTON20]

SBR is great at going to bat for you against sportsbooks with problems like this one. Email SBR or use their complaint form here.

Thanks I didn't realize SBR would back you on an issue like this- that's awesome. I just submitted my complaint! Crossing my fingers...

[shari91]

What about this do you see as a disadvantage? At some point in the capping process you need to be able to look at the stats and be completely impartial. IMO, not having a favourite team (or at least having the ability to disregard hometown bias) is a HUGE advantage for a capper that a lot of people don't possess.

I think I phrased it wrong. For some of you guys who follow a team, you know all of the things that I have to research before making a play. They're your 'givens' so you can spend your time looking at other aspects of their opponent, etc... Just makes it all that much more time consuming for me because it's almost like I start fresh each time. Yeah I retain some, but not as much as I would if I were emotionally invested in a team at all.

Hope that makes sense?!?! If not, I apologise - 5am here and flying on no sleep.

[suicidekings]

Thanks I didn't realize SBR would back you on an issue like this- that's awesome. I just submitted my complaint! Crossing my fingers...

Good luck. Hopefully the power of bad PR will help you out here.

[el jefe]

Hey LB have you ever heard of a book NOT paying out winnings to a player? Sportsbook is still refusing to pay out my $. It makes no sense... listen to what they did. They refunded my orginal $300 deposit to my bank account (so I'm even). But I have $2,500+ in winnings sitting in my account (which is frozen and inactive). They are royally fukkking me. They tell me that they've linked my account to other "fraudulent accounts" that have stolen money from them? I can't convince them this is not true. They read me the names on the "linked accounts" and I've NEVER EVER heard of those people or do I have any affiliation. It's just a scam so they don't have to pay me. What do I do???

Go here with your problem. They may be able to help.

http://www.majorwager.com/request-assistance.html

[toosweet]

Looking at the ATL. over for my big play of the day, really think Orlando comes out and finishes this series off tonight. What you guys think?

[PAULYPOKER]

Possible but I have to think tonight's card is going to go the public way and I'm most likely staying away from tonight's games unless something jumps out at me

[PAULYPOKER]

If I play anything tonight it will be Portland's side of +7 it is by far the best play on the board

LB/Paco Thoughts??

[alamo]

I have a feeling that total in Bobcats game is going to go over tonight... Dunno why...just think the Cats might throw caution to the wind and play really well on offense since their down 3-0 (something like the heat did the other night). Going to hang tough to see what my main men are going to do though first...

Good luck to one all with your plays tonight whatever they may be...

[suicidekings]

If I play anything tonight it will be Portland's side of +7 it is by far the best play on the board

I totally agree the Portland side has huge value, but I'd be concerned about a fast start from the Suns. If you can bet live, you're probably going to get the best line on Portland during the 1Q. However if the Suns come out with intensity it might change how I feel about the Blazers covering... Good thing there's still lots of time until tipoff...

[kmarinouofm]

cats are def the play today.. they will keep it close tonight guys..

[FireMedic1614]

I think its all in the magics hands. If they want to win tonight they will win.. The bobcats cant beat the magic in playoff b-ball they cant even beat them with howard fouling out. Basically I think this just comes down to a coin flip will the magic come out hard or will they let up a little.

[MidgetTossers]

I am taking the over in this magic game...no reasoning on this other than the simple fact that I am sick and tired of all these fukking foul calls on every damn play that fukk my under bets constantly. .even bavetta games are going over in these playoffs. ..fukk it

[lakerboy]

I have no clue what to bet on tonight. Im gonna flip a coin on each game and see what the coin says. It will be a 7 game series on the coin.