BWM Thursday Pick 10 unit

[RoagBettor]

The Cavs last 6 games:

At Minnesota - Won 104-87
Charlotte - Won 90-79
Washington - Won 102-90
Chicago - Lost 86-85
At New York - Won 100-91
At Orlando - Won 102-93

One could consider the Orlando game a "quality win" save for the fact that Orlando has played like crap lately and had Anderson and Lewis out. And the Cavs had to shoot 71.4% on 3's or else they don't win this game.

Minnesota, Knicks, Bobkittens and Wizards are not quality wins, they're expected wins for a good team.

The Heat will be the first true test since the Celtics game, and I still say that playing back to back on the road at Miami translates into a Cavs loss.

[Lee Jones]

Always bet against this BWM douchebag!!

[natelli1]

yeah, i hope you guys didnt follow bwm right away, because the CAVS-2 are now CAVS+1, somethings up with this line, im on the heat all the way they are gonna let lebron run wild nd keep every1 else in check

Picks
Miami PK -105
Miami/Cle U180.5 -110
Lakers-7.5 -110

[EBDOG]

MIAMI is the play bet the farm...fade the MAMMOTH

[darkenergy]

Heats has won these teams in their 6-1 record,
Won Nicks 115-93
Won Pacers 86-93
Won Bulls 95-87
Lost Sun 96-104
Won Wizard 93-89
Won Nuggets 96-88 (this is the third game in 4th night of Nuggets 7 games road trip)
Won Wizard 90-76

So only Chicago and Denver are considered a decent teams Heats won (I didn't think either team was a good team), other than that Heat's record tell very little about how good they really are.

Cavs is an elite team IMO, they are diesel powered team....they got a little longer to warm up, but I think they at stage where of all their cylinders are firing up. I will take my chance with Cavs.

Now look at the "square" and "sharp" angle.
If one look at closely to the line history, when the line first came out last night, Cavs -1 there are 90% of bets are on Cavs.
This morning book move the line up to Cavs-1.5 -110, and there were 80% of public are on Cavs (around 9:00am).
Later (around 11:00am) the line still Cavs -1.5 +100, there were 76% of public are on Cavs.
So I really think the books are try to confuse everyone (squares and sharps), but at the end they got their book more balanced (24% of bettors taking Heats vs. to only 10% before).
The currently line is Heat -1 +104, and 72% are on Cavs.
So my question is, when one stated public (or so called squares) are all over the Cavs, can you provide the info, fact, link or something to prove that public are slowly pounding Cavs more and more at approaching game time?
Last week, there were two games Sun played Wizard, and Sixers next day, I see similar line movement. The more fluctuation the line are, the more people (or sharps) are pounding Wizard and Sixers as approaching game time, and you all know the results.
I'm on Cleveland ML as I like to take my chance with a better team. As far as line movement goes, I didn't really see any significant avantage on either side at this point. BUT if close to the game time and the line show Heat -1.5 -115 or more, I will consider hedge back my play.
As I click submit, the currently line is Heat -1 +105
Good luck with whatever you chose.

[BigWoolyMammoth]

Cavs tonight are an easy cover. 10 units. Don't worry what the public is doing. Vegas wasn't built on the public being right. How many times do I have to tell you guys this. Won't tell you how I know, but I know. Cavs. Huge!

[williams22]

Cavs tonight are an easy cover. 10 units. Don't worry what the public is doing. Vegas wasn't built on the public being right. How many times do I have to tell you guys this. Won't tell you how I know, but I know. Cavs. Huge!

At the risk of my world turning upside, I fully agree with BWM here, even the "Huge!" part. Good luck all.

[cs11787]

I think last night Magic were favored by 1-2 then it flipped over to cavs -1 and look what happened. Blowout. Same will happen tonight. Im not saying Miami is a guaranteed winner but Id recommend playing the Heat or waiting until tomorrow to play or just play the late game. Funny how Cavs looked so good and line is less than one bucket. Good luck with whatever you choose.

[MarioBroz]

BWM ftw cavs +1

[Capybara]

BWM, you've made some solid picks in the past, but you're on the wrong side tonight I believe. The sharp money is all going toward Miami, and I agree. You don't bounce right back after that battle in Orlando and beat a solid, rested Heat team. But GL.

[Tsonga]

the heat are not nearly as good as their record indicates...and cleveland is not as bad as their record.

