Simulation beta 1.1 predictions thread

BernardMadoff · 12-20-09, 12:57 PM

Originally posted by bustabook

broz.. i have you on the list.. don't worry sir!!

Hey I havent gotten my picks either.

coach7171 · 12-20-09, 12:58 PM

Busta, when do u think pics will be up? Thanks for the hard work.

Nick6570 · 12-20-09, 01:07 PM

Originally posted by bustabook

you are added mader, thanks for the interest..

OK.. the email will not be sent until before the 4 o'clock games. It will include "sweet spot" plays as well as a group of plays called "consensus" plays.

I recently got together with a couple of other "math guys" and started comparing/sharing plays among each other. We have noticed that, even though we differ on a fair amount of plays, when we agree with a large consensus the plays are very accurate. I have asked the others if they minded sharing the consensus plays and, after some opinions flew, they agreed.

There is not a consensus play on the New Orleans game, but the total is considered a "sweet spot" play.. i am only posting this on the forum because the e-mail will not be sent out until later on in the afternoon.

AGAIN- if you want to recieve the percentages, sweet spot plays, and consensus plays.. you must be on the email list! To get on the e-mail list, simply PM me with your e-mail address and you will recieve confirmation..

So after 4 sometime

vic · 12-20-09, 03:11 PM

Hi Busta, nice pick on KC over. Was that a hunch or sim?

bustabook · 12-20-09, 03:23 PM

E-mails sent... Check your inbox. If you didn't get one, PM me. GL

bustabook · 12-20-09, 03:24 PM

vic.. i dont do much with nfl, but someone else told me about that play. they also said they like the bengals and steelers today..

BOL

krazey47409 · 12-20-09, 03:56 PM

i got em i ****ed up the little money i had in my book by throwing it on the wash under 222 other night trying to make up what i lost ima buy a prepaid card and throw money in this shit tommorw i wish i had it now to bet this shit like crack to me

bustabook · 12-20-09, 04:14 PM

krazey.. you have to learn to manage your bankroll. we are still up alot of units using this system.

anyway, GL tomorrow.. i believe you are on the list.

jdhender · 12-20-09, 04:31 PM

Busta, thanks for the email, looks great

Feel good about the Boston Under

LaiLai · 12-20-09, 04:45 PM

recieved ur emails. i still don't really understand abt it though. for e.g. why did you take boston -14. ATS Win Means What??"

acarmelo1 · 12-20-09, 05:11 PM

received email, took the 6 plays for one unit

1Unit = $1.00

bustabook · 12-20-09, 05:14 PM

acarmelo... which plays did you play? sweet spot?

mlb · 12-20-09, 05:26 PM

yo busta .. hope your on right now .. quick question ... first off .. thanks for the email.... i was wondering about Detroit +7.5 being a sweet spot? It was a 51% which originally would have been a no play and now it's one of the best plays? whats ur take . thanks man

bustabook · 12-20-09, 05:53 PM

here are the plays for the rest of the day, btw..

Side plays:
Denver (-2)
Boston (-14)
Portland (+5)
Charlotte (+3.5)

O/U plays:
Denver/Memphis Under 210
Minnesota/Boston Under 197
LA Lakers/Detroit Over 194
Portland/Miami Over 187.5
Charlotte/New York Under 195

BOL boys...

bustabook · 12-20-09, 06:12 PM

mlb..

sweet spot plays are not necessarily going to be higher sim% plays.. they simply fall into an area that has proven to win at a higher rate than normal.

acarmelo1 · 12-20-09, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by bustabook

acarmelo... which plays did you play? sweet spot?

I took

Trailblazers +5 WIN
Pistons +7 Lost
Celtics -13.5 WIN
Timberwolves Under 196 Lost
Bobcats +4 PUSH
Bobcats Under 195.5 WIN

-108 juice at betmania
+0.84 cents so far

3-2-1 so far

bustabook · 12-20-09, 10:14 PM

ahhhh carmelo..

winner on the night, 3-2. would've been 4-2 if you would have waited until closer to gametime when that line jumped up to 6. most of the other people probably booked a double-winner on the charlotte game.

anyway, i will be sending emails in the early afternoon so that you have a chance to take a look at them and watch the lines.

GL

acarmelo1 · 12-20-09, 10:23 PM

Originally posted by bustabook

ahhhh carmelo..

winner on the night, 3-2. would've been 4-2 if you would have waited until closer to gametime when that line jumped up to 6. most of the other people probably booked a double-winner on the charlotte game.

anyway, i will be sending emails in the early afternoon so that you have a chance to take a look at them and watch the lines.

GL

Line jumped to 6??

will watch lines closely next time

still 3-2-1 + 0.84 cents

BullDozer · 12-20-09, 10:52 PM

Still on the plus side once again. Great job. Appreciate all the work you do!

bustabook · 12-20-09, 10:53 PM

the plus side is always nice.

acarmelo1 · 12-20-09, 11:46 PM

I have now 84 more cents on my account

plus side rulz.
You will send picks tomorow also right?

as long as I get + I am happy I just need to complete Prick rollover to cash money out

mlb · 12-21-09, 01:18 AM

5-3-1 on the later games and lost the new orleans raptors over earlier ... a wining night is all that matters after 2 horrible nights ... thanks for everything man .. looking forward to starting another good week!!!

zeusky · 12-21-09, 02:34 AM

Thanx Busta for the hardwork. I went 3-2-1 for the night with the push in the Charlotte game; stupid foul with .6 secs left!! Keep it up!!

incomeraise · 12-21-09, 02:48 AM

lets start all over on monday again.
btw u had a winning week right?(despite the 2 days we lost i think)

bluntsallday · 12-21-09, 04:06 AM

nice picks bud keep it up... what is this jm plays i keep seeing and hearing about???

maderpaker · 12-21-09, 04:09 AM

great start for me hadn't won in days

lafaz32 · 12-21-09, 04:54 AM

lets get 'em tomorrow again!

jeepsguy004 · 12-21-09, 09:22 AM

Keep up the good work Busta. Thanks for email....

Afrodiziak · 12-21-09, 09:43 AM

tnx for the email busta...good picks!!!

bustabook · 12-21-09, 09:46 AM

good work everyone, looks like everyone had a good night thanks to the sweetspots and consensus plays.. if you bet the SS/C plays each for 1 unit, i think you should've gone 5-2 (assuming you bet charlotte @ 4 or better).

I will be sending out the e-mails today, with Sweet Spot and Consensus plays, at about noon (EST) today. I will not be posting the plays on the forum, as it seems most of you are happy with the e-mails.

If you are not on the e-mail list and wish to be, you can either PM me or e-mail me at simulationplays@gmail.com.

Good luck today, everyone.. I will talk to you guys soon.

incomeraise · 12-21-09, 09:55 AM

i just sent u a pm.
thanks

CHAZ · 12-21-09, 11:42 AM

Why not on the forum anymore Bustabook? Either way, I'm happy with just be able to get the picks but this way people can discuss patterns or things like that.

Thanks again

krazey47409 · 12-21-09, 12:13 PM

you should of made more then 84 cents if you bet all games equally going 3-2 Butthanks for the plays whope to win some $ today

bluntsallday · 12-21-09, 12:24 PM

not if hes betting 1.00 a game... hahaha

bustabook · 12-21-09, 12:38 PM

I just sent out the e-mails.. if you did not recieve in a few minutes, PM me and I will resend.

Best of luck today, everyone!