1-29-09: PHO vs TOR

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  • Pensinger1
    Restricted User
    • 12-23-08
    • 505

    #1
    1-29-09: PHO vs TOR
    The Suns are 13-3 SU and 10-6 ATS while TOR is 7-10 SU and 8-9 ATS.

    Yet, the books give us an opening line of PHO -2 and the public is all over it showing 86% backing the Suns early into the morning. Meanwhile, we have little to no line-movement across the board for this game.

    When these two met up earlier this season, PHO won by a point at home, which was greatly due to the fact that they shot 85% from the line (23 for 27). Don't expect much of the same tonight as the Suns travel to Toronto, as they rank 27th overall in FT% this year, averaging 72% from the line.

    The Suns have a scoring margin of +1.6 on the road, while the Raptors have a scoring margin of +4.6 at home. Moreover, TOR has lost two in a row SU & ATS and this Raptor team has yet to lose 3 in a row ATS this season. Throw in the always pleasant revenge-factor and we've got a false-favorite in the making.

    The ML hasn't been posted yet, but when it does book me for a unit on the TOR ML (+130 predicted)
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