[williams22]

#4 is where I believe you err. These guys just needed a few games to get used to each other. Last night's offensive movement was GREATLY improved from their first few games.

Like I said, I know my Cavs.

[richporter]

lol nice play bwm

[marabdl86]

Thanks so much man. I went all in on your 10 unit play. I'm so high right now

Thank you BMW. thanks so much. What's your secret weapon on these 10 unit plays?

just to return the favor I'm a big boxing buff there's this boxer matthew hatton odds currently at +215 it was at +245 this morning. I watch a ton of boxing and just want to let you know the fighter he's fighting is shot as hell. hatton will win in his hometown at +215 Get your bets in people.

Thanks again buddy

[RoagBettor]

Congrats BWM and williams. Cleveland is definitely back in form, you guys were right. They are back on my Fab Four list!

[BigWoolyMammoth]

thanks man- sorry you lost. take care

[williams22]

Congrats BWM and williams. Cleveland is definitely back in form, you guys were right. They are back on my Fab Four list!

To hear you speak kindly of them again warms my heart!

I couldn't take any more Cleveland losses!

[BigWoolyMammoth]

well enjoy lebrons last year in clev. then they will be back to the trash they have always been. mark price lives in my neighborhood, maybe you can recruit him back.

[The General]

folks, this a 10 unit pick and you know what my 10 unit picks do.
They win- 100% of the time. My info is better then anyones.
I do not like to post under the same thread because it takes away from the excitment of some of the picks. You people need a new thread for each day do you not? Lets take a vote- 1 thread or a new one everyday???

Tonight- 10 units!!!
Cleveland -2

see ya!

nice!!!!!

[RoagBettor]

This forum is like Jurassic F*cking Park now!

Long Live The Wooly Mammoth!

[RoagBettor]

Thanks, there are some great cappers here who are even better than me though. I'm overthinking some of these games right now but it's too early in the season to do that. I'll get it going soon, I was 6-0 the other night I just need to get some consistency.

You can't deny your picks right now though. The Mammoth refuses to become extinct!

[RoagBettor]

By the way, if you plan on getting drunk tomorrow night let us know in advance so we can fade you! LOL!

[acarmelo1]

I had cavs ML EVEN

[hxn_519]

good call. won 2 nites in a row. thanks BWM

[baa269]

he likes timberwolves tomorrow night +11 lets see how great this wolly mammoth is.

[BigWoolyMammoth]

I will be drunk tomorrow that is why i am putting my bet in now on the williams,, bwm thread.
minnesota +11. enjoy it!!!

[acarmelo1]

Bwm rockss

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

People on these forums should consider it a privelage and honor that BWM posts his picks here. He's the only one that has a consistent win percentage. I wouldn't follow any1 elses picks other then his because they would only be as good as my own

[xxdjstriderxx]

[BrownTown]

Like I said, I know my Cavs.

You live in Cleveland too?

[RoagBettor]

People on these forums should consider it a privelage and honor that BWM posts his picks here. He's the only one that has a consistent win percentage. I wouldn't follow any1 elses picks other then his because they would only be as good as my own

Umm...there are a lot of great cappers here. It's nice to give BWM his props when due, but not at the expense of others who have put in a lot of effort for a lot longer period of time.

[PeePee]

People on these forums should consider it a privelage and honor that BWM posts his picks here. He's the only one that has a consistent win percentage. I wouldn't follow any1 elses picks other then his because they would only be as good as my own

For someone who had just joined the board and posted one like that is

How long has this man been posting and win? Two or three weeks... I've seen posters had more and longer success than that but did not tout.

He's hot and he deserves props.

But to pay your hard earn $$$ for his picks. PLEASE.....

[landers781]

Guys if you noticed, there are like 10 other posters in this thread that just joined and are already kissing his ass saying hes the best blah bla blah.. This whole thing is fishy...probably a tout trying to get customers

[williams22]

You live in Cleveland too?

No, sir, I do not. But have been an avid Cleveland fan for quite some time. I don't believe I have missed a game in the last 5 years?

[pinnerpsk]

Guys if you noticed, there are like 10 other posters in this thread that just joined and are already kissing his ass saying hes the best blah bla blah.. This whole thing is fishy...probably a tout trying to get customers

Actually, in all likeliehood its the Mammoth himself. We've seen this game on SBR many times.