Brakon's Thursday NBA Bets (TNT night)

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  • Brakon00
    Restricted User
    • 10-27-09
    • 1536

    #1
    Brakon's Thursday NBA Bets (TNT night)
    There are 3 games Thursday night in the NBA and 1 game is clearly showing me an easy way to make $.

    8:00 E.T. Celtics-7.5 vs. Wizards
    moneyline: -330/ +270

    2 things about this game:

    1) Celtics have lost 1 game to below .500 teams this whole season (pacers.)
    2) According to Statfox.com, when the moneyline movement on the Wizards moves to better odds on the moneyline, the public is generally wrong on the spread as well on wizards. The money line opened at +264 and went to +268 at Matchbook.com right when the line came out. (i have been tracking matchbook.com odds on moneylines because the lines are so odd and different from other books.)

    PICK: Celtics -330 moneyline and Celitcs -7.5

  • Fishhead
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-11-05
    • 40184

    #2
    Thanks
    Comment
    • maseda17
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-17-09
      • 781

      #3
      I am on this as well. I have had an especially rough week. Going heavy on the C's to pull me out of the slump.
      Comment
      • iMxth3xbossx5000
        SBR MVP
        • 11-11-09
        • 4983

        #4
        Theres no point in taking the Celtics ML though..You lay to much and get so little back.. and Washington isn't that bad of a team. They beat Cleveland once this season..
        Comment
        • maseda17
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-17-09
          • 781

          #5
          Well saying the ML isn't a good pick is subjective. If you are laying 5k and are confident enough, its more than worth it.
          Comment
          • iMxth3xbossx5000
            SBR MVP
            • 11-11-09
            • 4983

            #6
            Not with the Celtics, they have had some bad runs this season and lost some games they were easily expected to win.. You just never know when they are going to show up or not
            Comment
            • maseda17
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-17-09
              • 781

              #7
              "and are confident enough"
              Comment
              • Razz_Donkey
                SBR MVP
                • 12-27-08
                • 1756

                #8
                Not crazy about this game, the Wizards are very inconsistent but can be tough at home. Kinda like them getting 7.5 here, but I'll probably stay away. Good luck though.
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94463

                  #9
                  Wizards are the play
                  Comment
                  • Razz_Donkey
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-27-08
                    • 1756

                    #10
                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                    Wizards are the play
                    Thats my lean as well, but I'm not crazy about it...
                    Comment
                    • LaiLai
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-07-09
                      • 429

                      #11
                      Laker boy. come lets bet. boston -7.5 10points. want??"
                      Comment
                      • jaymac82980
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-08-09
                        • 3416

                        #12
                        not sure who's going to show up for the celts? how about KG that is shooting something crazy like over 70% last 8 games!

                        or how about the team that has won the past 8 games, and has one of the best records in the nba? not "locking" any picks here, but celts are a much better team to count on lately. (of course they didnt cover 2 nights ago, but that was a double digit spread, gotta love C's with a low spread here)
                        Comment
                        • iMxth3xbossx5000
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-11-09
                          • 4983

                          #13
                          When the spreads look to easy, generally that tells you something is wrong. 7 points is still quite alot to lay for a tough Wizards team at home. It really can go either way, but just because Bostons been on a roll doesn't mean they aren't going to have a letdown here and there.. Just my 2 cents. Obviously Boston seems like the right play, but you just never know
                          Comment
                          • lakerboy
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-02-09
                            • 94463

                            #14
                            Originally posted by LaiLai
                            Laker boy. come lets bet. boston -7.5 10points. want??"
                            no thanks im not betting. i only offer my input in this section now. i dont endorse plays. its just an opinion. i actually have no clue about this game.
                            Comment
                            • iMxth3xbossx5000
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-11-09
                              • 4983

                              #15
                              lakerboy you got any good games your playing today? I need a winner man and you always seem to have the answer! lol
                              Comment
                              • LaiLai
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-07-09
                                • 429

                                #16
                                wahh laoo. u act u dunno anything abt the game. but infact u know a ton!!*
                                Comment
                                • og4667
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-17-09
                                  • 2438

                                  #17
                                  nice pick brakon, boston should roll. It seems like the Wiz only play good against the Cavs.
                                  Comment
                                  • Brakon00
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 10-27-09
                                    • 1536

                                    #18
                                    thankz everyone..... I also like the under in the Nuggets Pistons Game.
                                    Comment
                                    • xXxBallin21xXx
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-11-09
                                      • 590

                                      #19
                                      liking the boston pick, buying 1.5 point...Boston -6
                                      Comment
                                      • Brakon00
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 10-27-09
                                        • 1536

                                        #20
                                        dont see too much value in risking -140 on -6.......its almost a lock to me at -7.5 ....and i'd stilltake celtics at -9 or -10 on this game....

                                        people think 4 straight covers for wizards and 2 wins in last 4 games mean their the play tonight as +7.5........which has value in the long run...but not in the short run on this game....celtics are unstoppable vs. teams below .500 and will win at min. by 12 in my opinion....

                                        follow me or not......whether u think its a good pick or not...we'll see when its all finished if i'm the real deal


                                        good luck everyone on everyone else's bets tonight...lets take the books $$

                                        gnight everyone...

                                        won't be back on....

                                        later
                                        Comment
                                        • Brakon00
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 10-27-09
                                          • 1536

                                          #21
                                          Comment
                                          • Brakon00
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 10-27-09
                                            • 1536

                                            #22
                                            tie game with 7 min. left.....gonna be a wizards cover i feel.....just glad i put more to win on celtics moneyline than the cover
                                            Comment
                                            • Razz_Donkey
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-27-08
                                              • 1756

                                              #23
                                              Close one! Are you sweating the money line at all?
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94463

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                Wizards are the play
                                                Comment
                                                • Razz_Donkey
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-27-08
                                                  • 1756

                                                  #25
                                                  Good call Lakerboy, and nice cash on the Celts ML Brakon00!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Brakon00
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 10-27-09
                                                    • 1536

                                                    #26
                                                    lakerboy...cmon....more than half the time the celtics would cover 7 in washington.....jamison shoulda been gone after he landed on his shoulder the way he did...lucky it wasnt so serious...if it was 15 points and 5 reb. would have been missing and a double digit loss for the wiz and your flashlight would have no light
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Vincepcion
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 02-07-09
                                                      • 834

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by iMxth3xbossx5000
                                                      Not with the Celtics, they have had some bad runs this season and lost some games they were easily expected to win.. You just never know when they are going to show up or not
                                                      lolololol

                                                      yup the celtics have had bad runs with their 17-4 record...you just never know when they are going to show up or not
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Brakon00
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 10-27-09
                                                        • 1536

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Vincepcion

                                                        lolololol

                                                        yup the celtics have had bad runs with their 17-4 record...you just never know when they are going to show up or not
                                                        was about to say that.. lol
                                                        Comment
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