Who wants my NBA plays?

**Goat Milk** · 04-20-10, 01:38 AM

Originally posted by shari91

Goat - I jumped on the Nuggets -6, Nuggets 2H, Nuggets 3Q and the 2H over. Remember, I don't have an account with live betting and really want to stay away from that although I'm debating it hard.

Yeah I only lost $20 measly bucks in the end but it's the fact that I had so much in play on this game that makes me sick. Not on this team.

I had a play posted last night cuz I had work in the morning, Bulls Cavs over 191 which went way over, but you probably wanted to stay away from that game. Don't worry, you'll make some loot tomorrow. I'll have some plays and LakerBoy is due for a hot streak too

**shari91** · 04-20-10, 01:39 AM

Sorry - I had 2H under. Not over. And yeah, I think you should just post your plays in here Goat - too much crap already over there and I really didn't expect that to happen. Just thought it would make it easier to see your plays and insight too because so many people post in here that things fly quickly, but I'd rather scroll through page after page in here than bother with that stuff.

**jnickell100** · 04-20-10, 01:40 AM

You guys are going way to hard on the live lines. Take a wager and stick with it, i see a lot of people in here betting like 3/4 bets on 1 game and imo thats too many. Goat i like the way you pick your spots and get the line, thats what ive been doing for a while and works great.

Either way, I love that Garnett is suspended for this game. Im going BIG on the celtics tomorrow. The line is 1 right now with 78% on the Heat. Celtics dont lose this one at home, i dont care if Garnett is there or not.

**No coincidences** · 04-20-10, 01:42 AM

Originally posted by jnickell100

Either way, I love that Garnett is suspended for this game. Im going BIG on the celtics tomorrow. The line is 1 right now with 78% on the Heat. Celtics dont lose this one at home, i dont care if Garnett is there or not.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 01:42 AM

Originally posted by jnickell100

You guys are going way to hard on the live lines. Take a wager and stick with it, i see a lot of people in here betting like 3/4 bets on 1 game and imo thats too many. Goat i like the way you pick your spots and get the line, thats what ive been doing for a while and works great.

Either way, I love that Garnett is suspended for this game. Im going BIG on the celtics tomorrow. The line is 1 right now with 78% on the Heat. Celtics dont lose this one at home, i dont care if Garnett is there or not.

Sportsinsights is 57% on Heat, that is barely even a majority. The line came out at +2 and dropped a full point despite only a 7% public difference in the betting. Be very careful with this game, Wade is known to go off when he gets angry in the playoffs and who is going to stop him from getting in the lane and scoring every drive down?

**shari91** · 04-20-10, 01:44 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

I had a play posted last night cuz I had work in the morning, Bulls Cavs over 191 which went way over, but you probably wanted to stay away from that game. Don't worry, you'll make some loot tomorrow. I'll have some plays and LakerBoy is due for a hot streak too

Yep, I stayed as far away from that game as I could get.

I played Tampa Bay this morning for quite a decent amount and did well on that though so it's all good.

That game and this one were the only ones I played so luckily, it all worked out for me in the end but hate seeing the others get stung. Probably would've been me too but the time difference and a few other factors saved me for once.

I figure this thread is going to be on fire tomorrow - even screwing with my sleep again so I don't miss any of the games this time.

**jnickell100** · 04-20-10, 01:49 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Sportsinsights is 57% on Heat, that is barely even a majority. The line came out at +2 and dropped a full point despite only a 7% public difference in the betting. Be very careful with this game, Wade is known to go off when he gets angry in the playoffs and who is going to stop him from getting in the lane and scoring every drive down?

POINTSPREADS
04/17 20:04 – / – +2 -110 / -2 -110
04/18 18:45 82% / 18% +1 -110 / -1 -110
04/19 05:41 72% / 28%

SJ, Wade is going to get his no matter what it doesnt matter. He cant beat any player in the NBA off the dribble and ya Garnett is a great defensive player but they play good without him. The celtics have quite a few of big men that can play down and dirty.
The celtics are also 3-0 against the heat with garnett out.

**No coincidences** · 04-20-10, 01:50 AM

Boston-Miami over 179 tomorrow, ladies and gents....

Last two games between the two teams with Garnett sidelined:

218 points in 2010 (101-101 at the end of regulation)
220 points in 2009

**Goat Milk** · 04-20-10, 01:52 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Sportsinsights is 57% on Heat, that is barely even a majority. The line came out at +2 and dropped a full point despite only a 7% public difference in the betting. Be very careful with this game, Wade is known to go off when he gets angry in the playoffs and who is going to stop him from getting in the lane and scoring every drive down?

No one will stop Wade. I'm looking more into the over for this game.

**danvan3000** · 04-20-10, 01:56 AM

no play on the over for me

**jnickell100** · 04-20-10, 01:59 AM

Ya the total for this game looks suspicious.

