Bulls/Bucks UNDER 195

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  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #1
    Bulls/Bucks UNDER 195
    This should easily go Under for these reasons:

    1) Slow pace of play
    2) 2H will go Under
    3) It won't go to OT
    4) The last meeting only yielded 164 points and one expects no more than 20 points above the total of the previous game
    5) The Bulls have been an Under machine as the Under is now 9-3 in their L12 games.
  • RoagBettor
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-20-09
    • 8355

    #2
    Good luck. My only concern is that the last game was 164 and the total is set at 195? Doesn't make sense to me.
    Comment
    • Wilforth
      Restricted User
      • 05-10-08
      • 16309

      #3
      Originally posted by RoagBettor
      Good luck. My only concern is that the last game was 164 and the total is set at 195? Doesn't make sense to me.
      The total of 195 is right based on a longterm average of past meetings.

      In the L5 road games, the Bulls have averaged 91.4 points, while at the Bucks have averaged 102.6 in their L5 home games. The Bucks' average is deceptive as it includes an OT against Dallas and a 129-point score against the defenseless Warriors. So if you make adjustments for that, then 102.6-point average falls to somewhere around 90.
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        Good luck Wilforth. This game just isnt worth betting on.
        Comment
        • HoulihansTX
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-12-09
          • 30566

          #5
          Originally posted by lakerboy
          Good luck Wilforth. This game just isnt worth betting on.
          The books dont give either team a real edge, so I dont know how we could find one either.

          The only real fact that is relevant in this game, is Bogut being OUT. Look at their record without him.
          Comment
          • iMxth3xbossx5000
            SBR MVP
            • 11-11-09
            • 4983

            #6
            Everybody is on the under and yet the line moved to 195.5... This is a trap game... it will go over the total. I'm not betting it.
            Comment
            • mdemps9190
              SBR MVP
              • 11-08-07
              • 1957

              #7
              yeah definitely a scary series of events
              Comment
              • Leto
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-23-09
                • 271

                #8
                Bogut is playing tonight.
                Comment
                • Wilforth
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-10-08
                  • 16309

                  #9
                  Originally posted by iMxth3xbossx5000
                  Everybody is on the under and yet the line moved to 195.5... This is a trap game... it will go over the total. I'm not betting it.
                  Let them do whatever they like to the line. I'm concerned about what will happen on the court.
                  Comment
                  • HoulihansTX
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-12-09
                    • 30566

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Leto
                    Bogut is playing tonight.
                    Then they will be the better team, especially if Redd doesnt play.
                    Comment
                    • Hawk007
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 2492

                      #11
                      Bucks have gone over in 6 straight, that will fall soon........
                      NCAA Basketball
                      '08-'09 (12-8) 60%
                      '09-'10 (63-46) 58%
                      WNBA
                      '10 (45-29) 64%
                      CFL
                      '10 (20-18)
                      NCAAF
                      '10 (16-7)
                      Comment
                      • Chugs
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-01-09
                        • 1560

                        #12
                        Originally posted by iMxth3xbossx5000
                        Everybody is on the under and yet the line moved to 195.5... This is a trap game... it will go over the total. I'm not betting it.
                        Im seeing the opposite ... just went down to 193.
                        Comment
                        • krazey47409
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-04-09
                          • 2431

                          #13
                          i got 95,000$ on the under parlay with golden state -2 and utah -10 to win 700,000$
                          Comment
                          • t-bone
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-18-08
                            • 3732

                            #14
                            Originally posted by krazey47409
                            i got 95,000$ on the under parlay with golden state -2 and utah -10 to win 700,000$
                            sure you do, i like the play Wil
                            Comment
                            • Durrrr
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-07-09
                              • 1314

                              #15
                              Originally posted by krazey47409
                              i got 95,000$ on the under parlay with golden state -2 and utah -10 to win 700,000$
                              That's a lot of monopoly money!
                              Comment
                              • aneurysm00
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 03-07-08
                                • 230

                                #16
                                Originally posted by iMxth3xbossx5000
                                Everybody is on the under and yet the line moved to 195.5... This is a trap game... it will go over the total. I'm not betting it.
                                This line was 196 when I bet the under today morning. I see it at 193 now.
                                Comment
                                • krazey47409
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-04-09
                                  • 2431

                                  #17
                                  yea their scared of easy money thats looking like the lock of the night to me thats only game i feel safe putting my money on tonight i know utah will win but i dont know if they cover 10 and warriors should cover 2 but ima go with the 1 safe bet for tonight bucks 93 bulls 85 just hope it dont hit OT
                                  Comment
                                  • Wilforth
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 05-10-08
                                    • 16309

                                    #18
                                    Bulls want to score 100 in the 3Q

                                    Comment
                                    • Wilforth
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 05-10-08
                                      • 16309

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Wilforth
                                      Bulls want to score 100 in the 3Q

                                      I meant to say "Bucks want to score 100 in the 3Q".
                                      Comment
                                      • john99
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 09-10-09
                                        • 274

                                        #20
                                        bucks helped you out there going scoreless for almost 4 min
                                        Comment
                                        • pattymayo
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-19-09
                                          • 10221

                                          #21
                                          need a lot of missed shots in the fourth to keep this one under
                                          Comment
                                          • t-bone
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-18-08
                                            • 3732

                                            #22
                                            yikes wil, i hope that means my mavs game will stay under 2nd half
                                            Comment
                                            • Wilforth
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 05-10-08
                                              • 16309

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by t-bone
                                              yikes wil, i hope that means my mavs game will stay under 2nd half
                                              Phillies/Mavs 2H is very likely to stay Under as it'll be largely a one-sided affair. The Phillies won't compete as they know they have no chance of winning.
                                              Comment
                                              • Hammondr
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-25-09
                                                • 155

                                                #24
                                                the over was down to 179 at 1 point in the second quarter
                                                Comment
                                                • pattymayo
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-19-09
                                                  • 10221

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Wilforth
                                                  Phillies/Mavs 2H is very likely to stay Under as it'll be largely a one-sided affair. The Phillies won't compete as they know they have no chance of winning.
                                                  Ive always thought of you as a very good capper and have taken your advice before but that could be the dumebst thing i've ever seen you say. Philly will not compete because they know they can't win? are you kidding? i didnt know professional sport teams just gave up at halftime.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Wilforth
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 05-10-08
                                                    • 16309

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pattymayo
                                                    Ive always thought of you as a very good capper and have taken your advice before but that could be the dumebst thing i've ever seen you say. Philly will not compete because they know they can't win? are you kidding? i didnt know professional sport teams just gave up at halftime.



                                                    TBH, the Phillies surprised me today. At the end of the last year, I was looking forward to seeing the Phillies and OKC do so well this year. But the Phillies have largely been out of sorts, being blown out here and there. Anyways, Dallas sometimes find a way to not do well at home.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pattymayo
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-19-09
                                                      • 10221

                                                      #27
                                                      This game just might stay under....
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PockyStick
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-05-08
                                                        • 154

                                                        #28
                                                        aagh!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pattymayo
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 05-19-09
                                                          • 10221

                                                          #29
                                                          196

                                                          ouch
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Wilforth
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 05-10-08
                                                            • 16309

                                                            #30
                                                            The NBA is never kind to me.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • WillC
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-10-09
                                                              • 1831

                                                              #31
                                                              kick in the guts
                                                              Comment
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