nba over / unders for today

punterfriend · 11-11-09, 05:14 PM

Thanks Scrat, That is a lot of picks, are you wagering on all of them? and a lot of unders today 13 plays only 4 overs, do the games usually run under I mean do a larger % of the games go under than over?

scratbandit · 11-11-09, 07:07 PM

Depends on the day to be honest. There is a tendency for a under. Last night for sure. 2 days ago their were more overs... so it really depends. I like unders myself compared to overs... I just do what my program says to do.

scratbandit · 11-12-09, 01:38 AM

7-6 to start the season. This will get better with time. shooting for 65%.

scratbandit · 11-12-09, 09:50 AM

phoenix vs lakers over won
cleveland vs miami under lost

overall 8-7

scratbandit · 11-13-09, 01:11 PM

As to the question of the frequency of over vs under. In small spread sports like mls, nhl etc. Unders are way more prevelant. In nba the percentage of the best team record vs the worse team record can be over 60%. In the nhl its roughly half that. So on a percentage basis unders are more prevalent on smaller spread leagues.

scratbandit · 11-13-09, 01:25 PM

portland vs hornets
under 190f
hornets to win upset alert

golden state vs ny knicks
under 225
golden state in the win

hawks vs celtics
over 194 1/2
Celtics easy cover!

rockets vs kings
under 210

lakers vs nuggets
under 212

raptors vs clippers
under 209

douglastdietzold · 11-13-09, 01:48 PM

Knicks 1st half under 113 1/2 lock of the night. warriors are in disaray just as the knicks are and doing the numbers knicks have gone under that total for the 1st half all year and warriors have only gone over that number 3 times. research is what pays.

scratbandit · 11-13-09, 02:02 PM

Very true as the knicks are also a great second half team. In most cases outscoring their opponents in the second half. Then on the flip side. Golden State gives up 117 points on the road. So this could be interesting. Might be knicks first chance to hit close to 113 as a team just as long as golden state dosen't top 60 we are good. I think your right though as they might not hit it. Then on the other hand this could be the best opportunity for them to do it for a team half.

mike

NorthernGlory · 11-13-09, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by scratbandit

portland vs hornets
under 190f
hornets to win upset alert

golden state vs ny knicks
under 225
golden state in the win

hawks vs celtics
over 194 1/2
Celtics easy cover!

rockets vs kings
under 210

lakers vs nuggets
under 212

raptors vs clippers
under 209

I have most of these for my picks tonight purely going off of instinct, hopefully we will do well!

BOL

scratbandit · 11-13-09, 03:00 PM

I like the way you think. Hopefully my computer program I wrote is spot on...

palmer2712 · 11-13-09, 03:27 PM

Originally posted by NorthernGlory

I have most of these for my picks tonight purely going off of instinct, hopefully we will do well!

BOL

Nice job buddy. I like. Good luck tonight all

SpiderMonkey · 11-13-09, 03:30 PM

Portland Trail Blazzers/New Orleans Hornets ( O +187½ -110)

scratbandit · 11-14-09, 09:15 AM

5-2 For last night as the system is right where I envisioned it.

overall
13-9

scratbandit · 11-14-09, 09:49 AM

Picks for tonight.. 11/14

boston vs pacers
under 191

detroit vs wash
under 186

atlanta vs new orleans
under 205

philadelphia vs chicago
under 190

minnesota vs memphis
under 205 buy 3 points 208

golden state vs milwaukee
over 208 buy 3 205

okc vs spurs
over 184

punterfriend · 11-14-09, 12:18 PM

Hey scrat Thought I would tel you thanks for the picks on lucky Friday the 13th. I love that. Do you feel that you have tweeked the system enough for your satisfaction. Are do you still need some adjusting. I have to admit I really like wagering on Over/unders tyhey just seen so simple to wager on and the Q wager with the Kings last night was great. It wasn't even close to Losing.

Good Luck to you and your family. Hope your wagers and mine and everybodys wagers go as good as mine was last night. STELLAR!

scratbandit · 11-14-09, 02:36 PM

The system is getting there so far so good. 60% is the ultimate goal and we should be there soon. The record was better if I had not tried to cap all 13 games at the same time. Some were no plays.

Any time on sac play. Always willing to share and learn that is for sure..

scratbandit · 11-15-09, 01:32 PM

4-3 last night not good.

17-12 Total record

scratbandit · 11-15-09, 01:36 PM

Today's picks

dallas vs detroit
under 185

la clippers vs okc
under 184

toronto vs suns
under 235 buy 3 points

houston rockets vs lakers
under 204 1/2

punterfriend · 11-16-09, 12:27 AM

Sunday11/15

Did pretty good on your unders tonight 2 wins 1 loss and a push
not so bad

fghtdctr · 12-24-09, 10:48 PM

Scrat, you still running O/U's?
I just got into the game and developing some statistical analysis as well.
Just curious....

scratbandit · 02-22-10, 05:50 PM

I have fine tuned it considerably. I am on covers under my screen name.

scrat

Dutchman37 · 02-22-10, 06:18 PM

IND @ DAL OVER 208

CHI @ WASH OVER 201

ATL @ UTAH OVER 196.5

Those are mine...i went 1-2-0 last night so not that good..hopefully tonight is better

Goodluck All

Jon825 · 02-22-10, 06:49 PM

i like the pacers over dutchman37. check out my thread if u ever need some help