**jalein** · 04-20-10, 04:54 AM

Not a bad day yesterday. Went 3-1. Split on the Kings game hitting the Kings ML and losing the under, one unit on each. Hit Utah +6 and hit Over 213, 3 units each. Net +6 units on the day. I just followed the Pinny money to come to the conclusion of Utah +6 and the Over. BOL to all and lets get that money

**Tommy_de1st** · 04-20-10, 07:48 AM

Originally posted by jalein

Not a bad day yesterday. Went 3-1. Split on the Kings game hitting the Kings ML and losing the under, one unit on each. Hit Utah +6 and hit Over 213, 3 units each. Net +6 units on the day. I just followed the Pinny money to come to the conclusion of Utah +6 and the Over. BOL to all and lets get that money

I went 3-1 as well
hope we can cash it tonight too

**RetardStrength** · 04-20-10, 08:30 AM

Heat tonight anyone??

I just hate the reliance on D-Wade...

**dee_jas** · 04-20-10, 08:39 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Worst day for me in months. unreal losses everywhere 1-9-1 today in nba/nhl and mlb

perfect day to fade my sorry ass was today

Unlucky with this one LB, i have no doubt you'll be back with many wins, BOL

**Foals** · 04-20-10, 08:40 AM

I have Heat +3.5 with my local, really love them to win SU here.

**PAULYPOKER** · 04-20-10, 08:53 AM

Originally posted by Foals

I have Heat +3.5 with my local, really love them to win SU here.

Me also but I have a personal vendetta against the Celtics for turning into Nets/Timberwolves on me in at least 3 games that I know of this season when I was deeply invested....

**t-wizzle** · 04-20-10, 10:04 AM

Goat, you really think Artest can't phase Durant? I guarantee you we will see more of the same of what we saw in game 1. Artest will disrupt his rhythm all series and force him out of his game. Sure, Durant ended up with 24 pts... but he needed 24 shots to do it. Expect more of the same.

**JR007** · 04-20-10, 10:18 AM

**yassen28** · 04-20-10, 10:22 AM

Durant 30+

**t-wizzle** · 04-20-10, 10:37 AM

Oklahoma City is getting pounded right now. Down to 6 or 5.5 pretty much everywhere.

**lakerboy** · 04-20-10, 10:43 AM

Yeah folks are expecting a game that goes to the wire and i agree. I think OKC will have a shot to win this game but come up just short. Its gonna be similar to the Jazz game last night.

**big0mar** · 04-20-10, 10:43 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Oklahoma City is getting pounded right now. Down to 6 or 5.5 pretty much everywhere.

I don't see it at 5.5 anywhere...but I think this is a good spot to wait and take it closer to tip if you're on OKC.

I still see it as 59% on the Lakers

**t-wizzle** · 04-20-10, 10:49 AM

Lotta money coming in on the over in okc-lal too but I like the under. I think it stays in the 80s or low 90s.

**big0mar** · 04-20-10, 10:50 AM

Biggest problem for the Lakers is defending Westbrook. Fisher just can't do it. Now, Fish was able to hit some shots in game 1, but at what point does he start to lose his legs after chasing Westbrook around?

**lakerboy** · 04-20-10, 10:55 AM

Lakers/Thunder over 190 for $5 - not gonna wait around for this thing to hit 192. Books have overreacted to a game where both teams were playing at lunchtime in La and missed alot of shots, that wont happen again tonight. Look for the thunder to push the tempo and the Lakers will hit more shots tonight than game 1 as well. I see a game that will hit 200.

**lakerboy** · 04-20-10, 10:59 AM

Heat/Celtics over 90.5 (1st hf) for $3 - The Heat will look to go in the paint more with Garnett out and will land on the line more. I always like games like this to have more scoring in half 1 than half 2. I fully expect this to hit 95-100 points. Boston plays a higher tempo when Garnett is out.

**big0mar** · 04-20-10, 11:00 AM

Literally just jumped to 190.5 at my book.

Which way do you think the public moves this line?

**t-wizzle** · 04-20-10, 11:01 AM

LB do you think that the initial move from 190 to 189 is irrelevant on the total?

**t-wizzle** · 04-20-10, 11:05 AM

this has been an interesting morning watching some of these lines... the port-phoenix total is dropping like crazy right now.

**mdemps9190** · 04-20-10, 11:05 AM

LB maybe you've answered this but whats with the $3 and $5 units? Is that still just 3 units and 5 or what?

**SolidDala** · 04-20-10, 11:11 AM

Like the over plays

. Going with Heat ML as well tonight. - $3 and 5$ doesn't matter what it stands for, you know the %-relation between the bets mdemps and thats the important part

**mdemps9190** · 04-20-10, 11:20 AM

yeah I just want to know if $5 is 5 units or not.

**big0mar** · 04-20-10, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by mdemps9190

yeah I just want to know if $5 is 5 units or not.

Its $5

**lyon804** · 04-20-10, 11:27 AM

Originally posted by mdemps9190

yeah I just want to know if $5 is 5 units or not.

LOL!! I am pretty confident he is speaking of a nickel as in $500 USD.. not $5 bucks. Which would be a 5 unit bet in his case I believe.

BTW, LB love the calls.. Tonite will be golden.