Williams22 11/17 Picks

[williams22]

Current Record: 7-3

Had a nice win with the Hawks last night in a close one.

Tonight I'm betting on the game of the team I know best, the Cavs. Cleveland takes on a reckless Golden State team tonight at the Q as the start of 4 games in 5 nights. It has been announced that Shaq is doubtful for tonight (he did not play last game either).

Do not expect to see your usual Golden State game of non-stop running and gunning as Cleveland won't allow it. The more the Warriors try to push the ball, the more the Cavs will isolate Lebron and run time off the clock. With Stephen Jackson now gone, the Warriors will struggle to guard James.

However, as much as I see the Cavs dominating this game, I just don't see them covering 14.5 points. As the first game of 4 in 5 nights, the Cavs will look to get a huge lead early, and then clear the bench in the 4th. The Cavs play the Wizards on the road tomorrow night, and Lebron will want to be 100% for one of his favorite rivalries. Take the Warriors plus the points tonight.

Warriors +14.5

[RoagBettor]

I haven't been around, what happened to the Mammoth, is he extinct now?

I like the pick, keep up the good work.

[williams22]

I haven't been around, what happened to the Mammoth, is he extinct now?

I like the pick, keep up the good work.

I believe the Mammoth's time at SBR is done. He got banned as best I know.

[Regul8er]

on the Hawks last night. Everything just sorta fell into place!

[SpreadSniper]

Im on GS as well tonight. Bit of surfing finds Raja Bell out for the season, Shaq aint playing and this.....

"Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Cleveland as they host the Warriors set to start at 7:00 EST. AiS shows a 75% probability that Cleveland will win this game by 15 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 30-9 ATS for 77% winners since 1996. Play on home favorites of 10 or more points after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half facing an opponent after a loss by 6 points or less. Cleveland has a huge rebounding edge in this game. The AiS shows an 88% probability that Cleveland will have 10 or more rebounds in this game. Note that Cleveland is a solid 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take the Cavs in a blowout."

Regardless though, Im grabbing GS at +15.5

[mitmur1998]

Thanx Williams22 nice write up!

[pattymayo]

Under is the best play IMO. Total is set around 215 which is never that high for a Cavs game. Warriors are in-limbo right now I doubt they put up much more than 90.

[Razz_Donkey]

Good stuff Williams, I think I'll tail. Best of luck!

[williams22]

Thanks for the kind words everyone, let's cash this tonight.

As for the under, I'm not so sure about it. Without Shaq in the game, Cleveland may be happy to run some. When they go small (Williams/Gibson/Lebron/Hickson/Varejao) the Cavs can run as well as anyone and have better shooters than most teams. They won't have to forcefeed Shaq tonight so their gameplan may be different.

[BL]

BOL tonight

[williams22]

BOL tonight

Who are you playing tonight BL? I'm also leaning towards Sacramento, but only if the line goes to 3 or 3.5.

[BL]

I am staying away from SAC. I'm on NJ Nets tonight.
Nets were 11-3 last season being a 2-4 point underdog

but play them in the 1st half. Don't know why but they cwere quite good in 1Hs this season and sucked in the second...

[lakerboy]

[williams22]

Under is the best play IMO. Total is set around 215 which is never that high for a Cavs game. Warriors are in-limbo right now I doubt they put up much more than 90.

I've said it once and I'll say it again, I know my Cavs. Not only did I get the win, but I told you exactly why the Under wasn't safe. Cleveland went small, ran with GS, and hit 3's.

Cavs get a win and I get a cover, great night!

Current Record: 8-3

[PeePee]

Great stuff... Keep it up.

[HoulihansTX]

Winner. That OVER was easy money also.

W/o Shaq the Cavs are a better team, and score much easier.

[Mybologne]

[Brakon00]

pistons +10 and 2nd half over 92.5 is a lock!!

[williams22]

pistons +10 and 2nd half over 92.5 is a lock!!

Why are you posting this here? How's Pistons +10 looking for you?

[Jerm3462]

pistons +10 and 2nd half over 92.5 is a lock!!

Yikes...a lock?...Im glad I have the Lakers-10

[mitmur1998]

Thanks Will., Great Job

[williams22]

Thanks Will., Great Job

Thank you sir! I hope you cashed it. Right now Cavs -4 is looking good for tomorrow night. Cavs will be playing smaller and faster without Shaq and Varejao which is actually a benefit against the Wizards. Having Z start will stretch Washington's defense more than they would like. Not playing it yet, I'll give it a closer look tomorrow.

[chrisharvard01]

I was going to ask the same thing Roag. I guess big money mamouth got the boot.

it's too bad. I was really looking forward to seeing the end weeks results of these guys.


at any rate, keep up the good work williams

[iceminers26]

Good job Will, keep up the good work